stochastic effects may randomize even the most rigorous calculation.
if the enemy reacts perfectly, both in making a plan on the basis of statistically-insignificant intelligence and in execution of that plan, then they could successfully attack us tonight. in that case, i will begin to believe in a god myself. theirs.
i am not god.
No, but you're the closest approximation available within current parameters
- Center and Raj Whitehall
Military Science Fiction series by David Drake and S.M. Stirling, who rather specialize in the genre.The planet Bellevue was part of a vast, star spanning Federation until civil war destroyed the 'Tanaki Nets' that made interstellar travel possible and called down atomic fire on military installations and population centers alike. Technological civilization has been losing ground on Bellevue ever since.1,103 years after 'the Fall', two young aristocrats, Raj Whitehall (a provincial seeking his fortune in the Civil Government's military) and his patrician friend Thom Poplanich are exploring the ancient catacombs beneath East Residence when they blunder into the centrum of Sector Command and Control Unit AZ12-b14-c000 Mk. XIV, a surviving AI supercomputer from pre-Fall times.Center chooses Raj as its instrument to reunite Bellevue and reverse the entropic cycle that will, if uninterrupted, lead to the total destruction of Human civilization and possibly the end of Human life on Bellevue. Or, as Raj sees it, he has been chosen by an Angel of the Spirit of Man as an Avatar to serve the Spirit's purposes on 'This Earth'. Both man and computer realize that this will more likely than not lead to Raj's death, either in battle or at the hands of his paranoid Governor, the Sole Rightful Autocrat of the Gubierno Civil, Barholm Clerett.The series is very obviously based on the history of 5th c. Byzantium. (Albeit with military technology more akin to that of the 1870s.) Barholm Clerett is a less-stable Justinian I. His wife Anne is a former 'entertainer' like the Empress Theodora, and Raj's campaigns show a more than passing similarity to those of Belisarius. Bellevue's Byzantium is 'The Civil Government', a theocratic state based on the literal worship of technology as relics of 'Holy Federation', the direct creation of 'The Spirit of Man of the Stars'. Interestingly, the 'Gubernio Civil' is descended from Hispanic colonists from the southwest United States and Latin America; their main language is Sponglish, similar to the Spanjol spoken by peons in the barbarian lands of the Brigade and the Squadron.In addition to the Civil Government there is 'The Colony', a Moslem state founded by refugees from the Final Jihad and the Civil Government's most formidable rival. (The Colony was on Bellevue first; presumably they had their own name for the planet.) Its other enemies are the Brigade and the Squadron; blond, fair-skinned barbarians speaking a corrupted form of American English — Namerique — and descended from mutinous Federation troops stranded by the Fall.After nearly losing his command and his life on a raid against the Colony, Raj returns to defeat the Colony's Settler and its great general Tewfik ibn Jamal in the first book of the series, The Forge. Raj's next assignment, in The Hammer, is the reconquest of the Southern Territories currently held by The Squadron, a barbarian naval power. Raj's campaign to retake the Western Territories from 'The Brigade' is covered in The Anvil and The Steel. In the final book The Sword Raj returns to the east to face the one general who's ever beaten him, Tewfik.It should be noted that the series shares many similarities with Drake's later Belisarius Series (not surprising really).A sequel series has Center and the recorded mind of Raj acting as Spirit Advisor to a couple of brothers on another world who must fight the Chosen, a Social DarwinistEmpire of SpaceNazis, (Expies of Stirling's own The Draka), to ready their planet for entry into The Alliance founded by The General. This series uses elements from The Spanish-American War, World War I, the Spanish Civil War, and World War II. Yet another sequel series does the same on another planet, with Eric Flint stepping in for Stirling after the first book (Flint also co-wrote with Drake in the Belisarius Series), and doesn't even try to disguise the nod to ancient Rome.The majority of the series is out of print now, but the first two books have been republished as "Hope Reborn" (available as Warlord at Baen CD), a new book, The Heretic was recently released.If you're looking for the Buster Keaton movie of the same name, go hereExamples
All Planets Are Earthlike - Somewhat averted. Bellevue's native vegetation has a reddish coloration and native lifeforms are dangerous sauroids. It's mentioned repeatedly that without aggressive hunting of the sauroids, nobody can live on Bellevue except the barbarian Skinners.
