With how much artificial intelligence has been improving, in many areas such as text reading/generation, picture reading, picture generation, convincing voice synthesis and more, I think there's a lot that can be discussed, about the effects that this technology will have on society.
I'll start off with one example.
I'd been thinking about the enshittification cycle of tech, and I think it's coming for Google hard. The search engine just isn't so great at finding what you actually want, and I think that's gonna leave a big opening for Bing with their use of AI. If the AI can sift through the crap and actually find what you want for real, due to its understanding of language, it'll actually make searching super useful again.
In the pre-Google internet, search engines used to search only for exact words and phrases, which had its uses, but also meant finding a lot of sites that simply crammed in a lot of popular words and phrases to get visitors. Google cut through the crap with a better understanding of how to "rank" sites relative to how relevant they are, and even find sites that are on the topic you were looking for without using the same exact words.
But Google started to become more advertiser-friendly, then later, more shareholder-friendly. There's a limit to how much one can make their product built entirely around shareholder growth, so as it turns to crap, it leaves an opening for a competitor to show up.
Since Bing/ChatGPT (which Bing is plugged into now) understands the use of language, it can actually understand context and determine relevance based on that. And that'll make it huge, I think. Context-based understanding of web pages can potentially do an excellent job of finding what people actually want, in a way that goes way beyond Google's page ranking systems, or the examination of exact words.
Edited by BonsaiForest on Dec 10th 2023 at 6:15:29 AM
Why ? Or to be precise, why do you think it fits the religion thread *more* than AI one.
Setting aside the reasons that Falrinn laid out at the bottom of the previous page, I think it's just more interesting to think of it in terms of a religion. The fact is, the Basilisk can not exist. It makes many weird assumptions and jumps in logic, among which is the assumption that it is possible to create an intelligence that can accurately model the entire universe (as would be required in order to accurately model human minds to reward or torture), which means it must be bigger than itself.
So for a topic regarding AI, there's stuff to be discussed regarding the Alignment Problem (IE, how do we make sure that artificial intelligence will continue to act in our own best interest), but the Basilisk itself is a dead end.
In terms of religion, however, there's some fun to be had with the idea that they've come up with what is essentially a deterministic theology built entirely on Pascal's Wager, even though I'd argue those two concepts are not compatible with each other.
We'd probably move on from the Basilisk itself real soon to discuss deterministic theologies with a bit more pedigree, but we'd have a good laugh at the techbros.
Edited by Kayeka on Apr 6th 2024 at 7:27:02 PM
makes sense.
Is the Turing Test still a thing? Or have we moved past it?
You could probably have a conversation with an LLM now without knowing for sure if it was an LLM, but an LLM don’t have anything remotely close to self-awareness; it’s just a talented mimic with advanced pattern-recognition.
Arguably, this is correct in a Not Hyperbole sort of way. RUR, the story that coined the term "Robot" and is the Trope Maker for Robot War, is clearly an allegory for a socialistic revolution. The robots even spare the last menial laborer because he, like them, works with his hands.
"Any campaign world where an orc samurai can leap off a landcruiser to fight a herd of Bulbasaurs will always have my vote of confidence">model the entire universe (as would be required in order to accurately model human minds to reward or torture)
Counterpoint: Human minds are smaller than the universe. This can be trivially shown by the fact that the universe contains multiple humans, each with one or more minds.
Unless you're a solipsist. Which, if you are, I guess I can't prove you wrong, because I don't actually exist
I was going to explain in complete detail how you're all criticizing Roko's Basilisk wrong, but then I remembered that the reason it's called a "basilisk" is that it can only do the "torture future you to blackmail present you" thing if you understand what it's doingnote so actually, letting people believe it's coocoo-batshit made up solely to believe in something dumb for no reason is the perfect defense against it. Trouble Cube continues to be a general-purpose forum for those who desire such a thing.
The question I always have is what counts as contribution. Is it people who actively worked towards it? Or would it include the people who made the roads the actual programmers drove on? Or the people who paid the taxes used to build and maintain the roads? How about everyone who taught the people who made it? Does it include the people who helped build the technology used?
If you include the people who did the work necessary to allow the actual designers to design the thing, and then the people who did the work needed for the people who did the work needed for the designers, and stuff like that, you very rapidly end up with the entire population of the Earth all the way back through all of history (because being someone’s ancestor might count as contributing) contributing to the AI and thus everyone would be fine.
