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* The ''{{Discworld}}'' novel ''Discworld/MenAtArms'' pulls one of these on the reader (and Corporal Carrot). We're introduced to Angua, a new female recruit to the Night Watch, very much a Boy's Club. Both Vimes and Colon complain about her being the worst of the new recruits brought in to diversify the Watch, because she's "a w--" before being interrupted by an explosion. As it turns out, they're not complaining about her being female, but about her being [[spoiler:a werewolf]].

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* The ''{{Discworld}}'' ''Literature/{{Discworld}}'' novel ''Discworld/MenAtArms'' pulls one of these on the reader (and Corporal Carrot). We're introduced to Angua, a new female recruit to the Night Watch, very much a Boy's Club. Both Vimes and Colon complain about her being the worst of the new recruits brought in to diversify the Watch, because she's "a w--" before being interrupted by an explosion. As it turns out, they're not complaining about her being female, but about her being [[spoiler:a werewolf]].



* At one point in ''{{Homestuck}}'', Terezi comes across the scene of [[spoiler: Eridan]]'s recent killing spree. Having just seen [[spoiler: Tavros]] after he was impaled by [[spoiler: Vriska]], she concocts a crazy sequence of events positing [[spoiler: Vriska]] as the killer there as well... except she immediately realizes ''it makes no sense.'' [[spoiler: [[ItMakesSenseInContext Especially since some of the evidence she saw was the result of one of the "victims" reviving as the troll equivalent of a vampire.]]]]

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* At one point in ''{{Homestuck}}'', Terezi comes across the scene of [[spoiler: Eridan]]'s Eridan's]] recent killing spree. Having just seen [[spoiler: Tavros]] after he was impaled by [[spoiler: Vriska]], she concocts a crazy sequence of events positing [[spoiler: Vriska]] as the killer there as well... except she immediately realizes ''it makes no sense.'' [[spoiler: [[ItMakesSenseInContext Especially since some of the evidence she saw was the result of one of the "victims" reviving as the troll equivalent of a vampire.]]]]

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Namespace stuff Fixed, yeah - also, sorted a bit


The reasoning is usually (although not always) completely logically [[SoundValidTrue Valid]], but either one of the premises is wrong, [[DidntSeeThatComing there exist things outside the frame of reference of the deducer]], or there are just plain facts not in evidence that cause the wrong conclusion to be reached.

A common feature of rational WrongGenreSavvy characters who don't think they're in a story, or MasterOfDelusion characters.

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The reasoning is usually (although not always) completely logically [[SoundValidTrue Valid]], but either one of the premises is wrong, [[DidntSeeThatComing there exist things outside the frame of reference of the deducer]], or there are just plain facts not in evidence that cause the wrong conclusion to be reached.

reached.

A common feature of rational WrongGenreSavvy characters who don't think they're in a story, or MasterOfDelusion characters.
characters.



* In ''Manga/OnePiece'', upon learning that his friend and leader is also the father of Monkey D. Luffy, Emporio Ivankov makes the perfectly valid assumption that Luffy's brother Ace is ''also'' the son of said friend and leader and assists Luffy in a jailbreak to save Ace from certain death. Revealed only after the jailbreak is [[spoiler:Luffy and Ace are ''not'' blood-related siblings]].



* In ''Manga/OnePiece'', upon learning that his friend and leader is also the father of Monkey D. Luffy, Emporio Ivankov makes the perfectly valid assumption that Luffy's brother Ace is ''also'' the son of said friend and leader and assists Luffy in a jailbreak to save Ace from certain death. Revealed only after the jailbreak is [[spoiler:Luffy and Ace are ''not'' blood-related siblings]].

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* In ''Manga/OnePiece'', upon learning that his friend and leader is also the father of Monkey D. Luffy, Emporio Ivankov makes the perfectly valid assumption that Luffy's brother Ace is ''also'' the son of said friend and leader and assists Luffy in a jailbreak to save Ace from certain death. Revealed only after the jailbreak is [[spoiler:Luffy and Ace are ''not'' blood-related siblings]].



* In a comic based on ''WesternAnimation/BatmanTheAnimatedSeries'' Riddler manages to deduce that Batman has to be a rich Gothamite with a personal grudge against crime. He proceeds to accost a roomful of suspects matching the criteria. Bruce Wayne is not among them.

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* In a comic based on ''WesternAnimation/BatmanTheAnimatedSeries'' Riddler manages to deduce that Batman has to be a rich Gothamite with a personal grudge against crime. He proceeds to accost a roomful of suspects matching the criteria. Bruce Wayne is not among them.
them.



* An example of ItWillNeverCatchOn from RealLife: someone predicted television would never be successful in the United States because "Americans don't have the attention span to sit and watch a box for an hour". Logically sound, but based on wrong assumptions.
* A lesser known real life example occurs when Atahualpa, the last Inca emperor, hears about the Europeans approaching the Inca capital of Cuzco. Based on reports of these foreigners wearing helmets, he comes to an astonishingly brilliant conclusion had he only known about European warfare. He notes that the Europeans have cooking pots (metal helmets for protection) over their heads. Atahualpa believed that anyone who wore cooking pots was crazy, which goes double if said people didn't even use those cooking pots for preparing food!

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* An example of ItWillNeverCatchOn from RealLife: someone predicted television would never be successful in the United States because "Americans don't have the attention span to sit and watch a box for an hour". Logically sound, but based on wrong assumptions.
assumptions.
* A lesser known real life example occurs when Atahualpa, the last Inca emperor, hears about the Europeans approaching the Inca capital of Cuzco. Based on reports of these foreigners wearing helmets, he comes to an astonishingly brilliant conclusion had he only known about European warfare. He notes that the Europeans have cooking pots (metal helmets for protection) over their heads. Atahualpa believed that anyone who wore cooking pots was crazy, which goes double if said people didn't even use those cooking pots for preparing food! food!



