World War II: War In Europe And Africa
This section deals with events in Europe and Africa. In summary:
- It starts off in August 1939 with Germany and the Soviet Union occupying Poland in just a month, the Soviet Union later waging and eventually ending an inconclusive war against Finland that winter. In April 1940 Germany seizes Denmark and Norway to preempt the Allies' attempts to strong-arm Sweden into embargoing Germany, and on 10 June executes a crazed but amazingly effective two-month campaign through Belgium and into France. Italy joins the war on Germany's side and by the 22nd of June, Germany occupies all of Norway, The Low Countries and northern France. Having suffered a coup by military leaders Marshal Pétain and Admiral Darlan, the French Government votes itself out of existence by giving Pétain absolute power. Pétain's "Southern" or "Vichy" France becomes a subservient rump state to Germany. Despite British attempts to capture and/or destroy it so it cannot be used to aid a German invasion of Britain, Germany refrains from seizing the remainder of the French fleet in return for Pétain's cooperation. Pétain and General Franco both refuse Hitler's offers to join the Axis of Steel note . German irrecoverable losses (captured, crippled, dead) c.100k, Commonwealth c.20k
- Hitler is furious when Mussolini declares war on Greece despite his army being woefully unprepared for it, to the point of his forces not actually being in position to invade when he does so. Germany gets involved to bail Italy out of Greece because they fear that Britain will use Greek airfields to bomb the oilfields and refineries of Ploesti in Romania — Germany's source of virtually all petroleum products besides minor oil wells in Hungary and limited-capacity synthetic plants. Germany and Italy turn on Yugoslavia when the latter country suffers an internal coup and backs out of their alliance, and German forces go on to help Italy win their war against Greece despite the Commonwealth's feeble efforts to stop them. British Commonwealthnote face Axis down over the skies of Britain and deserts of North Africa. German irrecoverable c.10k, Commonwealth c.20k
- Germany launches Operation Barbarossa to destroy The Red Army on the 22/6/1941 with 2 million men, 3k tanksnote , 3k airplanesnote 624k draft horses, and 120k trucks along three 'fronts' and managed by three Army Groups under a new General Headquartersnote . The Red Army's two-million-strong forces along the central-northern German-Soviet border are caught totally by surprise and in just two weeks are at least nominally trapped in pockets based around Bialystock, Galicia, and Minsk, though measures to prevent them from just sneaking out the eastern side of the lattermost are miserablenote . Wehrmacht loses 1/6 of horses and 1/5 of trucks in the first month due to malnutrition, exhaustion, and Red Army straggler attacks on rear-area troops. Southern Border Army, Remnants of Central Border Army, and Reserve forces numbering 2 million stop Heer advance dead at Smolensk and Kiev by early August note . Massive internal disagreement flares up; Hitler wants to target resource-rich Ukraine, whereas the majority of the high-ranking officers note believe seizure of Moscow necessary to end war before winter and have tried to make this happen behind Hitler's back. note . Hitler is persuaded that defeating the Soviet Union will require defeating their remaining forces, which Halder and von Brauchitsch argue will be around Moscow... but, to their frustration, Hitler overrules them by insisting that Ukraine and Leningrad must come first. German irrecoverable c.100k, Soviet c.2 million (majority captured or missing as partisans).
- Germany's August 1941 'Kiev offensive detaches half of Army Group Center's mobile forces and throws Army Group Center's entire truck-pool behind them, giving them just enough fuel and ammo to slowly knaw their way south over a month-and-a-half of combat. Half of Army Group Center's remaining mobile forces are then sent north, to help Army Group North take Leningrad. Soviet STAVKA under Zhukov urges Stalin to order withdrawal from the Kiev salient on the grounds that it is a death-trap that cannot be held, but Stalin refuses and has Zhukov reassigned to the Leningrad sector for his honesty. Soviet forces are driven back to Leningrad, but Army Group North has been so weakened by the fighting that a direct assault on the city is ruled out as suicidal - Siege of Leningrad begins. Army Group South's remaining mobile forces strike north in the last fortnight of September, and desperate Soviet break-out attempts fail. No sooner is the pocket crushed than, at the beginning of October, Army Group Center initiates Typhoon. One million troops opposite Army Group Center are trapped in three pockets around Vyazma, but advance slows to crawl as Belrussian fuel stockpiles totally expended. Rasputista, 'season of mud', then forces German forces to halt and pillage area to survive while advance continues with just 20,000 troops using all available tanks & halftracks - 10k militiamen & NKVD killed using AA guns to fight delaying actions in towns. Ground freezes in December, crippling German supply chain note . Advance dead on its feet - all available food and clothing already stolen from locals, fuel and ammunition supply at under 10% of offensive requirements. Soviet counter-attacks meet with more and more success. Heer retreats become routs. Stalin declares a Winter Counteroffensive in January with two million troops against million-strong remnants of Army Group Center, half-million men of Army Group North. Aims are to break the Siege of Leningrad and encircle the entirety of Army Group Center, a bold attempt to win the war at one stroke note . At same time (7 December 1941), Japan executes her Southern Offensive Campaign against Britain, Netherlands, and the United States. That month, Hitler also declares war on the United States. German irrecoverable c.400k, Soviet c.2 million (majority captured or dead).
- By late June the Soviets' Summer Offensive Operation has bogged down trying to attack Army Group South. On 28 June 1942, Germany's Army Group South executes Case Blue to take east Ukraine and the oilfields of the Caucasus, quickly encircling and capturing the Red Army Summer Offensive forces and leaving the whole Ukrainian front critically weakened, Stalin moving his reserves to prevent them from driving on Moscow. Army Group South is split into Army Groups A and B and set to take The Caucasus and defend their flank near Stalingrad respectively—but at the last minute Hitler takes forces from the former so the latter can capture Stalingrad, causing both forces to fail. On 19 November the Soviets deploy half of the massive reserves they've been hiding in the south in Operations Uranus and Saturn'—trapping 100,000-200,000 Italian and Romanian and a similar number of German troops in a "pocket" around Stalingrad, then pushing the Germans out of the Caucasus entirely. The Soviets have kept the other half of their reserves in plain sight for use in Operation Mars (25 November 1941) to break the back of Army Group Center—but they fail with heavy losses because the Germans were expecting it and had deployed their own reserves there to counter them. When the last starving survivors of the Stalingrad pocket surrender at gunpoint in February 1943, only 91,000 German troops are left. The offensive against Army Group North to break the Siege of Leningrad is unsuccessful, and on 19 February-15 March the Red Army's pursuit of the reconstituted Army Group South is crushed by a counter-offensive led by Panzer forces redeployed from Army Group Center in the Donets counteroffensive. German irrecoverable c.300k, Hungarian+Rumanian+Italian c.400k, Soviet c.3 million
- Although Erwin Rommel's German Expeditionary Force in North Africa was originally just meant to prop the Italians up and avoid making them look bad, North Africa has effectively turned into a "fifth front" for Germany, with Rommel commanding half as many troops as Army Group B. Given that North Africa has zero strategic importance—Rommel hasn't been given the strength to take the Suez Canal or the oilfields of the Near/Middle East—combat here is not something that Germany can actually afford. The Commonwealth fatally wound Rommel's ill-supplied campaign—more and more Italian supply convoys are sunk as the Allied airforces grow—at the Second Battle of El Alamein and force him to retreat all the way to Tunisia while the Western Allies—including the first U.S. troops—convince the garrison of Vichy North Africa to surrender. Although the Allies—and the completely inexperienced Americans in particular—make some serious blunders, this only persuades Hitler to send even more men to the North African Front so he can avoid admitting that they shouldn't be there in the first place… all of whom surrendernote when the Allies finally break through and surround them. Noting the importance of tea in the African theater as a way to make the awful water taste better, the British government buys the entire world crop in 1942. German irrecoverable c.100k (majority captured), Italian c.400k (majority captured), Western Allies c.20k
- The Donets operation has created a prominent bulge in the Soviet-Axis lines around the city of Kursk. On 5 July 1943, the Germans launch Operation Citadel to cut it off and thereby shorten the front, but the Germans' elite panzer forces take huge losses in massive frontal attacks on the Soviets' three lines of ludicrously-heavily-fortified positions and superior artillery, and the Red Air Force knocks the Luftwaffe out of the sky after some of history's largest dogfights. On the 10th of July, the Allies use staging posts in North Africa to land on Sicily and Hitler orders Citadel halted in order to divert forces to Italy. The Soviets follow up with an offensive to crush the Rhzhev-Vyazma salient of Army Group Center, which had been the objective of Operation Mars, which Manstein has to divert his already-exhausted Panzer formations to to prevent them from breaking through in earnest. No sooner has he done this than the Soviet forces in the Kursk bulge go on the offensive and make a huge breakthrough around Kharkov-Kiev. They then use this as the starting point of a devastatingly clever series of virtually continuous summer-autumn-winter campaigns to use Soviet armoured/mobile Armies to encircle large Wehrmacht forces (and especially their Panzer troops) in the Ukraine. The end result of this will be the destruction of Germany's critically-overworked Panzer armies and the liberation of the entire Ukraine by March 1944. During the 1943 Winter Campaigns a follow-up offensive on Army Group Center takes some ground, now that what's left of the Panzer armies are tied up fighting losing battles in the Ukraine, but the Siege of Leningrad still cannot be broken. The Allies land in Southern Italy and Mussolini is toppled as Italy joins the Allies, but Germany quickly occupies northern Italy and establishes a series of fortified defensive lines across the hilly peninsula. The Allies' Italian front continues to gradually push northward in the years to follow, but the going is slow and the forces on both sides remain small with less than a million men on both sides. The Allied strategic-bombing campaign helps the Red Air Force achieve air-supremacynote and begins to cause serious disruption to German industrynote as the air-war turns against Germany despite the full mobilization of Germany's resources for 'Total War'. German irrecoverable c.500k OKH/Ostfront c.50k OKW/Other, Soviet c.1 million, Western Allies c.100k
- On 6 June 1944, the Allies implement Operation Overlord and successfully establish a beachhead at Normandy, northern France. As Germany scrambles to keep them contained, on 22 June the Soviets enact Operation Bagration and retake Belarus, killing or capturing all the combat troopsnote of Army Group Center, Germany's biggest and most important fighting force. The Soviets exploit this Army Group-sized hole in the German lines ruthlessly, and by September they have killed or (far more often) captured half of Germany's entire pool of front-line troops. Army Group North is cut off in the Baltic states by a daring offensive into East Prussia, and Army Group South's Sixth Army (of Stalingrad fame) is encircled for the second time (this time with only 100,000 men) trying to defend Romania. Allied troops have captured 50,000 German troops in the Falaise Pocket and broken out of Normandy; facing forces more than three times the size of her ownnote , Germany's defeat is imminent. The Soviets and Allies take Romania and France and get bogged down in Hungary and the Low Countriesnote respectively. As the Red Army's Hungarian Offensive against German Army Group South grinds on into its second month, a German force of about the same size (c.300,000 men) launches a counteroffensive—codenamed Operation Wacht am Rheinnote —against the Western Allies (primarily Americans) in Belgium on 16 December in what will become known as the Battle of the Bulge. Despite limited initial success, it's soon bogged down and is cancelled on the 25th of December, the forces involved being ordered to withdraw as the Red Army completes its encirclement of Budapest by the 26th of Decembernote . Hitler orders that the siege be relieved by Panzer forces withdrawn from the French and Polish fronts, but Operation Konrad grinds to a halt south of the city before the Red Army counterattack goes on to encircle them. Only food and fuel shortages—unlike Hitler, STAVKA considers the Hungarian front to be of secondary importance—prevent the Red Army spearheads from entering Austria immediately. German irrecoverable c.500k OKH/Ostfront c.100k OKW/other, Hungarian+Rumanian c.200k, Soviet c.1 million, Western Allies c.200k
- Upon Churchill's request, Stalin makes a big show of bringing the Vistula-Oder offensive forward by eight days to 12 January. Its goal of taking Berlin (which was too ambitious anyway) is downgraded to merely taking bridgeheads across the Oder to facilitate a final push on the German capital later. The inexperienced and ill-equipped German forces being outnumbered by more than 4:1 (2.2 million to 450,000) it succeeds with minimal losses and Auschwitz extermination camp is liberated, but results in the "Prussian Balcony" that holds out for another couple of months because of extremely heavy fortification and fanatical German resistance such as at Königsburg. Stalin and Churchill hash out the definitive Soviet-Allied zones in Europe as Hitler orders one last counter-offensive, Operation Spring Awakening, to retake the Hungarian oil fields using what's left of Germany's panzer forces. Not only does it fail and lead to the Soviets taking Vienna more easily, but the diversion of panzer forces to this relatively unimportant front makes the allies' advance into Germany proper much easier. The "prize", and price, of taking Berlin is left to Stalin note The race (between Marshals G.K. Zhukov and I.Y. Koniev) to take Berlin starts on the 16th of April, with Soviet forces quickly meeting up with American troops at Torgau on the Elbe. Hitler commits suicide in his bunker and on 8 May 1945, with the red Soviet flag flying over the Reichstag, the new Reichspräsident, Großadmiral Karl Dönitz, surrenders unconditionally to the Allied Expeditionary Force and Red Army Command (represented by Zhukov). Stalin prepares to honour his deal with the Allies by transferring his best mobile units from Europe in preparation for the Red Army's Far Eastern Offensive Operation against Japanese forces in China that August, and some U.S. troops are also redeployed to take part in October's Operation Downfall. German irrecoverable 2 million (majority captured), Soviet c.500k, Western Allies c.50k
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'Blitzkrieg', AKA Germany does far too well for everyone else's liking
On September 1, 1939, World War II begins with the Nazi invasion of Poland, preceded by a series of False Flag Operationsnote . Britain and France declare war on Germany, beginning the Western Front, but they don't actually do anything to help beyond imposing a blockade and the latter initiating a limited offensive into the Saar region. Poland's odds get that much grimmer as their old enemy, the Soviet Union, invades from the east to make good on their part of the Molotov-Ribbentrop pact. Poland's regular forces are crushed in just five weeks, having dealt far less casualties than anyone had anticipated on account of their overwhelming numerical, material and organisational disadvantage. That said, neither the Germans nor the Soviets manage to round up all of the now-former country's military personnel, and these living loose ends will cause trouble later. Some, like the Polish air force—many former pilots of which join the Royal Air Force—flee the country and fight alongside the Allies, and others form resistance groups and await the time to strike. The Soviet Union follows up its acquisition with the quiet annexation of the Baltic States of Latvia, Estonia and even Lithuania; althought the latter was supposed to be a German-dominated state in the Molotov-Ribbentrop agreement, the Soviets want it as it had been part of the Russian Empire. The Germans hastily revise the treaty so Lithuania's in the 'Soviet Sphere' and the Germans aren't legally obligated to go to war with the USSR over it. On the naval front, the Battle of the Atlantic begins slowly. The German Navy has learned many lessons from its experience of commerce-raiding in the First World War and the new Commander of U-boats, Admiral Karl Dönitz, has been planning for a new submarine war for nearly twenty years. He and his staff expect the British to quickly adopt the convoy system, which led to a sharp decline in sinkings by U-boats during the last war. In addition, the British have developed sonar (a form of remote-detection device that uses sound-waves) and are confident they can easily locate submerged boats. However, German U-boats will spend most of their non-attack time surfaced for practical reasons (as they have limited range and speed while submerged) and to reduce the effectiveness of sonar. Dönitz also has planned a new tactic to use against convoys: groups of submarines will stalk convoys by day, then converge on and attack them at night. Unfortunately, he has less than a fifth of the submarines needed for strategically significant operations.note Nevertheless, he sends his "Grey Wolves" into the North Sea to begin sinking ships. One of them, U-47, is sent into Scapa Flow, the main naval base in the British Isles, and sinks the battleship HMS Royal Oak before escaping unharmed. The British are stunned. Next comes a