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This is a "Wild Mass Guess" entry, where we pull out all the sanity stops on theorizing. The regular entry on this topic is elsewhere. Please see this programme note.
Safehold
Spoilers ahead, many unmarked!

Langhorne and Bédard have PICAs hidden away underneath the Zion Temple
Those are the power sources that Merlin detected long ago and that have worried him ever since.

Langhorne and Bédard, not wanting a silly mortal thing like death to take away their divine status, downloaded their personalities into PICAs like Nimue and placed them into hibernation underneath the temple in Zion.

They didn't awaken after the real folks' deaths because of their egos: The PICAs are kept in hibernation until a major crisis, such as the current schism with Charis, requires their awakening (see the WMG below this one). So, Langhorne and Bedard awaken, smite the heretics like Big Damn Heroes, and permanently cement their divine status among the residents of Safehold. Emphasis on permanent, since PICAs are effectively immortal.
  • But Zion and the Temple were built after Commodore Pei blew Langhorne and Bédard into radioactive dust. If the surviving members of the Operation Ark command team had PICA backups for Langhorne and Bédard, why didn't they activate them right away?
  • The temple was built on the same location as Operation Ark's original base. PICAs belonging to members of Ark could easily be there. They weren't activated right away because the surviving "Archangels" didn't know about them.
    • Another reason they wouldn't be activated right away: Langhorne and his followers couldn't break the PICA 10-day activation limit like Nimue's group could. If Langhorne did ever return, then it would be only for ten days, making it useful for only the direst of emergencies.
      • The problem with the idea they couldn't break the activation limit is that Nimue's group did it in a few weeks, while Langhorne and Bedard's group would have had nearly a century to break the lock (10 years in hyper + 20-30 while Shan-wei terraformed + 60 from creation until they died). Langhorn was insane, not stupid. Hell, as the colony leaders they probably could have gotten the Terran government to make a special exemption and gotten themselves 1 or 2 PICAs without the limit under the justification of having permanent advisers for the colony. They didn't have any problems about lying to the government about their intentions in other things after all.
  • Word of Weber, or at least word of Barnes & Noble is that Merlin will learn what's underneath the temple in How Firm A Foundation.
    • And this is highly implied, if not stated outright to be the case in book 5, with a strong possibility that said PICAs will be activated in roughly twenty years.
      • Book Five also addresses the above issue about whether or not Langhorne and the rest could have broken the ten day limit, as it seems that the one who did it for Merlin himself was particularly knowledgeable in that field. There's no concrete certainty on it, but alternate ways around the limit are suggested.

About the Key.
  • The Key awakens the Langhorne and Bédard PICAs: Samyl Wylsynn revealed in By Heresies Distressed that his son Paityr has a "key" that could be used to do something big. Since we saw Paityr and his "truthstone" in Off Armageddon Reef, it's not hard to believe that he has some more Lost Technology of his own. That "key" is the means to revive the above-mentioned PICAs of Langhorne and Bédard. On the other hand...
    • The Key activates the Rakurai: If ever the Church had a weapon of last resort, then that is it.
    • Rhobair Duchairn now has the "Key" as well. It has to be part of what Hauwerd Wylsynn passed Duchairn.
      • According to Paityr Wylsynn in How Firm A Foundation, and elaborated on by Merlin, the Key is a device easily mistaken for, and used as, a paperweight which, when combined with the Stone of Schueler he has already, provides "Visions" (i.e. holograms), among which is a message from Schueler himself. The message provides information on the chamber under the temple, among other revelations. It also can be used inside the Temple to activate a weapon that is only to be used against a great threat to the Church, as it can only be fired once. This is quite possibly the Rakurai, though whether the one shot limit is due to the weapon, the Key, or just something Schueler said to make sure his descendents didn't fire it wastefully is not said.

In the Grand Finale, OWL will use the Rakurai will be used to finish off the the Gbaba
It is a nigh-indestructible weapons platform that can be activated at will by anyone with the right passwords and that can probably be turned toward something outside the planet.
  • Also, it would be awesome.
  • It would also make no sense. The Gbaba destroyed the entire Terran Federation, including Earth. That's the premise. They are too big a menace to be threatened by a single planet's worth of orbital weapons. They'll just launch a volley of WMDs at the planet on a ballistic course from beyond the range of the Rakurai platforms.
  • Rakurai is only nigh-invincible because Merlin and Owl don't have enough Dakka to get through it's defenses and no way to get more currently. Additionally, it's basically just a giant asteroid launcher, most of it's power comes from Safehold's gravity. If the Gbaba get close enough for it to be used as a weapon against them, humanity is screwed.
  • Correction, then: It will fire off the final shot.

