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This is a "Wild Mass Guess" entry, where we pull out all the sanity stops on theorizing. The regular entry on this topic is elsewhere. Please see this programme note.
Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain

    Jossed Examples 

Due to a gross excess of examples (this being a Metal Gear game and all), this folder is specifically for examples that have been "Jossed" — proven incorrect by Word of God or by the final product. For examples that still stand, please see the examples below this folder.

David Hayter will voice Snake in the Ground Zeroes portion of the game, while Kiefer Sutherland will take over for the rest of the game.
Considering that Ground Zeroes takes place shortly after Peace Walker (making it seem odd for a change in voice actors to take place), and that Big Boss is in a coma for a decade after Mother Base is destroyed, it's fairly possible that his voice could have changed as a response to his body's atrophy.

The game will be about Paz's befriending
Well, this mostly seiyuu's joke, but I think you can draw parallel between Fate Testarossa and Paz; both are (technically, in Paz case) Dark Magical Girl, both feel indebted and fearing their boss, both are The Woobie of quite proportion. And what is Big Boss in Peace Walker? A Badass Normal person do impossible feat, which get his troops from his former enemies (all they need is changing Fulton balloon color to pink), master of Non-Lethal K.O. (especially by CQC) and everyone who isn't evil will be swayed to his side. Basically, he's muggle, manly version of Nanoha.
  • Jossed, since Paz is killed by a bomb at the end of Ground Zeroes before she can do anything of note.

Cipher set up everything to carry out Les Enfants Terribles

Think about it. The project is dated to have been carried out during the early nineteen-seventies, and its common knowledge that Big Boss was either comatose or at least somehow cloned using his cells and the Super Baby Method. Of course, they couldn't just use hair or skin cells, they needed a much meatier sample than that.

This is Cipher killing two birds with one stone: He manipulates Big Boss and MSF into a vulnerable state, where he can kick both in the teeth and leave them a non-issue for the long term, even if it only slows them down. He also gets a chance to also bring the Snake back he once knew, so to speak. While comatose in the hospital from his wounds during the evacuation of Mother Base, Cipher sent someone to retrieve samples of Big Boss.

They didn't use the small stuff. They couldn't, it wouldn't be enough. So they took his arm at the elbow, then sent a cleanup crew to take out any traces of him.

There will be two protagonists
In different time periods as well.
  • Definitely jossed by Word of God; the Ground Zeroes prologue takes place just after Peace Walker, and the Phantom Pain takes place in 1984.

Richard Doyle will voice Snake
Considering David Hayter is apparently not reprising his role (though it may be another case of misinformation), and BB is closer than ever to his MG 1 age, this makes sense. A handwave could be given thanks to the coma.
  • Jossed. It's Kiefer Sutherland.

Skullface will be Affably Evil if not just affable.
  • Jossed: From what can be discovered while playing Ground Zeroes, listening to the various tapes and seeing what he did to Chico and Paz, Skull Face is actually Faux Affably Evil and, while obviously in the realm of subjectivity, is one of the very few candidates in the entire franchise to be considered a Complete Monster.

Ground Zeroes will not be a separate game
Despite what Konami says, it's not going to be a separate game because the trailer shows that Mother Base will be destroyed shortly after the events of Peace Walker. Instead, it's going to be a tutorial about managing your team which will play a larger role later; which makes more sense since Mother Base should have a sizeable army at that moment.
  • Jossed. Ground Zeroes had a Spring 2014 release; there is still no definite release date for The Phantom Pain beyond "2015."

Skullface is Sokolov
His description is "A Ghost Without A Past." In Metal Gear Solid: Portable Ops, Ghost turned out to be Sokolov. Given that Kojima said he was bringing back a character he had killed off, the makes for a nice Discontinuity Nod towards Portable Ops, since Kojima had no involvement in that game.
  • Jossed. Skull Face was burned horribly during his youth, which disqualifies him from being Sokolov or any adult character we've seen before.

Skull Face is Granin.
  • Jossed with his Western voice revealed, as he distinctly doesn't sound Russian, nor does he match Granin's tubby build.

Skull Face is Coldman.
  • Jossed. Skull Face was burned during his youth which left him like he is, which would be years-to-decades before the events of Peace Walker, where Coldman appeared and was not burned. Plus, Coldman clearly died in Peace Walker from his wounds; since it wasn't a case of Never Found the Body like most other "back from the dead" MGS villains, it's probable he's staying that way.

There will be an Old Save Bonus for your save file from Metal Gear Solid: Peace Walker.
This will give benefits for the Ground Zeroes section of the game and will also serve as a bigger Player Punch when Mother Base is destroyed.
  • Jossed, but there is going to be a save bonus for those who have Ground Zeroes for The Phantom Pain.

Raiden
On the off chance that this game reveals that Chico and Paz are Raiden's biological parents, expect a reference to Liberia and for the revelation that Raiden was named after Big Boss, his prowess with blades was inherited from Chico, and his Jack the Ripper personality be his equivalent to Paz's Pacifica Ocean personality.
  • Jossed in Ground Zeroes, as unfortunately for all Paz/Chico shippers and "Raiden's parents" theorists, Paz dies at the end of Ground Zeroes, and Chico's fate is currently ambiguous (as he's caught in the same blast as Big Boss and Miller).

David Hayter's voicing Big Boss will be available as a DLC, at least for Ground Zeroes.
It can be possible that Kojima or any other of the producers can use the controversy regarding David Hayter being replaced by Kiefer Sutherland, to their advantage, creating a DLC to replace Sutherland's Voice with Hayters. Of course, it can be likely it works only for Ground Zeroes.
  • Jossed. Hayter has not returned for Ground Zeroes, nor was he asked to voice the "Snake Soul Sword" in Revengeance; since his Japanese counterpart Akio Ohtsuka appeared in both, the chances of him playing Big Boss in MGS:GZ and/or MGSV can be ruled out.

The Boy in the cage being choked is a Young Solid Snake
  • Jossed. It's Chico, same face down to the bandage on his eyebrow. That part clearly takes place during the Ground Zeroes segment and Solid Snake would have been three years old then.

The Burned Man is Psycho Mantis
  • Jossed. Psycho Mantis appears as a child.

The Burned Man is Major Zero
He seems to be leading the attack against FOX and Mother Base, and we know he was behind Cipher in Peace Walker...and he hates Big Boss by now.
  • Jossed. This contradicts the ending of MGS4, as Zero appears and he looks nothing like the Burned Man, plus canon means he will be 75 as of MGSV.

The burning man with fire powers is Volgin
Snake is also attacked by a lightning strike in that scene, so it would make sense.
  • Except Volgin can't control lightning, which is what finally kills him because with that much electricty running through his body he's already a giant lightning rod. Before or during every scene of him so far we see the gas-mask child, who could be a young Psycho Mantis (he appears before the elevator opens and all the flames come out, and if you look a the firey unicorn you can see the child is sitting in front of the Volgin-apparition), so it's more probable it's Mantis using his powers to manifest apparations of Snake's past (considering that the real Volgin didn't have glowing eyes or horns and is most certainly dead after getting hit by lighting which set off the ammunition pressed against his chest and being next to the facility when The Boss uses the last Davey Crocket on it pretty much means that only Gray Fox can claim to be killed deader than him).

The XOF Commander is Lyndon B. Johnson

A lot of people have been saying that the XOF Commander is a victim of severe burns, but that doesn't make sense because his ears and nose are still mostly intact and those would be the first tissues to be completely destroyed by fire. If anything he looks withered, like a corpse thats been decomposing for a few months.

Now, bear with me here. In the MGS Universe, LBJ was the one who signed off on Operation Snake Eater, which not only led to the founding of the Patriots, but led to Big Boss' longstanding distrust of the Government. Moreover, its been implied that LBJ is the one who authorized the Les Enfants Terribles project that spawned the clones of Big Boss. Lastly, this is fucking MGS - In a world where gay vampires, spirit mediums, and giant robots are commonplace, a zombie is hardly irregular.

LBJ died in 1973, and the Ground Zeroes trailer apparently takes place in 1974. More to the point, its suspected that the voice actor for the XOF Commander is the same one who portrayed LBJ in Snake Eater. Kojima has already stated that Ground Zeroes will tackle "taboo" subjects he's afraid might seriously impact release of the game, and what could be more taboo than having your game's villain literally be the rotting, resurrected revenant of a World Leader who was active during living memory, especially one with a real-life record of positive legislation like the Civil Rights movement?

Ishmael was rescued from Camp Omega by Big Boss in Ground Zeroes.

He was detained in Camp Omega because he's actually Gray Fox.
  • With Ishmael and Big Boss sharing a Voice Actor that's highly unlikely. Considering that Keither Sutherland is in his 40s while Gray Fox would be in his twenties or early thirties.
    • Jossed. All of the rescued prisoners have voices, none of them are Keither. Not to mention that all of them can be ignored bar Paz and Chico.

Chico is Quiet
This made the rounds on the internet shortly after GZ's release, figured I'll put it here, since I subscribe to it. Quiet might be a post-surgery Chico. He becomes a woman so he won't rape, he becomes quiet so he won't betray.
  • They have the same green eyes and generally look similar to each other.
  • Chico mentions wanting to be a hunter when he grows up in PW.
  • In one of the interrogation tapes in GZ, Paz tells Chico to just be quiet when he tries to talk to her.
  • She is apparently tortured and interrogated by Kaz alongside Huey, which could be related to the destruction of MSF - Kaz already blames it on Chico.
  • Chico feels guilt over betraying MSF and being forced by Skull Face to have sex with Paz.
  • Kojima mentioned that the audience will feel ashamed at their misconceptions about Quiet's design and character.