Badass Gay: Both Barton Foley and Gerrin Staenbridge, though they're technically Bi the Way, male-preferred.
Barbarian Tribe - The Military Governments, descended from Federation soldiers stationed out in the boonies. Some are VERY barbaric indeed - and NONE of the This Earth heretics speak proper Spanjol!
Allegedly Truth in Television, in that any who did not speak Latin were considered "barbarians". Because non-Latin speakers sounded like they were just saying "bar-bar-bar..."
Replace Latin with Greek and you've got the idea.
And when Raj refers to the barbarians as "vandals" there's serious wordplay in the context.
Battle Cry - The Colony (Allahu Akbar!), Squadron (GETTEM!), and Brigade (UPYARZ!) all have traditional battle cries.
Bilingual Bonus: If you speak the ancestor languages of Namerique or Sponglish, you'll spot the humor in things like the term for the Brigade nobility note brazaz, from the English "brass ass", a derogatory term for military officers or a spineless bottom-feeding fish used for dog food note advocati, from the Spanish abogado, "lawyer"
The Casanova: Major Kaltin Gruder, who averages three duels with outraged husbands per winter, keeps an entire mini-harem of slavegirl concubines, has had at least a one-night stand in every single town the army ever stopped in, and once managed to find a girlfriend to happily (and temporarily) shack up with within half an hour of first entering a city being sacked.
Was once heard joking that he enjoyed the opportunity to go on campaign because it gave him a chance to get out of the house and get some sleep.
Raising the threat index by several degrees. As Raj observes on several occasions, half-ton carnivores in a bad mood are very bad news.
The Chosen One - Raj, and in an unexpected way his friend Thom Poplanich as well.
Continuity Drift - Suzette's eyes keep changing color, as do the number of generations her family have been prominent and other admittedly minor details.
Deadly Decadent Court - East Residence is described even by its inhabitants as a 'snake pit' where murderous intrigue is the favored pastime of the patrician elite. Luckily for Raj Whitehall his wife, Lady Suzette, is a past mistress of all the arts from seduction to poison.
Messer Enrike, merchant: The Brigade were far easier to deal with. Grovel a little and you could steal them blind. Small chance that that would work with Raj Whitehall. He might pass for a simple honest soldier in East Residence, that pit of vipers, but a simpleton from the Governor's court could give lessons in intrigue to Carson Barracks.
The Empire - Both the Civil Government and the Colony are like this.
Ermine Cape Effect - East Residence court dress is extremely elaborate. The Governor is rarely seen out of his cloth-of-gold vestments and Suzette frequently wears her splendid and seductive court costume to awe and inflame provincial officials.
Also Subverted: Because of the local Cargo Cult religion, the Governor's 'fanciest' vestments, only brought out for the most important and holy of occasions, are ... the holy jumpsuit of a pre-Fall data technician.
Let us not forget that Suzette's 'dazzling' court outfit is in fact trailer-trash bling, but with real gold and jewels.
Evil Chancellor - Tzetzas. Literally the Chancellor. There's a joke in-story that a venomous reptile bit him and died in convulsions while Tzetzas was unaffected. Driving his own country's people so far into debt that he can enslave them and take their property for himself is just good business, as far as he's concerned.
Evil Counterpart: The Heretic involves a supercomputer that took exactly the opposite track to Center: enforcing stagnation and stability, and deliberately presenting itself as a god rather than denying it. Said supercomputer is another Sector Command Control Unit (though of one generation prior to Center), and its local name is Zentrum — German for Center (the dominant local languages of The Heretic are primarily German-derived).
Extended Disarming: Raj's companions find an extraordinary number of weapons hidden on Muzzaf Kerpatik's person when they frisk him.
Raj(thinks): Indeed a man of affairs.
Fantasy Counterpart Culture: The Civil Government is Byzantine Rome, the Colony is the Sassanid Empire, the Squadron and Brigade are Vandals and Ostrogoths respectively, and the Skinners are the Huns.
