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This is a "Wild Mass Guess" entry, where we pull out all the sanity stops on theorizing. The regular entry on this topic is elsewhere. Please see this programme note.
Orange Is The New Black
Chapman is completely gay, and not bisexual at all.
Consider first that Chapman's two love interests, Vause and Larry, could not possibly be more different, completely apart from the fact that Vause is a woman and Larry is a man. Chapman is clearly passionate about Vause, but about Larry? Hardly. That by itself is only suggestive, but now consider some further facts: in "Bora Bora Bora," when the other inmates try to use Chapman to scare the girls in the scared straight program by claiming that Chapman is a lesbian rapist who will sexually assault them, what part of the accusation does Chapman feel the need to deny? Not the claim that she's a rapist, but that she's a lesbian: "I'm not even all the way like that." Why should it be so important to her not to be thought of as a lesbian, even though the whole prison knows by that point that she's having an affair with Vause? Then consider what she says later in that same scene, after the girl in the wheelchair calls her a "d**e f***t b***h," and she gets angry and decides to scare the girl for real. What does she tell her to really scare her? That in prison, she cannot run away or hide from herself. That here, she has to face who and what she truly is. What could Chapman be talking about? What specific facts about herself has she had to confront in prison? Given the overall context of the scene, doesn't it seem likely that she's talking about her attraction to and feelings for Vause? Doesn't it seem possible that Chapman has spent the eight years since she left Vause telling herself 'Oh, it's just a phase, lots of girls experiment in college, but now I'm settling down with a man. See, I'm engaged to Larry. I'm completely normal.' She wants to tell herself that it was just a phase then, and that, really, it's just a phase now in prison. But maybe she's really just gay and in denial.
  • She tells her friend she likes attractive people in general. She didn't go straight from Alex to Larry.
    • She went to Smith.
  • She doesn't want to be thought of as a lesbian because she isn't a lesbian. She's bisexual (or at least, she likes attractive people). It's a rare show that takes a bisexual main character seriously and you would prefer them to do yet another case of bisexual erasure?

Fig is the warden.
We never actually meet him, just get these vague threats about budget cuts and how he'll react. Plus she drives a Mercedes.
  • Fig's dialog with the other employees clearly refers to the warden as a separate person. If she was referring to herself in the third person all the time her subordinates would think she was insane. And we see her climb into her Mercedes immediately after a reporter calls her to ask why everyone is talking about those budget cuts even though the prison's budget has been increased by $2.5 million over the past few years. Fig's sweet ride (and her generally luxurious wardrobe) strongly suggest that she's using her position to embezzle money from the budget, or at least to wildly inflate her salary.

Larry's Dad threw Piper's case.
It seems flimsy that she is in prison for over a year for carrying money (not even drugs). She was also encouraged not to go to trial and the statute of limitations was almost up? She is clearly living a clean life now. Wouldn't character witnesses exonerate or at least reduce the sentence even more? Larry's parents clearly don't advocate the relationship between Piper and Larry, so putting her in prison for over a year is a great way to get her out of the picture.
  • Piper Kerman, whose book this series is based on, did indeed serve 13 months in jail for carrying a suitcase full of money ten years before. She made a plea bargain because there was still a possibility, despite her social status and the fact she'd been a law-abiding citizen ever since the commission of the crime, that if she lost at trial she'd get 7 years or more. Mandatory minimums for drug related convictions are insanely high, which is why prisons are so over-crowded these days. The point is that it was ridiculous for her to go to jail for year. Not that Larry's dad threw the case. Which, by the way, is illegal and would lead him to be disbarred and open himself up to a malpractice lawsuit.
  • That's all well and good but this is a fictionalised account and many other differences between Kerman's actual experience and what Chapman is going through. Creative licence and all.
Alex lied about her mom dying when Piper was breaking up with her.
We've seen that Alex is not completely truthful with Piper, since she lied about snitching on her. And she tried to use her mom's death to manipulate Piper into staying with her. And the timing was awfully convenient. Since there's no proof her mom died other than her own word, I'd say there's a pretty good chance she was just lying. If Piper decided to stay with her because of it, she could have found out that she'd been lied to when there wasn't a funeral or anything, but maybe Alex wasn't thinking that far ahead or else would have just made up a reason why Piper couldn't go to the funeral.