weird eight-month pause variously nicknamed the "Phony War", the "Sitzkrieg" (Sitting War), the "Drôle de Guerre" (Funny War), or the "Bore War" (a pun on the Boer War), in which the British and French mobilise all their industries and quietly churn out all the armaments they can, mobilising and organising all their reserves for a defence of the Low Countries while they sit behind their Naval Blockade and the Maginot Line. Germany does much the same in this period, but unbeknownst to the Allies the blockade strategy is near-totally ineffective—the Allies were right to assume that Germany had been largely unprepared for a war with them, and that the Nazis' strategic-resource stockpiles were very small. However, the Soviet Union is now trading with Germany as per the Molotov-Ribbentrop pact and so numerous types of Unobtanium like tungsten and gasoline are freely available to them. A brief spurt of excitement comes when Scandinavia gets involved—the Allies were considering getting involved there to stop Sweden supplying Germany with high-quality steel (a trade which was drastically less important than it appeared in the short term, as Germany was also able to get steel from the Soviets), but the Germans see this coming and attack Denmark and Norway to preempt them. This audacious attack in the face of Britain's superior seapower catches the Allies completely flat-footed, and the resulting confusion prevents the Royal Navy from intervening until it's too late, though the brand-new heavy cruiser Blücher is sunk and the pocket battleship Lutzow heavily damaged by the Norwegian shore batteries defending Oslo. While an Allied force (originally destined for Finland) manages to take the important Norwegian port of Narvik (through which Swedish iron ore is sent to Germany), they are in no position to hold it and are ordered to withdraw to France for a more important battle. Taking some of the sting from Britain's first major retreat, the initial Royal Navy assault on Narvik managed to sink a third of Germany's modern destroyers - a coup which, along with their other naval losses, will have serious repercussions later. When the Germans do declare war on Belgium on May 10, 1940, the Allies are seemingly ready for them. The Allies have a numerical advantage in troops, artillery and tanks, and though the Royal Air Force and Armée de l'Air have fewer bombers than the Luftwaffe, they have more fighters. Almost all their troops have modern weapons with sufficient ammunition and the training to use them properly—France has had conscription for years, meaning that virtually all of the troops in their army have completed at least a year or two of military training. The Wehrmacht, on the other hand, is largely inexperienced and ill-equipped (though the veterans of the "Condor Legion" have disseminated their experiences from the Spanish Civil War, and they have also been bloodied in the invasion of Poland and the battles in Scandinavia). The Allies' forces also have far more horses, and more 'motorised' troops (infantry units that use trucks to get around). Few Allied troops or commanders have seen actual combat, though, and the bulk of France's troops are trained to man static positions, rather than engage in mobile warfare. Many of the deployed French units are also second-line reserves, lacking the equipment of their regular forces. The French high command decides that this time, the Allies will hold the line in Belgium at a series of major rivers while making good on their industrial-commercial advantage by further building up their forces, before (when the Germans are virtually out of fuel because of the blockade) pushing the Germans back across the border. They haven't, however, ironed out the details. Politicking within the high command (careers and reputations were at stake when the Allies' plans were devised) meant that only one plan (holding the line in Belgium and building up their forces) was fleshed-out in detail. Even so, it's a good idea (despite the whole "blockade not actually working" thing). Germany is the only Great Power not to have a high commandnote , but Germany's top generals and Hitlernote know all too well their forces' own inadequacies, and that the Allies' advantages will only increase with time. They are also uncomfortably aware of just how untenable their alliance with the Soviets is in the long term. With all this in mind, Hitler has chosen to launch an offensive against the Allies through Belgium. Germany's small and out-classed force of armoured and motorised units will use their superior speed and communications to punch a tiny opening in the Allied front and force their way through to wreak havoc behind Allied lines—and the rest of the German army will follow, on foot, to encircle half the entire French Army in one fell swoop by attacking where they least expect it! The old guard of Hitler's generals- who saw combat in World War One - believe that this is monumentally stupid. France's reserves will stop the Wehrmacht's panzer forces dead in their tracks - or worse, lure them into a huge trap and destroy them at their leisure. The only thing stopping the French Army's massive, albeit non-motorised, regular forces from doing much the same would be speed. And no modern army could survive for long with such constricted lines of supply. In effect they say it is a fool's mission, and waste no time telling Hitler and his "new guard." But, fool's mission though it should have been, it works. This is a result of the way France designed, organised, and deployed her forces in general terms and with specific regards to the plan they are implementing (moving into Belgium to defend it with a few solid lines of defence). The French forces engaged there have held far too few units back as a strategic reserve, which would be fine if they were facing an enemy offensive on a (relatively) broad front—but not one so insanely narrow and concentrated. The organization of France's military also does not help—France has more tanks than Germany, but very few dedicated tank units. Instead, France's large number of well-armoured tanks are dispersed throughout their regular infantry divisions and move at speeds to match, all part of their strategy of defending and advancing on broad fronts. Most of the Armée de l'Air's planes are either obsolete or unserviceable, meaning they are outnumbered and outclassed by the Luftwaffe despite their numerical superiority on paper. The French armed forces also have too little communications equipment; most of the stuff they do have is of poor quality and has too few operators to match—meaning that it takes French officers longer than their German counterparts to receive, pass on, and implement new information and new orders.note But perhaps more importantly, the French don't have a plan to counter the German one and have a very hard time improvising a solution. Politicking has led to a critical failure of strategic planning—a failure to devise contingency plans for the overall "Battle of France"—and not-universally-competent leadership lower down the chain of command means that it's harder than it should be for France's forces to respond on-the-fly. Essentially, German planning and organisation has France's factious, ponderous brawn outmatched. What happens is that, as planned, all of Germany's mobile forces lead a rush through the Ardennes Forest (the French thought it impossible to get that many tanks through and adequately-supplied over such poor terrain with such little trace, and it was admittedly difficult) and make a mad, frenzied dash to the English Channel before the French reserves or regular forces can catch up with them in detail, with as many battle-ready regular troops as Germany can spare following in their wake. France's commanders are too slow to react, and a 'very' large portion of the French Army (plus the Belgian Army and British Expeditionary Force) is cut off in Belgium with few supplies (the idea had been that they would move up to establish a forward perimeter first, and their supplies would follow). Hitler orders his panzers to stop short of totally destroying the BEF, believing he can cut a deal with Britain, allowing the Royal Navy to evacuate the BEF (the "miracle of Dunkerque", though Dunkirk was just one of the many evacuations that happened at the time) and a sizeable number of French troops as well, albeit with the loss of most of their weapons and all of their vehicles. So the BEF lives to fight another day and France gains the nucleus of a "Free French" army in exile. However, as Churchill himself puts it, "Wars are not won by evacuations." The triumphant German army then turns north and crushes—or forces the surrender—of what pockets remain of the entrapped French Army. In seemingly no time at all, they've solved their supply problems by linking up their forces and continue to overrun what badly-outnumbered and increasingly isolated French forces remain to the south. The whole campaign only takes about six weeks, but the Germans take heavy casualties in the process—much as you'd expect, given their less well-equipped and numerous, but much better coordinated and applied forces. As France collapses, Benito Mussolini decides to imitate his buddy Hitler and attack France too. The Italian army does badly despite greatly outnumbering the French, a sign of things to come for Germany's worse-than-useless ally. Nevertheless, after the dust settles, the Netherlands, Belgium, Luxembourg and France have all fallen to the Axis Powers. The fall of France can be better understood if one notes the near-total collapse of French morale that came with the encirclement and then destruction of the Belgian pocket; with this one stunning strategic victory French defeat was certain, and her soldiers knew this all too well. Whereas Germany's forces were on a morale-high after the conquest of Poland - backed up by a culture of gung-ho militaristic Revanchism that had characterised pre-WWI French culture - France's post-WWI culture was marked by its rejection of all that in favour of a kind of cynical (if not fatalistic) pacifism. Thus, when it was clear that France had lost, many of her soldiers (wisely) legged it rather than die pointlessly—and her leadership looked for a way to end the war on the least harsh terms possible under the circumstances, i.e. as quickly as possible while the Germans' terms were still kinda acceptablenote . As this happens, the German U-boat flotillas begin relocating to the ports on France's western coastline, giving them a clear and open window into the North Atlantic.
Scandinavia, Winter, and the War
Half a year ago by then, the Soviet Union renounced its non-aggression pact with - and declared war upon - Finland, in response to the latter's shelling of a Soviet village. In retrospect, this incident was very probably a set-up by the Red Army or the NKVD, the fore-runner to the KGB. This was after the two countries' negotiations on exchanging territory had failed; though the Soviets had offered the Finns control over large Finnish-majority areas, the Finns were just not willing to give the Soviets the—strategically critical, as it lies along the most direct route from Helsinki to Leningrad—land they asked for in exchange. The whole process was not helped, it must be said, by the two countries' lack of close ties and the Soviets' reputation—the Finns had just seen them take half of Poland and annex the Baltic States, and within living memory had fought a truly ghastly civil war against Soviet-backed Communist attempts to bring them to heel. Several of the (relatively few) "Red" Finnish survivors had fled to the USSR, and helped dampen results. When the so-called "Winter War" breaks out, the Red Army's poor performance comes as a surprise to everyone, including themselves, as they had done quite well in a Mongolian border clash with Japan just a year before at Khalkhin Gol (which lead to an non-aggression pact with Japan, expiring in 1946) and in the invasion of Poland. While the Soviets have the Finns outnumbered in every conceivable way, the Finnish doctrine is informed by their victory in the previous Civil War against the same enemy they are now fighting again. In what turns out to be an amazingly bitter and grinding war between mass armies of conscripts, small but elite and well trained units (like the Jaegers) turn out to make all the difference. As such, they put their faith in a phenomenally well trained force skilled at static defense and commando raids in equal measure, relying on superior initiative, leadership and mobility to accommodate for their lack of pure force. In contrast, the Soviets are still stuck with the problems of their old Russian Civil War doctrine, including chronic organizational and logistical issues that prevent them from bringing their advantages to bear over the deathly cold, swampy, densely wooded landscape which with the Finns are all-too familiar. This is not at all helped by the Finns using strategies and tactics that center on breaking Soviet forces up and destroying them in detail. The undisputed star of the conflict—at least according to the Soviet Press, which becomes increasingly eager to seize upon any and all reasons why the war isn't over yet that don't make the Red Army look bad—is the "Mannerheim Line", named after the Finnish Commander in Chief who helps mastermind the defense note The Soviets have it bad as they suffer casualties at at least a rate of 3 to 1 in the Finns' favour, but they eventually manage to purge some of the deadweight and concentrate their artillery, improving their artillery-infantry communications so said artillery doesn't waste so much firewpower. The real breakthrough comes when in the last month of war, after a bit of a break, the Soviets use their massed artillery to suppress the defensive positions on the Karelian isthmus and take them with their infantry. But although victory is at hand, by this time the war has become something of an expensive embarrassment which they are all too glad to finally be rid of after the Finns happily sign a peace treaty under which the they give up all the land they'd originally been asked for and then some. However, Finland is economically and militarily incapable of continuing the war, and everyone knows it. That they lasted so long is a point of real pride for the Finns and a cause of serious concern for Stalin, who during the course of the war came to understand that the reforms he instituted to politicise the Red Army were a bad idea and have severely impacted its fighting ability. One concrete result is that Commissars are reduced to their pre-1937 status of mere advisers and liasons with the Communist Party, rather than being co-leaders of their units. He also accelerates the armaments program, which should see the Red Army become the most modern and lavishly-equipped fighting force in the world by 1943 or so. Meanwhile, the Allies have been keen to get Finland on their side. They put together a task-force to send to Finland, should the latter formally ask them for it. This is because having a task force in the area, which could use Finland as a base, would allow them to project their (military) power into the Baltic and hopefully get Sweden to stop exporting steel to Germany (by "offering" to buy it themselves). As it turns out, the Germans preempt Finland and the Allies by seizing Denmark and attacking Norway in a surprise offensive, thereby making the Allies' diplomatic overtures meaningless as Germany now controls access to the Baltic. The task force is diverted to Norway, but too late; the Germans' hold over the country is already too strong, and the Allies have to withdraw. Over the coming months, Germany soon draws neutral-but-Axis-sympathetic Sweden and a now-embittered, staunchly anti-Russian and anti-Soviet Finland into their orbit… On a brighter note, the campaign finally gives a name to one of history's most eponymous improvised weapons. When the Russians started dropping cluster and incendiary bombs on Finnish towns, Foreign Minister Vyacheslav Molotov claimed they were actually dropping food—"Bread Baskets"—for the starving Finnish proletariat. The Finns subsequently dub their improvised petrol bombs - of the same type used by desperate infantrymen trying to take out tanks in China and Spain - "Molotov Cocktails". "Cocktails", because they're a drink to go down with the "bread". Appropriately enough, a majority of them were filled with high-proof grain and potato spirit rather than petrol and were manufactured by Finland's government-controlled liquor monopoly. Scandinavia Proper had declared neutrality when war broke out. When Finland was invaded, Norway quickly chose sides, and through public fundraising, backpacks and warm clothing was shipped off to Finland in a hurry during the end of 1939. What Norway and Denmark didn`t know, was that Germany had plans for them... Intelligence heated up, and so did political debates during the winter of 1940. The neutrality line had do be preserved, but the local fascists had already begun their moves. Thus, Vidkun Quisling had already made a trip to Germany, assuring Hitler that Norway would cooperate if necessary. He was, of course, at odds with his own government over this. Great Britain was also wary that Norway might fall under German influence, because of the iron shippings from Narvik. This argument was used Up to Eleven by Norwegian collaborators later on. During the crucial end of March and beginning of April, Britain mined parts of the Norwegian coastline, stirring a debate in the Norwegian parliament on what exactly the British were up to. German embassies in Norway were well aware of the invasion plans, and used a lot of propaganda to keep Norwegian public and officials from acting rashly. Thus, a movie made from the bombing of Warsaw was shown at the very beginning of April, to underline the point of what the Wehrmacht actually could manage. Meanwhile, a Norwegian journalist in Lübeck telegraphed home on an alarming mass of ships scheduled for the north sea. The telegram was received, but the headlines never got printed. The military leadership, and even the government, was alerted on this, but forces inside the "joint Chiefs of staff adviced caution. Invasion began in the morning april 9. Denmark was attacked through Jutland, and surrendered rather quickly. Norway on the other hand... ...was attacked at several ports at once. Many coastal forts responded with what they got, and some cities, like Kristiansand, Stavanger and Bergen suffered heavy bombardment. Kristiansand probably had the worst of it. In the Oslo fjord, the German attack fleet suffered equally heavy losses, with the cruiser Blücher going down with all hands.
- Are we going to shoot?Hell, of course we are! And with hotshots!.