Stefanie Joosten, Quiet's motion capture actress, personally Jossed this one.

Big Boss's "shrapnel wound horn" isn't shrapnel lodged in his head at all, it's an actual horn that grew from his head
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cutaneous_horn, as the article here will tell you Cutaneous Horn is a condition where a horn will literally grow out of someone's forehead. It is thought to be a condition brought on by exposure to radiation, and Big Boss would definitely count given his exposure to 3 nuclear blasts over the course of his life time.

Imports of the English version of the game will be popular in Japan
Because Japan loves Kiefer Sutherland... a lot.

Assuming that Sergei Gurlukovich will turn up, he will be voiced by Travis Willingham.
Well, Troy Baker is playing Ocelot in this game.

Ishmael is the co-op buddy
There's a lot of speculation over a character whose face happens to be entirely bandaged and who shares Big Boss's VA. It's possible that Ishmael's entire design was meant to facilitate two-player co-op, possibly drop-in/drop-out. Giving him the same model and VA as Big Boss along with a hidden face allows for the system that was in Peace Walker in which every player saw himself as Snake and the other player as a masked figure. Ishmael presumably has the same build/character model as Big Boss, so there'll be no conflict with different animations between a player's POV and the other player's POV. Likewise, the identical voices means there doesn't have to be any conflict with in-game dialogue. Essentially, Ishmael is one big in-story justification for a co-op system like Peace Walker's. This explains, in part at least, the perplexing nature of his masked appearance and voice.
  • Well there are a few problems there. The first is that Ishmael is interacting with Punished Snake in the trailer, in a very plot-crucial manner that would lose it's impact if removed. They don't have the same models on account of the different clothing (which would present it's only challenges) and because the bandages obscure a lot of facial expressions, which can't just be covered up by slapping some bandages on him post production. Plus there is no announced co-op feature; Ground Zeroes certainly is confirmed to be a single-player experience, and Peace Walker was co-op because of it's nature as a portable game and because the missions were broken up into comparatively short stand-alone missions. Grand Theft Auto V shows all the problems with a massive open world game with multiplayer thrown in. Several features would be a pain to code (such as the reaction time), and the plot really would suffer for it (how many times in the trailers have we heard "You need to handle this one on your own?" Wouldn't really work if you had a partner with you).
    • Wall of text response: The WMG doesn't exactly preclude Ishmael being important to the plot; going back to Peace Walker, playing co-op would insert the masked sidekick into (in-game engine) cutscenes with somewhat unique reactions. A similar method would have to be used to maintain any important actions Ishmael takes in the story. As far as the trailer goes, I'd assume that certain missions would be single player (once again taking PW's precedent), including the mission portrayed in that trailer, hence Ishmael's interactivity. Not sure what to make of the "models" comment above; they seemed to have the similar builds in the trailer. And what exactly is the issue with facial expressions? Peace Walker being portable doesn't mean that co-op should strictly be reserved for games on portable devices; the success of the game gives reason to believe that porting over some of its newer features is worthwhile. I agree that programming would be a pain, especially with slow-mo. Regarding the story, Peace Walker (yes, I know, again) had a metric ton of "It's all up to you, Snake!" moments while still allowing for back-up. Even if Snake has to accomplish his mission supposedly by himself, his building a support team, which might include physical backup, from scratch still plays into the whole idea of being cut off.

Kiefer Sutherland will be playing Big Boss because David Hayter will return as Solid Snake.
Solid Snake should be about around 11 years old at the start of the Phantom Pain portion of the game, which may or may not be too young for Hayter to voice well at that point. But if half a decade or so passes during the game, we'll see the beginnings of the ridiculously manly ~16 year old Solid Snake and his super-puberty induced throat cancer voice's induction into FOXHOUND, and training him will be a core part of the gameplay as part of Big Boss's revenge plans.
  • You could also take his accelerated aging into account - even though it isn't mentioned until Guns Of The Patriots, there's no proof that he can't have undergone an early growth spurt. He's probably less likely to be a Guttural Growler, though.
    • Though if you believe the somewhat plausible "Eli=Liquid Snake" theory, an early growth spurt would be unlikely as then Snake and Eli would have different apparent ages. Considering how important their duality and their status as twins is to the overall series, I doubt Kojima would put in such a difference in character designs. Assuming Eli is Liquid, which, granted, is definitely not confirmed.

Kojima is trolling somehow with the voice of Big Boss and/or the trailers
If anyone remembers the trailers of Metal Gear Solid 2, many things were in those trailers that were not in the game. For example, Raiden seemed like a minor character and that Snake was the main playable character.

What if Kiefer only voices Big Boss in the trailers? Or if Hayter is coming back as a Snake, but a much younger Solid, Liquid or even Solidus Snake? What if the trailers are lying to the audience about what is and isn't in the game?

MGS2 had a bunch of lies in its trailers, as reflections of its themes of memetics and informaion control. Maybe Kojima is doing the same here, especially since this game will most likely deal with Big Boss versus his former friends, who were all original Patriots and created the Patriot AIs who drove the plot of MGS1, MGS2 and MGS4. Kojima is also heavily disillusioned with Metal Gear in general, since he views the franchise as preventing him from working on other titles...and he does want this to be his last, like MGS4 and MGS2 before him. That could factor in as well.
  • It does seem more likely to me that Sutherland would be more appropriate for one of the Snakes, but then having listened to his voice in the trailer, it does seem like it bridges the gap nicely between Hayter's Snake voice and Doyle's Big Boss voice from MGS4. It's also stated that they think Sutherland will be able to put across some of the more dramatic, bleaker moments a little better than Hayter would, which seems unlikely; Hayter did great work across MGS3, Portable Ops and Peace Walker with Big Boss, so I'm not so certain they'd replace him. As for Big Boss confronting Cipher - later to become the Patriots, we presume, unless the AI's adopted that title of their own will - that could be tricky; Kojima still needs to reconcile Big Boss coming back to take charge of Fox Hound in time for Metal Gear. So would we actually be seeing a big confrontation?

Ocelot Will reappear or at least make a cameo
Like Peace Walker Ground Zeros takes place four years after Portable Ops. With all the references in the last game to The Boss and her child, why shouldn't the Magnificent Bastard himself make an appearance?
  • Confirmed, and it appears to be more than a cameo. He will apparently be one of the supporting characters aiding Big Boss.
Frank Jaeger will return at some point
The Mozambican Civil War doesn't begin until 1977. Also at the end of Peace Walker there are hints about something going near Angoloa. Unless Kojima is trolling again.
  • With the game taking place during 1983 after Big Boss' coma ends, Gray Fox may very well show up.
    • 1984 per word of God.

Sniper Wolf will turn up.
  • Possible, though there is only one sniper character confirmed for the game and it's not her.
    • Unlikely though since Wolf would still be a child, although Big Boss at least is in the right area of the world when rescuing Miller to stop by.
    • Perhaps Quiet trained Sniper Wolf, which would explain why both are Ms. Fanservice.

The Snake kids will appear

They should have been born by the time the game takes place. Liquid Snake seemed to have been raised directly by Big Boss so he might come into custody within the game, and Solid Snake seemed to have at least Big Boss' string-pulling involved in his life so he might get sent off somewhere of Big Boss' choosing too.
  • How old would they be? If this game is truly a lead-in to Metal Gear 5, and if that stars Solid Snake again, we may get some teen Solid Snake action to set it up. And the two Snakes playable in the same game? My god, the possibilities... In fact, Big Boss had to become Solid Snake's boss somehow.
    • Ten years old, at the most, actually. So maybe no teen Snake, but Big Boss isn't averse to child soldiers.
      • Since their born in 1972, they would be two come Peace Walker and by 1983, 11 years old. Since the latest trailer says Big Boss was in a coma for 9 years.
      • 1984. It's been confirmed to be set in 1984 by Word of God himself because all of the main Big Boss games take place ten years appart (Snake Eater = 1964, Peace Walker = 1974, Phantom Pain = 1984).
      • We never did learn how Big Boss knew Solid Snake was his "son", and this game may show this.
    • Maybe confirmed, since it's possible that Eli may be Liquid.

"Ishmael" is really Chico or Gray Fox

In the GDC trailer, the man in the bandages says he's been looking after Big Boss for 9 years, given Chico's hinted role as a coerced sleeper agent, he might have looked after Big Boss for those 9 years out of guilt for betraying him, which would explain why he doesn't give his real name. Or he could be Gray Fox undergoing reconstructive surgery for his ears and nose....
  • Unlikely, since Gray Fox said he lost his ears and nose in an incident that ended with Big Boss rescuing him, while Big Boss has just woken up from a coma and is unlikely to have rescued Frank from armed soldiers whilst sleep-walking. Considering that Ishmael shares the same VO as Big Boss it's probable he's just an hallucination (hence why he gets covered in flames when apparaition!Volgin shows up and is trying to put himself out but when the camera cuts back to him he doesnt' have so much as a singed hair on his head.

Psycho Mantis will appear, possibly as the source of Big Boss' nightmares
  • Confirmed in a recent trailer, with a child with extremely powerful psychic abilities wearing Mantis' famous unique gasmask shows up following a series of paranormal events. He also has hair now.