* Banquo in the second ''Webcomic/HarkAVagrant'' strip on [[http://www.harkavagrant.com/index.php?id=262 this page]].



* Banquo in the second ''Webcomic/HarkAVagrant'' strip on [[http://www.harkavagrant.com/index.php?id=262 this page]].

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* Banquo in Similar to the second ''Webcomic/HarkAVagrant'' strip on [[http://www.harkavagrant.com/index.php?id=262 this page]].''Kaspall'' example, in one ''[[Webcomic/TheOrderOfTheStick Order of the Stick]]'' comic, Roy concludes that if there were no ''raise dead'' or ''planeshift'' spells (meaning death was permanent, and you didn't even know for certain there was an afterlife), nobody would have wars.



* Similar to the ''Kaspall'' example, in one ''OrderOfTheStick'' comic, Roy concludes that if there were no ''raise dead'' or ''planeshift'' spells (meaning death was permanent, and you didn't even know for certain there was an afterlife), nobody would have wars.

to:

* Similar to the ''Kaspall'' example, in one ''OrderOfTheStick'' comic, Roy concludes that if there were no ''raise dead'' or ''planeshift'' spells (meaning death was permanent, and you didn't even know for certain there was an afterlife), nobody would have wars.
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* In the ''AndyGriffinShow,'' Andy and Barney came to the completely logical conclusion that Opie's friend, "Mr. Ockley" [[ImaginaryFriend wasn't real]], given the description Opie gave (jingles while he walks, can blow smoke out of his ears, runs around the top of trees, has 12 hands, and [[ArsonMurderJaywalking wears a silver hat]]). Turns out he is a tree climber, covered with tools, and can use a trick where he catches smoke from his mouth, and releases it by his ears.
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Horrible Histories is a book series, not a trope.


* From ''TabletopGame/ForgottenRealms'': The history of [[http://www.candlekeep.com/fr_faq.htm#_Toc16090515 High Moor]]. One pissed-off druid in Elminster's Ecology assumes it to be the result of typical human deforestation. It's really the result of a [[FantasticNuke Killing Storm]] unleashed by elves during a civil war. He just assumed based on what he saw and knows, and probably never saw a single elf capable ''or'' willing to do this, nor would know, since elves aren't eager to tell anyone else about [[HorribleHistories less glamorous moments of their past]].

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* From ''TabletopGame/ForgottenRealms'': The history of [[http://www.candlekeep.com/fr_faq.htm#_Toc16090515 High Moor]]. One pissed-off druid in Elminster's Ecology assumes it to be the result of typical human deforestation. It's really the result of a [[FantasticNuke Killing Storm]] unleashed by elves during a civil war. He just assumed based on what he saw and knows, and probably never saw a single elf capable ''or'' willing to do this, nor would know, since elves aren't eager to tell anyone else about [[HorribleHistories less glamorous moments of their past]].
past.
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* From ''TabletopGame/ForgottenRealms'': The history of [[http://www.candlekeep.com/fr_faq.htm#_Toc16090515 High Moor]]. One pissed-off druid in Elminster's Ecology assumes it to be the result of typical human deforestation. It's the result of a [[FantasticNuke Killing Storm]]. He just assumed based on what he saw and knows, and probably never saw a single elf capable ''or'' willing to do this, nor would know, since elves aren't eager to tell anyone else about [[HorribleHistories less glamorous moments of their past]].

to:

* From ''TabletopGame/ForgottenRealms'': The history of [[http://www.candlekeep.com/fr_faq.htm#_Toc16090515 High Moor]]. One pissed-off druid in Elminster's Ecology assumes it to be the result of typical human deforestation. It's really the result of a [[FantasticNuke Killing Storm]].Storm]] unleashed by elves during a civil war. He just assumed based on what he saw and knows, and probably never saw a single elf capable ''or'' willing to do this, nor would know, since elves aren't eager to tell anyone else about [[HorribleHistories less glamorous moments of their past]].
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Legitimate use, since Voldemort profited regardless of the job interview\'s result.


* Happens in the ''HarryPotter'' series, most prominently in ''HarryPotter/HarryPotterAndTheHalfBloodPrince'' and ''HarryPotter/HarryPotterAndTheDeathlyHallows''. In ''Half-Blood Prince'', Dumbledore and Harry both come to the perfectly valid conclusion that Voldemort had tried to get a job at Hogwarts in an attempt to get ahold of an item belong to a Hogwarts Founder for use as a SoulJar. In ''Deathly Hallows'', Harry realizes they had it backwards, and that Voldemort used the interview to ''hide'' one of his Soul Jars in a hidden room on the way to Dumbledore's office. Actually getting the job would've just been a bonus.

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* Happens in the ''HarryPotter'' series, most prominently in ''HarryPotter/HarryPotterAndTheHalfBloodPrince'' and ''HarryPotter/HarryPotterAndTheDeathlyHallows''. In ''Half-Blood Prince'', Dumbledore and Harry both come to the perfectly valid conclusion that Voldemort had tried to get a job at Hogwarts in an attempt to get ahold of an item belong to a Hogwarts Founder for use as a SoulJar. In ''Deathly Hallows'', Harry realizes they had it backwards, and that Voldemort used the interview to ''hide'' one of his Soul Jars in a hidden room on the way to Dumbledore's office. Actually getting the job would've [[XanatosGambit just been a bonus.bonus]].
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* ''Manga/RosarioToVampire'' pulled this with Tsukune's older cousin, she came to perfectly valid conclusion considering she didn't know about monsters being real prior to her arrival. Of course she was clearly not being entirely observant seeing as a succubus transformed right in front of her, a snow demon froze a goldfish in an unobscured line of site before her and a witch' magic kept dropping amusing weights on everyone that tried to talk to Tsukume

