History Main / OccamsRazor

4th Feb '16 7:09:26 PM AgProv
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conditional statement added
'''[[http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occam%27s_razor Occam's Razor]]''' is an epistemological razor[[note]]a logical principle that is used in deductive reasoning to evaluate threories[[/note]] first described in the 14th century by [[http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_of_Ockham William of Ockham]], an English Franciscan friar and philosopher. It is often used to evaluate the usefulness of a theory. Its main tenet is that "Entities must not be multiplied beyond necessity." It can be summed up with the phrase "When you hear hoofbeats, think horses, not zebras."
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'''[[http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occam%27s_razor Occam's Razor]]''' is an epistemological razor[[note]]a logical principle that is used in deductive reasoning to evaluate threories[[/note]] first described in the 14th century by [[http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_of_Ockham William of Ockham]], an English Franciscan friar and philosopher. It is often used to evaluate the usefulness of a theory. Its main tenet is that "Entities must not be multiplied beyond necessity." It can be summed up with the phrase "When you hear hoofbeats, think horses, not zebras." "[[note]]Unless, of course, you live in the Serengeti where the reverse condition applies. And even then the thunder of hooves might be wildebeeste.[[/note]]
19th Jan '16 7:32:54 AM PixelKnight
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'''[[http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occam%27s_razor Occam's Razor]]''' is a logical principle first described in the 14th century by [[http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_of_Ockham William of Ockham]], an English Franciscan friar and philosopher. It is often used to evaluate the usefulness of a theory. Its main tenet is that "Entities must not be multiplied beyond necessity." It can be summed up with the phrase "When you hear hoofbeats, think horses, not zebras."
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'''[[http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occam%27s_razor Occam's Razor]]''' is a an epistemological razor[[note]]a logical principle that is used in deductive reasoning to evaluate threories[[/note]] first described in the 14th century by [[http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_of_Ockham William of Ockham]], an English Franciscan friar and philosopher. It is often used to evaluate the usefulness of a theory. Its main tenet is that "Entities must not be multiplied beyond necessity." It can be summed up with the phrase "When you hear hoofbeats, think horses, not zebras."
17th Dec '15 9:19:21 PM Red-Dead-Redeemer
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# they develop interstellar/intergalactic travel [[note]]This is not only a question regarding faster-than-light travel, but social development. Human technological advancement has only accelerated in the past 300 years, which was by no means inevitable, and for our first ''150,000 years'' remained almost entirely stagnant. Knowledge may also be forgotten or lost (as has happened multiple times in human history when important libraries were burnt). In short, technological advancement is not a given. Even an intelligent species may never advance beyond medieval or even stone age technology.[[/note]]
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# they develop interstellar/intergalactic travel [[note]]This is not only a question regarding faster-than-light travel, but social development. Human technological advancement has only accelerated in the past 300 years, which was by no means inevitable, and for our first ''150,000 years'' remained almost entirely stagnant. Knowledge may also be forgotten or lost (as has happened multiple times in human history when important libraries were burnt). In short, technological advancement is not a given. Even an intelligent species may [[MedievalStasis never advance beyond medieval or even stone age technology.technology]].[[/note]]
10th Nov '15 5:39:21 PM nombretomado
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# were able to pay off and swear to silence ''thousands'' of people working at NASA and other companies for forty years when they couldn't even pull off a [[RichardNixon simple burglary]];
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# were able to pay off and swear to silence ''thousands'' of people working at NASA and other companies for forty years when they couldn't even pull off a [[RichardNixon [[UsefulNotes/RichardNixon simple burglary]];
12th Sep '15 1:42:51 PM WillBGood
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!!!Also called:
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!!!Also Also called:
3rd May '15 7:44:09 PM MAI742