Figueroa will end up in Litchfield.
Eventually her embezzling will come out, and in a twist of irony she will be sentenced to Litchfield.

Alex will take the blame for Piper assaulting Pennsatucky.
If the rumors that Laura Prepon is leaving the show are true then after taking the blame for said action, Alex will either be moved to a different prison or moved to maximum security.
  • Disproved in season 2.

Tricia's death wasn't an accident.
Take a look at her when she's talking to Nicky. She tells her she's going to make everything right with Red and that they would be square. Also, earlier in the episode she mentions that Mercy hasn't been answering her calls and she's had barely any contact with her. Then she is given a bunch of drugs by Mendez to get rid of. She realized her life was hell right now- Red didn't trust her and she wasn't one of her girls anymore, her girlfriend wouldn't talk to her and she still had the looming threat of Mendez around. This led her to kill herself.
  • Of course it wasn't an accident. She snorted an entire bag of heroin. It's not like she tripped and fell on it. It's made clear from the events leading to her death that Tricia committed suicide..

Healy's first wife left him for another woman.
Just take a look at Healy: a guy in his 50s who's weary and yet has a Russian mail-order bride. He comes across as someone who is desperate to not be lonely. Thus, it's possible that his first wife turned out to be gay, destroying his heart, and that's why he has a weird vendetta against lesbians.

Vee will attempt an escape.
  • The supposed "storm" that is coming is Vee trying to escape from the prison. She seems likeable enough, given that she looks to be befriending some inmates from the trailer but there has to be a reason she and Red have tension together. Maybe she's trying to gather some people to make an escape.
    • Confirmed; Vee attempts to escape in the finale, but she doesn't quite succeed.

Piper will get out of prison at some point in the series, though will stay as a side character.
After getting out of prison, there won't be as much focus on her, but she will work to support prisoner's rights and campaign for better treatment. There will also be some following of her life after prison and attempt to try for a normal life.
  • She will work for a halfway house of some kind for prisoners just getting on their feet. This would be a way of keeping Piper relevant to the lives of the other inmates, and the prison industry in general, without making viewers bored of her "normal life" - which is a notion she, herself, seems to be abandoning more and more (especially obvious in the furlough episode). Piper's later character development will revolve around being a Warden/Caretaker/Authority figure to the other women, and the conflicts that arise from her position over them as she becomes increasingly hardass and no nonsense. By the series end, Piper will become a respectable team mom to women getting out of prison.
    • She does get a furlough in Season 2. If the timeline is correct, Piper is set to serve 15 months. So far each season has been about 3 months, which leaves room for about 5 seasons of the show.

Miss Claudette was never convicted of murder.
She's a very clean woman and left the place spotless (save for some blood on the floor) after killing the client. When she's given a chance to appeal for early release, it's stated to be because of immigration reform. Murder wasn't mentioned or implied.
  • IIRC, she adjusted a towel that was on the counter when she wasn't wearing gloves... Not sure if that would be enough to pin her to the crime, though.
  • This is pretty much confirmed as true, given the way the other inmates and Healy discuss her reason for being in prison and her case being reopened.

Healy is crazy infatuated with Piper.
Ever since she came to the prison, he always took a special interest in her. He sent her to the SHU for erotic dancing with another woman, but we've never seen any other character get sent there for lesbian activity. He sent Piper to the SHU out of jealousy.

Daya will have a Convenient Miscarriage
Cliche as it may be, it'd probably solve that storyline. There'd be less evidence that Daya and Bennett were in a relationship.

Caputo keeps Daya's and Bennett's secret
And helps them out in the third season

Caputo goes to extreme lengths
Combining the above WM Gs with a darker twist... Caputo will see to it that Daya miscarries - covertly so he can keep up appearances and his job.
  • While not impossible, it is implausible. Given the high(ish) profile nature of the case, for the victim's baby to conveniently miscarry, the media would be all over that, making Caputo's life a living hell. He seems to be a pragmatist above all else, and as far as he's concerned, the child's father has been publicly covered, and it got rid of a dangerous employee. I don't see him rocking the boat unless he has to. That being said, those last four words are pretty key here, too.
Les OperateursWMG/WeboriginalOrion's Arm

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