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* ''Manga/RosarioToVampire'' pulled this with Tsukune's older cousin, she came to perfectly valid conclusion considering she didn't know about monsters being real prior to her arrival. Of course she was clearly not being entirely observant seeing as a succubus transformed right in front of her, a snow demon froze a goldfish in an unobscured line of site sight before her her, and a witch' witch's magic kept dropping amusing weights on everyone that tried to talk to Tsukume




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* The ''Series/DoctorWho'' episodes "[[Recap/DoctorWhoNSS1E9TheEmptyChild The Empty Child]]" and "[[Recap/DoctorWhoNSS1E10TheDoctorDances The Doctor Dances]]", the MonsterOfTheWeek is a human child with a gas mask for a face asking for his mummy and who turns anyone he touches into the same. The mother is aware of this effect, but has no reason to realize [[spoiler:that her touch would actually have the exact ''opposite'' effect, healing everyone affected]], and kept away.
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* This forms an entertaining subplot in the first episode of ''Series/TheAdventuresOfSherlockHolmesAndDoctorWatson.'' Watson's [[SherlockHolmes mysterious roommate]] doesn't seem to have a regular job, interacts with many unsavory people, seems to know a suspicious amount about crime and related subjects, and owns a set of lockpicks. Could he be a criminal mastermind?
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* Similar to the ''Kaspall'' example, in one ''OrderOfTheStick'' comic, Roy concludes that if there were no ''raise dead'' or ''planeshift'' spells (meaning death was permenant, and you didn't even know for certain there was an afterlife), nobody would have wars.

to:

* Similar to the ''Kaspall'' example, in one ''OrderOfTheStick'' comic, Roy concludes that if there were no ''raise dead'' or ''planeshift'' spells (meaning death was permenant, permanent, and you didn't even know for certain there was an afterlife), nobody would have wars.
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* Also seen in ''CriminalMinds'' when an initial profile ends up being wrong and they're forced to re-evaluate the entire motive (and suspect). Often the result of PullingTheThread.

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* Also seen in ''CriminalMinds'' ''Series/CriminalMinds'' when an initial profile ends up being wrong and they're forced to re-evaluate the entire motive (and suspect). Often the result of PullingTheThread.
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* In ''TheSalvationWar'' , the demon lord Belial was extremely confused about why [[MugglesdoitBetter the humans were slaughtering the demonic hordes]] even though they used to only cower in fear a "mere" five millenium ago. He thought to his own forges, and how his slight refinements to tridents made them much better. He came to the conclusion that humans had been so scared of the mighty demons that they stockpiled all many great weapons and only use it now that they faced extinction. Wrong, sure, but much closer to the fact than the rest of Hell assuming that [[SufficientlyAdvancedAlien humans suddenly have magic]].
** [[spoiler: The White House assumes that the sky volcano that was randomly moving around detroit, spreading lava everywhere, was a lesson learned by the demons to cause more damage then the previous one that stayed in the same place. What really happened was a combination of the Naga's on the other end unable to make the portal in unison combined with the portal's guide demon being shot down before it could be opened.]]

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* In ''TheSalvationWar'' , the demon lord Belial was extremely confused about why [[MugglesdoitBetter [[MugglesDoItBetter the humans were slaughtering the demonic hordes]] even though they used to only cower in fear a "mere" five millenium ago. He thought to his own forges, and how his slight refinements to tridents made them much better. He came to the conclusion that humans had been so scared of the mighty demons that they stockpiled all many great weapons and only use it now that they faced extinction. Wrong, sure, but much closer to the fact than the rest of Hell assuming that [[SufficientlyAdvancedAlien humans suddenly have magic]].
** [[spoiler: The White House assumes that the sky volcano that was randomly moving around detroit, Detroit, spreading lava everywhere, was a lesson learned by the demons to cause more damage then than the previous one that stayed in the same place. What really happened was a combination of the Naga's on the other end unable to make the portal in unison combined with the portal's guide demon being shot down before it could be opened.]]



* At one point in ''{{Homestuck}}'', Terezi comes across the scene of [[spoiler: Eridan]]'s recent killing spree. Having just seen [[spoiler: Tavros]] after he was impaled by [[spoiler: Vriska]], she concocts a crazy sequence of events positing [[spoiler: Vriska]] as the killer there as well...except she immediately realizes ''it makes no sense.'' [[spoiler: [[ItMakesSenseInContext Especially since some of the evidence she saw was the result of one of the "victims" reviving as the troll equivalent of a vampire.]]]]

to:

* At one point in ''{{Homestuck}}'', Terezi comes across the scene of [[spoiler: Eridan]]'s recent killing spree. Having just seen [[spoiler: Tavros]] after he was impaled by [[spoiler: Vriska]], she concocts a crazy sequence of events positing [[spoiler: Vriska]] as the killer there as well... except she immediately realizes ''it makes no sense.'' [[spoiler: [[ItMakesSenseInContext Especially since some of the evidence she saw was the result of one of the "victims" reviving as the troll equivalent of a vampire.]]]]
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* Similar to the ''Kaspall'' example, in one ''OrderOfTheStick'' comic, Roy concludes that if there was no Raise Dead or Plainshift spells (meaning death was permenant, and you didn't even know for certain there was an afterlife), nobody would have wars.

to:

* Similar to the ''Kaspall'' example, in one ''OrderOfTheStick'' comic, Roy concludes that if there was were no Raise Dead ''raise dead'' or Plainshift ''planeshift'' spells (meaning death was permenant, and you didn't even know for certain there was an afterlife), nobody would have wars.
Is there an issue? Send a MessageReason:
None



to:

* Similar to the ''Kaspall'' example, in one ''OrderOfTheStick'' comic, Roy concludes that if there was no Raise Dead or Plainshift spells (meaning death was permenant, and you didn't even know for certain there was an afterlife), nobody would have wars.
Is there an issue? Send a MessageReason:
None


* In the early stories of the ''WebOriginal/WhateleyUniverse'', Phase brilliantly deduces that the person who left him an extortion note just before school starts is... Assistant Administrator Amelia Hartford, who has a grudge against Phase's older sisters! Phase is so, so wrong. But he doesn't figure that out for about a month, when he spots the real clue and realizes what it means (which is probably a correct series of deductions).

