There Are No Coincidences
"I believe in coincidences. Coincidences happen every day. But I don't trust coincidences."
As any student of cause and effect can tell you, a coincidence is when two or more events happen either simultaneously or in sequence, without any sort of obvious (and in most cases, inobvious) causal connection. Generally coincidences surprise us because, given their nature, we weren't expecting them. Most people know that sometimes things happen at the same time, but some people just refuse to believe it. There are, after all, reasons people say "where there's smoke there's fire." They also often say "There Are No Coincidences."
Interestingly, this line can be made by both the Agent Scully
and the Agent Mulder
. One believes that the improbable has a simpler explanation and one believes that it has a fantastic one. Both are Genre Savvy
in that Contrived Coincidence
is something that should usually be avoided in serious plots.
Usually used either
- to motivate investigation into possible reasons why an apparent coincidence sprung from a common cause — the Conspiracy Theorist has an advanced case of it, and no willingness to stop the investigation
- or as a Maybe Magic, Maybe Mundane way to say Because Destiny Says So.
This belief is Rule One of Wild Mass Guessing
. The Genre Savvy
are prone to it, because fictionally, the Law of Conservation of Detail
militiates against its falsity.
Compare Chekhov's Gun
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Anime & Manga
- Yuuko from Xxx HO Li C. This idea is her whole entire shtick and a major plot point, if not the major point of the series; though she also comments that the ultimate cause of an event may be an incident so minor that it's next to impossible to recognize the connection, even with supernatural help. She has a point — for example, the only reason that we, the readers, know that Doumeki's destroying one specific spiderweb while housecleaning is at all relevant to the story is that the manga devotes an entire page to depicting it, as opposed to the many other spiderwebs that have presumably been destroyed at some point or another without being shown. (Watanuki's job is being Yuuko's live-in slave, after all.) Unlike real life, fictional works have limited space, so only the significant events are depicted.
- In Narue No Sekai, sudden Contrived Coincidences are a sign of impending interference by the mysterious "Serpents" which exist beyond space and time, and which can send causality out to lunch. There are no coincidences, but there are acausal side effects.
- No Game No Life: The siblings don't believe that a game of "pure chance" exists. Whether its Black Jack or the probability that the next person to walk into a given alley is a given gender, there are any number of invisible factors that make the outcome inevitable. This is why information is so important.
- Naruto: While confronting Obito, Madara points out that the events surrounding Rin's death happened a little too conveniently to turn Obito to darkness, and reveals that he orchestrated the whole thing to make sure Obito would help him.
- Madara’s resurrection in the 4th Ninja War was also a case of this. Obito never intended to resurrect him as he aimed to take control of the Moon’s Eye Plan. He would have succeeded if not for Kabuto resurrecting Madara with the Edo Tensei. It’s ultimately revealed that Black Zetsu was the one who led Kabuto to the location of Madara’s corpse as part of his plan to bring back Kaguya Ootsutsuki.
- Batman has a hard time accepting that coincidence is the reason for anything happening. Batman is right most of the time.
- In Signs, Graham Hess phrases the statement as a means to deny the existence of God.
"See what you have to ask yourself is what kind of person are you? Are you the kind that sees signs, that sees miracles? Or do you believe that people just get lucky? Or, look at the question this way: Is it possible that there are no coincidences?"
- In The Matrix, Morpheus believes in fate and prophecy, and thus does not believe in coincidence.
- In Obi Wan Kenobi's experience, there is no such thing as luck, since The Force pervades everything. He probably got it from his own master, who believed that meeting Anakin Skywalker was no coincidence.
- V for Vendetta: "I, like God, do not play with dice and I don't believe in coincidences."
- Later in that movie, V tells another character, "There are no coincidences, Delia. Only the illusion of coincidence."
- In Kung Fu Panda, Master Oogway tells Master Shifu, "There are no accidents," in relation to Po being chosen as the Dragon Warrior. Master Shifu later repeats this to Po.
- In The Mummy Returns, Rick tries to shrug everything off as a coincidence and Ardeth tells him "There's a fine line between coincidence and fate."
- The 51st State has this conversation on coincidence...
