There's a 2015 article "Broadcast TV is dying a death of a thousand cuts", the title alone sums up the situation.
edited 20th Mar '17 8:52:01 PM by justanid
If they're smart, I think the major companies will either go digital or attempt to merge with a digitally-distributed service like some of them already are. I personally still like the convenience of flipping through channels with a remote instead of a keyboard or a controller and I assume there's enough of a market out there of people who do, so I could see a potential future where content is sold is a la carte and distributed online or whatever.
Antenna tv will probably stick around in small capacity as a more reliable legacy format and poor man's option, like radio now. But cable and such? Yeah, they're going the way of the dodo fast, and will only be around in niche areas at beat in a few decades.
I missed the part where that's my problem.TV will stick around a little longer simply because we didn't invent a portable with enough process power to match what the more expansive T Vs can do.
I would say around 10 to 20 yrs, maybe longer with 3-D.
Personally I give it until a. the older generations who have a substantial section of purposeful internet-avoiders dies off; b. there is enough significant coverage of reliable highspeed broadband to provide video streaming services everywhere.
So, yeah, 10-20 years.
I think 3D is a novelty which is pretty much dead now though.
Television will evolve over time and will be a part of smart home devices
One thing keeping traditional tv alive is public places that air tv like airports, restaurants, hospitals, nursing homes, etc.
I don't mean the device, of course, but the broadcasting model, both open and cable. It seems too old and dated, generation Y and newer already seem to have very little connection with television. It's becoming more and more of an old people habit. Nobody wants to have an appointment to watch a show anymore. The biggest advantage of Netflix/Hulu/etc is that you can watch any show anytime, and I wonder for how long people will still want the passive experience of traditional TV. Also, on You Tube, anybody can start their own channel with little money without needing contacts on the industry, as is the case with traditional TV.
Cinema, on the other hand, will probably take longer to die, as it does offer an special experience, with enormous screen and professional sound, not to mention the social experience it provides.