Siddarmark has an equivalent to the Brotherhood of St. Zherneau
Republic style government, leaders work for better human rights and to listen to the people, and it's been implied the only reason it's not on Charis's side is their populace wouldn't support them. It's founders could have easily modeled it on the Terran Federation. Siddarmark built up its pikemen (largest army on the planet remember) for the same reason Charis built up it's navy, protection from the temple in the inevitable conflict.
  • Zherneau mentioned in his letter that there were others like him, but he didn't know where they were sent or if they even survived Langhorne's attack.
  • Also take into account Clyntahn's automatic suspicion of all things Siddarmarkian. Whatever else he may be, Clyntahn's instincts have thus far led him to be Properly Paranoid where this sort of thing is concerned.

Merlin will make use of the Rakurai.
It is activated by large energy signatures. It might be as simple as creating an electro-magnetic pulse near the desired target.

The fleet sent on Operation Breakaway survived.
Realistically, there's no way Safehold could advance to the point of being able to defeat the Gbaba - when the Terran Federation couldn't - without outside assistance. Therefore, Weber will introduce a Terran faction that has managed to survive this long, and that has a way to defeat the Gbaba. However, they lack the necessary numbers. That is what Safehold will provide. And who better than the Breakaway fleet?
  • Though the Federation thought they weren't too far away from technological superiority (so numbers wouldn't be as big a factor) and the Gbaba probably won't have advanced much. Earth started with one planet and didn't have a PICA to kickstart the whole process of development. Given (lots of) time Safehold could do it too. Plus, the entire point of the operation was to convince the Gbaba that they'd destroyed the entire fleet. If the fleet had survived Breakaway, the Gbaba would keep hunting until they found them, possibly finding Safehold in the process.
    • My thinking is that the Breakaway fleet has been running all this time. They drew the Gbaba away from the region containing Safehold, and have been leading them around the galaxy in a zany chase for eight hundred years. Unlikely, but possible.

Schueler had a Heel-Face Turn.
Whether it was an My God, What Have I Done? moment when he saw what his Order had become or would potentially turn into, or if he was turned by Shan-wei against Langhorne, or both, Schueler the man turned against Langhorne's grand plan in the end. Potential foreshadowing comes from A Mighty Fortress when Merlin annoyingly wonders, in regards to the Order of Bédard, why the original villains of the piece can't remain so. There's also the fact that the only known piece of pre-Creation technology other than Merlin that's outside of Church control is Paityr Wylsynn's Stone of Schueler. Speaking of the Wylsynns, Hauwerd remembers his brother telling him that there was a legend that said the Wylsynn clan, long-time advocates of reform, was descended from Schueler himself. He could well have been the Duchairn of his group, understanding they were wrong but ultimately powerless to actually stop it.
  • Not necessarily powerless. The entire Book of Schueler could be a Batman Gambit. The punishments laid out in the book are horrific enough to sicken many people who watch them carried out. Perhaps Schueler realized this and wrote the book that way deliberately. People being people, someone would eventually go overboard carrying those instructions out, and people would be horrified enough to begin questioning the church. And remember that Commodore Pei mentioned that one other knew of his plan. That one other might've been Schueler.
    • Unlikely. Commodore Pei told Nimue that the 'one other' was coming with him to the meeting which ended with Pei blowing up Langhorne. Schueler is known to have survived that as it was he and Chihiro who led th Church afterwards.
  • How Firm A Foundation suggests that Schueler may never have written the Book of Schueler at all. It was instead someone else's work attributed to him. The messages Paityr Wylsynn describes paint him as the kind of Archangel the Wylsynns would have every reason to revere.

Earth survived
And there were forty one other secret projects running in parallel to the Safehold project. All forty two of them being released simultaneously during the siege of Earth.