This will be the final link between the Big Boss and Solid Snake eras.
Peace Walker showed the beginnings of what'd become Outer Heaven, but not the actual founding. Not to mention the main part takes place 12 years before Metal Gear 1. This game could show Big Boss founding Outer Heaven proper, as well as the start of the clash between Zero and Big Boss, as well as Big Boss completing his journey to villain.
  • There's room for one or two more games in the series—The events leading to Big Boss rejoining American special forces, and Snake's early days. They could be folded into MGSV, but most MGS games are on too short of a timeline to encompass all those events. One time skip is probably novel enough for a new element, and they'll likely want to explore the 80s thoroughly instead of jump forward in a single game.
    • The first Metal Gear game was Solid's early days, so that idea's out.

The game will use Moby-Dick as an analogy for Big Boss' transformation into the Big Bad by the end of the game.
If "Ishmael" isn't obvious enough, the protagonist of the game is a leader who's lost a limb in a traumatic attack. After being painted as the enemy of the world, Big Boss will lose complete faith in the world by the end of this game, finally tired of being a pawn of one conspiracy after another, and begin to seek creating a true Outer Heaven.

Also, flaming whales.

We will not be playing as Big Boss, but another "clone"

This will require some explaining. Let me start with the trailer's opening, which shows "Big Boss" being resuscitated by a doctor. Notice that our angle makes it look like we are seeing this through another's eyes, and a few times during this, the doctor across from the one saving "Big Boss" glances in our direction sometimes. After Big Boss is stabilized, we see Miller looking at us, and he says "What about him?", and before the trailer cuts away, we see the doctors turning around.
  • Hideo's answer to "who is the POV character" is that he is the POV character. Considering you can actually recruit Hideo in Metal Gear Solid: Peace Walker to work at Mother Base that's...not actually that implausable.

Next, we have the title, "Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain". Why is it that, prior to this, we have 2, 3, and 4, but now we have the roman numeral "V"? At the end of the trailer, we hear a voice say "V has come to"... Just like "Big Boss" does at the beginning of Phantom Pain! But why the nickname "V"? Because he would be the fifth version of Big Boss (Liquid, Solid, Solidus, and of course Big Boss himself being his predecessors). Another thing that made me think of this theory was David Hayter not being asked to come voice Big Boss, though I suppose this could be explained away due to him aging (After all, he didn't have Hayter voice him in one installment). If they have the same voice actor in the Japanese version, this part of the theory is Jossed.
  • They have the same VO in the Japanese version. The reason given for Hayter's replacement is that they are combining the voice acting with facial motion capture for the game. Since the motion capture is done in English with Kiefer they have no reason to change the VO for the Japanese version (who is a much bigger name there making it suicidal to change it over).

But what about the age? This man we're seeing is clearly older than what Liquid, Solid, and Solidus would be in 1974/1983. That's why I put the clone in quotation marks, since I don't think it's actually a clone of Big Boss, but rather somebody they found and implanted the DNA of Big Boss into. I got this part of the theory from a friend, but when he mentioned it, it all made sense. Originally, I thought they might have tried to engineer an adult clone, but ended up not doing it again because this one aged much faster than the others and ended up dying very quickly. But what he said, about it being a different person but with DNA implanted in them, it fit in a lot better. After all, "Joakim" was saying that this wasn't a Metal Gear game, and that the man in the trailer just looked like Big Boss... Which would mean that Kojima was telling the truth, disguised as a lie, while lying about what the game was. It fits, doesn't it?
  • Implanting the DNA of Big Boss into someone doesn't change that person at all. There was an entire Genome Army that had parts of Big Boss' DNA into them and didn't change, that's just not how it works. It would take extensive plastic surgery on his face as well as duplicating all of his scars, which by 1980s standards would not create someone who could fool people who know Big Boss very well.

Now, I do have some other points, but I am not so sure about these. The rest of this title, "The Phantom Pain". I thought that this could have been the title because all of this pain is being experienced by another clone, or somebody with the DNA, of Big Boss, a "phantom", if you will. Of course, I thought this before being reminded what Phantom Pain meant (the article here explains it pretty well, but if you don't want to look back, it means you feel where you no longer have a limb), so this is a highly unlikely part. And then there was the song chosen for the trailer, "Not Your Kind of People" by Garbage. This may have been chosen because of how it sounded, and in all likelihood that's the only reason, but couldn't it also have been because this man really is not our kind? He was a normal man, but then he was altered by the DNA of Big Boss, thus making him not like normal people and not even like Big Boss's real clones.
  • The second song is Sins of the Father which fits Big Boss' relationship with his own sons, but loses it's meaning if the main character is some random guy.

Now, a lot of you could argue that this has all already been Jossed. Kojima has stated in a recent interview that the "pov" we were experiencing in the trailer was Kojima himself, and that the V stood for "Victory". Kojima also pretended to be a man named Joakim Mogren, head of Moby Dick Studios, so make what you will of that.
  • It was a stunt. Hideo has never directly lied to us. He also never pretended to be Joakim Mogren except for his appearance at the GDC, which was just a joke.

Now, two last points that could be used against this. If this is a clone, or a genetically altered man, then why does he experience Big Boss's "flashbacks" seen in the trailer? That could be explained away by saying this man was also given Big Boss's memories, so that he would believe he truly was Big Boss. And finally, what's up with the horn on Big Boss at the end? Well, I don't know. Maybe a side effect of being genetically altered by Big Boss's DNA improperly?
  • Memories aren't stored in DNA. It also doesn't explain why all these characters who have met the real Big Boss and known him well treat this guy like the real deal, including his best friend (Kaz) and his biggest Fanboy (Ocelot), two of the three people (EVA) who would be able to instantly tell a fake after holding a five second conversation with them. The Horn is also confirmed to be a piece of shrapnel that's embedded in his skull, as seen in the x-rays during the E3 trailer.

Also, one point that can't be made is Big Boss missing an arm. That's easily explained by Big Boss using the body parts of Liquid and Solidus Snake to fix his injuries.
  • We never see Big Boss' natural arms in either Metal Gear games, with Metal Gear 2 stating he had some of his limbs replaced with robotic versions.

I think that's all, but I feel like I forgot to mention something..... If I remember it, I'll put it here.

"You also forgetting one very basic thing..." This "Punished" Snake has GREEN eyes. Think about it. That's right, Big Boss has BLUE eyes. Ergo, this confirms that this is new character and not Big Boss.

  • His eye looks blue to me. We don't ever see Big Boss' eyes clear enough in the trailers. Plus when Hideo pulled this trick before he went and swapped out Raiden's character model and environments with Snake's. The eye colour is such a simple thing to swap so....not to mention that you'd think that Kaz or Ocelot would take one look at this new guy and say "Hey Snake, why has your eye colour changed to a different colour?"
    • Please, it's Hideo we're talking about, you can't take anything for granted. Just think about it, would THAT Hideo Kojima do a really stupid mistake of mixing up really small, but important thing? Even if by some bizarre chance this "Punished Snake" really is Big Boss (which I seriously doubt, Big Boss never had a horn, not in Metal Gear 1-2, nor in MGS4, and pattern of scars doesn't match up) there's gotta be something more to it. If Kojima showed it with a close-up of something that is 'wrong', (eyes can be seen during extended cut trailer, about 6 minutes in) I'd say something is definitely up. And of course they(Ocelot and Kaz) know it's not real Big Boss, duh, they all in cahoots. But I will admit it's hard to say anything for sure, because actual content with answers is not released, so all we can do for now is wait. Still, my money is on theory that it's not Big Boss.
      • Yeah, that was my point. It is this Hideo Kojima, the guy who hid the Raiden twist to such levels that he made scenes specifically for the trailers that would never appear in the game. The horn is a piece of shrapnel which can be removed anytime in the ten years between Phantom Pain and Metal Gear 1 and 2, scars heal with time and surgery to fix burns all over your body (both of which makes his horn and scar-free appearance in 4 irrelevant), and the eyes thing is bogus too (his eye colour in 1984 is the same as in the Ground Zeroes section in 1975, visible 7 minutes 52 seconds in the E3 trailer during the Ground Zeroes segment, the exact same shade as it is with the close up with the Punished Snake popup). In both the Ground Zeroes and Phantom Pain he's voiced by Kiefer Sutherland, the characters are the same. Same VO, same eye colour (which at worst looks like it's between blue and green, which can be explained by the lighting but it is still the exact same shade between Big Boss riding in the helicopter and "Punished Snake" firing his gun in the cave), not to mention that Ocelot worships the ground Big Boss walks on. He is the ultimate BB fanboy, if he came across someone pretending to be him he's not going to play along and be in cahoots, he'd shoot the motherfucker dead. Same deal with Kaz. These are two people who are loyal to Big Boss to a fault, they are not going to just sit back and treat someone they know to be a fake as their best friend.

The Phantom Pain may take place in more than one location

When Big Boss wakes up in the hospital, there is a Union Jack hanging in the room. This could suggest that he has awoken in British-run facility, though its location would be a good question (seeing as the last place we have seen Big Boss was fleeing the destruction of Mother Base in Central America). Given the conflicts going on, it could be possible that the facility is linked to Cipher or Zero.

The idea that there is another location that the Phantom Pain will play out in is very circumstantial. Given the presence of Ocelot, someone that appears to be Psycho Mantis, and the new red prosthetic hand Big Boss has in the Diamond Dogs outfit (a hand similar to Zadornov's hand), part of the game may be in the Soviet Union.

