History Literature / WhatMayHappenInTheNextHundredYears

28th Feb '16 4:41:59 AM sabrina_diamond
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An article originally published in the ''Ladies' Home Journal'' in 1900 predicting what may happen by the year 2000. Some predictions were surprisingly accurate, managing to predict air conditioning, fast food, and global transmission of news. Some weren't (e.g., hot and cold air are to be supplied via pipes from a central plant, wild animals exist only in zoos). Some were technically correct, but missed the mark (opera ''is'' transmitted to private homes, but it's hardly a major form of entertainment). And we only wish that we had exterminated mosquitoes and flies.

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An article originally published in the ''Ladies' Home Journal'' in 1900 predicting what may happen by the year 2000. Some predictions were surprisingly accurate, managing to predict air conditioning, fast food, and global transmission of news. Some weren't (e.g., hot and cold air are to be supplied via pipes from a central plant, wild animals exist only in zoos). Some were technically correct, but completely missed the mark (opera ''is'' transmitted to private homes, but it's hardly a major form of entertainment). And we only wish that we had exterminated mosquitoes and flies.
10th Dec '15 4:45:19 PM DarkHunter
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* ExpandedStatesOfAmerica: The article predicts that Mexico, Nicaragua, and many other Central and South American countries would have joined the USA to escape European expansionism. This, naturally, did not happen. On the other hand, the article's low guess on the population of America is ''very'' close to the reality (350,000,000).

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* ExpandedStatesOfAmerica: The article predicts that Mexico, Nicaragua, and many other Central and South American countries would have willingly joined the USA to escape European expansionism. This, naturally, did not happen. On the other hand, the article's low guess on the population of America is ''very'' close to the reality (350,000,000).



* ScienceMarchesOn[[invoked]]:
** The article assumes that air travel will be done by dirigibles, and would be rather limited in scope. Airplanes wouldn't be invented for another twenty years after it was written.
** Hydro-electricity is posited to be the primary source of power for all civilization. The article was written before the discovery of nuclear energy, which is much more feasible for providing our power needs than water. While hydro-electricity is used in some locations, these tend to only be where there's a convenient waterfall or dammed river to take advantage of nearby.
** The article assumes that pests like flies and mosquitoes would be exterminated, and that swamplands would be filled in. Since the article's writing, we've learned much about the ecosystem and how much of a role both those things play in it, and exterminating mosquitoes or flies, while maybe ''possible'', is not something today's scientists would seriously consider.
10th Dec '15 4:43:19 PM DarkHunter
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* ScienceMarchesOn:

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* ScienceMarchesOn:ScienceMarchesOn[[invoked]]:
10th Dec '15 4:42:52 PM DarkHunter
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* ExpandedStatesOfAmerica: The article predicts that Mexico, Nicaragua, and many other Central and South American countries would have joined the USA to escape European expansionism. This, naturally, did not happen. On the other hand, the article's low guess on the population of America is ''very'' close to the reality (350,000,000).



* {{Zeerust}}: A lot of the predictions are correct in basic idea, but not in how they are actually implemented. For instance, fast food and home delivery are both predicted more or less accurately, but the writer at the time believed they would be delivered via "pneumatic tubes" rather than by car, and that such establishments would use actual dishes, rather than the paper/plastic/cardboard disposables most fast food restaurants provide.

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* {{Zeerust}}: ScienceMarchesOn:
** The article assumes that air travel will be done by dirigibles, and would be rather limited in scope. Airplanes wouldn't be invented for another twenty years after it was written.
** Hydro-electricity is posited to be the primary source of power for all civilization. The article was written before the discovery of nuclear energy, which is much more feasible for providing our power needs than water. While hydro-electricity is used in some locations, these tend to only be where there's a convenient waterfall or dammed river to take advantage of nearby.
** The article assumes that pests like flies and mosquitoes would be exterminated, and that swamplands would be filled in. Since the article's writing, we've learned much about the ecosystem and how much of a role both those things play in it, and exterminating mosquitoes or flies, while maybe ''possible'', is not something today's scientists would seriously consider.
* {{Zeerust}}:
**
A lot of the predictions are correct in basic idea, but not in how they are actually implemented. For instance, fast food and home delivery are both predicted more or less accurately, but the writer at the time believed they would be delivered via "pneumatic tubes" rather than by car, and that such establishments would use actual dishes, rather than the paper/plastic/cardboard disposables most fast food restaurants provide. As a general rule, while the article is mostly spot-on about our technological capabilities, it misses the effects that most of these technologies would have on society as a whole.