Battle of Britain and the Giant's preparations
When France surrenders, the result is the most bitter chapter of the Franco-Anglophone war effort. With just eight battleships and battlecruisers (capital ships) to Britain's fifteen and twenty cruisers to Britain's sixty-six, France's fleet is only a fraction the size of Britain's. Before the fall of France, the Allies' fleet was able to quite handily contain that of the Axis and impose a relatively effective sea-blockade upon them both—Germany had just three capital ships and eight cruisers, and Italy six capital ships and nineteen cruisers. However, if Germany were to demand the services or even just claim the vessels of the French Navy for the Kriegsmarine and/or Regia Marina—by effectively (or quite literally) holding the families of its leaders and servicemen to ransom—then the Axis could have enough ships to threaten Allied shipping in the Mediterranean and/or, worse, escort an invasion force across the English channel with the aid of the Luftwaffe. Britain therefore quietly seizes the French ships that had taken refuge from the fall of France in Plymouth and Portsmouth, and issues ultimatums to the French flotillas in Alexandria and Mers-el-Kébir—surrender, or be destroyed. The Alexandrian flotilla of one battleship and four cruisers does not surrender but promises to sit out the war, which the Royal Navy reckons is good enough. But Admiral Darlan's flotilla of four battleships and six destroyers refuses either to surrender or make any promises to their former allies, and so the Royal Navy reluctantly uses carrier-based aircraft and the guns of three capital ships to try to sink the fleet at its moorings. The attack on Mers-el-Kébir doesn't do much damage, but it sends a powerful message to the Axis and the Commonwealth that Britain will fight the war to the end, no matter what. More importantly, the Germans keep their word to the new "Vichy" French regime under Marshal Pétain and let him keep what remains of the French Navy—three (damaged) battleships, and a handful of cruisers and destroyers. Much of the captured French fleet goes on to be used by the "Free French" forces under General Charles de Gaulle, the Alexandrian flotilla that rejoins the war in 1943. Britain now stands alone, with even some of its Channel Islands occupied by German Forces, note against the might of Hitler's Third Reich, and Mussolini's Fascist Italy. Their army is shattered and in no condition to resist an invasion, but they still have the Royal Navy, the Royal Air Force and the English Channel to protect them. The Germans, however, don't have specialized landing forces or amphibious landing gear and their navy is tiny; even more after their significant losses invading Norway, and their failure to seize the French fleet means it will be a long time before the Kriegsmarine can be reinforced.note Aerial superiority, therefore, is essential to shepherd an invasion force across the Channel and protect their supply convoys afterwards. Fortunately for the British, the Luftwaffe is exhausted by the high-tempo close air support operations their Blitzkrieg tactics require, so the Germans must pause for several weeks to rest and reequip their air forces before a full-scale assault can begin. The Luftwaffe does its best to put pressure on the RAF by targeting its aerodromes and radar installations. However, Nazi leadership once again insists upon meddling in the Luftwaffe's affairs, forcing changes in tactics and targets at the first signs of resistance in order to keep the "victories" coming. Bombing priorities are switched between RAF airfields and British urban-industrial centers at critical moments, and they fail to appreciate—largely as a result of false intelligence reports, mind—the significance of radar installations in drastically increasing the RAF's operational and tactical efficiency. This was because British intelligence, lead by William Stephenson, code name:Intrepid, had created the Doublecross system where any captured German spies (And post-war analysis realized that the British caught all the agents!) were forced to choose to become double agents or face execution. As a result of this effective counterespionage, Luftwaffe commanders had claimed that they would be able to reduce the RAF's capabilities to the point that an invasion would be a possibility within as little as two weeks; but after three months of trying for multiple objectives (destroying the RAF, destroying Britain's industry, and destroying civilian morale through attacks on urban centers) they still haven't gotten anywhere, and they've taken an awful lot of losses. The Germans decide to take their strategic bombing campaigns down several notches, making them purely night-time affairs to avoid further losses. Operation Sea Lion (which was never taken all that seriously to begin with) note is suspended pending the acquisition of sufficient Lebensraum and industry to produce a massive surface fleet—the minimum time-frame for which is five years, hopefully. Many come to believe, in retrospect, PM Churchill's claim that this was the UK's finest hour. Still, the Germans remain the masters of Fortress Europe and the Allies just don't have the strength to defeat them… and Britain isn't off the hook just yet, what with the Nazis taking submarine-based commerce-raiding warfare to new heights. Britain has to ship half of her food supplies and virtually all her rare materials in across the Atlantic Ocean, and there's an awful lot of water out there for the Kriegsmarine's "wolfpacks" to hide in. A constant menace, they destroy thousands of tons of vital merchant shipping, and in just a brief window from June until October of 1940, U-boats sink an astounding 270 Allied ships. In May 1941, the Germans complete their flagship, the Bismarck. They send her out into the Atlantic to raid commerce because the Germans do not have the numbers to take on the Royal Navy. The British quickly get wind of this and dispatch a squadron composed of battlecruiser HMS Hood and the brand new and untried battleship HMS Prince Of Wales to intercept.note But Hood is an old ship, designed before the WWI battle of Jutland convincingly demonstrated the vulnerability of battlecruisers, and she quickly explodes under Bismarck's accurate gunfire during their encounter in the Denmark Strait, taking all but three of her nearly 1500 man crew with her. Shocked, and yearning for revenge, Churchill personally orders anything that can float or fly to hunt down Bismarck. Damaged by Prince of Wales during their battle, the Germans decide to return to the safety of France and successfully give their pursuers the slip, causing the British Admiralty many sleepless hours until Bismarck can be located again. Realizing that Bismark is already safely beyond interception unless it can somehow be slowed, the British launch a last ditch aerial torpedo attack using outdated biplanes flown by inexperienced pilots in appalling weather conditions. Fortunately, with the weather working in their favor, the biplanes prove impossible to hit and their squadron leader scores the lucky torpedo hit that jams Bismark's rudders and allows the Royal Navy to catch up. Bismarck goes down fighting and like a certain ship that also went down on her maiden voyage, becomes a legend. Ironically, the U-boats sent to "Help" Bismarck only succeed in scaring off the British ships, leaving most of her crew to join HMS Hood's at the bottom of the Atlantic. Meanwhile, on the other side of the Atlantic, the United States - still isolationist but not wanting a repeat of the conditions that pulled them into World War One - declares a state of "armed neutrality" and a resolution to defend neutral shipping on their side of the pond. This effectively results in a state of undeclared war between the U.S. Navy and the German Kreigsmarine. Deeply disturbing for the Imperial Japanese Navy is the announcement of a huge naval construction program to make that defence possible—the "Two Ocean Navy" act of 1940 would see it dwarf even the Royal Navy within ten years note . This comes as a tremendous shock to the Japanese, who had long chafed under the hated 5-5-3 battleship ratio: the Two Ocean Navy act effectively set the new ratio at five to one, with similar increases in other classes of warships and 10,000 additional aircraft. In all their fulminations against the hated treatiesnote they'd never considered that they also served as a check on American behavior. This rearming also allows the US an opportunity to "loan" 50 aging but still serviceable destroyers to the UK, in return for long-term leases on naval bases, a sale in all but name. The "loaning" continued with the Lend-Lease Act of 1941, which throws the government's support behind the production of massive quantities of armaments for sale to the embattled European powers. But this isn't mere war-profiteering, unlike the earlier "Cash-and-Carry" Act, which was technically open to all belligerentsnote . This offer is open to the Allies only, and Great Britain in particular. It features decent prices and jaw-droppingly huge low- (and some no-) interest loans so that the Allies can actually afford to keep fighting, and more importantly to buy the USA's armaments.note The US also starts subsidizing airfield construction across the South Pacific with large gifts of cash and construction equipment to Australia and New Zealand, hoping to preserve a lifeline to the Philippines. Taken together, these measures mean the United States' neutrality is now a mere pretense.
The Second Roman Empire's "Glorious" Conquest of the Mediterranean
Mussolini feels left out of all this conquest, so he decides to try and jump in. Shortly before the fall of France, things kick off when British troops in Egypt (garrisoned to protect the Suez Canal) under the command of General Archibald Wavell launch raids into the Italian colony of Libya. The Italians respond in kind. Initially, things look like they might go well for Mussolini. The Italian military has a massive numerical advantage over the local Allied forces - which grows even greater after the fall of France - and they possess a formidable surface Navy that looks like it can actually wrestle with the Royal Navy and defeat them locally. In addition, their air force is more sophisticated and advanced than the Luftwaffe in many ways (as befitting their roles as aerial pioneers). However, underneath this apparent strength lies many weaknesses. Mussolini has turned one of the most formidable militaries on the planet during WWI into a paper tiger. He expanded the military to the point where it became unwieldy and could not provide adequate training to all its troops, while technologically, it slunk well below the cutting edge. And finally, Mussolini's agenda meant that he made enemies unnecessarily - especially ones that would prove too difficult for him to chew. Unfortunately for Italy, his previous targets had been too weak to contest him effectively. So, ignorant of the pitfalls, he decides to charge right ahead. In August, Mussolini opts to escalate the campaign and orders the Libyan forces - led by General Rodolfo Graziani - to launch an attack into Egypt to take the Suez Canal, against the General's protests that his forces aren't properly equipped. Not long afterwards, the Italian army launches attacks along the borders they have with the British colonies of British Somaliland, Sudan and Egypt, pitting somewhere around 400,000 soldiers against less than 100,000 Allied troops. Outnumbering the British by around 6 to 1 on the Libya-Egypt front, Graziani drives deep into Egypt while the British commanders scramble to reorganize their forces in the face of generalized attacks against them stretching from the Western desert to the Sudan. Within a matter of days, Graziani reaches and stops at Sidi Barrani due to supply problems while his compatriots overrun British Somalilandnote and seize sizable chunks of Egyptian and Sudanese borderland - to the point where Il Duce engages in (possibly exaggerated) Evil Gloating by claiming he has seized territory equal to the British "Home Islands" in the Horn of Africa. However, although horrendously outnumbered and initially outgunned, the Allied forces are able to engage in model fighting retreats that save the overwhelming majority of their forces and inflict far heavier losses than they take. When the overstretched and poorly tended Italian supply lines snap, it only gets worse. Unable to advance or withdraw, the Italians dig in to try and consolidate their gains. They establish a series of fortified camps, stockpiling supplies in anticipation of a renewed offensive to take Alexandria and the Suez. But before they get the chance to do so the British launch Operation Compass—which was meant to be a 5-day raid by some of the 40,000 Commonwealth troops to weaken the Italians' force of 130,000 soldiers before the latter launch their next offensive. It succeeds beyond their wildest expectations, due to the Italians' chronic lack of communications equipment and staff, and general disorganisation and command-confusion. The inferiority of Italian equipment note , their lack of motorized transports and the highly dispersed nature of their camps meant that individual force after individual force of Italians is surrounded by much bigger and better-equipped forces with its members required to choose between being massacred or surrendering. The British capture virtually all the camps, huge stockpiles of supplies, and tens of thousands of Italian soldiers for less than 700 casualties. The Italians execute a disorganized retreat back to Libya as the ever-advancing British vanguard leads Compass through a localized counteroffensive into a full-blown offensive that continues to drive the Italians westward. While this is going on, Mussolini decides to divert even more troops to his Albanian protectorate and issues an ultimatum to General Metaxas' (quasi-Fascist!) Greek government: renounce the British guarantee of their neutrality and allow Italian and German soldiers to occupy undisclosed points of the country. When this is unsurprisingly refused, Mussolini claims that Greece holds an un-neutral attitude against the Axis. The Italians promptly invade Greece across the mountainous border with Albania during late 1940, forcing Greece into the Western Allied camp. What follows is a series of Curb Stomp Battles on every front. The British push into Libya, culminating in the encirclement of the Italian Tenth Army (about half of the Italian force in North Africa) near the town of Beda Fomm, where they are eventually forced to surrender en masse despite increasingly desperate and fiercely-fought breakthrough attempts using their new and improved M13/40 tanks… which aren't enough to compensate for the way the Italian army fundamentally lacks the communications equipment and staff they need to actually exploit such breakthroughs (even after the issues of who exactly is in charge and who is supposed to be obeying whom are largely sorted out). After all is said and done, the British have taken most of eastern Libya and captured 115,000 Axis soldiers, several hundred vehicles and over a thousand artillery pieces. In addition, they have given the Allies their first major victory of the war, a major morale boost given the litany of defeats they suffered beforehand. In the South, the British take charge of an Allied force - consisting of themselves, much of the Commonwealth, the Free French and Belgians - and begin to push back into Italian East Africa. Resistance is considerably sterner than in the North; the overextended Italian positions crumble but don't go down without a fight. However, even with their superior numbers, the utter lack of supplies and poorer quality slowly tell out while Ethiopia erupts beneath their feet. The Italians turn and fight numerous hard actionsnote , but the clock is ticking and they are running out of room. Meanwhile, the Italian invasion of Greece first stalls and then is routed by the woefully outnumbered Greeks utilizing superior leadership, the terrain, and Allied aid. The Greeks then pursue them into Albania itself and over the course of several bitter months of fighting push steadily towards the coast in spite of Axis reinforcements pouring in from just across the Adriatic, inflicting heavy casualties. Here too the Italians fight staunchly and bitterly, but are still slowly losing. Simultaneously, the Regia Aeronautica's attempts to bomb Malta into submission fail, and the naval war in the Mediterranean turns sharply against them with a series of battles, most notably those of Tarantonote and Cape Matapannote . It seems like a perfect sweep. Nonetheless, while the Western Allies have won a series of victories, they have not driven the Italians out of any of the theaters just yet. This gives the Italians time to regroup, rearm, and reinforce - and, more importantly, call in help from Nazi Germany, forcing the diversion of much-needed troops.