  • Confirmed. The E3 trailer shows that there will be missions in both Afghanistan and Africa.

There will be a Player Punch moment involving the hospital

Perhaps this is a credit to whoever edited together the GDC 13 Phantom Pain trailer and to "Not Your Kind of People", but it almost feels like there will some moment for this. It could be the nurse that finds Big Boss waking up from the coma, it could be the doctor, or it could be some other patients that the player will meet and get to know. It just seems that there will be some disheartening moment when the hospital is raided and someone you have come to know and possibly like will get killed offed during your escape. The only other punch that could happen is if the person you care for turns out to be a Cipher agent or someone working for Zero, sent to keep tabs on you (or worse, take certain actions if you wake up).
  • Confirmed somewhat by trailers and teasers, as a good few Kick the Dog instances can be seen; namely, there are sequences involving defenseless patients being executed and gunned down en masse by soldiers and Those Who Do Not Exist.

Drago Madnar will make an appearance in "The Phantom Pain".

Since it is known that Dr. Madnar is capable of creating a cyborg body for Raiden, it may not be a far stretch to think that he could make an effective prosthetic hand given 80's technology in a Metal Gear world. He could be to one to fit Big Boss with a new hand after the hospital escape, and the moment could also make a nod to his eventual role in the first "Metal Gear" as the designer of the TX-55.

The Phantom Pain takes place entirely in Big Boss's nine-year coma, which he doesn't know he's in.
It explains all the strange imagery. And the scene where the doctor tells Big Boss that he's been in a coma for nine years is the end of The Phantom Pain.

The game will at some point feature a much younger FOXHOUND team rescuing Big Boss.
We already more or less have Psycho Mantis and Revolver Ocelot confirmed, apparently helping BB in some manner, and the voice at the end of the trailer sounds pretty similar to Sniper Wolf. What if Ishmael is actually Decoy Octopus? It would explain why his face is covered, as if I recall we never see Octopus's true appearance in-game.
  • Wolf would still be a child in 1984, Ishmael is voiced by Kiefer Sutherland who is also voicing BB, so that makes no sense and again you run into the "too young" thing since Ishmael is claiming to have watched over BB during his coma, which would mean by 2005 Decoy Octopus would be just shy of 50 assuming that A) he was already affiliated with MSF and B) Chico was the only Child Soldier MSF employed. While there is literally nothing on Octopus' past to rule out his involvement...there is also literally nothing to warrant bringing him back in.

The taboo subject will involve child soldiers
This was brought up in a few forums and they make an interesting point. Think about it, what's the last game you played where you were encouraged to shoot children?
  • Confirmed to an extent — while child soldiers is a recurring, controversial theme, whether the scenes of Snake shooting children is "creative" editing or simply a cutscene (i.e. players can only watch Big Boss do it, as most would just refuse to keep playing) is yet to be seen.

'Eli' is a young Liquid Snake.
Because no one else could wear that open vest and mullet as well as he can.
  • "A Youth who Curses his Fate." Sound familiar?

Raiden and Solidus will appear.
While Liberia hasn't been confirmed as a location, we see child soldiers of African ethnicity. Solidus mentioned how he "discovered" Raiden in the Liberian civil war. Therefore, we may see Raiden's and Solidus' first canonical appearances. Even though Solidues would be a bit too young by the 80's, this doesn't mean that he wasn't a child soldier, too. Thus, appearances by both would make sense.
  • It's doubtful Raiden would show up or play any significant role, considering he was born in the 1980s. At the very most, he'd be 3 years old during the events of Phantom Pain. Or at least be seen in a cameo role.

Code Talker is the last survivor of the original Philosophers.
His subtitle lists him as a "WISE MAN denied his homeland", and being around 100 years old he certainly could have been part of the Wiseman's Committee during World War I.

The mech seen at the end of the Director's Cut trailer is an early version of TX-55.
Unlike ZEKE, which was known for not looking like the first MSX Metal Gear at all, this one has a similar size and overall shape (including a similar camera position).

All of the paranormal events Big Boss witnesses in the hospital are hallucinations.
It's quite possible he was hallucinating the flaming man, Psycho Mantis, and the giant flaming whale. For example, when Big Boss sees Psycho Mantis in front of the elevator, Ishmael, who is right next to him, apparently doesn't notice him.
  • Ironically Ichmael is the most likely to be an hallucination since he shares Big Boss' voice actor.

Ishmael isn't real.
It seems mighty convenient that Ishmael has been hanging around in the hospital for at least nine years waiting for Big Boss to wake up from his coma. His comment about watching over Big Boss is true because he's part of Big Boss! It would also make sense how the drug Ishmael tries to administer to Big Boss to get his muscles working again fails to do anything. Lastly, Ishmael has the exact same voice actor as Big Boss, which is yet another hint they may both be the same person.

Miller will betray Big Boss
Kaz will have a Heel Realization and/or My God, What Have I Done? moment, so he will turn on BB, who will be unwilling to abandon his current ways, thus contributing to BB's journey to villainy.

XOF is Foxhound or related to it in some form.
It would explain what they where doing from the between the 70's and the Outer Heaven uprising.
  • That would involve Cipher deciding that the best way to kill a man would be to go to the group he created and recruited for, no doubt filled with people who respect the man, and trying to convince them that they should kill their old boss.

Code Talker is The Boss' father
As the above theories claim, Code Talker is likely a survivor of the Philosophers. In the E3 trailer, the way Ocelot raises his hand, only for the footage to cut to Code Talker lowering his hand in a similar but reversed fashion does hint at them being linked...

Ishmael is a hallucination, and represents the player character
He says he's been watching over Big Boss for nine years. Since MGS3 was released in 2004, in a way, so have players. When asked who he is, Ishmael hesitates, then points right at the camera. Additionally, the way he uses items on Big Boss to help him recover and pushes him to move forward, are eerily similar to the ways a player manipulates their player character.

The hospital Big Boss wakes up in is a British military base in Cyprus.
Largely based off of some detective work a few IGN forumgoers did.

There will have another Assassin's Creed crossover
Hideo Kojima says that he likes the series. Game is confirmed to take place in the Middle East and will feature open world gameplay and they've done crossovers before.

The whole plot of the game is Big Boss having to come to terms with the fact that he's a clone-daddy.
Around this time, Solid and Liquid are around 12 years old. It's already generally assumed that Eli is Liquid (since they look nearly identical and he is "A Youth who Curses his Fate"). The theme song of the game is called "Sins of the Father", obviously referring to Big Boss. "Those Who 'Don't' Exist" are the six aborted clones of Big Boss, hence their horrible deformities. Each one will encompass a different sin; one will be Sloth, one will be Greed, one will be Envy, etc. It's possible that the role of Envy will go to Liquid, or that Wrath will be placed upon Big Boss himself ("Kaz, I'm already a demon"). As Big Boss fights his children, everything will come to a head with a conflict with Liquid, and Big Boss will have to accept that his "sin" was bringing his clones into such a harsh world. He'll then ask Master Miller to take Solid under his wing and be his mentor, so that at least one of his children can live without a troubled youth.

At least a few of the bosses from Metal Gear 1 and 2 will make their appearance
Because Big Boss had to meet them sometime. Besides, it'll be interesting to see how Kojima tries to fit guys like Dirty Duck and Running Man into the mold established after MGS1.

Sergei Gurlukovich will make an appearance with a unit, possibly alongside Ocelot
The soldiers Big Boss is presented as fighting during the the 'Dynamic CQC' section of the E3 trailer sport black-and-white striped vests and caps that are remarkably similar to Olga's. We know that part of the game takes place in Afghanistan during the USSR's operations there. Given Kojima's love for tying everything together, we can perhaps assume Sergei - being one of Ocelot's colleagues - will put in an appearance, albeit younger and sans Olga.

There will be an achievement for standing around to watch a horse poop.
...It seems like the most Kojima thing to do.

XOF answers to JD, not Cipher.
While the Patriots remain the Bigger Bad, the AI's will first become important here, as their activation leads to the unforeseen creation of XOF and its preemptive assault on MSF, since the latter is identified as a threat to the AIs scheme and Cipher still wants Big Boss back in the fold instead of dead. The Moby Dick parallels identify how there is no real way for Big Boss and Kaz to avenge themselves on the new Patriots aside from destroying XOF. Big Boss will become obsessed with defeating the Patriots regardless, and will pretend to rejoin them by forming Foxhound while he ensures Outer Heaven's survival As a country of mercenaries, while Miller will break with him and become Master Miller after seeing how distorted his friend has become.
  • Possible, although the only problem is that we know GW is the first operational Patriot AI - the simulation with Raiden was designed to see whether people could be fed information and still go along with what they were told - and that's the initial purpose the AI were designed for, before they decided the best path to guide mankind was via the war economy. That doesn't stop Skullface and XOF receiving their orders from a prototype. We also know that Cipher is perfectly willing to blow MSF out of the water if necessary, given what happened with Paz, and she was receiving orders from them.
    • Incorrect. GW was the key to the S3 plan, but you are talking to the Patriot AI throughout the entire game. There is no evidence that the S3 plan is anything but their creation.
  • XOF doesn't answer to Cipher, but it's Skull Face's own unit.