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* In the early stories of the ''WebOriginal/WhateleyUniverse'', ''Literature/WhateleyUniverse'', Phase brilliantly deduces that the person who left him an extortion note just before school starts is... Assistant Administrator Amelia Hartford, who has a grudge against Phase's older sisters! Phase is so, so wrong. But he doesn't figure that out for about a month, when he spots the real clue and realizes what it means (which is probably a correct series of deductions).



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* Norrington in ''[[Film/PiratesOfTheCaribbean Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl]]'' refuses to interrogate Jack Sparrow about where to find the pirates who attacked Port Royal and kidnapped Elizabeth. The pirates who attacked left Sparrow in his jail cell, therefore they weren't his allies, and so there's no reason to think that Sparrow knows where they went. In any case, Norrington wouldn't trust a pirate's word anyway. Norrington's conclusion was wrong because there were certain facts that he couldn't have known (they wren't his allies, but they ''were'' his old crew and were in fact his ''enemies'', and he ''did'' know where they went). So Will takes it on himself to spring him and go after Elizabeth himself.

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* Norrington in ''[[Film/PiratesOfTheCaribbean Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl]]'' refuses to interrogate Jack Sparrow about where to find the pirates who attacked Port Royal and kidnapped Elizabeth. The pirates who attacked left Sparrow in his jail cell, therefore they weren't his allies, and so there's no reason to think that Sparrow knows where they went. In any case, Norrington wouldn't trust a pirate's word anyway. Norrington's conclusion was wrong because there were certain facts that he couldn't have known (they wren't weren't his allies, but they ''were'' his old crew and were in fact his ''enemies'', and he ''did'' know where they went). So Will takes it on himself to spring him and go after Elizabeth himself.
Is there an issue? Send a MessageReason:
None


* ''Manga/RosarioToVampire'' pulled this with Tsukeme's older cousin, she came to perfectly valid conclusion considering she didn't know about monsters being real prior to her arrival. Of course she was clearly not being entirely observant seeing as a succubus transformed right in front of her, a snow demon froze a goldfish in an unobscured line of site before her and a witch' magic kept dropping amusing weights on everyone that tried to talk to Tsukume

to:

* ''Manga/RosarioToVampire'' pulled this with Tsukeme's Tsukune's older cousin, she came to perfectly valid conclusion considering she didn't know about monsters being real prior to her arrival. Of course she was clearly not being entirely observant seeing as a succubus transformed right in front of her, a snow demon froze a goldfish in an unobscured line of site before her and a witch' magic kept dropping amusing weights on everyone that tried to talk to Tsukume
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None


* There's a moment of this at the conclusion to ''Comicbook/GrantMorrisonsBatman Batman R.I.P.]] Batman concludes that the Joker's playing card suits were a reference to the red and black poisoned flower petals used against Batman during the climax. They weren't. There was no clue, the Joker was addressing Batman's [[BatDeduction skill at solving these kinds of things]] by providing a riddle with no answer. The Joker's crazy, you can't expect him to be honest all the time.

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* There's a moment of this at the conclusion to ''Comicbook/GrantMorrisonsBatman ''[[Comicbook/GrantMorrisonsBatman Batman R.I.P.]] ]]'' Batman concludes that the Joker's playing card suits were a reference to the red and black poisoned flower petals used against Batman during the climax. They weren't. There was no clue, the Joker was addressing Batman's [[BatDeduction skill at solving these kinds of things]] by providing a riddle with no answer. The Joker's crazy, you can't expect him to be honest all the time.

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* ''RosarioPlusVampire'' pulled this with Tsukeme's older cousin, she came to perfectly valid conclusion considering she didn't know about monsters being real prior to her arrival. Of course she was clearly not being entirely observant seeing as a succubus transformed right in front of her, a snow demon froze a goldfish in an unobscured line of site before her and a witch' magic kept dropping amusing weights on everyone that tried to talk to Tsukume

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[[AC: {{Anime}} & {{Manga}}]]
* ''RosarioPlusVampire'' ''Manga/RosarioToVampire'' pulled this with Tsukeme's older cousin, she came to perfectly valid conclusion considering she didn't know about monsters being real prior to her arrival. Of course she was clearly not being entirely observant seeing as a succubus transformed right in front of her, a snow demon froze a goldfish in an unobscured line of site before her and a witch' magic kept dropping amusing weights on everyone that tried to talk to Tsukume



* In ''MyFairLady'', the rival dialectitian picks up on all the clues that Eliza's perfect English is the product of coaching, but he assumes that her ''manners'' are innate, and thus concludes that she's a foreign aristocrat instead of that she's a lower-class Englishwoman.

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* In ''MyFairLady'', the rival dialectitian picks up on all the clues ''Manga/OnePiece'', upon learning that Eliza's perfect English his friend and leader is also the product father of coaching, but he assumes Monkey D. Luffy, Emporio Ivankov makes the perfectly valid assumption that her ''manners'' Luffy's brother Ace is ''also'' the son of said friend and leader and assists Luffy in a jailbreak to save Ace from certain death. Revealed only after the jailbreak is [[spoiler:Luffy and Ace are innate, and thus ''not'' blood-related siblings]].

