The AU have taken the port city of Kismayo
. The plan is to control everything up to the Juba river.
There are several interesting points:
1) As a major port city, Kismayo is "the money".
2) Al-Shabab has a twitter account.
3) This is part of a "Jubaland project". Kenya wants a buffer zone but it couldn't get Ethiopia to agree because it was worried about Ogaden rebels (the Ogaden live about that area). Kenya held peace talks between Ethiopa and the Ogaden National Liberation Front and that has worked out. Somalia's president also had reservations -presumably because they don't want another Puntland- but they're in charge of this.
4) Like, would it be legal for me to just check out the twitter account? Should I just refrain from typing the words "Bomb" "Jihad" and "9/11" anytime soon?
5)Kismayo is not really part of "Jubaland" ethnically so my thoughts are that the success of this will depend on a Somalian government being able to keep the port city as a functioning part of the region, held together not by a tribal split but by function civil systems that mean they benefit from an actual economy.
Don't just tell us the facts; tell us the memes, tell us the archetypes, tell us the catchy ideas and symbolic roles that get planted in pe