There will be another time skip in this game.
To the 90s and Operation Intrude N313. You'll play as both Big Boss and Solid Snake before their inevitable final confrontation.
  • Personally, I think they'd save that for another game. In particular, after wrapping up this portion of the Metal Gear saga, they'll begin development of the true culmination of the series—an HD remake of the original Metal Gear (possibly both 1 & 2), with campaigns for both Snake and Big Boss as suggested above. It'll be released in 2017, marking the 30 year anniversary of the franchise.

There will be some emphasis on multiplayer
Notice how the subtitle said "Tactical Espionage Operations"? That's the same exact subtitle used in Peace Walker. I don't know how they will pull this off but it most likely won't be like PW as this game will be more open-ended. I predict that it may involve "dropping in and out" of a game, similar to an MMO but don't count on it.

Skullface is Sergeant Avitus
He didn't die he just went back in time because the chaos gods thought it would be funny.

The biggest plot twist of the century
On the day of release, Kiefer Sutherland will peel off his skin and reveal that he is actually David Hayter. And then Hideo Kojima will confess that there never was a Hideo Kojima. he too will peel off his face and reveal that all this time, he was Uwe Boll! And then, not content with his first reveal, David Hayter will peel off his face and reveal that he's a blueberry pie.

Remakes of Metal Gear and Metal Gear 2: Solid Snake will appear as DLC.
I'm basing this on the fact that the Deja Vu content for the PlayStation version of the game is apparently a Metal Gear Solid remake. This will also bring the series full circle.
  • The Deja Vu content isn't a remake, it's a homage where the character models are swapped out for the PS1 versions, with the environments still being the Ground Zeroes ones.
  • Fair enough. It'd be nice to see them as DLC for The Phantom Pain though.

The prosthetic hand Big Boss gets will have more available functions than just being a hand.
The player will be able to choose a specific loadout for the hand for each mission, such as a single shot silenced pistol, stun prod or hidden blades.
  • Given Kojima's love for Assassin's Creed, I don't see why they couldn't use that last one.
  • The hand can be used to make a knocking noise for distraction, but any further functions remain to be seen.

Some guess about the weapon that could surpass Metal Gear.
  • I expect most of them to be jossed by the time the games comes out. I would not be surprised if all of them a jossed.
    • The internet as in arpanet (well Peace walker ending alludes to that)
    • Influencing the public (could tie in with the internet).
    • Something or someone human sized or shaped
    • Solid Snake - If you can't get Naked Snake/Big Boss to bust some mecha for you then make a copy of the legendary mechabuster (the reason why I used the term mecha was because Shagohod is not a metal gear)
    • Reality warping- we already have a guy that could teleport (Gene/Viper) and with Hideo Kojima in the game META GEAR!
    • Just another Mecha as in Metal Gear Ray was was
    • Psychological warfare with zombies (remember those gray guys from the trailer. They look like cyborg zombies with numbers instead of barcodes. By zombies I mean bringing back to life but unlike Raiden or Gray Fox the process bring them back gray with a bit of rotting.
    • According to Hideo Kojima theme of Metal Gear Solid was about "gene" and how the far prequel MGSV theme is "race". Looks like it might involve lots of racist eugenic research before gene research starts or a search for some lost papers involving racist eugenic research.
    • Something vague and unexpected with Big Boss destroying it before we find out.
    • Stuff from space such as a satelite launch, the AIs, or NUKE FROM SPACE!!!
Big Boss' amputated left arm will become a MacGuffin.
J.D. is stated to be accessed with Big Boss' biometric data in Metal Gear Solid 4: Guns of the Patriots. In order to do so, somebody at some point cuts off his arm to access J.D. and keeps it on ice.
  • Well, shenanigans involving amputated Snake arms certainly wouldn't be new for Metal Gear...

Grown up Chico
Since Kojima has said that the man overseeing Huey's torture isn't Kaz, it could very well be Chico, who would be about 22.
  • I kind of think that Kojima he meant that Kaz is slowly becoming the man nicknamed Hellmaster.
  • It is Miller. The E3 trailer clearly shows him minus An Arm and a Leg and it looks like he didn't avail of the same prosthetic as Snake.

Big Boss isn't sanctioning the torture of Huey and Quiet out of sadism or because he thinks they're traitors, but to prepare them for if they ever get captured and interrogated
Big Boss has been captured and tortured multiple times in the past, and was interrogated at length about what he knew; and thanks to his training he was able to resist being broken. Big Boss is trying to toughen up Huey and Quiet for the purpose of making sure they can keep a straight face in the event they are tortured for information, so that they will not reveal compromising intel to an enemy interrogator.
  • I wouldn't be surprised if this was the case. The Boss more or less said that that's what Big Boss went through himself during his own training.
  • Going further, it might be another level of moral gameplay choices that the series is occasionally known for. Just like how repeatedly electrocuting helpless/defenseless enemies keeps them out of your hair, torturing/"conditioning" allies may bring gameplay benefits (possibly of a gamebreaker nature to make it more of a moral quandary) at the cost of, you know, the player's soul.
  • To show Big Boss's descent in antagonism, the series might be moving away from the tradition of making you destroy your thumbs for gameplay reasons to destroying your soul for gameplay reasons.
  • However, in Ground Zeroes, we find out that inviting the UN inspection of Mother Base was solely Huey's idea, which he requested without consulting Snake beforehand. Couple that with the fact that he somehow survived the assault, and it would be pretty reasonable that Big Boss would suspect him to be a traitor. As for Quiet's case, we still don't know enough about her.
    • Part of the confusion about Quiet's torture seems to stem from people assuming that she's on Big Boss's side, likely due to her prominence in trailers and sympathetic traits, when the reality is that she could very well be an antagonist - possibly even part of a Quirky Miniboss Squad.
Kojima is trying to kill off the series again.
Let's face it, Metal Gear Solid 4: Guns of the Patriots was Kojima unsubtly beating fans over the head with the fact the the Metal Gear series had become a Franchise Zombie. Before that he tried pissing off the fans with the Mind Screw that was Metal Gear Solid 2 Sonsof Liberty. This time he seems to be trying for a combination of Darkness-Induced Audience Apathy and Wangst. I mean seriously, "Punished" Snake?
  • I think he was being legit with MGS 2, just too highbrow. His commentary on memes and the whole video-game experience is actually interesting; it doesn't seem like he was out to offend anybody. Not that he wasn't occasionally trolling.
  • Peace Walker and Revengeance were pretty badass. I think he's still open to milking the cash cow. And he's apparently trying to be tasteful with the heavier material like child soldiers and stuff. I don't think that's a bald-faced lie. So I get the feeling that he doesn't hate us yet.
  • I think the fact that he keeps coming back says a lot, really. At this point, he could do anything he liked, but he can't cut the cord when it comes to Metal Gear. I do think he no longer gives a shit about making sure every last little thing links up - take, for instance, the utterly ridiculous mechs of Peace Walker, but I think he's more interested in just telling the stories he wants to tell. After Portable Ops, he's clearly wary of letting anyone else touch the franchise, so.. I think it could be a love/hate thing.

Regardless of whether it's a smokescreen, the English voice acting controversy is just another Shout-Out by Kojima.

Vietnam or any other country in Southeast Asia will be playable in The Phantom Pain
  • It's where Big Boss rescued Grey Fox and served with him, and given how the game seems to be tying everything up, it's unlikely that this detail would be left unaddressed.
    • The timeline would suggest that this is the case - locations like certain nations in Africa and the country of Afghanistan, are featured prominently in the list, and these locations have been confirmed to be playable. Vietnam is mentioned a few times as well.

Code Talker has a relative
  • And that relative will grow up to become Vulcan Raven.
    • Not likely Vulcan Raven is Inuit while Code Talker is most likely Navajo.

Most of the characters in the E3 trailer are or are related to characters from Metal Gear Solid
Quiet=Sniper Wolf, Eli-Liquid Snake, Skull Face=Decoy Octopus, Huey=Hal, Ocelot=Ocelot, Code Talker=Vulcan Raven, Those Who Don't Exist=Psycho Mantis, Punished Snake=Solid Snake
  • Psycho Mantis looks like he is appearing if the kid with the gas mask is any indication. Eli probably is Liquid.
    • Kojima has confirmed through Game Informer that the child is Psycho Mantis.

Sequel
Kojima is going to pull a fast one and put in a Secret Ending that hints a Metal Gear Solid 6 (regardless if he's directing it or not).

Chico is going to Take a Level in Badass
My theory for this game is that Chico is going to be a major character in Phantom Pain. He is going to survive the events of Ground Zeroes but will be traumatized by seeing so many people die because of him and will possibly see his sister die either trying to save his life or right in front him as he tries to save her. This will cause him to Take a Level in Badass over the timeskip and go on an Up to Eleven Roaring Rampage of Revenge against Cipher for what they made him do. He may even be the V people are talking about in the trailer since his full name has been revealed for this game to be Ricardo Valenciano Libre.
  • Seems to be increasingly likely with the events of Ground Zeroes, only that instead of Amanda dying, it was Paz.

After Credits Scene
I am of the opinion that the after credits audio sequence will be Big Boss briefing a soldier on an infiltration mission. After this briefing he'll ask if the soldier understands what is at stake, or he'll play the words Metal Gear from a tranceiver recording, at this point we'll hear a young non-chain smokey Snake either say Yes Sir, or Metal Gear?! Then large letters will appear saying 1995 David Hayter is Solid Snake. It sounds a bit far fetched, but it also sounds like something Kojima would do in my opinion.

