Oscars 2014

If 12 Years a Slave gets any of the top awards, it will be seen in certain quarters as teh Academy making up for ignoring the shit out of Spielberg's film version of Alice Walker's book, The Color Purple - which had nominations for ELEVEN Oscars and got none of them. The merits of the movie (if any - I haven't seen it and have no real intention to to be honest) won't matter to them. People are strange, y'all. Insane Troll Logic is a trope for a reason, after all.

They still appear to be closet racists, so you never know.

Here's my prediction list. The cynical version, at least.

edited 17th Jan '14 2:38:58 PM by Mort08

Fund it.

Here's mine:

"In 19th century New York City, compassion, jealousy and adultery collide for a pipe-smoking amputee, a Catholic prostitute and a prison guard"

...

I might actually be interested in seeing that.

Sounds like Ray meets The Cider House Rules.

That is actually interesting. Might write a script in the future about that.

It sucks that I can't say much about the movies nominated, for I haven't seen most of them (in fact, of all the nominees in all categories, I only saw The Hobbit and I'll see The Wolf of Wall Street, Her and 12 Years a Slave in the following two weeks. And maybe American Hustle.

And what is it with Meryl Streep being nominated all the time? I've only heard of the movie she's nominated for through checking the list. I'd rather have Judi Dench, Cate Blanchett or Amy Adams winning the awards.

"A piano-playing cowboy and a judge cope with freedom, poetic justice and suspense in Kansas"

Sounds more like a Tony winner than an Oscar winner to me.

-

"Religion, bravery and sex haunt an American Indian villain, a Muslim war veteran and a liar in Kansas"

I'm not sure how bravery haunts someone, though an American Indian villain does sound interesting.

-

"A firefighter and an old man cope with politics, police corruption and organized crime in 1950s Spain"

Sounds more like an action piece than Oscar bait, but at least it isn't in Kansas.

edited 17th Jan '14 4:43:20 PM by BigMadDraco

I've already read someone online accuse the movie of being Liberal Propaganda. <_<

Yawn, like Milk et al.

Some regions of the U.S. are just always going to be constitutionally hostile to the west coast. It always makes me think of this.

Here are my predictions:

• Best Picture: Twelve Years A Slave
• Best Director: Alfonso Cuaron ^note It's either him or Steve Mc Queen.
• Best Leading Actor: Matthew Mc Conaughey ^note Chiwetel Ejiofor is my backup.
• Best Leading Actress: Amy Adams ^note This is Adams' fifth nomination. Although Cate Blanchett is the frontrunner, my gut is telling me this is the year Adams gets a Consolation Award.
• Best Supporting Actor: Jared Leto
• Best Supporting Actress: Lupita Nyong'o
• Best Original Screenplay: H.E.R.
• Best Adapted Screenplay: Twelve Years A Slave
• Best Animated Film: The Wind Rises ^note Frozen is the front runner, but this is "supposedly" Miyazaki's final film, so I wouldn't be surprise if the movie wins to honor Miyazaki's career.

I'm expecting Wolf of Wallstreet to get completely shut out here. If it does win anything, it'll most likely be Adapted Screen play as a consolation award.

edited 19th Jan '14 8:37:27 AM by Lionheart0

"In the jungle, an American refugee struggles with patriotism, loyalty, and redemption."

My randomly-generated synopsis doesn't sound too far fetched, actually.

Best Picture: 12 Years a Slave because it's sad.

Best Director: the director of Gravity, because if they give him Best Director they'll feel like they don't have to give him best picture.

Best Leading Actor: Chiwetel last-name-I-can't-spell because let's throw everything at 12 Years. All the Oscars! All the Oscars!

Best Leading Actress: Cate Blanchett.

Best Supporting Actor: Jared Leto because people know who he is and hurray for LGBT.

Best Supporting Actress: Lupita Nyong'o, obviously.

Best Original Screenplay: American Hustle, because it's a comedy and those never win Best Picture because only sad films are art...but it's still got to win something important anyway.

Best Adapted Screenplay: The Wolf of Wall Street because Scorcese is a name people know and the Oscar committee feels like they have to give it something.

Best Animated Film: Frozen, because The Wind Rises is anime and all the Oscar voters are fifty years old and isn't that punching and dragon ball and stuff? Ernest and Celestine, nobody's heard of it so that's not going to win. And the other movies are mere comedy.

edited 28th Jan '14 10:46:23 AM by Jinxmenow

You forget that Spirited Away has won an Oscar. It's also by the same director (the great Hayao Miyazaki). Also, The Wind Rises is Miyazaki's last film, so don't rule it out.

edited 28th Jan '14 8:54:09 AM by Quag15

Best Leading Actress is possibly the acting category that is least a toss-up this year. Every other awards show has given it to Cate Blanchett for ''Blue Jasmine" (which I've never heard of, but yay Galadriel), so it's pretty much a given that the Academy will as well.

Well, I'm not really the Oscar expert. Despite never having seen any of these movies, I'm just going to go off of vague knowledge of what they're about to make this list and I'm going to see if I'm right.

Also, to the person who says that The Wind Rises is a contender because of Hayao Miyazaki, don't be so sure...James Gandolfini didn't get a best actor nomination for Enough Said, and Hayao Miyazaki isn't even dead.

It's not just because it's a Hayao Miyazaki film, and since he's gonna retire and the movie deals with the life of a man who created something that was used for war, that might click with the voters, especially the older ones.

edited 28th Jan '14 10:56:06 AM by Quag15

Well, yes. It's probably more of a coin toss between Frozen and The Wind Rises, but that insight was sort of intended as a joke. It just wasn't a very good one.

Ah, ok. Carry on, then.

We're off to see the Oscar! The Wonderful Oscar of Oz!

I demand that this year they make all the trophies look like Tin Men.

They'll probably just reenact some of the songs in a musical style. With lots of Tin Men doing stupid dance moves.

To put my 2 cents in, I don't think both Lupita Nyong'o and Chiwetel Ejiofor will win their respective awards. It seems to be that only one black person is only allowed to win one of those awards every 5 years.

Ejiofor deserves the award, but Mc Connaughey, of all people, will probably get it - most of the recent big awards groups have been giving it to him.

I'm going with Frozen over The Wind Rises.

People forget that everyone of Miyazaki's films since Princess Mononoke has been his last film (that's 5 of his 11 films). This time might be for real, but I was convinced that Ponyo would be his last film.

Forrest Gump, Braveheart, Gladiator, Return of the King, The Departed Slumdog Millionaire, The Arist.

All movies of the more recent times that doesn't quite fit the criteria you're describing yet won.

edited 28th Jan '14 9:13:41 PM by Lionheart0