Owl's developing AI is the result of human interaction
  • In A Mighty Fortress, the artificial intelligence Merlin was promised Owl would develop finally began to stir. This is after three and a half books and about two or three years. The most likely trigger: Bringing more people into the Inner Circle. Owl's AI began to develop because he finally began interacting with actual human beings as opposed to a PICA. The reason this is significant is because we saw, via Paityr Wylsynn's Stone of Schueler, that Old Earth tech could differentiate between a living human and a PICA. What reason is there Owl couldn't do the same and, as a result, never developed the AI that comes with interacting with human operators because, as far as Owl ever realized, he never was interacting with a human operator.
  • I find it more likely that Owl's developing AI is the result of having more people to talk to. Weber's made a point of having Merlin's humanity confirmed in a spiritual sense; I don't think he'd undermine one of his own themes that way.
    • My thinking isn't so much the result of Merlin not being human in the moral sense. But that his lack of humanity in the physical sense is the issue.
    • It might be something more along the lines of training. Nimue has years of experience with computers like OWL, and therefore Merlin knows how to phrase commands and instructions to get it to do what he wants. The others who start talking to OWL don't have that training, so the computer will have to learn how to interpret what they're asking it to do, rather than just following Merlin's instructions, which fall into—or close enough to—its' normal input parameters that it doesn't have to develop new ways to deal with them.
  • Midst Toil of Tribulation ends up confirming this and making it a bit Right for the Wrong Reasons. Merlin got it started with the various tasks assigned to Owl, but what really woke up Owl's AI is relative weeks worth of continuous contact with Prince Nahrmahn. Merlin even acknowledges that he never had the time to just sit down and just talk with Owl.

The Rakurai will destroy Zion
Someone, be it pro or antagonist, will discover how to launch the Rakurai and use it. The end result will be that the Rakurai hits the Temple Lands and destroys Zion. What better way to truly destroy the Church of God Awaiting than to have its capitol destroyed by what Safeholdians believe to be God's ultimate weapon? It could even help pave the way for the worldwide revelation about the truth of Langhorne.
  • If this happens, it's far more likely to be the antagonists who trigger it accidentally than the protagonists. It would kill at least hundreds of thousands, probably millions, of civilians so Staynair would vote against it on humanitarian grounds. Merlin, Cayleb and Sharleyan would probably vote no for the same reason. The only person on the protagonist side likely to do it is Peityr Wylsynn, but that would require him to disappear to the temple to use his key, assuming that's what the key even is.
    • Even disregarding the humanitarian grounds, Merlin wouldn't allow it because it would make his job of subverting the Church much harder. Rakurai obviously existing would reinforce the religion in virtually everyone who doesn't know the truth. Most of the planet would view it as God came in and annihilated the corrupt priests in Zion who used his name for their own evil ends. GO GOD! GO LANGHORNE!
      • What? Some of the Charisians are claiming Langhorn lied and Shan-wei was good? But Rakurai is REAL and God and Langhorn use it to kill the worst of all sinners! Obviously Langhorn didn't lie and Shan-wei was evil. WE MUST WAR AGAINST THESE NEW HERETICS IN CHARIS!
      • That makes absolutely no sense. Merlin isn't trying to deny the existence of either the Archangels or Rakurai. The documentary evidence for their historical presence is too vast to wave away. On Safehold not believing in their existence would be like someone now not believing the Roman Empire really existed. And even aside from his desire to be truthful, convincing everyone the Rukurai didn't exist at all would have some dire consequences down the road. The only reason not to use the Rakurai on Zion would be because of the number of innocents who would be killed, and because when the truth about the Rakurai came out and they could no longer blame it on God they would have to admit that they'd intentionally murdered all those innocents just to get at the group of four.
      • He isn't in the short term, but that's more a tactical necessity than anything else. His long term goal is to return humanity to a technological society and teach them the truth about history. That will of necessity include teaching them the truth about both the Archangels (they existed but they were humans, not angels) and the Rakurai (it's just dropping rocks at very high speeds). Using the Rakurai before people have the chance to understand at least the basic physics behind it would have exactly the opposite effect, reinforcing belief in divine intervention from the heavens.