Felix DeSouza: Yeah, well, Shit Happens!
: No, Shit don't just Happen. Shit takes time. Shit takes effort. Twenty million dollars worth of effort.
- In other words, your car breaking down just in time to strand you in the middle of nowhere as a snowstorm starts is a coincidence. A twenty-million-dollar drug deal being busted up by dozens of skinheads with automatic weapons just before you close escrow? That's somebody with more cash than he knows what to do with wanting to make your life hell.
- In The Dark Knight Rises, Gordon tells Blake that, as a detective, "[he's] not allowed to believe in coincidences anymore".
- The Air I Breathe: "There are some people who believe in coincidences. I am not one of them."
- In Ancillary Justice, this is the view of the dominant religion in Radch space which holds that all things are the will of the god Amaat so every seeming coincidence is significant. Breq uses this belief to her advantage several times throughout the book.
- Robyn from The Tomorrow Series believes that "coincidences are God's way of telling you to wake up".
- This is repeated several times in the Young Wizards series.
- In David Brin's The Uplift War, an alien is annoyed with the human word "accident," which is muddy in meaning, and the humans even say, "There are no accidents." At the end, contemplating the events that led to their defeat and thinking that if some of them hadn't happened, victory might have been possible — but, the alien realizes, "There are no accidents."
- Tony Hillerman's detective Joe Leaphorn explicitly gives "There are no coincidences" as his philosophy in solving mysteries, as stated in The First Eagle for instance.
- In Goldfinger, James Bond tries to convince Goldfinger that their third meeting is a coincidence. He fails.
"Once is happenstance. Twice is coincidence. Three times, it's enemy action."
- In Graham McNeill's Warhammer 40,000 Ultramarines novel Dead Sky Black Sun, when Uriel meets Colonel Leonid, who can tell him what is in the Chaos fortress, Uriel tells him that it was not chance that brought him to meet Leonid.
- In C. S. Goto's Blood Ravens trilogy, "Coincidences are for the weak-minded and the ignorant."
- In Kate Seredy's The Singing Tree, when arguing that they should take Marton Nagy home despite his lack of papers, one argument is that it was obviously Destiny that brought them there to recognize him and jog his memory loose — they had only stopped there because a cat had stowed away in the cart and started to have kittens — and who are they to argue with destiny?
- In John C. Wright's The Golden Age, Phaethon ponders whether a meeting is coincidence or arranged by the Earthmind, an AI with a trillion times the brain power of a human such as himself.
- In Jasper Fforde's The Eyre Affair, when Thursday meets the activists who want her to speak against the war, they declare it can't be a coincidence.
- The Xanth novels define "coincidence" as a word used by Mundanes to explain away something magical happening.
- Good Omens. At first glance it seems that a bunch of random stuff (starting with the babies getting mixed up, and escalating from there) came together to interfere with the Divine Plan. It's not until it's over that the protagonists start to wonder if the Divine Plan they've been told about is the actual Divine Plan.
- In Jack Campbell's The Lost Fleet, some characters declare it can't be chance that they found Black Jack Geary's survival pod.
- In Michael Flynn's Up Jim River, when she hears of a murder of a woman she spoke with, the harper thinks it can't be a coincidence. She tells Donovan, and he agrees.
- In the Liaden Universe series by Sharon Lee and Steve Miller, fate often seems to be an active agent with a will of its own. Characters refer to it as "event" or "the Luck," and it is said to move in strange ways around those of Clan Korval and Line yos'Phelium in particular, making them the ultimate Weirdness Magnet. Individuals who are Genre Savvy enough to recognize it (including those of Korval themselves) make allowances for it in their plans—Bechimo's builders who warned him to steer clear of Clan yos'Phelium in Ghost Ship, and Zaneth Katrina who wishes nothing to do with Clan Korval at the present time because the Luck is too unsettled in Dragon Ship. Those who don't believe in the Luck or the powers of the dramliza end up puzzled by the way Korval is always at the nexus of extraordinary happenstance and often assign human intentions to utter coincidence. (Or what would be utter coincidence if it weren't for the Luck causing it.)