The Heretic sequel-series has Duisberg as Egypt (except the only other cultures are barbarians and not just regarded as it). Given that Duisberg's society was designed by an Evil Counterpart to Center, this might be deliberate in-universe.
The Chosen has the Draka versus the Alliance in the form of Santandans. There are clear analogues to Spain, Switzerland as well.
Handguns - The standard Civil Government sidearm is a five-shot revolver, similar to an early Colt. Barton Foley, however, prefers a cut-down shotgun he carries in a shoulder holster.
The Federation - although by the time of the novels it has long since been destroyed.
By the time of The Heretic Center's goal of a reconstituted Federation has to some degree been fulfilled (in the form of a "reconstituted Galactic Republic"). Little else is known of it, since the focus is on a planet that isn't part of the Republic.
Glory Hound: Raj worries his men will think he is this - they don't. Cabot Clerett is one however. He's a good officer but all he really cares about is his own glory.
God Guise: The Civil Government's religion equates the Federation with Heaven, Computers as Angels, etc... It's also a good example of a Crystal Dragon Jesus as the Spirit of Man of the Stars faith's rites and temples bear a more than passing resemblance to the Orthodox Catholic Church.
There's also a schism between the 'Gubierno Civil''s Spirit of Man of the Stars and the Military Governments' Spirit of Man of This Earth (the equivalent of the Arian heresy).
The "computers as angels" aspect is played up for comic relief ... and this series deals realistically enough with war to need a lot of comic relief. Raj will notice some "holy relic" of computer technology, to which Center replies by telling him it's a minor piece of circuitry, and tended to malfunction a lot, too. And as the Arch-Sysup (equivalent to the Pope) says:
"My son, my son ... I shall pray for you. Avoid the sin of rashly assuming that your program is debugged ... do not in your pride refuse to copy to your system the wisdom others have been granted by long experience."
Bellevue's Spirit of Man religions are inadvertent — no computer deliberately caused it, and Center makes quite clear to the two persons he communicates with that he's not a god. Zentrum of Duisberg is the god of a religion it created and has enforced for over three thousand years.
It's also Suzette's theme song, and she sings it much more enthusiastically than her idealistic husband.
At one point, one of the savage Skinners cheerfully says Raj is "bad like us" because of all the death he's caused. Raj starts to nod in agreement, but Center reminds him he's working to build a future in which there's nobody like the Skinners, anywhere.
Impoverished Patrician - Suzette's backstory. It helps explain some of her ruthlessness; her fierce love for Raj covers the rest.
Improbable Aiming Skills - Center can do things to your perceptions, just starting with overlaying gunsights on your vision, that make unlikely shots rather more likely. Battle-hardened vets stare in awe after Raj takes down several enemies with rapid pistol fire, one-shot-one-kill. At one point it enables him to shoot a grenade out of the air — he's relieved no one saw that, because if they had, the rumors that he receives 'divine' aid would become unstoppable.
Insistent Terminology - Any time Raj refers to the planet he's on as "Earth", Center will interrupt with a "bellevue".
Insult Backfire: Inverted. Several members of Raj's entourage take offense at the Skinners calling Raj "half-man", when this is in fact a compliment and Raj knows it.note the context is something like "He ain't a Real Man like us, but none of these wetlanders are, and he's a damn sight harder than most of them, almost as hard as us".
Magic from Technology - Center claims to not be a supernatural being, but a lot of what it can do for/through Raj puts the lie to that.
Plot Hole - A Companion reported dead in the first book reappears with a promotion but no explanation in the second.
The "death report" was a quickly shouted statement on a battlefield collapsing due to the routed soldiers the reporteress was leading. Mere battlefield gossip. Lampshaded in a later book where militia refuse to open a city gate in Old Residence due to similar reports of Raj's death, with Raj standing there in front of them.
All true, but would it have killed Drake and Stirling to put it in black and white?
Rape, Pillage, and Burn - According to Bellevue rules of war, what the troops are entitled to do after a city is taken by storm. The officers either take part or close their eyes to it. Things are usually brought back under control in twenty-four hours or so. In Raj's army, any violation of civilian property or persons after that is punishable by hanging.