The Desert Fox
In response, Germany sends the Deutsches Afrikakorps to North Africa, led by the newly promoted Major General Erwin Rommel (formerly commander of the 7th Panzer Division, notable for its stunning maneuvers in the Battle of France, which earned it the nickname "The Ghost Division") and launches an invasion of the Balkans. The Wehrmacht then proves their success in France was no fluke by blitzing through Yugoslavia and Greece, capturing most of the Mediterranean. The British take the militarily risky but politically necessary step of stripping their army in Egypt of troops in order to reinforce Greece, only to be thrown back in their third hasty evacuation of the war. The Germans take the island of Crete in the world's first major airborne assault, though the extremely high casualties discourage them from ever launching another like it. Ironically the British, and later the Americans, are very impressed by the performance of the Fallschirmjäger and soon issue directives to begin building up their own airborne divisions. Only the plucky island of Malta manages to hold on despite heavy casualties and near-starvation, an act that gets the entire island awarded the George Cross. Mussolini is humiliated, and Hitler is provided with a whole raft of snide remarks for future cocktail party conversations (it's worth noting that Italy suffered nearly as much as France in World War One, so the Allies weren't the only ones suffering from fatalism and defeatism). The field shifts to North Africa, where the Axis and Allies wage battles for control over the vital Suez Canal and access to the priceless oil supplies of the Middle East. Rommel arrives in Tripoli on February 14, 1941, to begin supervising the offloading of his new command, and finds himself both undermanned and under-equipped. But does that stop him? Nope. When he sees how short-handed he is in tanks, Rommel pulls a few cheap tricks to make the British think he actually outnumbers them. At a parade in Tripoli, the Panzers are driven in circles around the square to make British spies believe the Germans have an endless column of tanks. He then orders his troops to begin moving as quickly as possible, getting anything with an engine to move in order to create huge clouds of sand, plowing through British positions in Cyrenaica before they know what hit them and capturing considerable amounts of supplies and prisoners—including the man who masterminded Compass—in his wake. However, while he defeats and drives back the Allies, he fails to crush them, and in a weakness we will see a lot from him, he overextends his supply line by relying heavily on captured enemy supplies. When the British reorganize and launch a desperate counterattack that drives him back, those supplies dry up. This leaves him high and dry, but not before he has taken thousands of prisoners and encircled the crucial port of Tobruk, which is now the only main Allied base in Cyrenaica. For the next several months, the battle lines are largely static. The Allies and Axis raid each other constantly with varying success, but attempts to change the main situation fail; Rommel repeatedly launches attacks to seize Tobruk that are all driven back by the Australian 9th Infantry Division, the Allies (especially the famed British 7th "Desert Rats" Armored Division) launch attacks to try to relieve Tobruk and liberate Cyrenaica but are pushed back themselves. The Allies take disproportionately heavy tank losses, the Axis suffer extreme manpower ones, and neither can decide the issue. This is partially because the Allies have to deal with numerous conflicts tied directly into the North African campaign but far flung from it at the same time as they are fighting Rommel. The Allies were currently committed to supporting several Free French takeovers of Vichy territory throughout the world. At the same time, Iraqi ultranationalists and Islamists rose up and overthrew the British puppet monarchy in Baghdad and aligned themselves with the Axis, laying siege to the major RAF base in the region. The British reacted quickly and dispatched reinforcements by land, sea, and air to relieve the siege and crush the rebellion, one of the highlights being a squadron of armored cars driving from Egypt to Iraq in a matter of days to help knock out a rival Axis armored car column and open the way to Baghdad. Unfortunately, the Axis Iraqi government then fled to the Vichy colony of Lebanon-Syria and it was revealed that the Axis planes resupplying the enemy in Iraq had to use the posts in Syria (which was governed by an "unusual" alliance of the Vichy French and their Syrian ultranationalist enemies). At the same time, they suspected that the Persian government favored the Germans and refused to transport supplies to the Soviets (who were by then at war with the Axis), leading to the British Commonwealth invading a neutral nation at peace from the South and the Soviets invading from the North, opening the way for an occupation to allow supplies to be funneled across. Somewhere in there, they managed to wrap up the East African campaign, netting somewhere to the tune of 200,000~ Italian soldiers. Having dealt with those side episodes, the Western Allies were finally able to redeploy their forces to deal with Rommel in Cyrenaica. In the end, they manage to punch through and Rommel runs out of tanks, supplies, and mobile men, forcing him to retreat after one final attack, Operation Crusader. This showcases how the war in Africa will be fought for the next year. Nevertheless, the African Front will come to be known as the most humane and romanticized combat zone of the war, where Rommel becomes a well-respected commander (earning praise from Winston Churchill himself). However, the war in Africa is small compared to what is coming down the tubes, as Germany gears up to break its alliance with Russia (and winds up depriving Rommel of much-needed reinforcements and supplies for his offensives that he overspends anyway). In spite of this, the North African front remains important for various reasons, second only to the Eastern Front for the time they were both raging. It represents either the largest or second largest Western Allied commitment in a combat theater (possibly bigger than the contemporary PTO depending on how one measures it) and remains the second largest European Axis frontline commitment, second only to the Eastern Front itselfnote . Rommel's retreat and a coherent Allied pursuit last only a few months. Then the Japanese entry into the war and other Free French commitments force a massive weakening of the Western Desert Front (including the diversion of virtually all of the Australian war effort), not the least of which is the ambitious invasion of the Vichy Indian Ocean colonies (grouped here for clarity). This invasion is driven by the Allies' fear that they would support Rommel and/or allow Japanese bases to be made the way the Vichy had allowed in French Indochina. What follows is a bit of foreshadowing, since it is one of the single largest amphibious invasions in history against Madagascar. It lasts far longer than optimal, but in a few months, the British have cleared the Indian Ocean of European threats just as the Japanese are coming in (a few of their submarines made a minor appearance during the battle) and seized one of the world's largest islands. Unfortunately, this is a hollow victory as Rommel takes advantage of the confusion. He regroups, resupplies, and starts blunting the Allied attacks before smashing them at Gazala, his masterpiece. This, coupled with the simultaneous Japanese entry into the war and growing Axis successes in the Mediterranean, stretches the British to the breaking point. Since North Africa was overly dependent on them, they fall back in a chaotic retreat, leaving Rommel free to pick them off and finally overwhelm Tobruk. The Western Allies lose somewhere along the lines of 50,000 men in the Gazala campaign. The main Western Allied forces only stop running when they reach El Alamein, due west of the Nile River Valley. There, they are able to reorganize, rearm, and set up strong defensive positions that Rommel cannot outflank due to the terrain. Rommel sees yet another opportunity to drive all the way to the Canal and tries to bounce the Commonwealth off the last line. The Western Allies promptly beat him back at the height of his power and thanks to the attempt, Rommel sees his supplies dry up again, leaving him awkwardly wedged in a position where he can neither attack nor defend well. Nevertheless, the disaster at Gazala demands reckoning and Churchill sacks the Western Desert Force commander (Again) and appoints new leadership, including a replacement commander for the Eighth Army, as their previous one had died before he could take command. This replacement is one Lieutenant-General Bernard Law Montgomery.
Operation BARBAROSSA, aka Germany does far too well…?
After failing to bring Britain down, Hitler looks east to his old ally-cum-enemy: the Soviet Union. Until this point, the Soviets weren't officially Hitler's enemy. In 1939 the Germans and Soviets had entered into the Molotov–Ribbentrop Pact, in which they agreed they would not fight each other, would continue trading with each other in the event of a war with the Allies, and would divide up Eastern Europe between them. More specifically, they agreed that Finland down to Eastern Poland would constitute a new "Soviet Sphere" and Prussia/West Poland would be the new "German Sphere". Germany also licensed the Soviets to produce a model of the BMW motorcycle.note This alliance of convenience was useful to both sides but neither expected it to last, and one of Hitler's life dreams had always been to destroy the "Jewish Communists" in the Soviet Union as a stepping stone to taking on the USA - the true heart of "The Jewish Conspiracy that was Secretly Controlling The World". Josef Stalin had agreed to the proposition as he liked territory, he liked the idea of Germany exhausting herself fighting a years-long World War One-esque conflict with France and thus being too busy to attack the USSR, and he liked the idea of The Red Army having time to modernise before it had to worry about being attacked by the victors of said years-long conflict. Contrary to the usual stereotypes of invasions of Russia being doomed to failure, Russia actually suffered a major German invasion in World War One and disintegrated into a Civil War, one faction of which surrendered. The Royal government was dissolved by a coup thanks to a food-shortage, general political bumbling and the loss of the monarchy's remaining political capital thanks to poor handling of the war effort. The Provisional Government which succeeded it was brought down by massive popular discontent stirred up by the continued food-crisis and eventually another coup launched by the Russian Communist Party. And The Russian Communist Party surrendered to Germany because they disbanded the army and discovered, to their shock, that their volunteer citizen-militias weren't good enough (unlike The Royal Army had been) to defend them from the Germans. In short, people regarded Russia as a deranged cousin of the Banana Republic - an anarchic, barbarous, chaotic society with a government that had gone from incompetent bumbling to inefficient malice. Despite being even bigger than The French Army, the Red Army was also associated with total incompetence thanks to a decidedly mixed performance against the Poles during the Russian Civil War and a horrendously poor showing in The Winter War against Finland. This poor showing was chiefly due to very recent developments in Soviet politics. Chief among these were the 1937 Army Purges which saw the imprisonment of the overwhelming majority of commanders with experience managing units of more than 3000 troops, but also something much more important: the disbandment of the Red Army's armoured and motorised forces. Stalin's cronies rubbished the military theorist Tukhachevsky and his remarkably prescient ideas about 'mobile warfare', 'deep battle', and the encirclement of large enemy forces by using large motorised forces. They did this by having him and his debate-partners tried for treason and executed, and all the USSR's motorised and armoured divisions, corps, and armies disbanded: no more 'deep battle' theorists, no more armoured forces, trenches and artillery were so very obviously the way of the future. While Deep Battle was not officially abandoned as a military doctrine, and artillery had actually held a key role (together with supply- and transport-trucks, aerial reconnaisance and air-support, and tanks) in Deep Battle doctrine, in practice the de facto doctrine of the Red Army reverted to something much less logical and 1905-esque. Tukhachevsky had wanted entire 'mobile' armies - units with 100,000 to 500,000 men and tens of thousands of trucks and thousands of tanks - that could move (semi-independently of railways, even, if supported by enough trucks!) at twice or more the speed of infantry armies marching on foot and supplied by horse-carts. Stalin's cronies said that no, that was stupid: the trucks would be used to supplement the horse-carts, and the tanks would be spread out so every infantry army of 100k-500k had a hundred or more tanks each. But suddenly, Germany used mobile armies to execute devastatingly successful campaigns in Poland and France which ended in one year what everyone had thought would be a multi-year war of attrition... and all this when the Soviet Union had just disbanded her own mobile armies to imitate the French Army more closely (barring Lec Lerc's lone, experimental motorised corps). ...oops. To his credit, Stalin was able to recognise that maybe Tukhachevsky had actually had a point. In fact, Stalin thought that Tukhachevsky had had so much of a point he ordered the immediate re-constitution of all the Red Army's big mobile units... but bigger. Much, much bigger. Instead of just putting the pre-purge big mobile units back together again a whole bunch of new large units would be created. In this way, the entire mobile element of the Red Army would be more than quadrupled in size by 1945! In the meantime, each and every one of those units would only have a tiny fraction of the men, equipment, and weaponry that it should when it was finally reinforced to full-strength. But just so long as they weren't actually required to do any fighting between 1940 and 1945, everything would be fine! For their part it should be noted that the Germans were not going into Russia completely blind. They spent months researching Napoleon's invasion, and noted many differences between 1941 and 1812 (although they completely ignored the lessons of the WWI eastern theatre, as we'll get to in a moment). For one, Russia now had specific centers of strategic importance in Ukraine and the Baltic States, the former being an area of agricultural and industrial importance. To simply abandon these, along with Leningrad, would have been disastrous to the Soviet war effort, so they would need to be defended and there was little chance that the Russians would simply pack up everything and retreat. Like the invasions of France and Poland, this would depend on the Wehrmacht outmaneuvering Russian armies, cutting them off from resupply and so forcing them to surrender without much fighting. Finally on June 22, 1941, exactly one year after the fall of France, Hitler launches Operation Barbarossa. It is the largest offensive in the history of warfare, one so massive that three dedicated headquarters are needed to coordinate it. All three HQ manage an army group of more than a million men each (including logistics personnel) for a total of about 2.7 million combat troops (of whom half are "first-rate"/can be used for offensive actions and the rest only "second-rate"/only useful for defensive actions and policing stuff), 624k horses, 120k trucks, 3k tanks and 3k airplanes (i.e., only half the Luftwaffe). In this initial period of the war only Germans make up this forcenote . The front is 1000km long and stretches from the lower Baltic, across the Polish plains and Carpathian mountains to the Black Sea. Like we said, it's a truly massive undertaking. The awe this generates is undermined by completely inadequate preparations. Wishful thinking, oversights and flat out incompetence pervade every aspect of the top-level planning process (see Easy Logistics for more details). The "logic" for this endeavor roughly goes like this: it took three years to defeat the Russians in WWI, and France fought on until the end in four. In 1940 France fell apart in the span of a few weeks, so obviously Russia will capitulate to the Blitzkrieg in even less time. Surely they had no reason to worry about the finer details such as cold weather equipment, occupying the territory and what have you. Right? The operational plan for Barbarossa is a prime example of the dangers inherent in politicizing a military force, and shows how self-destructive prejudice and a belief in one's superiority can be; it marks a milestone along the road to the death of professionalism, objectivity and eventually logic in Nazi German policy. It says a lot that Joseph Goebbels, a man with no military training but at least one ounce of common sense, is the only German leader on-record as doubting the Wehrmacht's ability to defeat the USSR in the six weeks specified in Unternehmen Barbarossa. Barbarossa also faces another overwhelming risk before the first shot is ever fired: keeping it a secret. Or rather, how the measures that should have been in place to keep it secret prove woefully inadequate. The operation is so large that absolutely everybody had at least one person on their payroll who saw it coming. That the Germans thought the Soviets, the world's best-informed power (especially by the crazy conspiracy theories the Nazi Party was based on), wouldn't see it coming was epically moronic. The universal appeal of socialist ideals (the USSR's atrocities only came to light during the Cold War) means they have spies everywhere (including well-placed ones within the German and British administrations, something no contemporary power has), and their military intelligence directorate (GRU) is good enough at signals intelligence to pin-point the locations of pretty much every German unit in central Europe. Even if the Germans doubted the Soviets' capabilities, the UK and USA would have good reasons to pass on any such information if they came by it (and indeed, they did). All of this means that Barbarossa should never have come as a surprise. Yet it does, and the Red Army and Soviet Union as an institution is caught woefully unprepared for the war, even though plenty of individuals in it predicted and prepared for it. As it turns out, the insanity of the NSDAP has once again proven to be its greatest asset - with considerable aid from one Iosif Vissarionovich