- For example: what are the odds that a half-brainwashed Agent of Change disengaging from a mission would meet, become companions with, and eventually lifemate a woman who happens to be the granddaughter of a missing member of a long-lost clan with whom his is allied—a woman who grew up on the planet that his cousin is shortly going to civilize so Clan Korval can move to? And that this woman's own clan's world is about to be invaded by Yxtrangi, bringing with them the very member of that race he had encountered ten years before? The entire series is one long chain of increasingly unlikely "coincidences". (It drives the Department of the Interior, and more than a few people who are in the know about Clan Korval's history with the Luck, right up the wall.)
- This is a major plot point in Bridge of Birds, with Master Li slowly realizing that all the unlikely events and reappearances of characters and side stories that keep happening to him and Number Ten Ox are the work of a god doing his best to clue them in on their Fetch Quest being part of a much bigger quest without breaking the rule of gods not being allowed to intervene directly in mortals' affairs. The chapter where he explains all this to Ten Ox is even titled "There Are No Coincidences in the Great Way of Tao".
- This line is said repeatedly in Beautiful Creatures.
- Just after Honor Harrington has made her grand escape from the prison planet Hades with over half a million escapees, apparently coming back from the dead to do so, Rob Pierre and Oscar St. Just discuss her apparent ability to have been in just the right spots to screw with Haven's war planning for a decade or more. Pierre admits that half his strategic analysts believe it's just coincidence. The other half think she's in league with Satan.
- In Dorothy Gilman's The Clairvoyant Countess, Madame Karitska discusses the possibility with Mr. Faber-Jones, that his meeting with a criminal, enabling his capture, was no coincidence.
- Comes up several times in The Wheel of Time, in particular thanks to three incredibly powerful ta'veren traipsing around, distorting probability with their presence. Invoked memorably when Verin tried for days to leave a particular town but was repeatedly flummoxed by random delays, until finally she decided that she was supposed to be there and settled down to see who would show up. In broader terms, resident pragmatist Gareth Bryne sums it up:
Once is happenstance, twice coincidence, three times a conspiracy.
- In Andre Norton's Catseye, Dragur observes that one coincidence is so beneficial as to almost make him believe in Fate.
- In Bryan Miranda's The Journey to Atlantis, the main characters' ship sinks during a violent thunderstorm, which strands them on the island. Obviously, it wasn't just a normal storm, but was created by Loki to get the kids on the island so he could have his twisted fun with them.
- In the Japanese-occupied San Francisco of Philip K Dick's The Man in the High Castle, there are no coincidences. There is only the Tao, and its messenger the I-Ching.
- Flight To The Lonesome Place: Anna Maria Rosalita believed this, especially with Ronnie making his way to the ship on which she was on.
- This is a central belief of the two cults featured in The Tenets of Futilism. The titular cult believes there are two gods, one representing fortune and the other misfortune, who fight for control of humanity's fate. The gods are known as Crescis and Decrescis, respectively. Everything that happens is ultimately a result of one of their wills. Nothing is truly random. Sasha, the novel's protagonist, doesn't initially buy the cult's teachings. That changes after a few very unlikely coincidences occur. So unlikely, in fact, they leave her believing they're not coincidences at all. Sasha ends starting a cult of her own known as the Disciples of Waxing (or Waxers). Their belief system is much the same as the Futilists, only with a few changes Sasha makes to fit her ideals. Waxers believe that Crescis overcame his twin brother on December 21st 2012 when he prevented the Mayan apocalypse from occurring.
- Used and justified in the first Pandora Jones book. One of Pandora's more vivid apocalypse memories is of a little girl in a white dress, playing with a doll, who coughed up so much blood that her dress turned red. When she reads Cara's diary, she finds that Cara remembered the exact same thing, and when she later talks to Sanjit, she finds that he remembers the same thing. Given that the three of them came from completely different places, Pan concludes that their remembering the exact same scenario is possible, but just too unlikely to be believable, and it's part of the evidence that leads Pan to conclude that the memories are fake, as is the School.
- The Romulans of Star Trek, as a species, do not believe in luck. If something goes wrong, it is because someone either intentionally made things go wrong, or else someone messed up and unintentionally made things go wrong.