Nimue/Merlin will return to a female form on a part time basis in the not to distant future
As of A Mighty Fortress occasional use a PICA's ability to alter its appearance to a limited extent is being used to create the appearance of a network of seijin of whom Merlin is merely the public face. While this is useful primarily to avoid rumours of Merlin being in two places at the same time (or at least moving faster than possible with the normal means of transport available on Safehold) it strikes me as the perfect opportunity to engage in a bit of social engineering and help establish a precedent for greater gender equality in the form of one or more female seijin running around.
  • Semi-confirmed. In book seven, Owl builds a second PICA, which takes on the Nimue identity, via a back-up of her personality. She'll probably be used to run all the female seijin identities.
    • She pretty much has to, since Merlin is so ridiculously tall. Some Safeholdian men approach his height, but the women don't come close so he'd be super conspicuous as a woman. Since the one thing PICA can't change is their height, he makes the second PICA match the average height of a Safeholdian so that Nimue can pose as a man or a woman.

Admiral Thirsk will be assassinated by someone under his command for supposed Charisian sympathies
The series is basically the Thirty Years' War IN SPACE!, and Thirsk is pretty similar to Albrecht von Wallenstein.

According to Word of God, a named character will be Killed Off for Real in book 5. Who's most likely to kick the bucket, why are they, and how will it happen?
  • Since it was said to be a character he liked, and the tone of the tweet was that it wasn't a nice way to die, there's a couple of obvious possiblities.
    • Admiral Thirsk, he's unpopular with Clynthn and hated by the man in charge of his navy who's name I can't remember, and other nobles in his kingdom who don't like his growing power. Being brought up on heresy charges because of other nobles bribes to the inquisition is possible.
    • Earl Coris, he already heavily suspects the Church was behind Hectors assassination. Finding proof of this then getting killed by church loyalists is likely, though I can't come up with a situation where Irys and Daivyn aren't arrested immediately as well.
    • Princess Irys, the biggest trait she's had in the series is she doesn't change her mind on something once she's decided on it. If Coris finds proof of the church's involvement in Hectors death, it's entirely possible she may not believe it, Coris and Daivyn barely escape after she reports him. Without anyone else to make an example of, Clyntahn has her arrested and executed for her families 'heresy'.
    • Prince Daivyn, Coris finds evidence, etc. Daivyn is killed, but Irys manages to avoid execution due to being a girl. She escapes back to Charis, blah, blah blah.
    • Archbishop Cahnyr, he's loved by his archbishopric, which is a part of Siddarmark. If the inquisition finds him, his death could send Siddarmark into open alliance with Charis.
      • Problem with this is that Cahnyr may well be in the Empire of Charis now. He certainly seems to have been the senior member of the Circle to have survived.
      • He never says he's on his way to Charis, the only end destination he gives is Siddar City. Given Siddar City is a port, he was probably planning initially to go to Charis, but at the end of his chapter he learns about a fairly large support network for him in Glacier heart, set up by Ahnzelyk Phonda. I think he's more likely to stay in Siddarmark and try to turn the country against the temple. From a purely storytelling point of view, he's a completely pointless character if the only thing he does is escape to Charis. There's been several of those, but all of them did more than just go there.
    • King Gorjah, Clyntahn already suspects him, and he's probably going to be a major character in Foundation.
    • Cayleb, killed in the book's final battle, time skip of 10-20 year between Foundation and book 6. Book 6 focuses on Princess Alahnah and the next step in getting Safehold back in space. Would require Clyntahn to die and Duchairn to become Grand Vicar and recognize the schism to justify such a skip (a fair trade?)
    • Duncan Yairley. He's Hektor Aplyn-Ahrmahk's mentor and is a fairly important named character outside the main protagonists. Also, in some of the released snippets from How Firm A Foundation, his ship is apparently going to get into a major storm and possibly crash. Getting captured by the Church could fit right in there, with Hektor stepping up into his place.
    • There's plenty of minor characters that could die, like Kynt Clareyk.
      • The implication behind a "named character" being offed is that said character will not be either a red- or mauve shirt. Though someone might wind up joining the main cast only to die.
      • A Mighty Fortress does begin with Kynt Clareyk promoted to second-in-command of the new Imperial Army, with Merlin considering bringing him into the inner circle, so he specifically seems susceptible.
  • Turns out it's among others, Gray Harbor and Nahrmahn in the attacks by the Rakurai group, and Gwylym Manthyr, in Zion.

