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Lets Talk About Debt... Once More, With Feeling.

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GameChainsaw The Shadows Devour You. from sunshine and rainbows! Since: Oct, 2010
The Shadows Devour You.
#1: Jul 16th 2011 at 8:19:21 AM

The branch off from the GOP default thread. Banter about Europes debt, Americas debt, and why we need less of it. Or more of it, if you're a crazy socialist heathen. :P

The term "Great Man" is disturbingly interchangeable with "mass murderer" in history books.
#2: Jul 16th 2011 at 9:17:29 AM

Well, thesooner we pay down the debt, the sooner it will stop being a big political issue, and the sooner we can get back to being awesome.

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blueharp Since: Dec, 1969
#3: Jul 16th 2011 at 9:34:45 AM

Most of this debt crises is a manufactured problem, because so many people benefit from it.

Inhopelessguy Since: Apr, 2011
#4: Jul 16th 2011 at 9:38:45 AM

[up]I agree.

But we can't roll it back.

Everything is based on gold right?

Well... gold isn't really worth anything. We think it is worth something, but in truth it is not.

blueharp Since: Dec, 1969
#5: Jul 16th 2011 at 9:39:53 AM

No, the gold standard is long since abandoned in most of the world, and gold is quite useful for many different things.

Everything's based on confidence, not gold.

edited 16th Jul '11 9:40:19 AM by blueharp

InverurieJones '80s TV Action Hero from North of the Wall. Since: Jan, 2010 Relationship Status: And they all lived happily ever after <3
'80s TV Action Hero
#6: Jul 16th 2011 at 9:53:42 AM

[up] And very few people have much of either, these days.

'All he needs is for somebody to throw handgrenades at him for the rest of his life...'
Midgetsnowman Since: Jan, 2010
#7: Jul 16th 2011 at 9:55:12 AM

@Edwards: [paying down the debt is all but impossible and has been so since it was created at the founding of the nation.

The key is making it grow slower than inflation, thereby effectively reducing our overall debt.

MajorTom Eye'm the cutest! Since: Dec, 2009 Relationship Status: Barbecuing
Eye'm the cutest!
#8: Jul 16th 2011 at 9:58:02 AM

paying down the debt is all but impossible

Prior to 1933 most of the history of the US' existence was debt-free or relatively debt free.

"Allah may guide their bullets, but Jesus helps those who aim down the sights."
blueharp Since: Dec, 1969
#9: Jul 16th 2011 at 10:00:24 AM

And everything was rosey and peachy...unless you were in the middle of one of the many economic downturns, of course.

Not to mention how much of the burden was on the state governments instead, and how much of the debt was masked by expansion feeding growth. Isn't much in the way of empty territory left today.

edited 16th Jul '11 10:03:39 AM by blueharp

Inhopelessguy Since: Apr, 2011
#10: Jul 16th 2011 at 10:00:32 AM

But after 1933 was a war. AND PROFIT came from it for America!

edited 16th Jul '11 10:00:48 AM by Inhopelessguy

Fighteer Lost in Space from The Time Vortex (Time Abyss) Relationship Status: TV Tropes ruined my love life
Lost in Space
#11: Jul 16th 2011 at 10:08:13 AM

Prior to 1933 most of the history of the US' existence was debt-free or relatively debt free.

Post-war debts were severe in the wake of all our major wars. We grew our way out of them. Not much room to grow in the current world order.

"It's Occam's Shuriken! If the answer is elusive, never rule out ninjas!"
Midgetsnowman Since: Jan, 2010
#12: Jul 16th 2011 at 10:15:01 AM

@Tom: Mostly because in those days one could pass a tax raise to raise revenue without one party crying like a bunch of babies about how their hedge fund made a million dollars less on the year.

Fighteer Lost in Space from The Time Vortex (Time Abyss) Relationship Status: TV Tropes ruined my love life
Lost in Space
#13: Jul 16th 2011 at 10:16:45 AM

[up] Added to that, we didn't have so much of our economy tied up in using money to make money. When that house of cards topples, it does so in a big way.

"It's Occam's Shuriken! If the answer is elusive, never rule out ninjas!"
Inhopelessguy Since: Apr, 2011
#14: Jul 16th 2011 at 10:17:42 AM

If we all moved back to the 1950s, economically shit was better. In Britain, e.g., we had a no-nonsense Labour government that had good ideas. Now? What the hell's a 'big society'? Will my baby gain 2 kg when they're born?

GameChainsaw The Shadows Devour You. from sunshine and rainbows! Since: Oct, 2010
The Shadows Devour You.
#15: Jul 16th 2011 at 10:25:03 AM

Didn't the 60's Labour government cause massive devaluation of the pound? I hear that Labour almost lead us to financial wreck and ruin during that period.

They did a lot of good too; many of our more enlightened social policies stem from Labours two mid-century stints in power. But Labour... well, the country tends to look to Labour when puppies are being kicked right left and centre, and to the Conservatives when we need money.

The term "Great Man" is disturbingly interchangeable with "mass murderer" in history books.
EricDVH Since: Jan, 2001
#16: Jul 16th 2011 at 10:54:14 AM

From the default thread:

Best Of: But my point was not that our recessions are similar; it was that they are connected.
Raven Wilder: Isn't the whole panic over the United States debt generated in large part by the Greek debt crisis?
I don't think they actually are connected (there was no real budget crisis in Europe in spite of real economic harm done by the US recession, there is likewise no budget crisis in the US in spite of the 2008 US credit crunch and the 2010 European austerity crisis,) but Raven brings up a good point: If people at the onset of each thought they were connected (and hysteria over Greece is being used by US Republicans, albeit not very much, owing to the US's cultural insularity) and that fear causes them to do something harmful, then does that mean they effectively are? On consideration, I guess I agree.