[[AC: ComicBooks]]
* There's a moment of this at the conclusion to ''Comicbook/GrantMorrisonsBatman Batman R.I.P.]] Batman
concludes that she's the Joker's playing card suits were a foreign aristocrat instead reference to the red and black poisoned flower petals used against Batman during the climax. They weren't. There was no clue, the Joker was addressing Batman's [[BatDeduction skill at solving these kinds of things]] by providing a riddle with no answer. The Joker's crazy, you can't expect him to be honest all the time.
* In a comic based on ''WesternAnimation/BatmanTheAnimatedSeries'' Riddler manages to deduce
that she's Batman has to be a lower-class Englishwoman.rich Gothamite with a personal grudge against crime. He proceeds to accost a roomful of suspects matching the criteria. Bruce Wayne is not among them.

[[AC: FanFic]]



* There's a moment of this at the conclusion to BatmanRIP. Batman concludes that the Joker's playing card suits were a reference to the red and black poisoned flower petals used against Batman during the climax. They weren't. There was no clue, the Joker was addressing Batman's [[BatDeduction skill at solving these kinds of things]] by providing a riddle with no answer. The Joker's crazy, you can't expect him to be honest all the time.
** In ''WesternAnimation/TheBatman'', a couple of far-future archaeologists who are excavating the Batcave have a few conclusions like this. They think Oracle's wheelchair belonged to Alfred, for example, and after seeing a portrait of the Wayne family (Bruce and his parents), they conclude that ''Thomas'' Wayne was Batman, and Bruce was Robin.

to:

* There's a moment The premise of this at ''[[http://www.tthfanfic.org/wholestory.php?no=19932 No Place Like Eureka]]'', a ''BuffyTheVampireSlayer''/''{{Eureka}}'' crossover fanfic, is that Dawn gets embodied in Eureka rather than Sunnydale, using Carter and Stark's DNA instead of Buffy's. When the Eureka residents realize that something is strange about Dawn, they come to the perfectly logical -- and entirely wrong -- conclusion to BatmanRIP. Batman concludes that she was born in the Joker's playing card suits were a reference to the red future and black poisoned flower petals used against Batman during the climax. They weren't. There was no clue, the Joker was addressing Batman's [[BatDeduction skill at solving these kinds of things]] by providing a riddle with no answer. The Joker's crazy, you can't expect him to be honest all the time.
** In ''WesternAnimation/TheBatman'', a couple of far-future archaeologists who are excavating the Batcave have a few conclusions like this. They think Oracle's wheelchair belonged to Alfred,
sent back in time for example, some inscrutable reason. Hellgods and after seeing a portrait of the Wayne family (Bruce and his parents), they conclude that ''Thomas'' Wayne was Batman, and Bruce was Robin.mystical Keys aren't really on their radar...

[[AC: {{Film}}]]



* Norrington in ''[[Film/PiratesOfTheCaribbean Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl]]'' refuses to interrogate Jack Sparrow about where to find the pirates who attacked Port Royal and kidnapped Elizabeth. The pirates who attacked left Sparrow in his jail cell, therefore they weren't his allies, and so there's no reason to think that Sparrow knows where they went. In any case, Norrington wouldn't trust a pirate's word anyway. Norrington's conclusion was wrong because there were certain facts that he couldn't have known (they wren't his allies, but they ''were'' his old crew and were in fact his ''enemies'', and he ''did'' know where they went). So Will takes it on himself to spring him and go after Elizabeth himself.

[[AC: {{Literature}}]]



* At one point in ''{{Homestuck}}'', Terezi comes across the scene of [[spoiler: Eridan]]'s recent killing spree. Having just seen [[spoiler: Tavros]] after he was impaled by [[spoiler: Vriska]], she concocts a crazy sequence of events positing [[spoiler: Vriska]] as the killer there as well...except she immediately realizes ''it makes no sense.'' [[spoiler: [[ItMakesSenseInContext Especially since some of the evidence she saw was the result of one of the "victims" reviving as the troll equivalent of a vampire.]]]]
* In ''{{Kaspall}}'', [[http://kaspall.xepher.net/archive/pg261.html Sam concludes that the world would be a lot better]] if it was just humans, because there would be no FantasticRacism.
* ''Literature/{{Motel of the Mysteries}}'' by David Macaulay is all about future archaeologists getting present-day America entertainingly wrong.

to:

* At one point in ''{{Homestuck}}'', Terezi comes across the scene of [[spoiler: Eridan]]'s recent killing spree. Having just seen [[spoiler: Tavros]] after he was impaled by [[spoiler: Vriska]], she concocts a crazy sequence of events positing [[spoiler: Vriska]] as the killer there as well...except she immediately realizes ''it makes no sense.'' [[spoiler: [[ItMakesSenseInContext Especially since some of the evidence she saw was the result of one of the "victims" reviving as the troll equivalent of a vampire.]]]]
* In ''{{Kaspall}}'', [[http://kaspall.xepher.net/archive/pg261.html Sam concludes that the world would be a lot better]] if it was just humans, because there would be no FantasticRacism.
* ''Literature/{{Motel of the Mysteries}}''
''Literature/MotelOfTheMysteries'' by David Macaulay is all about future archaeologists getting present-day America entertainingly wrong.