** As a general rule, while the article is mostly spot-on about our technological capabilities, it misses the effects that most of these technologies would have on society as a whole.
7th Apr '15 2:29:39 PM Specialist290
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----

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----** As a general rule, while the article is mostly spot-on about our technological capabilities, it misses the effects that most of these technologies would have on society as a whole.
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27th Oct '13 9:47:52 AM gallium
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Added DiffLines:

** In some parts of the world, typically poorer areas with cold winters, heat ''is'' delivered by hot air sent from a centralized location.
7th Aug '13 4:40:59 PM DarkHunter
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* {{Zeerust}}: A lot of the predictions are correct in basic idea, but not in how they are actually implemented. For instance, fast food and home delivery are both predicted more or less accurately, but the writer at the time believed they would be delivered via "pneumatic tubes" rather than by automobile, and that any dishes used would be returned to the restaurant which provided them.

to:

* {{Zeerust}}: A lot of the predictions are correct in basic idea, but not in how they are actually implemented. For instance, fast food and home delivery are both predicted more or less accurately, but the writer at the time believed they would be delivered via "pneumatic tubes" rather than by automobile, car, and that any dishes used such establishments would be returned to use actual dishes, rather than the restaurant which provided them.paper/plastic/cardboard disposables most fast food restaurants provide.
7th Aug '13 4:37:41 PM DarkHunter
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* {{Zeerust}}

to:

* {{Zeerust}}{{Zeerust}}: A lot of the predictions are correct in basic idea, but not in how they are actually implemented. For instance, fast food and home delivery are both predicted more or less accurately, but the writer at the time believed they would be delivered via "pneumatic tubes" rather than by automobile, and that any dishes used would be returned to the restaurant which provided them.
28th Feb '13 3:13:36 PM Xtifr
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Added DiffLines:

-->Automobiles will be cheaper than horses are today. Farmers will own automobile hay-wagons, automobile truck-wagons, plows, harrows and hay-rakes. A one-pound motor in one of these vehicles will do the work of a pair of horses or more. Children will ride in automobile sleighs in winter. Automobiles will have been substituted for every horse vehicle now known. There will be, as already exist today, automobile hearses, automobile police patrols, automobile ambulances, automobile street sweepers.

An article originally published in the ''Ladies' Home Journal'' in 1900 predicting what may happen by the year 2000. Some predictions were surprisingly accurate, managing to predict air conditioning, fast food, and global transmission of news. Some weren't (e.g., hot and cold air are to be supplied via pipes from a central plant, wild animals exist only in zoos). Some were technically correct, but missed the mark (opera ''is'' transmitted to private homes, but it's hardly a major form of entertainment). And we only wish that we had exterminated mosquitoes and flies.

This article has been copied around the Internet. Since it is from 1900, it has fallen into the public domain, and may be found among other places [[http://personal.psu.edu/staff/t/w/twa101/whatmayhappen.pdf here]].
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Tropes include:
* FuturisticSuperhighway: This article predicted that cars would travel on underground or overhead roads, leaving the streets clear.
* IWantMyJetpack: Where are those lightning-throwing blimps??
* RealityIsUnrealistic: Some people originally believed this article to be fake because the accurate predictions were too good.
* {{Zeerust}}
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http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/article_history.php?article=Literature.WhatMayHappenInTheNextHundredYears