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** Yet another Holmes example: \
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** Yet another Holmes example: \\\"The Musgrave Ritual\\\". Both Holmes and the Butler make wildly invalid assumptions that only turn out accurate due to chance. First invalid assumption: That the trees mentioned in the ritual had not grown in the two hundred years between the ritual being written and their attempts to follow it. Second invalid assumption: That their paces would be the same as the original writer\\\'s paces. Holmes often estimates the height of a man by the length of his stride, so he should know that the inverse is also true: That a man\\\'s height influences the length of his stride. Holmes was fairly tall by Victorian standards, and therefore would have a noticeably longer stride than other men. Combining the shifted starting point with the inaccurate units of measurement in the later directions, there is significant room for error. Had the part of the ritual going \\\'And so under\\\' actually meant \\\'Dig Here\\\' as Holmes originally thought and not \\\'Look In The Basement\\\', they wouldn\\\'t have come close to the treasure.
First, Oak and Elm trees don\\\'t continue to add significant height infinitely. They \\\'\\\'do\\\'\\\' add girth until they die.
An oak that was planted \\\"at the Conquest\\\" (1066 AD) would certainly have attained its full height by the 1700\\\'s.
An Elm that was 64 feet tall would also be at or near its maximum height, and someone writing a set of directions (intended to be used at some unknown time in the future) that relied on the height of a tree to mark a spot would have to be \\\'\\\'\\\'stupid\\\'\\\'\\\' to use a tree that wasn\\\'t already at full growth.
The other point, that \\\"stride length varies\\\", is also not counter-factual, since a pace can just as easily indicate the standard step of thirty inches from where the heel of one foot leaves the ground to where the heel of the other foot touches; or the double pace, (58 or 60 inches) measured from where the heel of one foot leaves the ground to where the same heel touches again. Both of these uses were already established in by the time the Ritual was written. Since it specifies \\\"By ten and by ten\\\" (that is, ten steps with each foot,) it\\\'s talking about the single pace. It doesn\\\'t matter what Holmes\\\' normal stride length is, he\\\'s using the established measure called a \\\"pace\\\".
First, Oak and Elm trees don\\\'t continue to add significant height infinitely. They \\\'\\\'do\\\'\\\' add girth until they die.
An oak that was planted \\\"at the Conquest\\\" (1066 AD) would certainly have attained its full height by the 1700\\\'s.
An Elm that was 64 feet tall would also be at or near its maximum height, and someone writing a set of directions (intended to be used at some unknown time in the future) that relied on the height of a tree to mark a spot would have to be \\\'\\\'\\\'stupid\\\'\\\'\\\' to use a tree that wasn\\\'t already at full growth.
The other point, that \\\"stride length varies\\\", is also not counter-factual, since a pace can just as easily indicate the standard step of thirty inches from where the heel of one foot leaves the ground to where the heel of the other foot touches; or the double pace, (58 or 60 inches) measured from where the heel of one foot leaves the ground to where the same heel touches again. Both of these uses were already established in by the time the Ritual was written. Since it specifies \\\"By ten and by ten\\\" (that is, ten steps with each foot,) it\\\'s talking about the single pace. It doesn\\\'t matter what Holmes\\\' normal stride length is, he\\\'s using the established measure called a \\\"pace\\\".
[001]
Madrugada
MOD
Changed line(s) 3 from:
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** Yet another Holmes example: \
to:
** Yet another Holmes example: \\\"The Musgrave Ritual\\\". Both Holmes and the Butler make wildly invalid assumptions that only turn out accurate due to chance. First invalid assumption: That the trees mentioned in the ritual had not grown in the two hundred years between the ritual being written and their attempts to follow it. Second invalid assumption: That their paces would be the same as the original writer\\\'s paces. Holmes often estimates the height of a man by the length of his stride, so he should know that the inverse is also true: That a man\\\'s height influences the length of his stride. Holmes was fairly tall by Victorian standards, and therefore would have a noticeably longer stride than other men. Combining the shifted starting point with the inaccurate units of measurement in the later directions, there is significant room for error. Had the part of the ritual going \\\'And so under\\\' actually meant \\\'Dig Here\\\' as Holmes originally thought and not \\\'Look In The Basement\\\', they wouldn\\\'t have come close to the treasure.
First, Oak and Elm trees don\\\'t continue to add significant height infinitely. They \\\'\\\'do\\\'\\\' add girth until they die.
An oak that was planted \\\"at the Conquest\\\" (1066 AD) would certainly have attained its full height by the 1700\\\'s.
An Elm that was 64 feet tall would also be at or near its maximum height, and someone writing a set of directions (intended to be used at some unknown time in the future) that relied on the height of a tree to mark a spot would have to be \\\'\\\'\\\'stupid\\\'\\\'\\\' to use a tree that wasn\\\'t already at full growth.
The other point, that \\\"stride length varies\\\", is also not counter-factual, since a pace can just as easily indicate the standard step of thirty inches from where the heel of one foot leaves the ground to where the heel of the other foot touches; or the double pace, (58 or 60 inches) measured from where the heel of one foot leaves the ground to where the same heel touches again. Both of these uses were already established in by the time the Ritual was written. Since it specifies \\\"By ten and by ten\\\" ( that is, ten steps with each foot, it\\\'s talking about the single pace. It doesn\\\'t matter what Holmes\\\' normal stride length is, he\\\'s using the established measure called a \\\"pace\\\".
First, Oak and Elm trees don\\\'t continue to add significant height infinitely. They \\\'\\\'do\\\'\\\' add girth until they die.
An oak that was planted \\\"at the Conquest\\\" (1066 AD) would certainly have attained its full height by the 1700\\\'s.
An Elm that was 64 feet tall would also be at or near its maximum height, and someone writing a set of directions (intended to be used at some unknown time in the future) that relied on the height of a tree to mark a spot would have to be \\\'\\\'\\\'stupid\\\'\\\'\\\' to use a tree that wasn\\\'t already at full growth.
The other point, that \\\"stride length varies\\\", is also not counter-factual, since a pace can just as easily indicate the standard step of thirty inches from where the heel of one foot leaves the ground to where the heel of the other foot touches; or the double pace, (58 or 60 inches) measured from where the heel of one foot leaves the ground to where the same heel touches again. Both of these uses were already established in by the time the Ritual was written. Since it specifies \\\"By ten and by ten\\\" ( that is, ten steps with each foot, it\\\'s talking about the single pace. It doesn\\\'t matter what Holmes\\\' normal stride length is, he\\\'s using the established measure called a \\\"pace\\\".