* The premise of ''[[http://www.tthfanfic.org/wholestory.php?no=19932 No Place Like Eureka]]'', a ''BuffyTheVampireSlayer''/''{{Eureka}}'' crossover fanfic, is that Dawn gets embodied in Eureka rather than Sunnydale, using Carter and Stark's DNA instead of Buffy's. When the Eureka residents realize that something is strange about Dawn, they come to the perfectly logical -- and entirely wrong -- conclusion that she was born in the future and sent back in time for some inscrutable reason. Hellgods and mystical Keys aren't really on their radar...
* Banquo in the second ''HarkAVagrant'' strip on [[http://www.harkavagrant.com/index.php?id=262 this page]].
* In ''{{Narbonic}}'', Dave's internet girlfriend Lovelace (who is actually Professor Madblood's supercomputer) lets slip that she's staying in the same hotel room as Madblood at a convention. When [[http://www.webcomicsnation.com/shaenongarrity/narbonic_plus/series.php?view=archive&chapter=49197#196132 Dave and Helen break into Madblood's room to find her]], they discover only one set of luggage; Dave mistakenly concludes from this that Lovelace ''is'' Madblood.
* In ''BatmanArkhamAsylum'', the Riddler is convinced that {{Batman}} is a VillainWithGoodPublicity; he ''must'' be stealing money from criminals he catches to fund his [[WhereDoesHeGetAllThoseWonderfulToys Wonderful Toys]]. Besides his mistaken belief that [[EvilCannotComprehendGood "no one is that selfless"]], he doesn't know that Bats is legitimately filthy rich and has an R&D department he can nick stuff from.
** In a [[NoFourthWall wall-breaking]] moment, should the player solve enough of the Riddler's riddles, he'll scold 'Batman' for looking them up on the internet. It becomes EntertaininglyWrong for those players who resisted the temptation to "cheat." Many players do resort to solving puzzles by looking them up.
** In a comic based on [[BatmanTheAnimatedSeries The Animated Series]] Riddler manages to deduce that Batman has to be a rich Gothamite with a personal grudge against crime. He proceeds to accost a roomful of suspects matching the criteria. Bruce Wayne is not among them.
* In the ''{{Stargate SG-1}}'' episode "Arthur's Mantle", Dr. Lee knows that Sam and Cameron were in a room with an Ancient artifact; that the security cameras in that room went out and when they came back on the two of them were no longer visible; and that the cameras in the hallway outside the only exit don't show them leaving the room. He concludes that the artifact must have miniaturized them and spends quite a bit of time trying to find them on the floor of the room. In reality, it made them invisible and intangible, and Sam spends most the episode hovering over Dr. Lee's shoulder, in frustration with the fact that she can't communicate this to him.
* Norrington in ''PiratesOfTheCaribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl'' refuses to interrogate Jack Sparrow about where to find the pirates who attacked Port Royal and kidnapped Elizabeth. The pirates who attacked left Sparrow in his jail cell, therefore they weren't his allies, and so there's no reason to think that Sparrow knows where they went. In any case, Norrington wouldn't trust a pirate's word anyway. Norrington's conclusion was wrong because there were certain facts that he couldn't have known (they wren't his allies, but they ''were'' his old crew and were in fact his ''enemies'', and he ''did'' know where they went). So Will takes it on himself to spring him and go after Elizabeth himself.
* In the early stories of the WhateleyUniverse, Phase brilliantly deduces that the person who left him an extortion note just before school starts is... Assistant Administrator Amelia Hartford, who has a grudge against Phase's older sisters! Phase is so, so wrong. But he doesn't figure that out for about a month, when he spots the real clue and realizes what it means (which is probably a correct series of deductions).
* Commonly seen in the LawAndOrder franchise when one or more of the initial, red-herring, suspects turns out to have a perfectly reasonable explanation for their suspicious behaviour. The guy with the shrine to a dead kid who was stalking him, who quit a high-paying job to work with young children, all seeming to perfectly fit a predatory pedophile? The kid's real father concerned about his care by the adoptive parents and wanted to be close to him.
* Also seen in ''CriminalMinds'' when an initial profile ends up being wrong and they're forced to re-evaluate the entire motive (and suspect). Often the result of PullingTheThread.
* An example of ItWillNeverCatchOn from RealLife: someone predicted television would never be successful in the United States because "Americans don't have the attention span to sit and watch a box for an hour". Logically sound, but based on wrong assumptions.
* From ForgottenRealms: The history of [[http://www.candlekeep.com/fr_faq.htm#_Toc16090515 High Moor]]. One pissed-off druid in Elminster's Ecology assumes it to be the result of typical human deforestation. It's the result of a [[FantasticNuke Killing Storm]]. He just assumed based on what he saw and knows, and probably never saw a single elf capable ''or'' willing to do this, nor would know, since elves aren't eager to tell anyone else about [[HorribleHistories less glamorous moments of their past]].


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[[AC: LiveActionTV]]
* In the ''Series/{{Stargate SG-1}}'' episode "Arthur's Mantle", Dr. Lee knows that Sam and Cameron were in a room with an Ancient artifact; that the security cameras in that room went out and when they came back on the two of them were no longer visible; and that the cameras in the hallway outside the only exit don't show them leaving the room. He concludes that the artifact must have miniaturized them and spends quite a bit of time trying to find them on the floor of the room. In reality, it made them invisible and intangible, and Sam spends most the episode hovering over Dr. Lee's shoulder, in frustration with the fact that she can't communicate this to him.
* Commonly seen in the ''LawAndOrder'' franchise when one or more of the initial, red-herring, suspects turns out to have a perfectly reasonable explanation for their suspicious behaviour. The guy with the shrine to a dead kid who was stalking him, who quit a high-paying job to work with young children, all seeming to perfectly fit a predatory pedophile? The kid's real father concerned about his care by the adoptive parents and wanted to be close to him.
* Also seen in ''CriminalMinds'' when an initial profile ends up being wrong and they're forced to re-evaluate the entire motive (and suspect). Often the result of PullingTheThread.