Bashir: "Don't tell me you don't believe in coincidences."
Garak: "I believe in coincidences. Coincidences happen every day. But I don't trust coincidences."
- In the Star Trek: The Next Generation episode "The Drumhead," a Klingon spy was exposed aboard the Enterprise at about the same time that a component of the warp core exploded, crippling the ship. The two were naturally assumed to be connected, making the spy a saboteur as well. Ultimately subverted, however, when the explosion was determined to have been an accident.
- On CSI Gil Grissom has repeatedly said in a handful of episodes that he does not believe in coincidences. He even quoted Goldfinger at one point:
"Once is happenstance. Twice is coincidence. Three times is enemy's action."
- However, in the episode "Chaos Theory", Grissom is forced, at the end of the episode's investigation, to accept that the death and disappearance of college student Paige Rycoff was the result of a series of unfortunate random events that, when taken in sequence, were only connected because, together, they directly led to the girl dying in a tragic accident that merely appeared at first blush, to be murder.
- At the end of the aforementioned episode, Gil is forced to look into the mirror when the parents of Paige refuse to believe the explanation even with all the evidence, the one thing that Gil absolutely believes in an investigation, due to grief.
- Doctor Tony Hill, from Wire in the Blood, has a psychological justification for not believing in coincidences:
"Jung's theory of synchronicity says there are links between events beyond cause and effect. Patterns the conscious mind can't perceive. [pause] There is no such thing as coincidence or accident."
- Michael Garibaldi, from Babylon 5 prefers to make his own luck rather than just relying on chance.
- Gibbs, from NCIS. Rule #39, in fact.
: "In the immortal words of Leroy Jethro Gibbs [puts on a deep voice] 'I don't believe in coincidences'."
Gibbs: "You know how I feel about coincidences, Abs."
Abby: "Equatorial pygmies know how you feel about coincidences, Gibbs."
- However, after Gibbs rules a group of chop-shop employees out of the investigation of a dead body found in the trunk of a car they stole:
Anthony DiNozzo: "I thought you didn't believe in coincidences, Boss."
Gibbs: "I don't. But I do believe in bad luck.''
- Laverne in Scrubs. "Everything happens for a reason."
- Then JD's narration comments on how this is subverted at the end of the same episode when Laverne is left in a coma by a random car accident
- Then played straight in the next episode, Laverne holds on to life just long enough for her best friend Carla to get past denial of the situation and say goodbye
- Buffy the Vampire Slayer:
"Giles, there are two things that I don't believe in: coincidence and leprechauns."
- LOST's central theme was whether the crazy stuff happening to the main characters has any sort of meaning or purpose, or if they're all just deluding themselves or being conned into thinking that because of their psychological issues.
- Farscape references Albert Einstein just to hammer in, "Yeah, Scorpius has your number, Crichton, and he will never stop screwing with you!"
: Scorpius... Iz... Like Gohd! He doez not play dize vit ze univerze!
- Harvey, the invisible friend in Crichton's head is dressed like Einstein. Complete with Einstein Hair. Farscape's that kind of show.
- Doctor Who
- The First Doctor was more likely to call things that were obviously enemy action coincidence and to call a coincidence fate.
- Later Doctors have a tendency to say this, usually while figuring out the plot. By now he's had nine hundred years of experience in how these things work.
- Also, the TARDIS, while in a human body basically tells the Doctor there is no coincidence that the Doctor arrives just before some trouble happens because the TARDIS is taking him to where he is needed.
- In the Community episode "Conspiracy Theories and Interior Design" a Gambit Pileup caused by everyone involved explains the bizarre occurrences in this episode.
- One episode of El Chapulín Colorado featured the hero at an area where it's usual to have falling rocks from space. Not believing it, Chapulin sarcastically announced the arrival of one that made stops in Jupiter and Saturn. Then a rock falls and hits someone nearby. Chapulin dismissed it as a coincidence that could happen anywhere on the world and challenged another one to appear. It did, hitting the same someone. "Two coincidences", the hero said and then challenged again. A third rock fell and Chapulin decided to hide just in case a "fourth coincidence" appeared. Several rocks fell later, and the hero weakly dismissed them as coincidences.
