Box Office Thread

What exactly is this bad word of mouth?

One bad review as far as I know. The tweets I’ve seen and the IMDB score have been much more forgiving.

From what I've seen the consensus is "good but not quite on the level of the other three films". Which is perfectly fine.

At any rate, the embargo should lift soon… fingers crossed.

This week's Charts with Dan talks about Dune: Part Two's grand worldwide opening, putting a break on the depressed box office state for now.

• 0:37, 9:08: Weekend Top 10
  • Estimates kept rising for Dune 2 over the weekend, eventually overperforming them once the final numbers came in.
  • For comparison, in one weekend Dune 2 barely grossed ahead of Bob Marley: One Love's total of three weeks at the domestic box office.
  • Another good hold for Migration, with an impressive domestic box office for one of Illumination's seemingly "weaker" hauls.

• 2:05: Dune: Part Two:
  • 2:10: Top 5 2024 3-Day Opening Domestic Weekends
  • 2:46: Top 5 Denis Villeneuve Opening Domestic Weekends
    • Dan appreciates the stepping ladder increase of audiences watching Villeneuve's past and current films. Furthermore, it highlights how this sequel doubled the opening of the simulcast release of the original.
  • 3:40: Top 5 Timothée Chalamet Opening Domestic Weekends
  • 4:02: Top 5 March Domestic Openings
    • Reiterating that something like Dune 2, a hard sci-fi epic that is usually perceived as a turn-off, managing to hold 8th place on the record is very impressive.
  • 4:39: Career Rankings (for the film's stars highest grossing films)
  • 5:28: Per NBC, IMAX CEO claims Dune 2 caused a shortage of available seats for the format. It represented roughly 23% of its domestic total, leading to Dan wondering if there's a cap on how much premium seats can boost a film's totals for one weekend.
  • 7:10: Opening Weekend Age Demographics
    • With only 4% of moviegoers being under 18, Dan finds this intriguing due to the film's PG-13 rating. My understanding is that he assumes the film would have probably been profitable if an R rating was considered.
  • Ultimately, Dan hopes that this film's success ("A" CinemaScore, good word of mouth, potentially good legs) is a sign that 2024's box office might not look as dour as anticipated. That being said, he currently doesn't think Dune 2 will be a leggy as Oppenheimer, with incoming competition ahead.

• 11:27: Closing this Week - Trolls Band Together, The Iron Claw, and The Boy and the Heron.

• 13:22: Road to Recovery Domestic Box Office Chart

• 14:08: Weekend International Box Office
  • 15:05: Weekend Worldwide Box Office
  • 15:43: Top 5 2024 Worldwide Hollywood Debuts

• 25:53: Per Theater Averages
  • 27:00: Top 5 Per Theater Averages in 2024
• 27:37: Limited Release Films
  • 28:20: 2024 Top Grossing Limited Release Films
• 00:00: 2023 Fall/Holiday US Domestic Box Office
• 28:50: 2024 Annual Domestic Box Office
  • 29:59: 2024 Domestic Box Office (Calender Gross - Tickets Solds Since January 1st
• 30:35: 2024 Worldwide Box Office
• 31:25: Box Office Flashback

Well uh I was wrong

Kung Fu Panda 4’ KO-ing $52M, 2nd Biggest Franchise Debut; 'Dune: Part Two' Heading for $41M – Friday Box Office. Film is doing amazing.

I'm amazed that a movie with a bad marketing brings casual audience (not fans) to the theaters. I wonder if they get to the $52 millions, I'm still too sceptical that this movie could reach that number but we can only hope.

Edited by Starlink64 on Mar 9th 2024 at 11:20:20 AM

Oh better news.

Per boz office Jatinder: $19.25M opening day. Weekend can be $55-59M. Now 60 M is the goal. If it makes that with such poor advertising. That would be insane.

Kung Fu Panda is an established franchise that can keep attracting new audiences in addition to the people who grew up with it.

This is also the only animated family film for months

Question: how well are analysts expecting the new Ghostbusters to do when it opens?

Opening Weekend Range: $35M-$49M Domestic Total Range: $96M-$144M

I see… now if only we had a budget we could tell of that was good or bad.

I’m taking a break from my break to bump and share this relevant article. Indiewire is saying that about ⅔ of American adults prefer to wait until streaming to see a movie rather than go to a theatre.

https://www.indiewire.com/news/analysis/movies-on-streaming-not-in-theaters-1234964413/

Edited by BigBadShadow25 on Mar 14th 2024 at 8:13:03 AM

I can't blame them, given how expensive theater tickets are nowadays.

To be fair, it might be a small sample size, but yeah, studios AND exhibitors are gonna have to fight to get butts in seats.

It makes me wonder how box office numbers will be done in the near future. Will movie studios just use the streaming numbers for box office numbers or will movie theaters still be the main factor in factoring in box office numbers?

For better or worse, actual box office will ALWAYS be preferable for profit, unless the project is meant to just be Doing It for the Art and or just wanting to put it out by any means possible.

Looks like Dune is already edging close to 500M after its second week? Unless BOM got it wrong.

Yes, The Numbers puts it at 495M worldwide. So it cracks 500 either Monday or Tuesday.

Edited by DeadlyAssassin on Mar 17th 2024 at 10:28:45 AM

An incredible 44% hold last weekend that put it unbelievably close to the entire hold of Dune 2021? Makes total sense.

I think I have seen more movies in theaters because someone said: "let's see a movie", than someone saying, "let's see a specific movie."

Options have been scarce for a while. I'm feeling a change though. More movies I want to go to the theaters to pay for again and as I said after seeing Anyone but You, felt like the most normal filmgoing experience ever since before the pandemic at this point too.

As cool as it was to see Mean Girls 2024 in a theater, it didn't feel like they formatted it properly for a theatrical release. That can admittedly be the drawback sometimes.

Still gotta catch Kung Fu Panda 4 in the theater before this weekend. Make sure I got that in before Frozen Empire—which has to open around 40 million domestic at least like Afterlife did.

Edited by futuremoviewriter on Mar 19th 2024 at 9:43:52 AM

None of those films sound like worth seeing it in theaters to me. Then again, the theater near me is full of horror films and kids movies. So Kung Fu Panda and Ghost Busters would be the most interesting options to me.

I don't know if Mean Girls was available near me yet, but I don't care. Wish is still showing though.

Variety is saying the new Ghostbusters could open to $45 Million. And the budget is apparently $100 Million.

https://variety.com/2024/film/box-office/box-office-ghostbusters-frozen-empire-opening-weekend-estimates-1235945825/

Any thoughts on this?

Edited by BigBadShadow25 on Mar 19th 2024 at 2:16:23 PM