Commodore Pei mentions in his last message to Nimue that one other knew of the backup plan (i.e. Nimue's PICA). Who was it? And will it matter at all?
  • It has to be one of the "Angels" or "Archangels", but so far the only members of that group who have received more than a passing mention—and aren't named Langhorne, Bédard, or Pei—are Schueler and Chihiro. And Chihiro wrote most of the Writ.
    • I'm inclined towards thinking that it was one of the unnamed ones. The Commodore's message implies that the one other who knows is coming with him on his suicide mission (he says something like "and we both have an appointment") which would seem to rule out Schueler. While we don't know for sure the fact that Schueler was credited with the Book of Schueler after Shan-Wei's rebellion would suggest both that he survived the war and was loyal to Langhorne (or at least convinced everyone that he was loyal).
  • As for "will it matter" - the fact that the predicted time of the Archangels' return, so very close to Nimue's own awakening, can't be a coincidence. Who knows, maybe the awakening was planned to assist Nimue's mission!

Clyntahn will violate the Proscriptions first.
While the Inner Circle has done their level best to dance around the proscriptions, even after Father Paityr helps them run Loophole Abuse. Clyntahn's a self-delusional hypocrite. Despite toppling the Proscriptions of Jwo-Jeng being the protagonists' stated goal, there's a legitimate chance Clyntahn will be the one to openly violate them first. All in the name of God and protecting Mother Church from filthy heretics, of course.
  • This is supported by the conversation Merlin and Cayleb had after Cayleb got let in on Merlin's secrets, about defeating the Church by forcing them to change their belief structure.

Duchairn will be the next Grand Vicar.
Nobody in the Vicarate likes Clyntahn, especially after what he did to the Circle, but nobody dares openly act against him for fear of the same happening to them. But Duchairn has been passively defying the Grand Inquisitor, openly disapproving of his actions by conspicuously refusing to do anything that might be seen as tacitly approving of them. Between that and his newfound interest in good works, he's slowly gaining public approval. The Inquisition is watching Duchairn to ensure he can't build an open power base to oppose the rest of the Group of Four, but the death of a Grand Vicar can completely rearrange the political playing field. Duchairn could find himself chosen to replace the politically irrelevant Erek by all the Vicars who approve of his opposition to Clyntahn and use the power base of all the people who supported his elevation to stomp Trynair and Clyntahn flat.
  • A potential Chekhov's Gun to help with this: Duchairn is currently being "protected" by the Temple Guard, whom he assumes are also spying on him for Clyntahn. We know, however, that his head guard is in fact the captain who killed Hauwerd... who happens to be honest and genuinely devoted to his duty and his faith. This has potential...
    • Hauwerd does mention having a "friend in the guard" to Samyl. Also, the fact that said captain (who does have a name which escapes me at the moment) killed Hauwerd instead of capturing him so he could be put to the question suggests that he was on Hauwerd's side. In addition, said duel to the death was fought in full view of a large number of Temple Guardsmen, who then went on to quietly spread the tale of Hauwerd's last stand. The entire situation went as perfectly as Hauwerd could have asked for, so it's not too much of a stretch to believe he planned it.
      • Additionally, thanks to the captain's service to the Inquisition in apprehending Hauwerd, said cptain was made the leader of Duchairn's guard detail. And Hauwerd knew that Duchairn was the last, most desperate hope of defeating Clyntahn they had now that the Circle was about to be massacred.

Merlin's "personal project" with the VR unit involves resurrecting Nahrmahn
The silver mesh device he put over his head on his death bed wasn't just to reduce pain and wake him up so he could say goodbye to Ohlyvya. It was also scanning his brain for use in a VR or PICA. The VR unit Merlin has Owl working on is supposed to be able to support a couple people, so he can use it to boot up a copy of Nahrmahn as well as providing a backup for himself. And if the copy doesn't suffer from Merlin's inability to do high speed downloads of data...

  • Confirmed

Something's hidden at Armageddon Reef.
One of Cayleb's ships, the Wyvern, goes flat-out missing during the battle of Crag Rock. Poof, gone, not a hint of wreckage or crew to be found... not even by Merlin's satellite reconnaissance. Suggesting that there's something in the area that is invisible to satellites. Perhaps Chihiro and Schueler were right about the military personnel of Operation Ark being less than pleased about Shan-wei's fate, even after Langhorne met the pocket-nuke.

The power signatures under the Temple include some kind of weapon intended to be a last-ditch defense against the Gbaba.
After all, they couldn't be certain the Gbaba would never catch up...
  • Related: The Holy War is derailed when someone does wake up all those power sources under the Temple... which proceed to catch a Gbaba scout ship's attention. Cue a desperate scramble to take it out before it can report back, where Merlin, who has been playing second fiddle militarily all this time, gets to demonstrate why Nimue was considered a tactical genius in spaceship battles.