Paz's death will change the world

So Skull Face basically mocks Paz's death saying that it won't change the world the way she hoped it would. The Phantom Pain will end with Paz's death indeed changing the world, maybe even being the catalsyt for all the events of the Metal Gear Solid Snake Saga. What do you guys think?
  • Well, it looks like it'll drive Snake in his desire for revenge, so that's plausible.
  • Since Paz dies at the end of Ground Zeroes, the biggest impact it would be additional motivation for Big Boss's revenge, as well as possibly Chico.

Skull Face's nationality is Hungarian
In one of the Chico interrogation tapes, Skull Face issues a command to his soldiers in Hungarian: "Vigyétek a ketrecébe," (Take him back to his cage). It would also indicate where and when he gained his scarred appearance, either during the Second World War or the 1956 Hungarian Revolution. As an added bonus, the force responsible for destroying Skull Face's village was commanded by Colonel Volgin.
  • His backstory strongly resembles a Real Life incident which occurred in 1944. The Metal Gear wiki actually does list his nationality as Hungarian.

The second half of Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain will be a remake of the original Metal Gear
Exactly what it says on the tin. The first half of the game will be about building up the base. The second half will be tearing it back down... As Solid Snake, voiced by David Hayter.
  • Seems like a waste of a concept and as a sales point. A standalone remake of the original Metal Gear would sell on it's own merits, no reason to waste half of a game on a remake and thus lose the extra sales.

The incident at the end of the game does not directly lead into Big Boss's coma
After completing the "Ground Zeroes" mission, Snake can be seen - fully conscious - with the burns that he had attained from Paz's explosion. In addition, the incident in question takes place in the middle of the ocean, far from land or a hospital of any sort. This could potentially imply that he manages to do something before he is hospitalized.
  • The menu screen doesn't count as canon.
    • That still wouldn't explain why Big Boss has the burn marks in the trailers.

Paz was a decoy
If you notice, the way she speaks during the final cutscene is without an accent, while in the various tapes, her accent is left intact. It's possible that the Paz Snake rescued was simply a Trojan Horse that Skull Face used to make sure that he wouldn't have to contend with any potential survivors.
  • But that doesn't explain why the decoy Paz would willingly perform a Heroic Sacrifice to save Snake from the bomb implanted inside her.
    • To sell the deception. In any case, would you really want to kill the people that tried to save you from a man who shoved two bombs inside of you?

Skull Face was scarred during World War II, at the earliest
Large scale conventional bombing did not become a common occurrence until World War II, and while bombing did take place in World War I it wasn't anywhere near what we would call accurate or powerful, so it's likely it was some time during WWII. Plus Skull Face doesn't sound like a super old man (unless of course he has just aged super gracefully), probably in his 40s or 50s at most, so it would be logical to assume that the war in question happened within the past few decades, as World War I would have been over for 57 years as of 1975. You could probably push it a little bit further into the 1950s and still have him be a grown man, but any further than that seems illogical given his appearance and tone of voice.
  • As detailed in the Wild Mass Guess above about him being Hungarian, his backstory sounds a lot like a Real Life incident that did occur during World War II.

Metal Gear ZEKE is going to play a major part in the plot
Since the MSF sank it into the ocean to hide it, XOF or Cypher is going to spend a lot of time looking for it. When Snake gets out of his coma and builds up his army again, he will retrieve it once he has sufficient resources to do so. Although, since the TX-55 will come later, ZEKE will probably be destroyed at some point.
  • Or ZEKE will be stolen and reversed engineered to become the prototype for REX.

Chico is going to become just like Skull Face
Skull Face in one of his tapes says that he wants to create someone just like him, who lives for the sake of vengeance. If this is true, then Chico may be the one torturing Huey along with Ocelot. With Paz's death, Chico is going to become obsessed with avenging her. In the process, he will be willing to torture anyone in order to get revenge, and may even record the events, just like Skull Face did.

Ishmael is real, and only seems to be fake because that's just what the developers want the players to think.

Ishmael will not be voiced by Kiefer Sutherland, as earlier trailers would indicate
The character was given a Sutherland's voice as a way to mask the fact that he would actually be voicing Big Boss, which came as quite a shock to the fandom. The person that will actually voice the character will be a bigger surprise this way.

Ishmael is a full adult clone and/or imitation of Big Boss, an advanced prototype that was highly unique and experimental
I propose that the Snatcher mission with Raiden is not just a tongue in cheek reference to Kojima's game Snatcher but is a foreshadowing of what "Those Who Don't Exist" and Ishmael himself is. The Metal Gear version of Snatchers in this sense are bio-synthetic organisms that are hybrids of man and machine and are fully identical on the genetic level to those they copy. As far as Ishmael is concerned the reason why he sounds like Big Boss is because on the genetic level he is Big Boss, and the reason why he was in that facility was because he was being cultivated from the DNA of the comatose Big Boss for all that time. Furthermore the bandages on Ishmael's face aren't concealing wounds, they are concealing his resemblance to Big Boss! Ishmael might very well be a more youthful looking Big Boss underneath all those bandages.

Ishmael is Decoy Octopus
The reason he has bandages on his face is because he was undergoing surgery to look like Big Boss. In addition, he has the same voice actor since he needs to be able to impersonate Big Boss' voice. Most likely, Big Boss' remaining allies arranged to have Decoy Octopus secretly replace Big Boss in the hospital before he woke up. However, Big Boss regained consciousness earlier than expected, which caused a change of plans.
  • Unlikely, since the game takes place in 1984 and Metal Gear Solid takes place in 2005. Assuming Octopus is 20 and already a master of disguise in 1984 that would make him 41 at the time of his death. His photos make him look a bit to young to be in his forties, and considering the lengths he went through for his disguises he'd be in to poor a shape to be in FOXHOUND.

Snatchers, or maybe even some type of demon, will show up that can imitate the appearances of other people
I'll cite the song "Not Your Kind of People" as my proof. The lyrics for the song allude to "creatures in disguise" so at some point in the story creatures that can look like other people will become part of the enemy forces Big Boss must fight. Given that Snatchers are already established in Kojima's gaming mythology as creatures who can do that, and we have a (most likely non-canonical) side mission where Raiden takes on Snatchers, it will probably be them. However given that we see a demonic entity that takes on the appearance of Volgin in the trailers I wouldn't be surprised if the creatures in disguise were supernatural in origin.
  • That would be fine, if those were the lyrics. The line you're referring to is "We are not your kind of people/Won't be cast as demons/Creatures you despise" It's a shockingly common Mondegreen that I've seen twice already on this wiki. Is it that hard to google the lyrics?
    • I made the same mistake with the song Sins of The Father until I saw the official lyrics. I was just so certain that it was creatures in disguise that I never bothered to look, I apologize. Anyway the theory itself seems at least somewhat plausible, because it seems odd to me for Kojima to plant something in a game where it doesn't have greater significance later on. The demonic Volgin and the Snatchers will likely come into play at some point.

The reason David Hayter could not voice Big Boss was because of Metal Gear Solid 4
After all, Metal Gear Solid 4 took place in 2014. As we speak, David Hayter is actually on a mission to finally take down Revolver Ocelot and finally give us the Grand Finale of one of the best video game series.
  • Or he's busy working on that movie that he promoted As Himself in that game.

Skull Face is Big Boss from an alternate future timeline
All the references to his childhood, a weapons factory and him being burned when his nation died are all metaphors for the destruction of Outer Heaven. Childhood = His innocence in believing that he could make a difference in world affairs. Weapons factory = He's the leader of a mercenary force that provides services and weapons for various wars. Nation dying and him being burned = NATO bombing Outer Heaven and him being burned alive by Snake. Furthermore the mission with Raiden going back in time is not strictly non-canon, it's just an alternate timeline that branched off from the main one, and using the same means as that Raiden Skull Face has gone back in time to change his fate.

Memory discrepancies will be a recurring theme in the game
I thought of this when I realize that the flaming whale could be a surreal version of Big Boss remembering the moment he crashed into the helicopter. Ground Zeroes and Phantom Pain will be about Big Boss remembering the events but with some odd bits here and there.

Alternatively, both could be a VR simulation trying to recall Big Boss's memories while he was in a coma (and I mean after the time Solid Snake burned him in Zanzibarland).

Huey's eventual suicide was a result of his experiences in the prequels
It was established in Metal Gear Solid 2 that Otacon's father died because he drowned in a pool in 1997. Ostensibly it was because he was upset that his wife was cheating on him, but I propose that it was guilt over associating himself with Big Boss's misdeeds. 1997 is the same year that Big Boss had recovered from his failed rebellion in 1995 and took over Zanzibar Land, the timing of his death is oddly convenient if you put it in those terms. It seems logical to me that Big Boss would want to go to the foremost Metal Gear expert in the world and confronted Huey with the possibility of resuming their rebellion, but by that point Huey had enough guilt on his conscience for ensuring that Metal Gear existed in the first place and was weary of what Big Boss had become as of the Phantom Pain and subsequently committed suicide so as to avoid being used by Big Boss.

Huey's "suicide" was engineered by the Patriots
...on the other hand it is equally plausible that someone with Huey's knowledge of Metal Gear would be a liability to the Patriots if they just let him sit idly with that information in his head. Best to neutralize him before he is compromised.

