Box Office Thread

Yeah, I hadn't looked at the Friday gross when I wrote that. Edited my post to incorporate that data.

For that kind of an opening Friday, BVS and Suicide Squad are the low end of the range ($325 to $330 mil) and Hunger Games is the high end (over $400 mil). Could be mid-high 200s if it has a similar trajectory to the Twilight films (some of which had higher opening days), but that seems less likely since the reviews are saying it's decent, just uncreative.

edited 18th Mar '17 5:33:56 PM by Galadriel

Sure, Got G is a good bet for the one billion...but it isn't out yet.

I really wouldn't underestimate the international box office for beauty and the beast. This movie is beloved outside of the US - as is the Musical. It is not one of the typical "yeah, the US audience is all over it but who else cares?" remakes. Just look at the numbers for the musical, which also was a worldwide success.

I really hope the new Power Rangers movie flops hard at the box office next weekend...

I doubt it's going to flop. It'll probably do very will in the Asian markets. Although it most likely won't take that the top spot for this weekend, what with the 170 million Beauty and the Beast made over the weekend.

edited 20th Mar '17 10:24:54 AM by 123tbones

Told you so...now it only has to show some staying power, and it will easily be in the top ten highest grossing movies of this year.

Surprisingly positive reviews so far, so it should at least get a solid #2.

Okay, I clearly underestimated how popular Beauty and the Beast is. It just had an opening weekend on a par with the most popular MCU films. It's the only film in the top fifteen opening weekends that isn't an action movie. (The others are 8 superhero movies, 2 Star Wars movies, 2 Hunger Games movies, the Harry Potter finale, and Jurassic World.) In terms of worldwide gross, it's already made back more than twice its budget.

Personally, I'd prefer if they'd just rerelease the original animated one in theatres if they're going to tell the exact same story, but my opinion does not appear to be the general one.

edited 20th Mar '17 5:07:30 PM by Galadriel

Oh, I agree...but I have given up being angry about the live action remakes. I ride this out and hope that they don't do another Maleficent.

Um, why?

Maleficent made bank. A sequel is going to happen.

Wasn't a sequel already confirmed, or am I parroting hearsay?

A sequel was said to be in the works but I don't know if there was any serious movement on the project.

I have the hope that the Alice in Wonderland sequel might stir them away from the notion. They have to know that Maleficent wasn't particular popular.

Angelina Jolie has been rather inactive lately since her operation and divorce.

Beauty and the Beast delivered an $80 million second weekend (the fourth-best of all time) & is the first film of 2017 to enter the all-time worldwide top 100.

Again...told you so. In case someone cares, the other movies which had such a high second weekend were The Force Awakens, Jurassic World and The Avengers.

In terms of 10-day gross it's performing roughly on a level with Age of Ultron, which would suggest we're looking at domestic numbers in the mid-400 mil, minimum. If it holds up better than AOU in later weeks, possibly as high as 500 mil domestic, though that would surprise me.

If it keeps doing this well, Beauty and the Beast has a strong chance to be the second-highest domestic gross of the year, behind Star Wars Episode VIII. (Star Wars, I would expect to break 700 mil domestic at least, maybe 800, and end up somewhere short of TFA. That would fit with the previous trilogies, where the first installment did the best.)

edited 26th Mar '17 3:05:22 PM by Galadriel

Don't forget Got G Vol 2....the early predictions for that movie are crazy. And if it is really as good as rumours say, it might score the multiple watches a rehash of Beauty and the Beast doesn't necessarily get.

And Spider-Man: Homecoming. The first Spider-Man film made over $400 million domestic in 2002 dollars, which is about $550 million today; throwing Iron Man into the mix could potentially result in an even higher gross.

edited 27th Mar '17 6:34:13 AM by Spinosegnosaurus77

I have trouble seeing Spider-Man Homecoming making more than a movie that featured Spider-Man plus Black Panther plus every other member of the Avengers. And Civil War topped out around 400 mil domestic.

There's only a handful of movies that have made over 500 mil domestic (unadjusted for inflation) - expecting three or more to do so in the same year seems very unlikely.

edited 27th Mar '17 1:57:29 PM by Galadriel

The thing is that ASM 2 made a decent amount of money (most of it international). The problem was that the movie had a runaway budget, with reports north of 250 million when factoring in extensive reshoots. The transfer over to the MCU was because Sony was having financial issues and the MCU is good with keeping their budgets in check. Spider-Man is a huge property, but I wouldn't expect MCU Spider-Man box office reaching anything close to Avengers or even Civil War numbers. I think it will top out at 900 million worldwide, largely because a Spider-Man movie is not a new and fresh thing anymore.

The issue is that the Spider-man franchise so far had diminishing returns, with each movie making less than the one beforehand domestically and internationally, only Spider-man 3 was buckling the trend. If you see that less and less people bother to show up to your movies, well, it is time to do something. Especially since Disney managed to outmanoeuvre Sony. After Spider-man 3, Disney offered Sony that the studio could keep all revenues if Disney gets all the merchandizing money in exchange. Back then everybody was pretty much laughing about Disney. They aren't laughing anymore.

Disney didn't own Marvel when Spider-Man 3 came out.

With "after" I didn't mean directly after, it was in the time between Spider-man 3 and The Amazing Spider-man. Let's see, Disney acquired Marvel studios in 2009....TAS was released in 2012, so it happened in-between. For the last two movies, Sony barely broke even if you count in the marketing which Disney still made money to no end off the merch, despite the lukewarm reception.

In other box office news, Logan is apparently very popular in China. It's made over $100 million there (compared to around $200 million domestically), half of that on its opening weekend.