Marrying off Irys and Daivyn.
So Irys and Daivyn are safely headed to Charis and it seems likely that they will eventually swear allegiance to Charis (since the Church will no doubt kill them either way, they might as well throw in with Charis). When that happens it seems likely that Cayleb and Sharleyan will arrange political marriages for one or both of them to tie their families together. With that in mind I see a few possibilities:
  • Irys and Nahrmahn Jr. This is a reasonably logical pairing, they are of similar ages and Nahrmahn Jr. is one of the most important nobles in the Empire.
  • Irys and Hektor Aplyn-Ahrmahk. This would have the advantage of tying Irys directly to the royal family while also keeping her out of the succession (since she's very ruthless when she decides to be which makes her a potential risk).
    • Also, it's entirely possible they'll get to like each other on the trip from Delferahk back to Charis.
    • Well this WMG has been confirmed.
  • Daivyn and Zhanayt Ahrmahk. Again, relatively similar in ages (I think) and it would tie the Prince of Corisande to the Imperial Family. Additionally, this possibility was alluded to in an earlier book where Sharleyan mentioned that it would probably be necessary to marry Cayleb's sister off to whomever they ended up putting in charge of Corisande. Given that Daivyn is probably a better match for her than many of the other candidates (he seems like a nice young man).
  • Daivyn and Alahnah. A very wide age difference, although not unreasonable compared to some political marriages in history. I think it's unlikely just because of the squick it would cause for modern readers but it is a valid option.
    • This is probably less likely than the other possibilities offered here, since Daivyn is the only possibility for Prince of Corisande, while Alahnah is currently the sole possible heir to the imperial crown of Charis.
      • It is mentioned that Anvil Rock, Tartarian, and Coris are planning to quietly change the succession laws to allow women to inherit the throne of Corisande in their own right.

What stories was Merlin telling Daivyn?
It's not specified in the text, but it's supposed to be fantastical fairy tales that Irys had never heard before.
  • The Hobbit, perhaps?
  • Maybe some classic fairytales a la the Grimm Brothers?

The Safehold series tells the story of how the 4th Imperium came to be in David Weber's Empire from the Ashes series
  • The 4th Imperium is described as having been founded on a single planet that was "missed" during a genocidal visit by the Achuultani. It might be possible that their survival was the result of Operation Ark and would also bolster the theory as to why Safehold has managed to stay unnoticed for so long.
    • But the Achuultani are so paranoid they hit even the dinosaurs, so a lush planet like Safehold would probably be a target, emissions or no.
      • Not necessarily. The Achuultani don't have enough ships to check every single star. They do check a few stars at random (presumably the ones that are conveniently spaced for hyperspace jumps) but they mostly rely on picking up signals from civilizations to give them targets. They wiped out the dinosaurs but they were only in the system because there was a military base on a world in between Mars and Jupiter (which they destroyed). If that hadn't drawn them to Sol then they wouldn't have found the Dinosaurs.
    • In the Empire from the Ashes series, humans did not originate on earth, and the series begins around 2020 (or some other 20 minutes into the future). Safehold begins later than that, with humans from earth colonizing outward.
  • Fun idea, but impossible. Merlin is constantly referring to Earth history as we know it, which means it must take place in the future, not the past.
    • On the other hand, since Safehold is an Expy of that one planet from Empire from the Ashes, I wouldn't be surprised if they founded an expy of the 4th Imperium. It would almost certainly be a continuation of the Empire of Charis.