Dzugashvili. For although Germany's preparations for invading the USSR were transparent, the Nazis were able to tie together some surprisingly resourceful lies to convince Uncle Joe otherwise. One of the two most fundamental deceptions was encouraging the impression that there was a huge split between Hitler, the Nazi party, and the navy on the one hand, and Goering (and therefore the Luftwaffe) and the Army on the other. German counterintelligence was personally directed (and in some cases, even micromanaged) by Hitler into making it look like Hitler & co. were in favour of dealing with the Soviets and Goering and the Army were making insubordinate attempts to stir up a war between Germany and the Soviet Union. The second Great Deception was giving Stalin the impression that Britain and the US were trying to drive Stalin and Hitler apart in the hope that Britain alone might be able to resists Germany and (hopefully) the Soviet Union would turn on Germany in a fit of paranoia, critically weakening both sides and leaving them open to a white peace (in Britain's case) or total conquest (by the USA). Both fundamental deceptions were things that Stalin was ready and willing to believe, especially given the way his purges had filled every institution of the Soviet State with 'yes'-men... including its intelligence organisations. Lavrenty Beria, the mass-murdering serial rapist sociopath leader of the NKVD (forerunner to the KGB) and mastermind of the Purges had been in Stalin's inner circle for some years by 1940-41 and knew very well that telling Stalin what he wanted to hear was far more lucrative than telling him the truth. But the USSR had a second intelligence agency: the military intelligence bureau, the GRU. GRU chief Colonel Ivan Proskurov was a competent, straight-talking man who was good at his job (assessing threats to the USSR's security) and told Stalin the truth (that it was overwhelmingly likely that Germany was probably going to attack them, and soon). Because of this Stalin thought that he was incompetent at best and war-mongering at worst and in July 1940 had him fired and replaced by Colonel Filipp Golikov, a semi-competent sycophant who told Stalin exactly what he wanted to hear - that Hitler wasn't planning a war, Goering and Halder (Chief of the Army General Staff) were. In October 1941, three months after the German invasion, Proskurov was executed without trial by the NKVD. In February 1942 Golikov was promoted to command the 500,000 combat troops of the Red Army's Voronezh Front.... where he masterminded a poor response to the German's Fall Blau offensive that summer, the mixed-success of the Soviet Operation Star offensive in the winter of '42-43, and the complete fiasco that was the Germans' Third Kharkov counter-offensive in Spring 1943 (whereupon even Stalin realised his mediocrity and he was Kicked Upstairs to a harmless post in the military bureaucracy). But more on that later. In 1940-41, Golikov's search for any and all sources to support the conclusion that Germany wasn't about to attack the USSR was made easier by German counterintelligence for one thing, but more by the utter and mind-bogglingly stupidity of Germany's preparations for the war. As he noted (accurately, admittedly) in Nazi Germany military production was dictated by Hitler, not Goering/the Army, and Germany was not producing what she'd need to wage a war on the USSR: trucks, armoured vehicles, artillery, small-arms, and infantry equipment to replace the colossal losses she could expect to take in a years-long ground war note . Nor is she training up the large manpower reserves she'd need to replace her personnel losses (the German reserve standing at less than 300k, versus more than 3 million for the Soviets). Stalin dismisses Barbarossa as mere posturing by Hitler—he's just using Goering and Halder's insubordination as a way to test Stalin's resolve and make him back down from his talk of getting friendlier with Rumania, as well as honoring the conditions of the First—and particularly the Second—Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact. The second includes further trading for rubber and aluminium, which Germany has no other way to get and would need (in quantities she doesn't currently have) to prosecute the aforementioned years-long war against the USSRnote . There's also the way the start date is changed from May to June because of bad weather which would ground the Luftwaffe and bog down the advance in swollen rivers and mud, which seemingly confirms the plan's fakeness. The (faulty) logic of both sides is also visible in the way the opening chapters of the war play out. Germany decides to strike north of the nigh-impassable Pripyat Marshes which take up a great deal of Belorussia, and basically divides the theatre-of-war in two. This is because they think that the forces on their mutual border (a million combat-troops) account for more than 1/2 of the entire Red Army and that the Red Army as a whole is largely based north of the marshes. This means that, in order to destroy the Red Army and win the war, they need to strike north - there also being a provision here for attacking Leningrad and Moscow in a secondary, follow-on operation that would surely do the trick even if the Soviets hadn't totally surrendered by that point. While they are right about the border-troops being based in the north, these are only 1/3 of the entire Red Army and Soviet forces are in fact concentrated along the Dnepr-Dvina rivers (100-300km east of the border) along a line 1500km long with their main strength being in the south. This is because the Soviets prioritised protecting The Ukraine, their chief agricultural and industrial region.note . The looming catastrophe is made worse by Stalin's efforts to make the Red Army the most-politicized military in Europe ever since the Army Purges of 1937. Stalin had been instensely distrustful of the military's freethinking spirit. It had to stop because a military that thought long and hard about things was also a military that might think about the orders it was given—and whether or not they were good ones. So he decided to stamp that out the hard way: arresting people, beating people so severely their eyes fell out, hosting show trials, executing several of the finest commanders and military theorists the Soviet Union—and indeed the world— has ever known (as well as just as many if not more utter incompetents)… et cetera. So in the end, Stalin's will is the Army's will, etcetc. But Stalin didn't have a clear will when it came to the Red Army's preparations for a Soviet-German war, and all his preparations were centerd around the war happening on his terms: i.e. in 1942 at the earliest, and ideally later. On the one hand, Stalin had realised the error of his ways and wanted the Red Army to have mechanized armies again a la Tukhachevsky-style Deep Battle. Substantial mobile forces could be used for a more active defense to counter the enemy's mobile forces, and would be necessary for success when attacking. But on the other hand he also distrusted all this new-fangled mobile warfare stuff and wanted a good ol' fashioned defensive line of bunkers and fortresses on the Soviet-German border. In practice the funds allotted to this project were insufficient, so his subordinates (including Zhukov) decided to take obsolescent artillery pieces and machine guns from certain sections of the old 1930s-era 'Stalin Line' of border fortifications (built a short way back from the Soviet-Polish border) and put them into the new defensive line. The stuff about mobile forces was pulled straight from the recently-purged Tukachevsky's manual on "deep battle"note , the latter was just Stalin hedging his bets. The fundamental problem with his pursuit of both approaches, however, is that Stalin ensured that planning for a Soviet-German war was based around fighting the Germans when their preparations were complete, rather than planning to make do with what they had. Stalin hadn't just let the Soviets be taken by surprise - he'd ensured that they were taken by surprise while changing. The Red Army wasn't just kneed in the groin when they weren't expecting it, they were caught in the middle of taking their proverbial jumper off and had it over their head and their hands caught in the sleeves with no possible response other than blind, flailing kicks aimed in the general direction of the Wehrmacht's shins. The first two weeks are a colossal defeat for the Soviets' border armies as the scant organized resistance is too piecemeal and the forces involved are so vastly outnumbered that it doesn't really make a difference. The Germans manage to use commandos, air power, and artillery to sever completely almost every level of the Red Army's chain-of-command in the border districts. This means that the Red Army on most of the Soviet-German border basically ceases to exist within hours of Barbarossa. Worse still, none of the Soviet troops are prepared to fight—they aren't even on alert and they certainly haven't manned any defensive positions or brought their weapons and vehicles out of storage. The German mobile forces are able to start exploitation on just the second-to-third day (though they'd planned to do so on the first). This is all with the notable exception of the southern-most military district, which is actually on alert when the war starts. Dealing with the individual Soviet soldier proves to be trickier, since they do exist and try to do the best they can with what they know. And, with overwhelming Axis forces crossing the border, that is to run and to hide. The 300k men in the Galicia-Podolia pocket in the south have nowhere to run and so are more or less obliterated, but in the center and north c.500k Soviet troops flee east in an attempt to reach the Dnepr-Dvina defensive line and c.100k of them make it, running more than 300 km note . This is where the Wehrmacht's headaches begin. Fleeing Soviet troops with no anti-tank weapons can't make a dent in the mobile forces - which have armored vehicles - and without heavy weapons (machine guns, mortars, etc.) they have trouble with enemy infantry as well. But the supply trains of the Wehrmacht's forces, with nothing but trucks and horse-carts guarded by "second rate" troops, prove far easier and indeed very attractive targets to starving Soviet infantrymen stuck behind enemy lines. And here a major problem of Blitzkrieg becomes apparent—when you advance forces behind the enemy lines, your forces' supply lines also have to advance behind enemy lines. So unless you clear every square kilometre of the area you've "captured" (the Minsk pocket covers maybe 200,000 square kilometres, much of it forest and bog)… they're still a problem. The situation becomes so bad that the German mobile forces have to station a tank along every hundred metres of road to protect their trucks — and this means the mobile forces at the leading edge of their armies get weaker as the advance continues, even when they don't lose troops to mechanical problems or fighting. And they do. Somewhat amusingly, Minister of Propaganda Joseph Goebbels is also facing a major dilemma — how to show the German people just how 'Lebensraum' the Wehrmacht has managed to conquer while avoiding drawing attention to the size of the USSR. He settles for focusing instead on the raw numbers of captured Soviet personnel and material without reference to the Soviets' ability to replace it, something many ex-Wehrmacht Generals do in their own post-war memoirs. On some level, this makes a degree of sense. The Germans won the Eastern Front of WWI by defeating the Bolsheviks' citizen-militias after the Tsarist Army was disbanded, and the Polish and 1940 campaigns were over before Germany's enemies could even begin to replace the forces they'd lost — and this is exactly the kind of campaign that Barbarossa is meant to be. Unfortunately this is not the same Bolshevik military they were facing in 1917, the logistical difficulties are least as bad as in the eastern front campaigns of WWI (likely worse, given the more than doubling of the troops without a proportional increase in their train- and truck-tonnage), the logistical difficulties are several-fold greater than the previous small and short campaigns of WWII, and the Soviets have every reason to resist a universally-loathed genocidal enemy rather than a merely disliked racist and imperialist one. With Soviet troops still pouring through the southern and eastern sides of the Minsk pocket, in the third week of Barbarossa the 300k men of Army Group Center's mobile forces are given the OKH's approval to take the Dnepr-Dvina rivers and the city of Smolensk. They are working under the assumption that they've already destroyed 1/2 of the Red Army and there are just 200k troops between them and Moscow. Thus, closing the Smolensk pocket should take just another two weeks, meaning the end of all organised Soviet resistance and the start of a virtually unopposed advance to Moscow by the end of July. However, the actual number of Soviet troops is more like 300k. And they have a lot of artillery and air superiority—whereas the German Mobile Forces, at the end of a very tentative logistical tether that's severely strained by transport bottlenecks and breakdown-rates over horrible road-infrastructure, as well as being badly disrupted by 50k Soviet troops still trying to flee from the Minsk pocket… have precious little. The Germans' first stab at making a pocket around Smolensk actually fails in the face of an artillery-heavy Soviet counter-attack upon the forces trying to pinch it off. At this point, German Blitzkrieg doctrine calls for the heavy use of artillery and/or air-power to suppress the defenders. But whereas the Soviets have enough ammunition to continously bombard certain sectors of the front for days at a time, and enough planes to make dozens of attacks a day, most of the German mobile forces only have enough ammunition for half an hour's firing per day. And the Luftwaffe is nowhere to be seen, with only forty-fifty combat-capable 'fighter' aircraft able to patrol the 1500km of front-lines for a few hours at a time on any given day. After considerable bickering between German generals not eager to take the (tank-)losses involved, one finally forces their army to bludgeon its way through to completing the encirclement. But then a Soviet counter-offensive with 200k fresh troops hits in earnest, opening it again. And then, when the Soviets have completely exhausted themselves trying to encircle the Germans, the 500k combat troops Army Group Center's infantry armies finally catch up after five weeks of non-stop marching and somehow manage to summon just enough strength to pinch it off one last time and then hold their positions as July ends... and the fighting doesn't. The Germans want to pull their mobile forces back so they can rest and repair all their damaged tanks. The Soviets won't let them, because if they can do this then they can use said mobile forces to go on the offensive again. So while 300k Soviet troops are captured and 100k escape, the fighting doesn't actually stop. The Yelnya salient in particular becomes the most fought-over ground of the entire European war up to that point as about half the combat units in Army Group Center are rotated through it (to avoid any one unit taking more than 20% losses). Recognising that further rotation was impossible without disbanding some combat units and re-distributing the men among the rest (something Hitler vigorously opposed throughout the war) the Germans withdraw from Yelnya in mid-August, terming it a 'front-consolidation operation'. Soviet and British propaganda tout it for what it was: a retreat. The Heer won the battle of Smolensk, but failed to achieve Operation Barbarossa's objectives. At Smolensk their mobile forces attacked a force that they had assumed was much weaker than it really was, and so they took far worse losses and far longer to defeat them than they'd planned for. The Wehrmacht's offensive ability rested on those mobile forces, and with them so badly damaged the Heer as a whole was unable to keep attacking and the front bogged down in attrition trench-warfare. Before Smolensk there was talk of reaching the Caspian Sea and the Urals according to the timetable set out in the planning for Barbarossa (i.e. by the end of August). After Smolensk the commanders of the Wehrmacht's mobile forces are begging for a two-week rest-and-refitting period because their forces are completely incapable of further combat operations. Before Smolensk Imperial Japan was considering attacking Soviet Siberia. After Smolensk they rule it out. The Wehrmacht have lost a third of their total of 3000 tanks, another third need repairs and half of the ones currently combat capable (i.e., 1/6 of the total) are obsolete and can be destroyed by weapons carried by even ill-equipped Soviet regulars or particularly crafty partisans. Monthly German tank-production is less than 50 units (5% of the current total) and tank-engine production is less than 300 units per-month versus more than 1000 units requiring major repairs of this type... against Soviet production of 200 tanks per-month. The Luftwaffe is also suffering. Half the Luftwaffe's planes on the Eastern Front have been destroyed or need repairs and they require six months to recover their losses. For now the rest cannot support operations beyond the current front-lines or even continually defend the current ones from Soviet air attacks. One problem that the Wehrmacht itself does not address or even acknowledge is their awful supply situation and the rapid degradation of their motorised transport pool in particular—something that was never meant to happen, since the planning assumed that the railways would be sufficient for the front's requirements. In other words, they assumed that the trucks and horse-carts would be hauling supplies to the front from depots already fairly close to the front (no more than 50km, say) rather than depots in Poland and Germany (200-400km one-way). But even when (in August) the railways all the way up to the front lines were converted to European gauge the forces at the front still had to send trucks to Germany and back to build up the stockpiles necessary for the next offensive by Army Group Center - when they weren't supposed to be used in that capacity (hauling supplies from Germany to the depots near the front) in the first place. Joseph Goebbels notes with considerable irritation that the British press actually reports Smolensk as a Soviet victory, but acknowledges that German propaganda has to change direction and begin steeling the German people to accept a longer and much harder war. He, for one, does not think, now that Barbarossa has failed, that it will succeed by Christmas instead as the Wehrmacht is now promising.
Kiev & Taifun, aka 'Germany does far too well………………?''