Zero's crippled state as of Metal Gear Solid 4 happened as a result of Big Boss exacting his revenge on Zero in this game
A man as influential as Zero should not have been in a vegetative state as of MGS4 as he has access to literally the best health care in human history what with gene therapy and cybernetics at his finger tips. I propose that Big Boss injured him in some way that left him crippled beyond his capacity to continue running the Patriots directly and had to have other associates build up the AI system for him given his weakened state. After that his mind gave out as his body deteriorated from old age and the strain of his wounds.
  • Given the state of Big Boss after Metal Gear 2: Solid Snake, it must have been pretty bad for all the technology Zero has access to to not be able to restore him to some sort of working condition.
    • Or it could have just been old age. Even the wiki (spoilers obviously) confirms he was born 1909, making him 30 at the start of WWII, making him 55 during Snake Eater (1964), 75 during The Phantom Pain (1984), and 105 during Guns of the Patriots (2014). All of that gene therapy and cybernetics only entered practical use during the 2000s, no help to a man whose already pushing it in years.
    • Bear in mind that the Metal Gear series is essentially an Alternate History where human cloning and relatively sophisticated cybernetic limbs have existed since The Seventies.
      • Yet only ever entered use in the 2000s - gene therapy was explicated stated to be revolutionary in the 2000s (so no anti-aging available until Zero was in his 90s), cybernetics weren't at the level of usefulness until the 2010s (hence why they were limited to either exoskeletons or replacing lost limbs). Nothing seen in the series really helps you deal with the fact that he was a 105 year old man at his last sighting being kept alive by machines, that he's even still alive is exceptional. No need to convoluted explanations when reality provides the perfect one.
      • Since when did Metal Gear ever go for the realistic explanation? Or even the simple one?

Zero was one of the soldiers who took part in the mission that scarred Skull Face
We know very little about Zero's backstory as a soldier, only that a long time ago he served with the British SAS during World War II, so it wouldn't be out of line to suggest that one of the many missions he went on might have crossed paths with Skull Face when he was a younger soldier. If we go with the potential backstory that Skull Face was Hungarian then Hungary was part of the Axis Powers during World War II and therefore would have been subject to attack from Allied Powers. Perhaps the SAS got word of Skull Face's village and were sent in to destroy the factory, and Skull Face's hatred for what Zero did to him all those years ago was burned into his memory while Zero himself forgot about it most likely.

Big Boss is not voiced by Kiefer Sutherland, but actually by David Hayter.
Hayter's impression of Sutherland is that good that he's just been mistaken by everyone for Sutherland. Given that this is Kojima we're talking about, it'd be the ultimate Troll move.

The medic in Ground Zeroes is Ishmael
See this video for details.

Things will likely turn out to be Diamond Dogs vs Patroits vs XOF and Ocelot's role in the two MS games
And as a result of Big Boss/Diamond Dogs taking down Skull Face/XOF, he'll find himself back into Zero's good graces, which he'll take advantage of for the time being. This combine with the Patriots' complacence created by XOF's fall leads into Metal Gear 1's scenario. In extension Ocelot wasn't assisting him during that time due to being an inside man on the Patriots, possibly running what interference he could. He would most likely helped Big boss set up shop again in Zanzibar Land discreetly.

Quiet suffered from Rape as Backstory
Kojima said that there's a plot reason that she dresses the way she does in part to make players "feel ashamed of your words & deeds", and that she is meant to be a Deconstruction of the Ms. Fanservice archetype. Given that she has evidently been "deprived of her words", there's a possibility that she had the Freudian Excuse that she was raped, but no one could hear her screams for help.

Huey isn't the traitor
The trailers contain lines about how MSF's HQ was invaded through "the scientist", and there are scenes of Huey being tortured. Due to his plot importance, and that the trailer is probably lying, the real traitor will be the strangely trailer absent Dr. Strangelove — it even makes sense that Huey would protect her, as he's shown to have a blossoming crush on her during the end of Peace Walker.

Big Boss's horn is of demonic origin, and "Those Who Don't Exist" like the Fire Demon are the Phantoms of Phantom Pain
Curiously, if you look at the fire demon/entity that is personified in the shape of Volgin, you'll notice that it has the same kind of horns that Big Boss himself has in the Red Band trailer. Perhaps when Big Boss fought the demonic entity its essence somehow infected Big Boss and he has thus started to become whatever that demonic entity was, and the horn is there to symbolize that fact.

'Those That Don't Exist' are all Mantis' doing
We know the guy's going to be in the game. Mantis has confirmed pyrokinetic, telekinetic and telepathic abilities. He's the cause of 'Those That Don't Exist'. His presence in the hospital will cause Big Boss to hallucinate images of Volgin, plus the whale and other imagery. His telekinesis explains the weird, creepy ragdoll effect you can see in the soldiers before they're pulled up into the air. And Mantis is either another one of Ocelot's gambits - using him to prod Big Boss back into action - or Mantis is being used by the Patriots to prod Big Boss back to joining them.

Paz will become Chico's Lost Lenore
Common, do I even have to explain this one? Ground Zeroes was practically a set-up for this to happen.

Quiet's outfit is a direct result of Ocelot's torture
Okay, thus far we've only seen one outfit for Quiet - the incredibly revealing one with the holes in her nylons. However, we've also got plenty of photos of Stefanie Joosten (the actress playing her) being 3D scanned while wearing a much more typical soldier's uniform. Additionally, the Red Band trailer revealed just how Quiet got the holes in her nylons - they were ripped by the electricity which was run through her body during the scene where she's tortured by electric rods. The rods themselves look very similar to the ones used on Big Boss himself during "Peace Walker", and in that game, Strangelove had him stripped shirtless (most likely because the rods don't really work unless they're touching bare flesh). Additionally, Hideo Kojima has stated that there's a very good reason why Quiet is dressed the way she is. Really, only one possible answer comes to mind.

At first, Quiet will be dressed in a very typical soldier's attire. At some point, she'll be captured by Big Boss and Ocelot, and that's when she'll lose her top and possibly her pants. After the torture session, she managed to escape and acquire a sniper rifle from Big Boss' own arsenal, though she was unable to retrieve her clothes. If I had to guess, I'd say that's probably going to be followed by a boss fight where she's killed, but really, that's nothing more than pure speculation on my part with no reference to back it up.

  • The E3 2014 trailer clearly shows Quiet fighting Diamond Dogs soldiers on the platform where their new base is, and she's dressed in her bare outfit while doing so, thus lending even more credibility to the theory that she was captured and stripped by Ocelot.

The Diamond Dogs will join forces with Zero against XOF...
...at Miller's instigation and will be reclassified FOXHOUND. The name change will signal their switch in allegiances from money and personal revenge (Dogs of war fighting for Diamonds) into more "noble" and nationalized command (as the FOX's Hound.) Then, with Big Boss's troops and skills allied with Zero's resources, FOXHOUND will cease to be a "phantom" organization and will eradicate XOF with such extreme prejudice that the only thing left will be Big Boss's hate and obsession with directly opposing Zero, who he will blame for XOF's creation. And of course, Big Boss will then form Outer Heaven as a new phantom organization, even as his new Government unit receives accolades and acceptance.
  • Miller mentions in Peace Walker that FOXHOUND already exists. I presume this WMG is based on Portable Ops being non-canon. Unless the Diamond Dogs are absorbed into FOXHOUND that part is unlikely.

Huey is being tortured because of Strangelove
Strangelove's departure from Mother Base prior to its destruction is extremely suspicious, and would no doubt be brought up among Outer Heaven personnel in the aftermath of the incident. Strangelove, for whatever reason, let XOF into Mother Base to plant the bombs they would need to destroy it, and then with her job done she left. Miller is torturing Huey because of his close association with Strangelove and is trying to find out where she's located by beating the truth out of Huey.

Chico will eventually be Together in Death with Paz
Considering how much Chico loves Paz and how much her death must have traumatized him, I can see Chico actually becoming a Death Seeker so that he can be together with Paz again.
  • Definitely seems legit to me.

The game will reveal that Solid and Liquid weren't octuplets but, in fact, nonuplets
It will be revealed that Solid and Liquid have a third twin who survived, leaving the door open for MGS 6.

Paz's death scene...
Was a hallucination. Think about it. Big Boss must have gone crazy after he saw/heard the things that Skullface and co. did back at Camp Omega. So maybe he was just imagining disarming the bomb in Paz's stomach and her death scene. Maybe he was the one that crashed the helicopter. Maybe the hospital's really an insane asylum. Maybe The Phantom Pain's gonna be the Spec Ops: The Line of the series. Or maybe I'm just thinking to hard about this.

The Phantom Pain will end up being similar to X-Men Days of Future Past.
Halfway through we'll find out that Old Snake was sent back to his younger body to help prevent the creation of the Patriot's AI's and change the timeline. It would also certainly explain why they would keep Hayter's role such a secret.

The Child Soldier from the E3 2014 trailer is Drebin.
Drebin mentions having been a child soldier. Seems likely that he'd turn up in Africa, along with Raiden.

Ishmael is Chico and will get killed during the hospital sequence.
There's no sign of either Chico or Ishmael in any of the trailers outside of Ishmael's appearance in the hospital. Considering that Snake appears to link up with Ocelot later minus Ishmael, it's reasonable to assume that he died in the incident. Furthermore, the ashes that Snake rubs into his face during the cremation scene are Chico/Ishmael's, adding to the scene's emotional impact.

