History Main / MillionToOneChance

27th Jan '16 7:26:51 PM TimG5
Is there an issue? Send a Message
Added DiffLines:
* When you think about it, your own '''birth''' qualifies as this trope. While a human mother usually only has one egg cell in the fallopian tubes when she's able to get pregnant, a single ejaculation from a man can release anywhere from 40 million to 1.2 billion sperms cells. And ultimately, [[ThereCanOnlyBeOne only one sperm cell will be able to fertilize the egg]] while the others perish. This means that any individual sperm cell's chance of getting to fertilize is almost zero, and yet the fact remains that one sperm cell ''will'' get to fertilize the egg. In short, you simply being born the way you are pretty much fits this trope to a tee.
21st Dec '15 9:31:06 AM Troper#184
Is there an issue? Send a Message
* One micromort (the measurement of the probability of death) is equivalent to an activity that has a one-in-a-million chance of a fatal accident occuring.
to:
* One micromort (the measurement of the probability of death) is equivalent to an activity that has a one-in-a-million chance of a fatal accident occuring.occurring. * Mathematicians have determined that any event with odds of 10 to the 50th power or greater is impossible. This figure takes into account the age of the universe. What are the odds of a simple protein molecule, something that even the simplest cell contains millions of, coming into existence by chance? 10 to the 65th power! Sir Fredrick Hoyle calculated that the odds of a simple cell forming by chance is 10 to the 40,000th power! An adult man weighing 70 kilograms would have around 70 trillion cells in his body.
30th Nov '15 9:35:27 AM FF32
Is there an issue? Send a Message
* RichardDawkins mentions in ''The God Delusion'' that if the chances of life arising on any given planet was one in a billion, then life would still have arisen on a billion planets in the universe, using one of the lower estimates of a billion billion planets in the universe (the actual figure is probably much higher). This astonishing figure relies on the fact that while a one in a billion chance is much too small for humans to comprehend comfortably, with a large enough sample a billion to one becomes a certainty. And the existence of life on this planet is an example of this certainty.
to:
* RichardDawkins UsefulNotes/RichardDawkins mentions in ''The God Delusion'' that if the chances of life arising on any given planet was one in a billion, then life would still have arisen on a billion planets in the universe, using one of the lower estimates of a billion billion planets in the universe (the actual figure is probably much higher). This astonishing figure relies on the fact that while a one in a billion chance is much too small for humans to comprehend comfortably, with a large enough sample a billion to one becomes a certainty. And the existence of life on this planet is an example of this certainty.
8th Nov '15 8:45:12 PM nombretomado
Is there an issue? Send a Message
* NASA's management claimed that the risk of catastrophic malfunction on the shuttle was 1 in 100,000. After the Space Shuttle Challenger disaster, RichardFeynman immediately realized that this claim was risible on its face; as he described, this assessment of risk would entail that NASA could expect to launch a shuttle every day for the next 274 years while suffering, on average, only one accident.
to:
* NASA's management claimed that the risk of catastrophic malfunction on the shuttle was 1 in 100,000. After the Space Shuttle Challenger disaster, RichardFeynman UsefulNotes/RichardFeynman immediately realized that this claim was risible on its face; as he described, this assessment of risk would entail that NASA could expect to launch a shuttle every day for the next 274 years while suffering, on average, only one accident.
2nd Nov '15 12:54:28 PM Adept
Is there an issue? Send a Message
* Played straight in ''MermaidSaga''. However, in this case, the million to one chance of mermaid's flesh granting immortality probably ''is'' really a million to one. Over the last eight hundred years, only ''four'' appear to have gained complete and uninhibited immortality.
to:
* Played straight in ''MermaidSaga''.''Manga/MermaidSaga''. However, in this case, the million to one chance of mermaid's flesh granting immortality probably ''is'' really a million to one. Over the last eight hundred years, only ''four'' appear to have gained complete and uninhibited immortality.
27th Oct '15 3:26:35 PM Morgenthaler
Is there an issue? Send a Message
"Never tell me the odds!"]]
to:
"Never tell me the odds!"]]odds!"
27th Oct '15 3:25:44 PM Morgenthaler
Is there an issue? Send a Message
** TTGL may warrant its own subtrope of this; the Million to None Chance.

** TheoryOfNarrativeCausality: you also really can't end a goofy buddy comedy soft sci-fi piece on a DownerEnding like the [[ApocalypseHow end of all existence.]]

* ''Franchise/StarWars'': ** "Sir, the possibility of successfully navigating an asteroid field is approximately 3,720 to 1!" ** [[TheEmpireStrikesBack "Never tell me the odds!"]] *** [[TheAsteroidThicket Of course,]] [[http://www.irregularwebcomic.net/482.html in reality]] the million-to-one shot would be the probability of Han's attackers ''not'' getting through safely. *** [=C3P0=] actually does this many times in that movie, sort of a RunningGag. Every time, the heroes seem able to beat the odds he gives them.
to:
* ''Franchise/StarWars'': ** "Sir, the possibility of successfully navigating an asteroid field is approximately 3,720 to 1!" ''Film/TheEmpireStrikesBack'': ** [[TheEmpireStrikesBack "Never tell me the odds!"]] *** [[TheAsteroidThicket Of course,]] [[http://www.irregularwebcomic.net/482.html in reality]] the million-to-one shot would be the probability of Han's attackers ''not'' getting through safely. *** [=C3P0=] actually does this many times in that movie, sort of a RunningGag. Every time, the heroes seem able to beat the odds he gives them. -->"Sir, the possibility of successfully navigating an asteroid field is approximately 3,720 to 1!"\\ "Never tell me the odds!"]]