In the Ukraine, Stalin and Hitler wrestle with their subordinates for control of military operations. Belarus and the Baltic States are a giant, swampy forest: though not entirely worthless, the area is of little value. But the primary aim of Barbarossa (albeit in the most roundabout and inefficient way possible) and pre-War Soviet planning had been to take and secure the Ukraine, respectively. With Barbarossa having ground to a halt on the Dvina-Dnepr rivers in the face of the Soviet Reserve Armies Hitler, Stalin, and their respective General Staffs disagree about how to proceed. Chief of the Heer's General Staff Franz Halder wants an immediate drive to Moscow, believing that if the entire airpower and logistical resources of the Ostheer are concentrated behind them they'll have enough fuel, fodder, food, and ammunition to power right through the Soviet offensive currently tying down their forces at Smolensk and take Moscow on the march. With that done Leningrad will be cut off from all supply and reinforcement and will fall in short order as well, and Soviet resistance will collapse shortly thereafter. General Fedor von Bock of Army Group Center agrees with the gist of the plan, but thinks they might need a couple of weeks of rest, repairs, and stockpiling first. Hitler, however, disagrees. Barbarossa was supposed to take out Leningrad, Moscow, and the Ukraine in the first month, and it clearly hasn't. Germany needs the Ukraine's resources (aluminium, rare metals, food) to keep fighting the war, and the sooner the better. Moscow-Leningrad can be taken later; the Ukraine is his top priority. Hitler gets his way because he's, well, Hitler. He makes an open, direct order to the Ostheer that they will take the Ukraine to forestall any possibility of Halder or anyone else acting to the contrary. Accordingly, Heinz Guderian's Second Panzer Army (which operates at the very southern tip of Army Group Middle's jurisdiction) is ordered to move south as soon as it is able to disengage from the frontlines. The Soviets' Smolensk offensive is so fierce that it is only able to start doing this in mid-August. Chief of the Red Army's General Staff Georgy Zhukov wants an immediate withdrawal from the Kiev salient. He tells Stalin that the forces there are far too weak to conduct a successful counter-offensive against a German counter-offensive operation, that most of them will be cut off and trapped if they do not start evacuating the salient before said German offensive starts, and that the Germans will launch such an offensive instead of one to take Moscow. He justifies this by pointing out that the Germans still need time to stockpile supplies for another offensive push on Moscow by Army Group Center, something he thinks the Soviet offensives in that sector (which force them to consume ammunition and fuel that would otherwise have been stockpiled) has hampered to preclude for now. Stalin asks Zhukov to think carefully about his opinion, because Stalin is quite sure that Hitler is just the kind of wack-job nutcase who'd prioritise Moscow over a more sensible target like Ukraine - after all, if Barbarossa proved anything it's that Hitler is utterly insane. Zhukov stands by his assertions. Stalin is impressed... and fires him, replacing him with Timoshenko (one of Stalin's BF Fs from the Russian Civil War). Stalin sends Zhukov to defend Leningrad - still a relatively important posting, but not one where he'll play any part in what's to come - whether a push on Moscow, as Stalin fears, or on the Ukraine as Zhukov claimed. The Battle of Kiev was, then, a pure and unadulterated Hitler vs Stalin action. Both had overriden the objections of their subordinates and imposed their own authority upon them, directly associating themselves with victory or defeat in the coming battle. And only one could be vindicated. Operation Barbarossa was a non-starter in the south. The Red forces there were the only ones to pass the Red Army's own standards of combat-readiness just one month previously and were the only Red Army forces actually on alert and prepared for military action on June 22nd. Whereas opposite Army Groups Center and North Soviet resistance crumbled on just the second-to-third day of the offensive, the forces opposite Army Group South stand their ground (and execute fighting retreats, something almost unheard of by Soviet forces at any stage of the war!) for three weeks before they are finally overwhelmed just as Smolensk gets going in earnest. The Germans also trust the Romanian military to do most of the work on Army Group South's southern flank when frankly, their forces are far too poorly equipped, armed, trained and led for the task. The result is that while the Romanians and their local and German Auxiliaries are able to take (liberate according to them, as it was actually an area the Soviets had extorted out of them just a year before) what is now Moldova, they take worse than they get and are soon bogged down in lengthy and bloody sieges at Uman and Odessa where their inferiority and the merits of the Red Army's Southern troops make themselves all too clear. They are stuck there for the following months, paralyzing the Southern flank of Barbarossa even as the German and Axis Allied troops just North of them continue pressing into Ukraine. However, even there they face hard opposition. And this is where we come to Kiev. Army Group South confronts one of the few major Soviet mobile and armored forces in existence at the time, the Kiev Military District and surrounding forces under the command of competent commanders like Kirponos, Vlasov, and Rokossovsky note ... along with the lemon of a cavalry officer and Stalin's BFF Seymon Budenny. Kirponos throws five mechanized divisions and 3,500 tanks- including new equipment like the soon-to-be-feared T-34- at the relatively isolated First Panzer Group around Brody. The resulting melee is bloody for both sides, but the Germans prove the better and manage to devastate a Soviet force with a 2-1 advantage in numbers and an even larger advantage in tanks, turning most of the Soviet formations involved non-operational. Afterwards, they easily seal up in a southern pocket around Kiev. After yet more fighting, they achieve victory and all but eviscerate the Kiev Military District. Between taking out an overwhelming majority- around 700,000- of the troops and an even higher proportion of the equipment, the Axis kill and capture more than their weight in Soviet soldiers. Kirponos is killed fighting bravely in a breakout attempt. Unfortunately for the Axis, the makings of an easily-predicted but seemingly left-field logistical nightmare now start coming to a boil. German forces receive only half the supplies they need to survive and continue fighting by rail (about 40% food, 40% fuel and fodder, 20% ammunition)note . While about half their food can be plundered from the locals, they cannot improvise their supply of fuel, fodder or ammunition. This forces them to use horse- and motor-transport to make up the other 30% or so of their requirements, but this requires their entire complement of horses and trucks and kills both several times faster than they can be replaced. Although the supply situation is not yet a full-blown crisis, it is literally impossible to avert one without stopping the advance in August at the latest - and ideally, though the Soviets would never let them do this, all combat. As we know, however, this isn't what the Wehrmacht does. As far as they're concerned, the supply-services have been Crying Wolf the whole time - they had said that advancing beyond the Dnepr and Dvina was impossible when apparently it wasn't, and they had said the same of the second phase of the offensive to take Kiev and Leningrad. Almost no Russian-gauge trains have been captured and more than 100k Wehrmacht horses have died in combat and from wounds, exhaustion, disease and starvation - they push the poor creatures way too hard in trying to keep up with the Wehrmacht's 'mobile' forces, which have no horses and use trucks for everything (and so can, theoretically, travel faster and for longer and be supplied over greater distances). While Kiev is captured along with a few hundred thousand Soviet troops, many escape once again and the area captured is worthless (machinery gone or destroyed, mines collapsed, harvest taken or burnt, railway lines and all trains destroyed, etcetc). And yes, the 'land bridge' between the Dnepr and Dvina rivers at Smolensk is captured. This opens the way for an advance along the Smolensk-Moscow highway to Moscow... but half the remaining vehicles in the mobile units are out of commission and awaiting spare parts that will take months to arrive given the supply-backlog. Additionally, most of the captured railway network has yet to be repaired and converted to European standard-gauge, and the horses are dropping like flies and literally cannot sustain any further advances... Worse, Soviet resistance is getting competent. While various Soviet soldiers and units fought like lions on day one with individual courage and initiative, the catastrophic muck-ups of the early campaign mean many others collapsed catastrophically with little problem. This reinforced German expectations- and complacency- that the "inferior Slav" would fold. But Smolensk, Uman, Odessa, Kiev and Brody show that is about to change; the Soviets are beginning to get their act together and fight smart too. Hitler, in one of his rare moments of insight, reckons that taking everything up to the Dvina-Dnepr is good enough and that even if Barbarossa has failed - it's taken them two months more than they had 'planned', inverted commas, and the Soviets still haven't given up and peaceably let every last man, woman and child in their country be exterminated (for some reason) - they can just have another crack at destroying the USSR next year, when the supply situation is alright again and they've brought up enough fresh horses and stockpiled enough fuel. However the Wehrmacht's Chief of the General Staff, Halder, and Armegruppe Mittel's Commanding Officer, von Bock, have tried their best to manipulate their subordinates into marching on Leningrad and Moscow as soon as possible. While this is insubordination, it's only because they are convinced that they know how the war can be won, i.e. taking Leningrad and Moscow, which to their minds will cause Soviet resistance to crumble. Hitler is not happy about this. Not one bit. But eventually, he lets them have their way - if only because they persuade him that that is where the bulk of the Red Army can be found and destroyed. The parts of the Red Army's reserves that were not destroyed or had their recruiting districts overtaken by the advance are fully mobilized by October, and the first Soviet citizens to enlist start arriving just in time to help stabilise the front. The latter have only just completed their scratch-training with the units of the Soviet Far East, who themselves remain in position opposite Japan's Kwantung Army. (Even though they are bogged down in China and have a non-aggression pact, Stalin isn't entirely sure the Japanese aren't going to attack him anyway (even though he received intelligence saying they wouldn't....), especially since they and the European Axis would actually outnumber the Soviets on the whole.) The newly-formed infantry divisions lack machine guns and light artillery, and more importantly, virtually none of the men have seen combat before. Many of the officers haven't either, and don't have much experience in leadership positions to boot. This is really, really bad news for the newly-formed artillery and armored units, which require a high degree of training and experience to be properly effective. The entire Red Army has to watch its usage of ammunition; numerous factories produce nothing for weeks and months at a time as the Soviets are forced to move entire manufacturing plants and their specialist staff deep into the interior of the country to avoid losing them to the Axis. Many are eventually moved all the way to western Siberia, where they will be protected from the bombers of the Luftwaffe by their sheer distance from Axis-controlled airfieldsnote . Even if the Germans somehow make it this far, it is reasoned, the Ural Mountains will allow the Soviets to hold out and still retain much of their industry. Come November, the Soviets have managed to form and stabilize a proper front against the Axis. This has come at great cost; their critically inexperienced officers have led their likewise-inexperienced troops to die by the droves in a series of costly defensive and counter-offensive actions. But these have, at least, halted the Germans for now. Hitler is convinced, however, that one last offensive before winter falls will win the war; given its proximity to the front lines he reasons that Moscow will be an easy target. But Operation Typhoon fails because he fails to appreciate three things: the sheer bloody-mindedness of the city's citizens and defenders, the extent of the supply problems that have yet to be resolved, and just how cold it is. It's a long, long, windy and increasingly partisan-filled way from Berlin to Moscow, and Hitler's decision to not produce and issue winter gear at an earlier date is looking really stupid right now, especially since it was done to reassure the troops that the conflict would be over before they'd need it. To make up for the resultant shortfall, the Wehrmacht has had to ask German citizens to donate winter gear for its troops, in some cases to replace the parade uniforms which they'd been issued in anticipation of a victory march in Red Square on the anniversary of the October Revolution. These factors bolster the Soviets' steadfast all-or-nothing defence, halting the Germans literally within sight of Moscow. What's more, the offensive has caused the Germans to dangerously over-extend, and just as winter falls in earnest a last-minute counter-offensive forces them to retreat. The barely-coordinated Soviet offensive is itself a lacklustre affair, however, and it too grinds to a halt after just a month of some of the coldest temperatures on record. Stalin and the Soviets have avoided defeat, but the Axis remains in control of vast swaths of the western USSR. On the plus side, though, this defeat causes Hitler to begin actively distrusting his generals and begin taking more personal control over military operations. Hitler also gives Stalin and Churchill a huge Christmas present by declaring war on the United States following the Japanese attack on Hawaii in December, thereby destroying any remaining domestic American isolationist opposition to intervening in Europe. Granted, it will take a while for the unprepared U.S. war machine to get up to speed, but in the meantime the Allies can start reaping the full benefit of the world's largest industrial economy. U.S. war production will soon exceed all of the other combatants put together, and all of their factories are safely beyond the reach of Hitler's forces. Dönitz's U-boats will do their utmost to prevent the fuel, weapons, and munitions from crossing the Atlantic, but the next time the Red Army advances, their supplies will be carried aboard the first wave of an ever-increasing number of American trucks. Nevertheless, in January 1942, five U-boats are sent to the East Coast and sink hundreds of ships, shocking American morale. The U.S. Navy, stretched thin due to having to fight a two-ocean war, is forced to sacrifice coastal cargo ships to protect troop transports bound for Britain until enough ships are available to initiate convoys.
The tide turns: Case Blue, Operations URANUS+SATURN+MARS, and El Alamein
Stalin, emboldened by the winter offensive's success, orders distraction-offensives along the entire front to tie German forces down. Meanwhile he begins massing troops for a Summer Offensive to lift The Siege of Leningrad and liberate central Ukraine. Soviet commanders have forecast a renewal of the German assault on Moscow, so defensive preparations take priority over distraction operations in that sector. However, the Germans have already persuaded Hitler to initiate a battle for Leningrad (using heavy artillery redeployed from The Siege of Sevastopol) and launch an offensive in the Ukraine as well. They have convinced Hitler that the Soviets totally exhausted their fighting power and so will remain on the defensive and deploy the bulk of their forces around Moscow. Consequently, the four forces trip over one another; the German force preparing to take Leningrad (to their north) is hit in their eastern flank and must abandon their mission to defend themselves in months of WWI-style meatgrinder trench-warfare battles (which, as at Smolensk, favours the Soviets and their infamous love of artillery). At the same time the Soviet force in the Ukraine exhausts itself without making much headway and so is encircled and almost totally wiped out. The Ukrainian offensive didn't just fail, it was a catastrophe rivalled only by Stalin's colossal blunder at Kiev the previous September (Stalin had refused to allow Red Army forces to withdraw from the Kiev salient before the German offensive to cut it off, and only authorised a withdrawal once the forces there had already been encircled). It delayed the German offensive for two days at the most and left the entire front significantly weaker as a result. Although Soviet forces in the sector lack the strength to counter-attack they are ordered to do so anyway, Barbarossa-style - marking the last time the Red Army tolerates this kind of incompetence. With already-weaker Soviet forces helping wipe themselves out, even the poorly-organised Germans are able to advance at a decent pace. Proceeding past the southern reaches of the Volga River and into the oil-rich Caucasus, the panzers are on the move again. As the rest of Army Group A moves south, Army Group B moves east, advancing on a city along the Volga River named Stalingrad. Originally named Tsaritsyn and today called Volgograd, Stalingrad itself is worth discussion because of its importance and history. It was known as Stalingrad at the time because Stalin commanded Red troops there during the Russian Civil War. He did such a good job holding out against the White pincers that it was actually re-named *before* he assumed absolute power. The Red troops had fought an increasingly bitter defense of the city center against the encircling Whites and managed more or less to hold their ground even outnumbered against better equipped and better trained troops. However, the final stroke in the victory was Stalin's doing even according to his enemies. It involved ignoring orders from the Soviet command to recall an esteemed commander and his army from the Caucasus (to halt Poland's offensive into central Ukraine), so as to fall on the flank of the Whites when they least expected it, crush the forces trapped between the defenders and the reinforcements, and rout the rest. Afterwards, Stalin had said commander executed upon taking power. If this reminds you of what would actually happen at the Battle of Stalingrad, it isn't surprising. The city was one of the great industrial and cultural showpieces of the Soviet Union, and the Germans believed that its fall would be as great a moral as a material defeat to the Soviets. Especially as it was by far the biggest target to bear Stalin's name. So they started in without remembering why it had Stalin's name in the first place. Hitler becomes increasingly convinced that taking the city by brute force will win the war. In all fairness, the city is a major transport hub through which both the products of Soviet industry and Allied Lend-Lease material make their way to Moscow via Persia. What Hitler seemingly forgets is the reason why Stalingrad was renamed Stalingrad even before "Uncle Joe's" rise to absolute power: because Stalin led a defense of the city against concentrated White attempts to take it before calling down reinforcements to hit the over-committed Whites in the side. The German vanguard and the Soviets fight a bloody, titanic battle in the streets of the city which claims 700,000 German and 800,000 Soviet lives. As the Spring grinds on, it becomes clear that the Axis doesn't have the strength to take both Stalingrad and the Caucasus oilfields, and may end up with neither as a consequence of trying for both. While this is going on, "Monty"—as Montgomery is known to his men—and his staff start planning to break Rommel and his Panzer Armee Afrika/Afrika Korps, starting by breaking the hold their mystique has on Western Allied troops. Monty starts conducting a series of speaking tours around his military to reinforce morale, improve training and discipline, hone his command into an elite fighting force and position himself as a rival to Rommel. In the meantime, Lend-Lease kicks into full gear and the Western Desert Force receives equipment and reinforcements from across the Western world, jumping in size and getting an upgrade in equipment. However, both sides know that speaking tours alone will not defeat tanks, so Montgomery and his commanders devise a plan to take advantage of Rommel's overriding trait: his aggressiveness. First, they begin to spread false maps showing areas of quicksand to be solid ground. Secondly, they begin an elaborate intelligence ruse to convince Rommel that a far position on their flank—Alam Halfa Ridge—is poorly defended by chasing away or shooting down enemy aerial recon and hiding tanks behind the ridge or under various ingenious covers. Rommel takes the bait hook, line, and sinker. He launches an attempted outflanking attack to go around Alam Halfa and cut it off. Unfortunately, the attack is barely underway before many of his troops get stuck in quicksand—and thus exposed to blistering fire from every quarter—and just as the troops that aren't stuck or killed prepare to round the bend, the Commonwealth sends the tank reserve they'd been holding back to block their route. Out-Gambitted and taking heavy losses, Rommel feigns a retreat in an effort to force the British to follow him, hoping to outflank them in the battles of maneuver and attack that are his specialty. Monty doesn't bite and the feigned retreat becomes a real one as the Afrikakorps returns to its former lines with serious damage. Meanwhile, the Commonwealth is devising another plan on the other side of the theater: an elaborate and dangerous experiment in a cross-channel invasion. Its target is a port town in Northern France by the name of Dieppe. The ~6,000 strong force assigned to the operation is primarily composed of Canadians and is supported by British Commandos (including 50 US Army Rangers), a Canadian Armoured Regiment equipped with brand new Churchill tanks, several destroyers from the Royal Navy and dozens of aircraft from