That’s part of the reason it’s such a garbage thought experiment, because it revolves around ignoring how interconnected everything is and it requires everyone to just go with the idea that actively programming is the only thing that matters.
You could make a legitimate argument that everyone who went to go see Hedy Lamarr movies contributed because she used the money from her films to help her develop frequency switching, which was a necessary technology behind wifi and quite a lot of modern computing.
Magnus Hirschfield was necessary because he pioneered a lot of trans healthcare and the women who invented the ARM processor and the integrated computer chip were both trans women who likely wouldn’t have done it if they hadn’t been able to transition.
You can seriously end up listing every human who has ever lived as contributing in some way and if it is that godlike, it likely wouldn’t draw arbitrary lines like the techbros do.
Edited by Zendervai on Apr 7th 2024 at 11:35:55 AM
Not Three Laws compliant.Everything influences everything in some way. If the Basilisk wants to model a mind, it needs to model its entire history and that of everything around said mind as well. And everything around that. And everything around that. Either it simulates the entire history of the universe, or the models it creates are simply not accurate.
As mentioned elsewhere before, Roko's Basilisk is basically just Pascal's Wager for techbros.
Leave it to those guys to basically invent religion again and pretend it's something new.
Edited by DrunkenNordmann on Apr 7th 2024 at 8:21:21 PM
Welcome to Estalia, gentlemen.It's also irrational bullshit, Just like Pascal's Wager
There is a better chance of all the politicians in the world realizing the error of their ways and leaving their offices at the same time than Roko's Bullshitisk becoming real
It's the dumbest shit I've heard about AI, equaling the notion of a "sentient, omnipotent, infallible force as the ruler of the universe" in sheer idiocy
Edited by Cordite-455 on Apr 8th 2024 at 3:49:39 AM
i did a bad thing / i regret the thing i did / and you're wondering what it is / tell you what i did / i did a bad thingIt's a shitty creepypasta that otherwise-intelligent people take seriously for whatever idiot reason.
Why would this AI feel the compulsion to punish? That's a very human concept that would serve no practical purpose to it—if it has this kind of nigh-omnipotent power, would it not be better to encourage and reward people for contributing to its creation? Foster an environment that lends itself to that goal?
Edited by Chortleous on Apr 8th 2024 at 9:35:54 AM
Citation needed on that, considering it originated on LessWrong (i.e. that place full of people who have weird ideas about logic).
Edited by DrunkenNordmann on Apr 8th 2024 at 4:36:24 PM
Welcome to Estalia, gentlemen.That's a lot of computing power spent on something that doesn't do anything either way.
oh. Well now everything makes sense.
i did a bad thing / i regret the thing i did / and you're wondering what it is / tell you what i did / i did a bad thingPlus, it's torturing a simulation of you. Unless you're unbelievably insecure, how would that even affect you?
Edited by Kaiseror on Apr 8th 2024 at 4:58:07 AM
Name of it kinda just sounds like copy of Descastes' Devil, except its not called that because that one was called "Evil Demon" because apparently people who named that concept weren't egotistical enough :p
Roko's Basilisk is inspired by a lot of Less Wrongist interpretations of transhumanism.
One of the ideas that they often hold is that a sufficiently accurate copy of a mind is functionally the same being as the original. Thus, a recreation of the mind of a dead person is essentially resurrection.
Then, take into account them also tending to massively overhype the abilities of an Artificial Superintelligence to mean "Batman With Prep Time" if not "Literally Omniscient", and you've got a machine that can just sleuth around to figure out what everyone's mindscape was like and then resurrect them in a simulation.
Yeah, it's pretty silly.
"Any campaign world where an orc samurai can leap off a landcruiser to fight a herd of Bulbasaurs will always have my vote of confidence"At that point you might as well have time travel of "looking glass into the past" variety as more realistic scifi concept
Edited by wingedcatgirl on Apr 8th 2024 at 2:03:58 PM
Trouble Cube continues to be a general-purpose forum for those who desire such a thing.Is Roko’s Basilisk just a thought experiment or something Less Wrong users actually believe?
As I mentioned before, the guy running the website banned discussion of it because it was apparently causing the users emotional distress.
So yeah, they probably took that nonsense seriously.
Welcome to Estalia, gentlemen.I must have missed that earlier, thanks.
I agree, and I feel we should be having this discussion of the Basilisk specifically on the General Religion thread instead.
Edited by Kayeka on Apr 6th 2024 at 7:08:45 PM