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# were willing to throw billions away for smoke-and-mirrors attempts, # were smart enough to fool 99% of the population (which some would contest), # were simultaneously stupid enough not to cover their tracks, # had the technological and film-making ability to actually fake the moon-landing footage[[note]]This seems logical - after all, surely it would be easier to fake some film than actually ''go to the Moon'' - but it relies on comparing two totally different fields. In fact, the technology to fake the moon landings ''[[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sGXTF6bs1IU did not exist]]'' in 1969, whilst the technology to actually go there and shoot some footage did.[[/note]] # were able to pay off and swear to silence ''thousands'' of people working at NASA and other companies for forty years when they couldn't even pull off a [[RichardNixon simple burglary]] # were able to pay off and swear to silence [[RedsWithRockets the Soviet Military (and its intelligence directorate, the GRU)]] [[BalanceOfPower during a period where the Red Army, its budget, its personnel, and its material was subjected to intense and ongoing analysis by its enemies]] (the Communist Party and [[StateSec the KGB]]) without arousing their suspicions, or paid off and swore to silence all three factions, despite [[UsefulNotes/HistoryOfTheColdWar the natural inclination of all three to seriously humiliate their mutual enemy]]. # either persuaded the Soviets to destroy every record of the deal so thoroughly that no trace of it remains in now-declassified Soviet archives, even though the Soviets had never bothered to do anything of the sort before ([[TheGreatPoliticsMessUp on the grounds that their country would endure until the end of human history and said archives would never be seen by hostile eyes]]), or have since bought the silence of TheNewRussia as well.
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# were willing and able to throw expend untold billions away for of dollars more than they were ever officially allocated on smoke-and-mirrors attempts, attempts; # were smart enough to fool 99% of the population (which some would contest), contest); # were simultaneously stupid enough not to cover their tracks, tracks; # had the technological and film-making ability to actually fake the moon-landing footage[[note]]This seems logical - after all, surely it would be easier to fake some film than actually ''go to the Moon'' - but it relies on comparing two totally different fields. In fact, the technology to fake the moon landings ''[[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sGXTF6bs1IU did not exist]]'' in 1969, whilst the technology to actually go there and shoot some footage did.[[/note]] [[/note]]; # were able to pay off and swear to silence ''thousands'' of people working at NASA and other companies for forty years when they couldn't even pull off a [[RichardNixon simple burglary]] burglary]]; # were able to pay off and swear to silence [[RedsWithRockets the Soviet Military (and its intelligence directorate, the GRU)]] [[BalanceOfPower during a period where the Red Army, its budget, its personnel, and its material was subjected to intense and ongoing analysis by its enemies]] (the Communist Party and [[StateSec the KGB]]) without arousing their suspicions, or paid off and swore to silence all three factions, factions despite [[UsefulNotes/HistoryOfTheColdWar the natural inclination of all three to seriously humiliate their mutual enemy]]. enemy]]; # and either persuaded the Soviets to destroy every record of the deal so thoroughly that no trace of it remains in now-declassified Soviet archives, even though the Soviets had never bothered to do anything of the sort before ([[TheGreatPoliticsMessUp on the grounds that their country would endure until the end of human history and said archives would never be seen by hostile eyes]]), or have since bought the silence of TheNewRussia as well.
27th Apr '15 3:12:28 PM Scorntex
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After that, you'd think that the simplest explanation was to, you know, actually send people there (''ThatMitchellAndWebbLook'' has a brilliant series of sketches on this idea, [[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P6MOnehCOUw including the moon landing]]).
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After that, you'd think that the simplest explanation was to, you know, actually send people there (''ThatMitchellAndWebbLook'' (''Series/ThatMitchellAndWebbLook'' has a brilliant series of sketches on this idea, [[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P6MOnehCOUw including the moon landing]]).
4th Apr '15 5:19:23 AM Morgenthaler
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Potholes are not allowed in page quotes.
->''"When I see a crop circle, I could hypothesize a conspiracy of local farmboys who spent a whole night in a field trampling crops down with primitive earthling tools. [[InvertedTrope But a much simpler hypothesis would be a fellow alien with a crop-writer who wanted to contact a ship in orbit.]] Hitchhikers do this all the time."''