the Royal Air Force. Despite the best efforts of the soldiers involved, the raid is a near-complete disaster with over half the force killed, wounded or captured. There are many reasons whynote , and the Allies take note of all of them for future operations. In November of 1942, the Soviets launch another massive offensive in an attempt to push the German Armies from Moscow. It fails miserably and Operation Mars, along with the Ukrainian offensive of the previous summer—Zhukov's only big defeat—is subsequently swept under the historical carpet, never to be mentioned in Soviet or Russian school textbooks. However, a secondary encirclement offensive meets with success. Striking behind the elite German units in Stalingrad itself, the mechanized units of Operation Uranus break through the virtually-antitank-weapon-less Romanian and Italian forces guarding the flanks of the Sixth Army—trapping the entire German contingent in Stalingrad just as the Russian winter falls in earnest. Despite repeated requests, Hitler refuses to allow the troops to withdraw. He instead demands they fight to the last man and martyr themselves rather than shame him and his visions of Aryan superiority by retreating. He also promotes Sixth Army's commanding officer, Friedrich Paulus, to Field Marshal, with an ominous reminder that no German Field Marshal has ever surrendered or been captured alive. Paulus doesn't take the hint, whiling away his time while his troops are ratted out and exterminated or forced to surrender one house/basement/bunker at a time until they are all dead or—like himself—captured. Having lost both the initiative and strength to break out themselves, Sixth Army can do little but wait and hope for a rescue. It will never come, as the promised counter-offensive stalls out miles short of the city. As winter grinds on, their situation only grows more dire. Moreover, operating at the very limits of their logistical ability, the mere trickle of supplies that the Luftwaffe can manage to airdrop to them are completely inadequate. Soon the death toll will begin listing men killed not by enemy action, but by starvation, disease and frostbite. The last remnants of the Sixth Army finally surrender on February 2, 1943. It's the largest and costliest defeat the Germans have suffered at this point, and even Nazi politicians publicly admit the battle is an enormous loss. Over 100,000 German soldiers are taken into Soviet captivity and the rest of Hitler's troops in southern Russia hastily retreat. For now, the Red Army continues to learn how best to launch an offensive the hard way, taking the process in much smaller steps this time and giving themselves time to bring their material and manpower advantages properly to bear. A frightfully successful German counter-offensive at Kharkov sees the latest Soviet operation halted, but there is no doubting now that the tide has turned. The Waffen-SS, which has become another branch of the German military at this point, steps up its recruitment of foreigners with the help of a huge propaganda drive. They portray Germany's war as a battle for the survival of European civilisation in the face of annihilation at the hands of "The Jewish Communist Hordes Of The Barbarous Orient". Even the German civilians are made dimly aware of the desperation of the situation in February 1943 by Joseph Goebbels "Sportpalast" or "Total War Speech"—the first acknowledgement by the Nazi government that the war is going badly and that they must mobilise the German economy and society for total war.note Meanwhile, the battles between the Axis and the Allies in North Africa—while far smaller in scale than the titanic conflict in the East—also end with more crucial Allied victories. The decisive Second Battle of El Alamein in October of 1942 sees the British turn Rommel back from the Suez and the Middle East oilfields for good and force the Axis to retreat westward towards Tunisia. Here, they are trapped against additional Allied forces that have executed Operation Torch and landed on the coasts of Vichy French Morocco and Algeria. Caught in the pincer, the Germans have nowhere to go. By May 1943, those Axis soldiers that have not managed to retreat back across the Mediterranean to Europe are prisoners of war and the fight for the continent is over. The campaign is a major morale boost for the Western Allies, who see their first sustained offensive successes against the Axis as well as the combat debut of US troops as America joins the fight directly. In the Atlantic, the U-boat war is starting to change as well. Allied escorts are getting better at tracking down submerged U-boats. A top-secret program called ULTRA has successfully broken the German code system, allowing the Allies to know the destinations of the submarines, though they use the information provided sparingly to avoid tipping-off the Germans that their codes are compromised. Even without knowing the exact messages, destroyer escorts are able to locate U-boats simply by their excessive usage of radio, as Admiral Dönitz sends some boats upwards of seventy messages a day regarding their position, fuel status and other minutiae. Other factors included better weapons such as the Hedgehog depth charge launcher, better tactics like when Operations Research determined that bigger convoys would mean better protection, longer range combat aircraft to patrol all of the Atlantic, better technology like ships radar to detect enemy vessels on the surface and the USA simply building more ships, both cargo and fighting types, than the U-Boats could sink. This culminates in "Black May" 1943, when 43 German submarines are destroyed - a full quarter of its operational U-boat fleet (which is the highest deployment it will be for the entire war). From here on, U-boats are sunk faster than they are built. Admiral Dönitz orders all boats to fall back to France. He begins implementing new technologies to help improve operations, such as the snorkel (which allows U-boats to remain submerged and recharge their batteries while hidden) and new torpedoes. However, the loss of so many boats and experienced crews has already taken its toll on the U-boat force's morale, to the point where several flotilla commanders tell their departing crews "Never mind sinking ships, just come back, please."
Hitler has a bright idea, and Italy has had enough
Throughout 1943 the Axis forces on the Eastern Front are relentlessly driven back. The success of a German counter-offensive in pushing back the Soviets' own push to retake the Ukraine results in the so-called "Kursk Bulge", which becomes the focus of the last German offensive campaign. Operation Citadel, launched to cut off and exterminate the forces within the salient, leads to the biggest tank battle in history and a crushing tactical and strategic defeat for Hitler. The Soviets correctly anticipate the manśuvre and hold their strength back until the German offensive is totally spent before launching a devastating offensive operation of their own. They successfully encircle and annihilate—or force the surrender of—the remnants of the Germans' own encirclement forces. The result is the destruction of the Wehrmacht as an offensive force, but it would be a mistake to assume—as numerous Soviet generals and commanders do in subsequent operations, at a great cost in time and lives—that Hitler's legions are now a "spent" force incapable of strategic counteroffensives (let alone tactical counterattacks). As is typical of the East-European front, the Soviets' casualties were larger (at a million men dead or wounded), but they have already taken and can continue to afford far worse losses. What's more, now that they are on the offense the Soviets are able to treat their wounded and recover damaged vehicles in large numbers now—and the Germans (who have taken 250,000 casualties) cannot. Stalin sees the success of the operation, together with that of Operation Uranus, as a vindication of his growing trust in his generals and their staffs. Increasingly, he settles for directing overall strategy and letting the military organise and execute their own operations. Hitler sees the outcome as proof of his own generals' incompetence—though the offensive was his idea—and moves to micromanage the entire German war effort in ever-greater detail. With morale skyrocketing, the Soviets spend the rest of the year inexorably pushing the Germans further and further back—a process helped by Hitler's continued refusal to allow his forces to make strategic withdrawals. The cumulative effect of this leaves his forces spread thin defending bad positions. The Soviets' burgeoning advantage in tanks, armoured vehicles, artillery and air support allows them to take advantage of this strategic blunder and crush pocket after pocket of increasingly-easily-encircled Axis forces. Germany is now starting to deal with a new threat on the homefront as the Western Allies have decided to leverage their industrial might to engage in strategic bombing on a heretofore unimagined scale. They launch waves of hundreds and later thousands of four-engined heavy bombers across the channel in an around-the-clock effort to damage the German economy. Strategic targets (factories, railyards and docks) are bombed by day, urban-industrial centers by night. The results are initially small and the casualties relatively high, but the Allies persist and the Germans will gradually be forced to divert more and more of their resources to defending the Reich itself. Meanwhile, in the Atlantic, the Allies have begun the mass deployment of aircraft with greater range and endurance, eliminating zones which were considered "safe" by the U-boats. As the U-boat Force tries desperately to upgrade its submarines, they recognize that the battle has shifted against them. The best they can hope to do now is continue to tie down Allied resources in the Atlantic, resources that could otherwise bring the war to their homes. In southern Europe, the era of "Vichy" France is over as the Germans annex the state in the wake of their defeat in North Africa. Part of this plan is the seizure of the French fleet moored at Toulon, which includes three capital ships and seven cruisers—nowhere near enough to turn the tide of the war, but enough to give the Allies grief. However, the French are ready for them and the entire fleet promptly scuttles itself at anchor, right down to the cargo cranes and tugboats. The crews of three destroyers and a few motorboats are overpowered by the Wehrmacht's motorcycle-based combat squads, but it's a hollow victory for Hitler—whose annexation of "Vichy" France lets anyone who still needed convincing know that, yes, he considers treaties as nothing more than ink on paper. The Allies follow up on their victory in North Africa by landing in Italy after feeding the Germans false information that the real thrust of the invasion will be through Greece/Yugoslavia and into the Balkansnote . The Germans swallow the lie, diverting a significant force from Italy to Yugoslavia. The invasion of Sicily sees the start of joint British and American operations, which will become very important the following year, along with the combat debut of the "All-American" 82nd Airborne Division. With the Allies at the gates of Rome, the Italian government votes Mussolini out of power and signs a peace treaty with the Allies. In reality, this move has been coming for a long time now—ever since Mussolini declared war on France, in fact. German forces are unfazed and quickly occupy the remainder of the Italian boot, setting up a puppet regime to rule in their stead; the Allied forces in Italy will take another two years to conquer the rest of the narrow, hilly and easily-defensible peninsula, their main role in the meantime being to keep German forces tied down and distracted from the real fighting in the east. Mussolini is later liberated from house arrest by a German commando raid and installed as the figurehead of the puppet government in northern Italy. At the very end of the war, on 28 April 1945, he and his mistress are caught by partisans while attempting to flee to Switzerland. They are summarily shot and their bodies are hung upside down in the town square in Milan. It is at this point that World War II nears its climax. The Germans are nearing the limits of their reserves, trying to keep the Soviets from approaching ever closer to German soil. Ever since the beginning of allied cooperation, Stalin has been pushing for the creation of a second front by the Western Powers. The majority of German forces are engaged on the Eastern Front, leaving the rest of Occupied Europe defended fairly sparsely. Opening a second front will mean the total collapse of the German war effort and an accelerated conclusion to the conflict. Winston Churchill advocates fighting through the "soft underbelly of Europe": the Balkans. However, the terrain is heavily mountainous, with the Allies having trouble advancing through Italy. Franklin Roosevelt proposes the obvious location for a second front: France. It's closer to the British Isles, meaning a better supply chain, and it's large enough that German troops are spread in a thin line along the coasts.
The Allies return! Amid much fanfare and terror-bombing
By summer 1944, Germany's military situation is hanging on the edge. In the east, the Soviets have entered Poland and are ready to sweep south, clearing the Balkans of Germany's only remaining allies. However, in the west, the Wehrmacht has their eyes on England once again, this time recognizing the tiny island as a significant threat. Ever since America entered the war, there has been a substantial increase in the number of troops stationed there. American airpower helps establish air superiority over the German heartland, crushing their war infrastructure and resource production. In addition, the Germans know that, eventually, the Western Allies will launch an invasion to liberate France. To counter this, they begin constructing a series of fortifications from Denmark to Spain. Dubbed "the Atlantic Wall," it is largely an inadequate and undermanned defense whose only real value is in propaganda. However, the arrival of the erstwhile unemployed Erwin Rommel causes the "wall" to see a major boost in construction, making the fortifications along the French channel coastline a legitimate threat to an amphibious assault. During the first half to the year, increased intelligence reports of naval exercises in the English Channel and troop buildups in Britain lead the Germans to realize that the anticipated invasion is only weeks away. At several strategy conferences, Rommel and his colleagues try to convince Hitler to give them operational freedom, as, they all realize, a successful Allied landing in France will surely mean a German defeat. Hitler, however, insists on maintaining total command of operations. That proves all the better for the Allies considering they pull off the spectacular deception ploy, Operation Fortitude, so effectively that Hitler was completely convinced that the enemy was going to cross the English Channel at its narrowest point, and land at Pas de Calais, while planning to actually cross the Channel at its widest point to attack Normandy. Germany's situation goes from bad to worse when the Western Allies—principally the Americans, British and Canadians—execute Operation Overlord and land in Normandy (northern France) on the 6th of June, 1944. Hitler is now fighting a two-front (three if Italy is counted) war against larger and arguably better-equipped armies with better artillery and air support. Incredibly effective Allied counterintelligence operations and the general confusion of battle keeps the Germans guessing if the Normandy landings are the "real" invasion or just another diversionary attack for more than two months after the actual landings. Consequently, the Germans hold back their reserves until it's too late to prevent the landing force from establishing a proper beachhead—a virtual impossibility once the Allies break out of the beaches themselves, as the sheer volume of Allied fire-support from the massive fleet they have sitting in the Channel is enough to obliterate any force within miles of the coast.note The operation also sees extensive use of elite paratroopers, including the 82nd Airborne, and marks the combat debut of the soon to be legendary "Screaming Eagles" 101st Airborne Division. Logistical and strategic co-ordination issues, not German resistance, are the biggest limitation to the Allied-Soviet advance now. Two weeks after the Allies' return to the mainland, the Soviets launch the biggest offensive of the war: Operation Bagration, which annihilates the Germans' Army Group Center. The Red Army leaps forward some two hundred miles, clearing almost all of the USSR of Germans and advancing to the gates of Warsaw—the limits of what their supply situation allows. Inflicting at least 300,000 casualties (including 150,000 captured) for only 200,000 of their own, they have broken the back of the Wehrmacht. The Western Allies initially doubted that the Soviets could accomplish such a feat, which led to a huge "POW march" of 57,000 German POWs being paraded through the streets of Moscow. The Red Army's armoured and mechanized columns cross the Carpathians and spend the latter half of '44 and early '45 mopping up Hitler's allies along the Danube. With the seizure of Romania's oilfields, the last of the Germans' panzers are quite literally in danger of running out of fuel, collapsing morale aside. Though their armed forces had been crushed and their government subordinated early on, the Polish people did not remain idle during the war. Many of the country's military personnel managed to escape through the Baltic and the Balkans and make it to British territory, where they joined and fought alongside the British military in nearly every theatre. Others stayed behind as founding members of the resistance movement that had bided its time for years. Now the leaders of the resistance, seeing how close the Soviets are, believe the liberation of Warsaw to be at hand and give the order to overthrow their German occupiers. However, the Soviets have supply problems and are busy trying to take the Balkans; they are not interested in risking their troops' lives for the sake of a New Poland that has such close ties with the Allies. Neither do the Germans just let them be; indeed, their response makes quite liberal use of armoured vehicles, artillery and air-support. With the Soviets denying Britain access to their airfields, the Polish Home Army is left to fend for itself. They hold out for two months, but by the time the Soviets enter the city in January 1945 the Home Army has been exterminated and Warsaw is a ghost town. In the meantime, the Western Allies have amassed sufficient supplies to finally break out of their beachhead in Normandy. Increasingly-frequent Allied bombing raids like the one described in Slaughterhouse-Five put a real dampener on the German war effort, causing massive damage and disruption to German industry and infrastructure in civilian-casualty-heavy attacks which grow steadily more intense. With more and more French airfields becoming available and fewer and fewer Luftwaffe interceptors around to stop them, it is not long before the burgeoning British and American Air Forces reduce every major industrial town and transport hub in Hitler's Reich to ruins. Even their vaunted new jets prove ineffective as the bomber's Mustang escorts outnumber them 60 to one. Furthermore, the capture of French airfields starts to bring their own airfields within range of Allied tactical airpower and increasingly under the near-constant cover of the dreaded Thunderbolt and Typhoon fighter bombers that are devastating Wehrmacht formations in France. With the Luftwaffe's own bombing campaign rendered more and more ineffective as they lose serviceable airfields, Hitler turns to using the newly-developed Vergeltungswaffen ("retaliation weapons"), the V-1 "Buzz Bomb" and later the V-2 short-range ballistic missile to try and exact some vengeance upon the British—who, after the devastation of years past, by and large consider this a nuisance not worth getting worked up about. That attitude was aided with the facts that the former threat can be intercepted and the latter's impact was lessened by British intelligence's Doublecross system fooling the Germans into "correcting" the missile trajectories to avoid the cities. 1944 also marks the turning point in the Battle of the Atlantic: better ships, new technologies, and the loss of French ports deal a crippling blow to the U-boat service, and a new type of "escort" aircraft carrier has closed the "Air Gap". Even worse for the Germans, U.S. war production is now running at a blistering pace. North American shipyards, immune from attack by their sheer distance from the fight, are now mass-producing new vessels at the rate of one every few days, literally faster than they could be sunk. The US has even produced enough of their new Escort Carriers and Destroyer Escorts to start dispatching free-roaming hunter-killer groups, a tactic which had proved unproductive until now. But with new technologies like sonobouys, tight beam sonars, microwave radars and acoustic homing torpedoes added to old standbys like radio direction, even schorkel equipped u-boats are no longer safe. German morale collapses as the number of sinkings plummet and 6 out of 10 boats fail to return from their patrols. U-boats will continue to sortie until the very end of the war but the real threat to the transatlantic lifelines between the U.S. and Britain and the Soviet Union has passed. As the Western Allies push out into the interior of France, it becomes clear to the German people that they are going to lose the war. The mighty juggernaut of the Red Army is approaching from the east, and the British and Americans, with their superior weapons and air power, are rapidly approaching from the west. The devastation of cities like Hamburg, Mainz and Düsseldorf forces millions into refugee camps. On the Eastern Front, the fighting becomes more desperate as the German soldiers know all too well what awaits them, their families and their friends back home, after three years of atrocities against the Soviets. Reichsminister Goebbels starts to up the rhetoric in his broadcasts, using the idea of the new "wonder weapons" (such as the Me 262, the world's first operational jet fighter, and the V-2 rocket, the world's first ballistic missile) to say that the final victory will still be theirs. However, only the most delusional or fanatical Germans continue to believe him. Ever since Stalingrad, the news has gotten progressively worse; many Germans start behaving as though they have nothing to lose, recognizing that they only face total destruction.