** Also works as a meta-example. When the scene was shot they just shot her playing and intended to do a staged shot showing [[spoiler:the ball landing on the 20. When shooting the shot of her playing, the ball landed on 20. They threw it in.]]
27th Oct '15 3:22:01 PM Morgenthaler
Is there an issue? Send a Message
Moved an item to the correct folder.
* Played straight by ''WesternAnimation/ChickenRun'' in the spirit of ScrewDestiny. Being told that the chickens ever escaping Tweedy's Farm is a million to one chance, Ginger retorts "Then there's still a chance."

* Played straight by ''WesternAnimation/ChickenRun'' in the spirit of ScrewDestiny. Being told that the chickens ever escaping Tweedy's Farm is a million to one chance, Ginger retorts "Then there's still a chance."
25th Sep '15 12:54:11 PM TheOneWhoTropes
Is there an issue? Send a Message
* ''VisualNovel/HigurashiNoNakuKoroNi'' has its entire premise based around this. [[spoiler:It's about Rika living through every possible world in a GroundHogDayLoop, to try to find the one world where she doesn't get horribly killed.]]
to:
* ''VisualNovel/HigurashiNoNakuKoroNi'' ''VisualNovel/HigurashiWhenTheyCry'' has its entire premise based around this. [[spoiler:It's about Rika living through every possible world in a GroundHogDayLoop, to try to find the one world where she doesn't get horribly killed.]]
21st Aug '15 6:27:10 AM Willbyr
Is there an issue? Send a Message

* In ''TengenToppaGurrenLagann'', the odds of success were calculated to be 0%. Not 0% as in "so close to zero it might as well be zero", but ''flat-out impossible''. [[BeyondTheImpossible Naturally, the heroes succeed anyway]]. The main character also declares that if the odds of success are "nearly 0%", they might as well be 100%.
to:
* In ''TengenToppaGurrenLagann'', ''Anime/TengenToppaGurrenLagann'', the odds of success were calculated to be 0%. Not 0% as in "so close to zero it might as well be zero", but ''flat-out impossible''. [[BeyondTheImpossible Naturally, the heroes succeed anyway]]. The main character also declares that if the odds of success are "nearly 0%", they might as well be 100%.

* Also happens near the end of ''CodeGeass''. [[spoiler: For Lelouch and Suzaku to break through the shield of and thus board the Damocles, they have to fly through the opening in the shield made to fire F.L.E.I.J.A.s. In order to do that, they essentially have to disarm a fired F.L.E.I.J.A. using Nina's F.L.E.I.J.A. Eliminator, but that requires real-time environment conditions to be input by Lelouch for 19 seconds before detonation and the Eliminator has to hit within .04 seconds of detonation.]] Odds of success: outrageously low, but the definition of this trope can tell you what happened...
to:
* Also happens near the end of ''CodeGeass''.''Anime/CodeGeass''. [[spoiler: For Lelouch and Suzaku to break through the shield of and thus board the Damocles, they have to fly through the opening in the shield made to fire F.L.E.I.J.A.s. In order to do that, they essentially have to disarm a fired F.L.E.I.J.A. using Nina's F.L.E.I.J.A. Eliminator, but that requires real-time environment conditions to be input by Lelouch for 19 seconds before detonation and the Eliminator has to hit within .04 seconds of detonation.]] Odds of success: outrageously low, but the definition of this trope can tell you what happened...

* Averted with {{Kaiji}}; whenever something extremely unlikely happens, [[spoiler: it's always due to cheating of some type.]] When not Kaiji doing so, he tends to blame himself for not having good enough luck! ** Zigzagged in {{Akagi}} by the same author. Sometimes the mahjong version of TheMagicPokerEquation is because of [[BornLucky characters' luck]], other times it's because they cheat. * Subverted in a chapter of ''FrankenFran''. A BornLucky serial killer [[spoiler: dies to the astronomically high odds of being struck by lightning]].
to:
* Averted with {{Kaiji}}; ''Manga/{{Kaiji}}''; whenever something extremely unlikely happens, [[spoiler: it's always due to cheating of some type.]] When not Kaiji doing so, he tends to blame himself for not having good enough luck! ** Zigzagged in {{Akagi}} ''Manga/{{Akagi}}'' by the same author. Sometimes the mahjong version of TheMagicPokerEquation is because of [[BornLucky characters' luck]], other times it's because they cheat. * Subverted in a chapter of ''FrankenFran''.''Manga/FrankenFran''. A BornLucky serial killer [[spoiler: dies to the astronomically high odds of being struck by lightning]].
This list shows the last 10 events of 118. Show all.