More a Worthy Opponent and Friendly Enemy I'd say. There is a definite hint they will become good friends in the future. At the very end of the series, Center predicts Raj's daughter marrying Tewfik's grandson.
Also, Cabot Clerett (see below).
Royally Screwed Up - Governor Barholm and his nephew and heir Cabot Clerett are both raging paranoids.
At least they have their good points; Barholm is a competent ruler, and Cabot a genuinely brave and talented military commander who, unfortunately, covets everything Raj has: his fame, his position, and especially his beautiful wife. Settler Ali ibn'Jamal, ruler of the Colony, is just a complete psycho.
Science Is Bad - Inverted. The goal of the series is to restore the High Tech civilization that once flourished on Bellevue and, if necessary, rebuild The Federation from there.
Schizo Tech: Justified by the Fall. Some artifacts and knowledge managed to survive even if most didn't. The rest of the tech-base is firmly in the 1880s, with internal combustion engines as the cutting-edge, experimental technology.
...and one to Bill Mauldin. In 'The Steel', Raj's soldiers are trudging through the muddy landscape of the Brigade's lands, heading for Old Residence, and one asks, "What's the name of this river?" On being told it's the Wolturno, he replies "Ever fukkin' river in dis country is named Wolturno."
The second sequel series makes two mentions of an evidently frog-like native creature ... called a kermitoid.
One of the characters mentions the story of an incorruptible cop who, after being framed and thrown into a prison with loads of convicts who hated him, used Rorshach's line: "I'm not locked up in here with you. You're locked up in here with me."
The Halvaardi seem to like the Spartans: "-so the next tax collector who asks for 'earth and water'...gets thrown down a well to find plenty of both".
In The Heretic, Center makes several references to aspects of future-prediction calculations as 'Seldonian'.
Storyboarding the Apocalypse: Center can show Raj detailed audiovisual scenarios of the most likely results of various courses of action. Sometimes, just to rub in for us what a World Half Empty they're in, it'll show him situations he can't do anything about.
Take That - It's mentioned that the war dogs are often fed a particular kind of fish, a bottom-feeder with a disgusting smell, utterly unfit to be eaten by humans. The fish is called the avocati — clearly derived from the Spanjol for "lawyer." Only good for dog food, eh....
Throw Away Guns - Barbarians like the Squadrones and Brigaderos still use flintlocks and muzzle loaders and so carry a lot of spares.
True Companions- Literally, the Companions, a circle of loyal lieutenants around Raj.
The Lancer - Colonel Gerrin Staenbridge, second in command.
Loveable Rogue - Antin M'Lewis, former Bufford parish thief and captain of scouts.
The Smart Guy - Colonel Jorg Menyez, infantry leader and fortifications expert (unfortunately allergic to dogs); Colonel Dinnalsyn, chief of artillery.
The Big Guy — Major Kaltin Gruder, the straightforward & unimaginative blunt instrument.
Subverted when DaCruz gets killed in a skirmish with the Squadrones in the second book.
Three-Way Sex: There are indications that Gay lovers Gerrin Staenbridge and Barton Foley and their concubine Fatima enjoy this.
Uncoffee: Raj reflects that if the southern realm of Azania ever cuts off the "kave" supply the Gubierno Civil is doomed.
Vestigial Empire - the Gubierno Civil is practically a text book example. Indeed the shrinkage is a serious problem that might lead to the extinction of Human life on Bellevue if not reversed.
Well-Intentioned Extremist - Center, who considers the cause of Human civilization worth any number of individual Human lives ... though he becomes less and less happy about it the longer he knows Raj.
Would Not Shoot a Civilian: Crimes against non-combatants are harshly punished in Raj's army, except after a city that refuses to surrender is taken by storm, in which case all bets are off.
Your Approval Fills Me with Shame: The Skinners, nomadic barbarians that are the antithesis of everything Raj and Center are striving for, regard the former as 'Bad like us!' Raj finds it rather depressing when he thinks about it overmuch.