Kojima is rewriting the canon for the Metal Gear models in the series with the Phantom Pain
. That's quite clearly Metal Gear Rex - or an early variant - at the end of the newest trailer. We know that the Emmerichs have been accused of steal their designs before - there's that line from Coldman directed at Huey in Peace Walker about his work ethic - and perhaps we are meant to accept the models in Granin's lab at face value. Put it this was - it makes no sense for the old Metal Gear models to exist following the reveal of ZEKE, but perhaps Kojima is going to make the Metal Gear models from MG 1 and MG 2 more mass-production models, as suggested following the end of the first trailer.
  • That looked like ZEKE to me. Remember that the MSF hid ZEKE at the bottom of the ocean prior to the events of Ground Zeroes. It's entirely possible that Skull Face could have found it.
    • Possible - it's just the structure of it looks more like Rex, to me. It seems to have that same hunched stance, plus the shape of the head. Again, it also would make more sense with the a weapon to surpass Metal Gear line from the earlier trailer, since it is, again, a step-up from ZEKE, and Kojima could want to address the inconsistency. It's also worth noting that in the original Solid game, Rex itself isn't a big deal, for whatever reason - the railgun and the associated nuke is.
    • It's still got ZEKE's AI Pod, but it's possible, since ZEKE heads are interchangeable, that the head was changed to a REX-style cockpit to accommodate a human pilot.

Ground Zeroes was separated from Phantom Pain for ratings reasons.
  • Just an idle thought today after seeing the E3 2014 trailer of Phantom Pain. Considering how very dark Ground Zeroes is, and just how big Phantom Pain is intended to be, Kojima may have very well decided that, among other reasons, the subject matter in Ground Zeroes could have pushed a combined Metal Gear Solid 5 deep into the killer AO (US), Z (Japan) or 18/R18 ratings (Europe).

Big Boss and Kaz will part ways halfway through

We know for a fact that A) Kaz and Snake hate each other's guts by the time Metal Gear 2 rolls around, and B) Outer Heaven is located in South Africa while the Diamond Dogs HQ seems to be at sea, possibly on top of Mother Base's remains. The E3 2014 trailer also shows what appears to be Snake killing three Diamond Dogs soldiers in cold blood. Since we know that both Big Boss and Miller go pretty far in their pursuit of vengeance, it's entirely possible that Snake crosses the line at some point, causing a violent rift between the friends. As such, halfway through the game, Big Boss will be forced to leave the Diamond Dogs HQ and found Outer Heaven, thus making the main strggle of the game between four different forces - Diamond Dogs, Outer Heaven, XOF and Cipher.
  • They could be XOF troopers. But, on the other hand, Snake and Skull Face get off a jeep together. Snake doesn't appear to be a prisoner (yet), as he's still carrying his rifle. Perhaps Snake joins forces with Skull Face to combat Cypher and Kaz thinks it's a step too far and leaves.

Big Boss and Kaz will subject the Diamond Dogs to Training from Hell taken Up to Eleven.
The torture, the supposed infighting from the trailers. Big Boss and Kaz decide that the MSF were ill-prepared for the XOF attack and decide to up the ante with the training they give their troops in order to toughen them up properly. Thus, the Diamond Dogs will be much hardier and ruthless than the MSF ever were.

XOF will merge with the Diamond Dogs to form Outer Heaven.
We know that Big Boss is a Magnetic Hero who is capable of getting people he defeats to join his side. Since Skull Face is a new character, he is likely Doomed by Canon whether Big Boss defeats him or joins with him (as implied by the E3 trailer), leaving the XOF troopers with nowhere to go. Either way, both sides look like they'll take heavy losses and with nowhere left to go, Big Boss will allow XOF to join up with him to give them a place in the world.

Out of a petty desire for revenge, Big Boss will put aside all of his grievances with Skull Face and join forces with him to fight Cipher...
...and this will be intended to be the one Moral Event Horizon that not even the most hardcore of Big Boss' Misaimed Fandom can ignore. Given that one shot of the two together in the E3 2014 trailer, I could see Kojima doing this. Ground Zeroes has been one long Establishing Character Moment for Skull Face's magnificent bastardry. What better way to finalize Big Boss' Protagonist Journey to Villain than siding with a Complete Monster in order to fight what he thinks is a greater evil?

Possible DLC.
We all know that pre order bonuses are coming to the Japanese version, but, like a lot of games, later DLC packs are a possibility. Possible content:

Chico talked before he was forced to have sex with Paz
We don't actually hear them doing it in front of Skull Face, all we get is Chico spilling his guts. And then later on it's strongly implied they do it for real while in their cell. Could you be forced to have sex with someone you deeply like as part of Cold-Blooded Torture and then do it again of your own free will with them later? Even if you could, the psychological traumas, especially for a child, wouldn't go away within a few days, it would take years, so my WMG: Chico broke and talked before he could sleep with Paz, and then later on they did it for real as comfort.

Snake will return to Camp Omega at some point....
....Where the final confrontation with Skull Face will occur.

But only to those who rescued him in ''Ground Zeroes''.

Skull Face was an apprentice of The Boss.
He blames Zero for the events of Metal Gear Solid 3: Snake Eater and consequently wants revenge.

Chico will be a good counterpart to Big Boss.
Chico will obviously be heavily affected by the events of Ground Zeroes. Just as much, if not even more than Big Boss. However, I believe that Chico will grow up to become a hero very much like Snake was before his fall. And (bear with me because this one is REALLY grasping at straws) at the end E3 2013 trailer, Chico is shown together with the word "light", whereas Big Boss (and Kaz) are associated with the word "dark", and then the right side of Chico's face is shown covered in light by the lightning while Big Boss' is still covered in darkness....Am I trying too hard?

There will be a division within the core MSF members.
What I'm saying is that, just as with the Patriots, who eventually split sides with Big Boss, EVA, and Ocelot against Zero, Para-Medic, and Sigint, there will be a rift within the (majority) of the cast of Peace Walker and some other characters. Maybe some will even serve as Evil Counterparts to each other such as: Strangelove=Huey- Both are genius scientists. But maybe Strangelove will be willing to help Big Boss in his quest for revenge because he's all that's left of the Boss' will, causing Huey to finally stand up to her and the path she's chosen. Kaz=Paz-Both are "named" after peace, are/were affiliated with Cipher, and care deeply about Big Boss, MSF, and its people. But Kaz is willing to go off the deep end for the sake of revenge. Ocelot=EVA??-If EVA makes an appearance she could serve as this along with Paradise Lost. Big Boss=??-I have know idea who could serve as Big Boss' counterpart. Maybe Chico.

Sins of the Father is actually a foreshadowing from a character's POV.
The song is being sung from a character's, presumably Quiet's, feelings in regards to Big Boss and Diamond Dogs, as well as everything that they're doing. It could be that Quiet used to know Big Boss or at least heard of him, and is now seeing him and the people around them become demons throughout the Phantom Pain.

Another Big Bad.
Aside from Skull Face, there will be a second Big Bad or a Bigger Bad.

Chico will be the one to kill Skull Face.
Connected with the above WMG, during the boss battle with Skull Face, instead of controlling Snake, we will switch to Chico, while Big Boss goes fight someone else. Chico will have a CQC battle in Camp Omega with Skull Face, in the same boiler room where Skull Face tortured him and Paz, with "Here's to You" playing in the background.

The doctor from the hospital sequence is the medic from Ground Zeroes.
Assuming that he isn't Ishmael, the medic tends to Snake's injuries over the years. He is asked to be informed immediately when Snake comes to and knows exactly how long he's been in a coma.

The Medic is a spy.
The Medic is actually a spy for either XOF or Cipher and was keeping tabs on Big Boss for Skull Face, acting as an informant from inside Mother Base. If he was working for XOF, he was the one who planted the C4 from within the base and gave confirmation of Big Boss' chopper lifting off. If he was working for Cipher, then he had no idea that Skull Face was going to attack MSF instead of retrieving the nuke, and spent the next 9 years watching over Big Boss as a way to atone for what happened and protect Big Boss from Skull Face's men.

There will be a Player Punch involving Paz.
Despite the fact that Paz died, there will still be some references and revelations regarding her. Such as possibly Skull Face revealing that Paz was a few days pregnant when he implanted the bomb in her that caused her to die.

Skull Face's line "You're a real man now, soldier" to Chico was in reference to Chico being forced to have sex with Paz.
The line's implications say it all. Of course, this could also symbolize the end of Chico's innocence and he will wind up doing things just as dark as the rest of the Diamond Dogs are implied to be doing in the main game.
  • Alternatively, it could reference to the fact that Chico chose to betray Big Boss and send out the distress signal.

Chico is with Huey.
Another reason Huey is being tortured is possibly because, aside from the tape that incriminates him in betraying MSF, Huey knows of Chico's whereabouts in 1984. Kaz has with him what appears to be an outdated 1975 Walkman that Chico had during Ground Zeroes instead of an updated version. Assuming that Chico isn't with Diamond Dogs, that Walkman would most likely be the latest version he has. It could be that, when capturing Huey, they found Chico's old Walkman with Huey and are torturing him to know the location of the other person who "betrayed" MSF. It would make sense. Maybe Huey finds Chico after the destruction of MB and he sympathizes with the boy due to both feeling responsible for the destruction of MSF, having possibly betrayed their friends in order to save someone they love (Paz for Chico and Strangelove for Huey), and the fact that neither one of them can walk (possibly temporarily in Chico's case). Thus, the two become Heterosexual Life-Partners trying to make amends and tracking down Cipher and XOF.
Metal Gear Solid: Peace WalkerWMG/Video GamesMetal Gear Rising: Revengeance

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