Why didn't we try this earlier?
At this point, several German officers decide they've had enough, and try to save Germany from total destruction under Hitler's rule. There had been mild resistance within Germany to the Nazis and Hitler when they came to power in 1933. Even though the officer corps was fond of the 'good old days' when the military was much bigger and wielded more political influence they weren't Nazis (with all the concentrated crazy that entailed). However, due to the expansion and politicisation of the military this 'resistance' was confined to the highest ranks of the military (e.g. 'the Generals' plot' to assassinate Hitler if he tried to declare war on Czechoslovakia). By 1940, this 'resistance' consisted solely of trying to steer German foreign policy and strategic direction down what they deemed the most sensible path and by 1941 even the army was enthusiastically issuing proclamations to the effect that War Crimes wouldn't exist in the coming Soviet-German war. This is because they didn't want to miss out on the opportunity to score points with Hitler by proving their commitment to the National Socialist cause and contributing to the 'Germanification' of the USSR through the extermination of her peoples. In practice this was mostly to be done under the 'Hunger Plan' of simply stealing all their food and trusting starvation and disease to do most of the work (thus solving the Wehrmacht's inability to supply her troops with sufficient food into the bargain). But this changed in late 1943. Germany's ability to launch strategic offensives had been in steady decline (due largely to her continuous and crippling loss of trucks), a decline codified during the Unternehmen Zitadelle that summer (Germany's third-last offensive, and the biggest of these three). Worse, Germany's mobile ('motorised' and 'panzer') forces were all but destroyed during the Soviets' follow-up campaigns in the summer, autumn and winter of 1943. While new forces were fielded, they were inexperienced and just a bit rubbish at their jobs (despite their better-quality weaponry). Basically, Germany was stuck on the defensive and facing powers with more than five times her industrial capacity and manpower. There was absolutely no way, in short, that Germany could win. But the Allies and Soviets had declared they would never make peace with madmen like Hitler and his cronies. Seizing on these Exact Words (okay, they weren't Exact Words, but they read between the lines of their enemies' declarations) a minority of Germany's officers, most of them from the pre-Nazi days, think that a negotiated peace might still be possible with different leadership. On July 20 1944, one month after the destruction of a third of Germany's entire army in Operation Bagration and the Anglo-American landings in France (Operation Overlord), Colonel Count Claus von Stauffenberg plants a bomb in Hitler's "Wolf's Lair" field headquarters during a staff meeting. As part of the plan, other German officers prepare to initiate Operation Valkyrie, a contingency plan to use reserve Army units to secure the German home front in the event of a breakdown in command and control or a POW/slave labor uprising. The conspirators also carefully reword the orders to allow for the arrest of top SS and Nazi officials. However, Stauffenberg is interrupted and only arms half the planned amount of explosives in the bomb. The bomb then detonates on the other side of a table leg from its target, creating just enough of a shield for Hitler to survive with relatively minor wounds. While they intended to launch Valkyrie even if Hitler survived, the plotters in Berlin nonetheless waste several crucial hours waiting for confirmation that he had been killed. By the end of the day, the plot is in shambles and Stauffenberg is summarily executed along with his closest co-conspirators. Hitler's distrust and paranoia of his armed forces predictably gets worse in the wake of the failed coup, and more than 5,000 people are executed in connection to the plot by the end of the war. Among these is the famed Erwin Rommel, whose direct connection with the plot (like many others who died) was dubious at best.
The Allies bicker, not 'quite' unlike little old women
The Allied invasion goes well and by August, Paris is liberated by French and American forces. Soon after, American and French forces land in southern France in an amphibious landing known as Operation Dragoon. After some minor fighting, over 140,000 German soldiers are outmaneuvered and surrender. However, the invasion goes a little too well. By the beginning of September, the Allies find themselves advancing on towns they had not expected to reach until the following spring. Allied forces race forward to confront the rapidly retreating Germans, well ahead of their supply lines (which become dangerously long due to a lack of deep water ports and have to be driven all the way from Normandy). The Germans use this to pull back a sizable amount of their forces. Despite the vast withdrawal, the Allied High Command believes that the Wehrmacht is a spent force which poses little threat. The advance soon grinds to a halt as the Allies must literally wait for their supplies to catch up to them. Unable to supply both of his top generals, British Field Marshal Bernard Law Montgomery in the north and American General George S. Patton in the south, Dwight Eisenhower is forced to choose which one to give priority of supplies. Patton's plan is simply to break through the German lines and get to Berlin before the Russians. But this means smashing through the heavily fortified Siegfried Line. Montgomery proposes a daring plan called Operation Market Garden, which envisions a massive paratrooper deployment (consisting of the American 101st and 82nd Airborne Divisions and the British 1st Airborne) in Holland to seize a number of vital bridges, which will then be secured by the British armored column 30 Corps. If it succeeds, they will be able to cross the Rhine and seize the Ruhr, the industrial heart of Germany. He claims that this will end the fighting by Christmas (which, based on history, he really should've known not to say). Pressured by civilian leaders to bring a quick end to the war, Eisenhower is forced to agree. Meanwhile, the Germans suspect that an Allied thrust through Holland is imminent and quickly work to replenish their divisions, many of which are at token strength. Unfortunately, a combination of bad weather, inaccurate intelligence, insuperable logistics and poor equipment causes the operation to fail despite the best efforts of the troops, particularly those working in intelligence. Cells of the Dutch Underground managed to pass on reports that two SS Panzer Divisions were being held in reserve near Arnhem (the main target city, without which the operation was useless), but the Allied High Command distrusted them. The Americans are able to take their targets without too much of a problem, except for Nijmegen (which involves a dangerous river crossing), but the advance of 30 Corps slows considerably the further north they drive on a single-lane highway. The British are dropped nearly ten miles away from their target area, due to heavy flak defenses in Arnhem, and the Germans overrun their resupply zones and isolate them. Market Garden ends in failure as the British paratroopers are forced to withdraw, and those who cannot surrender. The presence of skilled leadership such as Gerd von Rundstedt and Walter Model allows the Germans to stabilize the front line just along their border, helped by Allied supply problems worsened due to the failure of Market Garden. To add insult to injury, Market Garden delays Allied efforts to make the port of Antwerp usable, which would likely have solved the logistics problems. It also consumes much of Britain's remaining available manpower. After nearly five years of war the British can no longer replace their losses, forcing them to cede more and more of their role in Western Europe to U.S. and Canadian forces, though this goes unnoticed by all but the very highest echelons of the Allied command and only becomes apparent in retrospect. British industry continues to churn out tanks and guns for the Canadian forces until the end of the war. As autumn continues, the war in both the West and the East enters a brief lull while the Allies attempt to reposition themselves along the German border. Nightly bombing raids devastate the German infrastructure, though for civilians they become as routine as the weather. The Luftwaffe is decisively defeated and U-boat patrols become near-completely suicidal endeavors. The Eastern Front faces total collapse, and France, Belgium, Luxembourg and half of the Netherlands are liberated. However, despite their critical situation, the Germans still possess a few advantages over the Western Allies: they are now no longer trying to defend all of Western Europe, thereby significantly shortening their supply lines, while the Allies' are critically lengthened, and thus concentrate their troops in smaller areas. Fighting closer to the German heartland means increased usage of telephones and telegraphs, reducing their dependence on radio and limiting the effectiveness of ULTRA codebreakers. But as autumn turns to winter, ULTRA is able to intercept enough messages to indicate that the Germans are planning something big.
The last, bloody days of European war
It must be said that at this point, Hitler and his fellow-minded Nazis continually fail to understand or admit that the Allies will not settle for anything less than unconditional surrender. Despite all evidence to the contrary, they still see the Western powers as fundamentally decadent, weak-willed and weary of fighting. If the Allies can be forced to spill blood for every inch of German soil, or better yet drawn into costly open battles, the heavy casualties will surely drain morale drastically. The American people in particular will demand their leaders sue for peace and end the pointless sacrifice of lives to subjugate a country that, technically, never attacked theirs. A few of the more deluded even believe that it would be possible to convince the US to join Germany in a stand against the "true" enemy of civilization, the oncoming Soviets. Such a desperate separate peace is their only realistic option to turn the Red Army back at this point, and that speaks volumes. Towards this end, Hitler gathers what offensive strength he has left and hurls it all at the Allies in a surprise attack in December of 1944, while Allied supply problems remain constant and their air forces are grounded by bad weather. His legions attack through the Ardennes—the same route by which they snuck into France four and a half years before—in a desperate and ill-advised attempt to cut a wedge between the American and British forces. The attack catches the Allies completely by surprise and initially looks like it may, against all odds, succeed. However, there is a huge difference between the Ardennes of 1939—when the forests were picketed by only a few detached cavalry vedettes—and 1944, when the lines are manned by elements of three U.S. Army Groups under the command of Patton, Bradley and Hodges, four divisions (two veteran and two green) backed by Allied tactical airpower and the world's best artillery.note The so-called "Battle of the Bulge" results in German gains for a few days under the cover of bad weather, followed by inevitable defeat as dogged American resistance delays Hitler's tight operational timetable just long enough for his panzer formations to run out of fuel, sometimes literally within sight of their objectives. Most famously, American troops, primarily the 101st Airborne Division, manage to hold on to the critical road junctions in the Belgian town of Bastogne despite being surrounded, outnumbered nearly five to one, and severely lacking in cold-weather gear, medical supplies and ammunition. Delaying actions such as these prove invaluable as the attack bogs down long enough for the streak of cloudy days to run out. Then the Allied air forces resume resupply and tactical operations, sending devastatingly powerful and accurate airstrikes that slow German forces even further and make their advances all the more hopeless. By the end of January the Germans have been pushed back to where they started, with much of their valuable armor either destroyed or left behind with empty fuel tanks. This defeat essentially breaks the back of Germany's power to resist in the West. With the last reserves of their professional army now depleted, every loss of man and machine from this point forward is literally irreplaceable. Casualties from the battle are high, with nearly 100,000 American and British men killed, wounded or captured. German losses are about even. But, like the battles on the Eastern Front, as great as the Allied losses are, they are survivable. With Allied industry safely beyond the reach of the Germans, and their own industrial centers under constant air bombardment, it's now only a question of how long before Germany will be forced to surrender for lack of ammunition and fuel, if nothing else. Germany is now a country void of teen- and middle-aged males, who have virtually all been drafted into citizen militias to defend the Fatherland to the last. Even those who see the futility of continuing the war cannot escape it. Die-hard Nazis in the ranks ensure anyone who doesn't fight risks summary execution for cowardice. With the ultimate outcome essentially decided, no one on the Allied side wants to be the last casualty in a war that's dragged on for years with the end finally in sight. Accordingly, any place that may be hiding German troops is reduced to rubble from afar by massed airpower and artillery barrages at the first signs of resistance. In this "better safe than sorry" atmosphere a single sniper shot from a single building can effectively doom an entire village to being wiped off the map. As the Allies advance ever deeper, countless small towns and cities, some centuries old and without any military value, are destroyed in ultimately pointless delaying actions. This is especially bad news for civilians who now face death from both sides. Anyone who tries to surrender as much as their own home is threatened with reprisal as the defense of Hitler's Third Reich becomes less a military objective than a fanatic's cause with every passing day. By 1945, the war in Europe has entered its endgame. The last major German army on the Western Front has surrendered to the Americans and British after being outmaneuvered and the Ruhr, the primary steel-making and manufacturing center of the country, is captured. Meanwhile, the Soviets clear Poland of German forces and push all the way to the River Oder, 56 miles from Berlin. They take the time to advance through the Balkans, Hungary and Romania before advancing into Germany proper—ensuring that the "Soviet Sphere of Influence" Stalin has negotiated with the Western Allies will answer directly to Moscow in the future. In April of 1945, Soviet and American troops famously link up at a German village called Torgau on the Elbe river. The job of taking Berlin is left to the Soviets, who are far closer and have claimed the city as part of their sphere anyway. Indeed, Stalin is eager for the Red Army to have the honor of taking the very heart of Nazi Germany, which Hitler has refused to leave. Germany drives the pensioners of the Volkssturm and the boys of the Hitler Youth to defend her from "The Depredations of the Jewish Communist Hordes", mustering a force of 800,000 men and a thousand armoured vehicles in the city's defence. For their part the Soviets to bring some 2.5 million of their best veterans—supported by tens of thousands of tanks, airplanes and artillery pieces—to take it from them. After a spot of some of the most brutal and bloody urban combat in history, the Red Flag waves above the Reichstag on the 1st of May. Finally admitting that the war is lost, Hitler kills himself in his bunker. On the 8th of May (9th in Moscow), 1945, his successor—Admiral Dönitz—approves the unconditional surrender of Nazi Germany. The war in Europe is over, and Allied attention now turns to ending the war in the Pacific.