Father Zhon and his fellow Pasqualates will face the Punishment and cause Archbishop Zagyrsk to pull a Heel-Face Turn
  • Some background: These characters and events are all from book 6, Midst Toil and Tribulation. At the end of a particularly bloody and one-sided battle, Colonel Sir Naythyn Byrgair decides to order Father Zhon Blhakyt and his healer's to Mercy Kill the enemy survivors to spare them the Punishment of Scheuler. Both he and the priest realize that if the Inquisition discovers that he gave the order, Byrgair will face the Punishment himself.
  • Elsewhere in the book we meet Archbishop Arthyn Zagyrsk of Tarikah. He's also from the Order of Pasquale, which is noted to be unusual for an archbishop. And despire being stationed in Siddarmark, his Inquisition Intendant Father Ignaz Aimaiyr is a decent human being and not a zealot. He believes the Punishment is a harsh necessity but he abhors the rampant violence.
    • My theory is that the Inquisition will put Father Zhon and the other healers to the Punishment, whether they include Sir Byrgair or not. This act will cause serious PR problems for Clyntahn for all but the most mindlessly fanatic. Archbishop Zagyrsk, as a fellow Pasqualate, will be particularly horrified and at least be tempted to switch sides. His secretary Father Avry Pygain or even Father Ignaz may join him.
      • Bonus points if Zhevon or one of Aivah's agents helps him escape to Republic territory.

The other nations will start making new technology that Charis didn't see coming
  • Up till now, the nations have been replicating Charisian advances, but not really come up with anything new of their own, even if it's inferior to anything Charis has been making. Sooner or later however, they'll start making revolutionary advances of their own. How the Church reacts to it will form another degree of conflict.
    • Confirmed, much to Merlin's chagrin, since his mission requires him to encourage that sort of thinking.

Paityr Wylsynn will succeed Maikel Staynair as Archbishop
  • Depending on whether Staynair is killed in office or retires in the future, it may or may not be quite the elevation. However, several parallels between Father Paityr and Archbishop Maikel suggest that he would be the ideal successor. Even if he assumed the role young, his reputation for honesty and integrity would win him through. His access to the Inner Circle doesn't hurt either.

The Temple in Zion is equipped with a device that can attract the Gbaba to Safehold
  • At first glance, this seems ridiculous, as it runs counter to everything Operation Ark stood for. Looked at from the viewpoint of self-righteous megalomaniacs like Langhorne and Bédard, it can make a disturbing amount of sense. The "Archangels" believed that the Gbaba were divine punishment for mankind's hubris in reaching for the stars. Their plan to resolve this was to permanently keep humanity in Medieval Stasis with a plan to check back after a long period of time. Merlin wondered why they would wait so long. The reason is this: If, after a thousand years, humans are still in the Safehold they envisioned, then all was good and humanity was safe. If, after a thousand years, humanity still sought the kind of technological marvels they felt brought forth the Gbaba in the first place, better to just bring them down on mankind now and get it over with. After all, if their plan for the salvation of the human race failed, it's too far gone to matter at that point.

Clyntahn is a descendant of Langhorne and/or Bédard
  • Similar to how the Wylsynn's are descended from Archangel Schueler, Clyntahn is or believes he is a descendant of Langhorne and/or Bédard. This is why he is so certain he can do no wrong—he has the blood of the two greatest archangels, it is literally impossible for him to be anything but righteous and perfect.
    • This could be a delusion that sprung up out of nowhere, or perhaps the secret of his bloodline was passed down through his family, like the Wylsynn's. It's also possible that some sort of artifact or agenda was passed down as well.

Clyntahn knows the true history of Safehold
  • Zaspahr Clyntahn actually has some knowledge about the true nature of Safehold. Contrary to the protagonists, however, Clyntahn has chosen to enforce the Medieval Stasis rather than rally against it.

The potential reasons why are various:
  • Like Maikel Staynair, he struggled with and eventually rediscovered his faith. However, his renewed faith has led him to believe Safehold remain in its current state for its own good. The main idea against this is that Clyntahn's willing to write free passes around the Proscriptions to allow the Church to work out the same technologies as Charis.
  • Alternatively, this knowledge caused him to Go Mad from the Revelation and he's in a massive state of denial.
  • He could also have a distorted version of events. A "True History" such as humans were brought to Safehold in an ark following its near-destruction by Divine Judgement (the Gbaba).
  • Any of these would go along way towards explaining his Up to Eleven zealotry, as he's privy to information that nobody else knows. Information they can't know, leaving him the only one able to act on it. Would certainly play to his megalomaniac side. This response would also further the foil/antithesis nature between himself and Staynair.

  • Possible evidence to this theory is in that Paityr Wylsynn, when being inducted into the Inner Circle, revealed that his father was afraid someone outside the family had discovered the existence of the Key and the Stone of Schuele* r. Clyntahn is the most likely suspect among known characters, and if he knows of the stone and wants it, it's possible he knows something of its nature. Even if it's simply as a Repository of Visions like the Wylsynns believed.