[[AC: RealLife]]
* An example of ItWillNeverCatchOn from RealLife: someone predicted television would never be successful in the United States because "Americans don't have the attention span to sit and watch a box for an hour". Logically sound, but based on wrong assumptions.


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[[AC: TabletopGames]]
* From ''TabletopGame/ForgottenRealms'': The history of [[http://www.candlekeep.com/fr_faq.htm#_Toc16090515 High Moor]]. One pissed-off druid in Elminster's Ecology assumes it to be the result of typical human deforestation. It's the result of a [[FantasticNuke Killing Storm]]. He just assumed based on what he saw and knows, and probably never saw a single elf capable ''or'' willing to do this, nor would know, since elves aren't eager to tell anyone else about [[HorribleHistories less glamorous moments of their past]].

[[AC: {{Theater}}]]
* In ''MyFairLady'', the rival dialectitian picks up on all the clues that Eliza's perfect English is the product of coaching, but he assumes that her ''manners'' are innate, and thus concludes that she's a foreign aristocrat instead of that she's a lower-class Englishwoman.

[[AC: WebComics]]
* At one point in ''{{Homestuck}}'', Terezi comes across the scene of [[spoiler: Eridan]]'s recent killing spree. Having just seen [[spoiler: Tavros]] after he was impaled by [[spoiler: Vriska]], she concocts a crazy sequence of events positing [[spoiler: Vriska]] as the killer there as well...except she immediately realizes ''it makes no sense.'' [[spoiler: [[ItMakesSenseInContext Especially since some of the evidence she saw was the result of one of the "victims" reviving as the troll equivalent of a vampire.]]]]
* In ''{{Kaspall}}'', [[http://kaspall.xepher.net/archive/pg261.html Sam concludes that the world would be a lot better]] if it was just humans, because there would be no FantasticRacism.
* Banquo in the second ''Webcomic/HarkAVagrant'' strip on [[http://www.harkavagrant.com/index.php?id=262 this page]].
* In ''Webcomic/{{Narbonic}}'', Dave's internet girlfriend Lovelace (who is actually Professor Madblood's supercomputer) lets slip that she's staying in the same hotel room as Madblood at a convention. When [[http://www.webcomicsnation.com/shaenongarrity/narbonic_plus/series.php?view=archive&chapter=49197#196132 Dave and Helen break into Madblood's room to find her]], they discover only one set of luggage; Dave mistakenly concludes from this that Lovelace ''is'' Madblood.

[[AC: WebOriginal]]
* In the early stories of the ''WebOriginal/WhateleyUniverse'', Phase brilliantly deduces that the person who left him an extortion note just before school starts is... Assistant Administrator Amelia Hartford, who has a grudge against Phase's older sisters! Phase is so, so wrong. But he doesn't figure that out for about a month, when he spots the real clue and realizes what it means (which is probably a correct series of deductions).

[[AC: WesternAnimation]]
* In ''WesternAnimation/TheBatman'', a couple of far-future archaeologists who are excavating the Batcave have a few conclusions like this. They think Oracle's wheelchair belonged to Alfred, for example, and after seeing a portrait of the Wayne family (Bruce and his parents), they conclude that ''Thomas'' Wayne was Batman, and Bruce was Robin.

[[AC: VideoGames]]
* In ''VideoGame/BatmanArkhamAsylum'', the Riddler is convinced that {{Batman}} is a VillainWithGoodPublicity; he ''must'' be stealing money from criminals he catches to fund his [[WhereDoesHeGetAllThoseWonderfulToys Wonderful Toys]]. Besides his mistaken belief that [[EvilCannotComprehendGood "no one is that selfless"]], he doesn't know that Bats is legitimately filthy rich and has an R&D department he can nick stuff from.
** In a [[NoFourthWall wall-breaking]] moment, should the player solve enough of the Riddler's riddles, he'll scold 'Batman' for looking them up on the internet. It becomes EntertaininglyWrong for those players who resisted the temptation to "cheat." Many players do resort to solving puzzles by looking them up.

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* A lesser known real life example occurs when Atahualpa, the last Inca emperor, hears about the Europeans approaching the Inca capital of Cuzco. Based on reports of these foreigners wearing helmets, he comes to an astonishingly brilliant conclusion had he only known about European warfare. He notes that the Europeans have cooking pots (metal helmets for protection) over their heads. Atahualpa believed that anyone who wore cooking pots was crazy, which goes double if said people didn't even use those cooking pots for preparing food!
** Imagine his OhCrap reaction when he set an ambush in the capital with thousands of soldiers vs. slightly over 100 Europeans, only to have said helmets turn out to be armor making them nigh-impossible to kill with Inca weaponry. The diseases the Europeans carried only cranked it UpToEleven.
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** [spoiler: The White House assumes that the sky volcano that was randomly moving around detroit, spreading lava everywhere, was a lesson learned by the demons to cause more damage then the previous one that stayed in the same place. What really happened was a combination of the Naga's on the other end unable to make the portal in unison combined with the portal's guide demon being shot down before it could be opened.

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** [spoiler: [[spoiler: The White House assumes that the sky volcano that was randomly moving around detroit, spreading lava everywhere, was a lesson learned by the demons to cause more damage then the previous one that stayed in the same place. What really happened was a combination of the Naga's on the other end unable to make the portal in unison combined with the portal's guide demon being shot down before it could be opened.
opened.]]
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* In TheSalvationWar , the demon lord Belial was extremely confused about why [[MugglesdoitBetter the humans were slaughtering the demonic hordes]] even though they used to only cower in fear a "mere" five millenium ago. He thought to his own forges, and how his slight refinements to tridents made them much better. He came to the conclusion that humans had been so scared of the mighty demons that they stockpiled all many great weapons and only use it now that they faced extinction. Wrong, sure, but much closer to the fact than the rest of Hell assuming that [[SufficientlyAdvancedAlien humans suddenly have magic]].