- Once Upon a Time: Other characters have this, too, but Baelfire explicitly states that it's one of the few things that he and his father, Rumplestiltskin, agree on.
- Supernatural: As Bobby said in "The Magnificent Seven": "I believe in a lot of things. Coincidences ain't one of them."
- Dexter - in a season seven flashback to much earlier, the title character quotes a saying that Doakes found in another killer's diary. "Fuck coincidences, I don't believe in 'em."
- Inverted when a joke about a little girl's escaped rabbit turns out to be part of the A-plot. "People say there's no such thing as coincidence. What dull lives they must lead."
- Played straight in a third season episode "The Sign of Three"
Mycroft: "Oh Sherlock, what do we say about coincidences?"
Sherlock: "The universe is rarely so lazy."
- Mr. Whittaker from Adventures in Odyssey believes this. (Although in a very early episode he comments on something being a coincidence.)
- In Legacy of Kain: Soul Reaver II, Vorador refuses to believe that Raziel's sudden appearance and the imminent destruction of the Pillars is a coincidence.
- Metal Gear Solid
Solid Snake: Well, I don't believe in coincidences.
- Sid Meier’s Alpha Centauri plays with this trope by suggesting their are coincidences, but these coincidences might have their own perverse reasons for happening:
Einstein would turn in his grave. Not only does God play dice, the dice are loaded.
Chairman Sheng-ji Yang, Looking God in the Eye
- In Record Of Agarest War, Duran thinks that it's just a coincidence that they found a hot spring on their camping site, but Winfield thinks the other way.
: Ha! Coincidence, you say? Divine providence, say I! The gods love us!
- A repeated theme in The Elder Scrolls, especially Morrowind and Oblivion, but also present in the resolution to Daggerfall. The Septim dynasty, in particular, tends to find this out the hard way; Uriel Septim drops the phrase just seconds before taking a dagger to the back, while Martin Septim slowly goes from feeling in control of his destiny to believing things are pre-planned.
- Star Wars: Republic Commando: "One's an anomaly, two's a trend. Rule 89, Boss."
- In the bonus chapter of The World Ends with You, one NPC talks about this. Given the way the story goes, he is probably right.
- Knights of the Old Republic II: While not a complete rejection of coincidences, Kreia believed that true coincidences were rare and that events usually chalked up to coincidence actually happened because of the Force.
- Bastila also lampshades it in the first game, saying such things are so commonplace to those who are active Force Users that they simply "get used to" it.
- Persona 2: Innocent Sin is one long journey in discovering that no, there are no coincidences. Your entire party comes together as playing pieces in a game between two gods, chosen because you were conveniently there - almost any group of childhood friends would have suited. Everything is part of some horrible grand scheme, especially the bits that look pulled out of nowhere.
- Dragon Age: Inquisition: The sheer number of coincidences responsible for the Inquisitor's survival and rise to power convinces one skeptic that the Inquisitor is The Chosen One.
- The reason Einstein did not like quantum mechanics relating to chance was because of this. "Quantum mechanics is certainly imposing, but an inner voice tells me that it is not yet the real thing. The theory says a lot, but does not really bring us any closer to the secret of the 'old one'. I, at any rate, am convinced that He does not throw dice." note
- Stephen Hawking's take on the matter is "Not only does He play dice, He sometimes throws them where they cannot be seen!"
- The Yoruba tribe in Africa believe there is only one reason people die: witchcraft. They refuse to accept such things as "natural causes" or "horrible accident" as causes of death.
- A Soviet-era phrase, "This was no accident, comrade," referred to both the Marxist ideological notion that powerful and inexorable historical forces drive human progress, and that more mundane human agents (i.e., the KGB or other parts of the totalitarian state) were secretly behind events that seemed to occur by happenstance. It was also said that every major accident has a first, second and last name.
- Fortean Times talks about this sort of thing a lot but makes no judgement on whether it's down to synchronicity, serendipity, conspiracy theory, or just plain ordinary random coincidence.