It's also telling that we rarely see a scene with Clyntahn as the POV character. Most scenes with Clyntahn are filtered through another character (Trynair, Duchairn, Wyllym Rayno). Scenes with Clyntahn as POV character can probably be counted on one hand, and typically don't go into a lot of detail on his innermost thoughts.
  • One thing that might support this is that the Inquisition does apparently have access to at least some "divine artifacts". Specifically they have a device that can be used to override the locks of any door in the temple and there are also rumors that they have an artifact (presumably a computer of some type) that can be used to break any code devised. The idea of some extra artifacts or information passed solely from one Grand Inquisitor to the next isn't unreasonable. About the only thing we can be semi-sure about is that they probably don't have an equivalent of the Key since there's no way Clyntahn wouldn't use it.

The Key of Scheuler is meant to be used to stop whatever's under the Temple.
  • This would require that Scheuler was, at least at the end, one of the good guys. I'm also assuming that whatever's under there is going to look at the state of Safehold's technology and decide whether or not to murder everyone based on how well they're following the Proscriptions. It might exterminate humanity if the technology has spread too much.
  • The Key is meant to be used in the church's "greatest hour of need." Scheuler probably figured that by the thousand year mark (especially if he knew about Nimue), humanity would have gone too far past the Proscriptions and that whatever is under the Temple would decide that humanity has gone too far and exterminate everybody. The Key is meant to shut down the doomsday weapon permanently, via a back door that Scheuler snuck into it.
    • If the thing under the Temple is a weapon that doesn't think for itself, this theory could still work. Remember Scheuler's message to his descendants about how it was their duty to keep Mother Church good and pure? Well, the reason he was worried about that was because the weapon, when it showed up, would be placed into the hands of the heads of the church. And if those people were corrupt, they would ultimately do the Gbaba's job for them.
    • Also, the church's "greatest hour of need" to the Wylsynns would be when it was in danger of sullying itself forever with something like, say, mass murder as the push of a button. They would then use the Key to disable the weapon, same as above.

Scheuler was just like Duchairn
  • In terms of Character Development. They both started out firmly in the bad guy camp, but then some great travesty commited by their allies convinced them that they should work against them. Not openly, but they began to work on their own agenda quietly. It's not clear in either case whether they changed their minds comepletely or if they're only taking issue with their side's methods but not their goals. Also, they're both playing the long game.
    • Bonus points if Duchairn is also a descendant of Scheuler's, which is pretty even odds considering how many people must be his descendants by now.
    • More bonus points if it's Duchairn who winds up using the Key of Scheuler in the Temple.

Harchong is going to suffer a peasant uprising
  • It has been mentioned multiple times across several books that the Harchong peasants are brutally oppressed and the Harchong nobility is eternally in fear of them revolting. It has also been said several time that peasant rebellions are the only thing worse than a religious war. With that much foreshadowing it seems inevitable that one will eventually happen.
    • As of the end of Like a Mighty Army the Harchongese army has transformed from a joke to the biggest threat facing the army of Charis. If Charis ends up in a tough spot they may end up sending troops or some kind of secret mission to Harchong to help instigate such an uprising in order to disrupt Harchong's economy and possibly force some of the army to be recalled to help put down the revolt. The results of that uprising will be as terrible as predicted, and will provide another round of dramatic angst for Merlin and the rest of the inner circle.
    • It's also mentioned that a major reason why previous rebellions failed was because the peasants don't know how to fight. With the rapid military expansion and new training programs, the Church may have just provided people with rebel sympathies the tools they need to start an uprising that has a chance of winning.

Hanyk Rynhaard is going to have a long and very unpleasant visit by the Inquisition
  • In the very first book, mention is made that as part of Merlin's cover identity, his weapons were made with the proof marks of the famous swordsmith Hanyk Rynhaard, which explains why they are of a custom design and of incredibly high quality. There's one problem with this - Hanyk Rynhaard is Harchongese, and Harchong is aligned with the Temple. If Clyntahn learns of the proof marks on Merlin's katana, he'll have to assume that Hanyk knows Merlin - otherwise, how could the so-called seijin be wielding a custom-made Rynhaard sword? And why hasn't the man stepped forward and volunteered his insights on the man to the church before now? Of course, Merlin and Hanyk have never met, but do you really think the Inquisition will believe that?
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