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* In TheSalvationWar ''TheSalvationWar'' , the demon lord Belial was extremely confused about why [[MugglesdoitBetter the humans were slaughtering the demonic hordes]] even though they used to only cower in fear a "mere" five millenium ago. He thought to his own forges, and how his slight refinements to tridents made them much better. He came to the conclusion that humans had been so scared of the mighty demons that they stockpiled all many great weapons and only use it now that they faced extinction. Wrong, sure, but much closer to the fact than the rest of Hell assuming that [[SufficientlyAdvancedAlien humans suddenly have magic]].
** [spoiler: The White House assumes that the sky volcano that was randomly moving around detroit, spreading lava everywhere, was a lesson learned by the demons to cause more damage then the previous one that stayed in the same place. What really happened was a combination of the Naga's on the other end unable to make the portal in unison combined with the portal's guide demon being shot down before it could be opened.
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to:

* In TheSalvationWar , the demon lord Belial was extremely confused about why [[MugglesdoitBetter the humans were slaughtering the demonic hordes]] even though they used to only cower in fear a "mere" five millenium ago. He thought to his own forges, and how his slight refinements to tridents made them much better. He came to the conclusion that humans had been so scared of the mighty demons that they stockpiled all many great weapons and only use it now that they faced extinction. Wrong, sure, but much closer to the fact than the rest of Hell assuming that [[SufficientlyAdvancedAlien humans suddenly have magic]].
Is there an issue? Send a MessageReason:
assume you meant LAW here!


* Commonly seen in the LandAndOrder franchise when one or more of the initial, red-herring, suspects turns out to have a perfectly reasonable explanation for their suspicious behaviour. The guy with the shrine to a dead kid who was stalking him, who quit a high-paying job to work with young children, all seeming to perfectly fit a predatory pedophile? The kid's real father concerned about his care by the adoptive parents and wanted to be close to him.

to:

* Commonly seen in the LandAndOrder LawAndOrder franchise when one or more of the initial, red-herring, suspects turns out to have a perfectly reasonable explanation for their suspicious behaviour. The guy with the shrine to a dead kid who was stalking him, who quit a high-paying job to work with young children, all seeming to perfectly fit a predatory pedophile? The kid's real father concerned about his care by the adoptive parents and wanted to be close to him.

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* From ForgottenRealms: The history of [[http://www.candlekeep.com/fr_faq.htm#_Toc16090515 High Moor]]. One pissed-off druid in Elminster's Ecology assumes it to be the result of typical human deforestation. It's the result of a [[FantasticNuke Killing Storm]]. He just assumed based on what he saw and knows, and probably never saw a single elf capable ''or'' willing to do this, nor would know, since elves aren't eager to tell anyone else about [[HorribleHistories less glamorous moments of their past]].
Is there an issue? Send a MessageReason:
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to:

* An example of ItWillNeverCatchOn from RealLife: someone predicted television would never be successful in the United States because "Americans don't have the attention span to sit and watch a box for an hour". Logically sound, but based on wrong assumptions.

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* Commonly seen in the LandAndOrder franchise when one or more of the initial, red-herring, suspects turns out to have a perfectly reasonable explanation for their suspicious behaviour. The guy with the shrine to a dead kid who was stalking him, who quit a high-paying job to work with young children, all seeming to perfectly fit a predatory pedophile? The kid's real father concerned about his care by the adoptive parents and wanted to be close to him.
* Also seen in ''CriminalMinds'' when an initial profile ends up being wrong and they're forced to re-evaluate the entire motive (and suspect). Often the result of PullingTheThread.
Is there an issue? Send a MessageReason:
None

Added DiffLines:

* In the early stories of the WhateleyUniverse, Phase brilliantly deduces that the person who left him an extortion note just before school starts is... Assistant Administrator Amelia Hartford, who has a grudge against Phase's older sisters! Phase is so, so wrong. But he doesn't figure that out for about a month, when he spots the real clue and realizes what it means (which is probably a correct series of deductions).
Is there an issue? Send a MessageReason:
None


* Norrington in ''PiratesOfTheCaribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl'' refuses to interrogate Jack Sparrow about where to find the pirates who attacked Port Royal and kidnapped Elizabeth. The pirates who attacked left Sparrow in his jail cell, therefore they weren't his allies, and so there's no reason to think that Sparrow knows where they went. In any case, Norrington wouldn't trust a pirate's word anyway. Norrington's conclusion was wrong because there were certain facts that he couldn't have known. So Will takes it on himself to spring him and go after Elizabeth himself.

to:

* Norrington in ''PiratesOfTheCaribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl'' refuses to interrogate Jack Sparrow about where to find the pirates who attacked Port Royal and kidnapped Elizabeth. The pirates who attacked left Sparrow in his jail cell, therefore they weren't his allies, and so there's no reason to think that Sparrow knows where they went. In any case, Norrington wouldn't trust a pirate's word anyway. Norrington's conclusion was wrong because there were certain facts that he couldn't have known.known (they wren't his allies, but they ''were'' his old crew and were in fact his ''enemies'', and he ''did'' know where they went). So Will takes it on himself to spring him and go after Elizabeth himself.
Is there an issue? Send a MessageReason:
None


* The entire plot of ''HotFuzz'' is this. Nicholas Angel examines the evidence he has uncovered and deduces that everything that has been going on in town is all part of a master scheme involving real estate prices. The truth is much sillier.

to:

* The entire plot of ''HotFuzz'' is this. Nicholas Angel examines the evidence he has uncovered and deduces that everything that has been going on in town is all part of a master scheme involving real estate prices. The truth is much sillier.sillier....and much more twisted and evil.

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