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->''"When I see a crop circle, I could hypothesize a conspiracy of local farmboys who spent a whole night in a field trampling crops down with primitive earthling tools. [[InvertedTrope But a much simpler hypothesis would be a fellow alien with a crop-writer who wanted to contact a ship in orbit.]] orbit. Hitchhikers do this all the time."''
4th Mar '15 5:07:39 PM MAI742
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# were able to pay off and swear to silence [[RedsWithRockets the Soviet Military (and its intelligence directorate, the GRU)]] during a period where the Red Army, its budget, its personnel, and its material was subjected to intense and ongoing analysis by its enemies (the Communist Party and the KGB) without arousing their suspicions, or paid off and swore to silence all three, despite [[UsefulNotes/HistoryOfTheColdWar their natural inclination to score a massive propaganda coup against their enemy]]. # either persuaded the Soviets to destroy every record of the deal so thoroughly that no trace of it remains in the now-declassified Soviet archives, even though the Soviets had never bothered to do anything of the sort before ([[TheGreatPoliticsMessUp on the grounds that their country would endure until the end of human history and said archives would never be seen by hostile eyes]]), or have since bought the silence of TheNewRussia as well.
to:
# were able to pay off and swear to silence [[RedsWithRockets the Soviet Military (and its intelligence directorate, the GRU)]] [[BalanceOfPower during a period where the Red Army, its budget, its personnel, and its material was subjected to intense and ongoing analysis by its enemies enemies]] (the Communist Party and [[StateSec the KGB) KGB]]) without arousing their suspicions, or paid off and swore to silence all three, three factions, despite [[UsefulNotes/HistoryOfTheColdWar their the natural inclination of all three to score a massive propaganda coup against seriously humiliate their mutual enemy]]. # either persuaded the Soviets to destroy every record of the deal so thoroughly that no trace of it remains in the now-declassified Soviet archives, even though the Soviets had never bothered to do anything of the sort before ([[TheGreatPoliticsMessUp on the grounds that their country would endure until the end of human history and said archives would never be seen by hostile eyes]]), or have since bought the silence of TheNewRussia as well.
4th Mar '15 5:03:22 PM MAI742
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# were able to pay off [[RedsWithRockets the Soviet Military (and its intelligence directorate, the GRU)]] during a period where the Red Army, its budget, its personnel, and its material was subjected to intense and ongoing analysis by its enemies (the Communist Party and the KGB) without arousing their suspicions, ''or'' somehow managed to ''cut a deal with all three simultaneously''. # persuade the Soviets to destroy every record of the deal so thoroughly that no trace of it remains in the now-declassified Soviet archives, even though the Soviets had never bothered to do anything of the sort before [[TheGreatPoliticsMessUp on the grounds that their country would endure until the end of human history and said archives would never be seen by hostile eyes]], ''or'' do buy the silence of TheNewRussia as well.
to:
# were able to pay off and swear to silence [[RedsWithRockets the Soviet Military (and its intelligence directorate, the GRU)]] during a period where the Red Army, its budget, its personnel, and its material was subjected to intense and ongoing analysis by its enemies (the Communist Party and the KGB) without arousing their suspicions, ''or'' somehow managed or paid off and swore to ''cut a deal with silence all three simultaneously''. three, despite [[UsefulNotes/HistoryOfTheColdWar their natural inclination to score a massive propaganda coup against their enemy]]. # persuade either persuaded the Soviets to destroy every record of the deal so thoroughly that no trace of it remains in the now-declassified Soviet archives, even though the Soviets had never bothered to do anything of the sort before [[TheGreatPoliticsMessUp ([[TheGreatPoliticsMessUp on the grounds that their country would endure until the end of human history and said archives would never be seen by hostile eyes]], ''or'' do buy eyes]]), or have since bought the silence of TheNewRussia as well.
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