Major Tom: They all have common symptoms and reasons such as overreliance on union workers, too many government services and payouts and banking on stupid economic decisions to fund the prior two.
Game Chainsaw: I've heard a lot of stuff about market controllers benefitting from a financial crisis. Last time I checked a debt is a debt; you have repayments on it which are agreed on at certain intervals.
You're amazingly close to the real problem, the only factor that matters is how much of the budget you waste on debt service, which isn't actually related to total debt. From the nations out of debt thread:
De Marquis: There are some smaller EU countries who are in that predicament, mostly because they did borrow too much in order to finance rather over-lavish public spending programs, but neither the US nor the UK is in that situation.
Eric DVH: You mean like Greece? Around 2009, Japan was far more indebted, the US directly on par in terms of deficit spending, France and Scandinavia dwarfed it in terms of total spending and taxation. None of these countries are verging on default, the budgetary angle on the Greek financial crisis is utterly fake.

You want to know what actually caused it? The debt Greece bought had insanely awful interest rates which they dedicated far too much of their annual budget to paying (9-13% of GDP (probably around 40% of tax revenue!) in the late 90s (99k PDF), as compared with the US's 1-3%.) From 2000-2010, however they had sleazy financial institutions like Goldman Sachs swap the interest on their debt to the slightly less absurd 6% of GDP (using somewhat dubious methods.) Not much of a problem, except those financiers and bond traders then made short bets against Greece, and obliterated their credit rating by trading Greek bonds way under par, causing the EU authorities and credit agencies to notice and dogpile Greece, earning the financiers huge profits. In other words, it was pretty much a set-up job based around promulgating debt alarmism.

Midgetsnowman: The key is making it grow slower than inflation, thereby effectively reducing our overall debt.
Or just run surplus budgets, y'know, like the last two Democratic presidents quite easily did. I imagine Obama will too, once the Bushcession is dealt with.

Major Tom: Prior to 1933 most of the history of the US' existence was debt-free or relatively debt free.
Gee, then what was the lump in this chart eating up 20-40% of GDP prior to 1933?

Eric,

johnnyfog Actual Wrestling Legend from the Zocalo Since: Apr, 2010 Relationship Status: They can't hide forever. We've got satellites.
Actual Wrestling Legend
#17: Jul 16th 2011 at 11:09:13 AM

Once more, we're back to the question of how to cut back the debt. Military spending is sacrosanct, partly since it funds our competitive tech industry.

I'm a skeptical squirrel
ssfsx17 crazy and proud of it Since: Jun, 2009
crazy and proud of it
#18: Jul 16th 2011 at 11:09:51 AM

[up] That chart is very telling. Most interesting is that even during the height of the Cold War, when Social Security and massive military spending were raging hard, the debt was able to be reduced compared to Korean War levels.

Of course, if someone still wants to say "FDR is the first demon!" and claim that he liked government spending when he was actually quite happy to reduce it as soon as the opportunities presented themselves, no amount of actual evidence will convince that person otherwise.

johnnyfog Actual Wrestling Legend from the Zocalo Since: Apr, 2010 Relationship Status: They can't hide forever. We've got satellites.
Actual Wrestling Legend
#19: Jul 16th 2011 at 11:14:48 AM

^ Excuse me, but didn't Truman institute 90% income tax rates? And vetoed a income tax reduction bill? That may explain the debt reduction.

edited 16th Jul '11 11:15:02 AM by johnnyfog

I'm a skeptical squirrel
blueharp Since: Dec, 1969
#20: Jul 16th 2011 at 11:16:34 AM

Look up the whole tax picture.

Some of it is not pretty.

ssfsx17 crazy and proud of it Since: Jun, 2009
crazy and proud of it
#21: Jul 16th 2011 at 11:18:33 AM

[up][up] & [up] So people back then understood that's what it takes to cut debt while maintaining whatever spending was going on, how did we forget that today?

EDIT: Also, I was listening to an interview with a congressman about closing tax loopholes. It was like listening to a little kid. The interviewer said, "What about closing tax loopholes? This would not be an increase in actual taxes." The congressman said, "Uh, n-n-n-no! No tax increases whatsoever!"

edited 16th Jul '11 11:20:49 AM by ssfsx17

Midgetsnowman Since: Jan, 2010
#22: Jul 16th 2011 at 11:22:39 AM

[up]

If they don't say that, the rest of the conservatives will nail them to the wall.

johnnyfog Actual Wrestling Legend from the Zocalo Since: Apr, 2010 Relationship Status: They can't hide forever. We've got satellites.
Actual Wrestling Legend
#23: Jul 16th 2011 at 11:43:37 AM

^ It's our anti-authoritarian streak. Red Dead Redemption is the best peek into the conservative viewpoint I've seen in awhile, especially toward the government. :P

^^ Now, as for our ancestors somehow being smarter: I might add that Truman's tax policy was a result of his nat'l security state. In fact, the income tax is what turned Reagan toward the GOP.

edited 16th Jul '11 11:45:06 AM by johnnyfog

I'm a skeptical squirrel
storyyeller More like giant cherries from Appleloosa Since: Jan, 2001 Relationship Status: RelationshipOutOfBoundsException: 1
More like giant cherries
#24: Jul 16th 2011 at 12:47:20 PM

Kind of ironic that the current GOP has turned away from Regan.

Blind Final Fantasy 6 Let's Play
Midgetsnowman Since: Jan, 2010
#25: Jul 16th 2011 at 1:07:50 PM

Especially since they still deify him.


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