The South Asia Politics, News, and Analysis Thread

The Taliban's supreme council unanimously decided during a meeting in Afghanistan that Mullah Akhtar Mohammad Mansour will be the Taliban's new leader, according to sources at Geo News, a CNN affiliate.

He will replace longtime leader Mullah Mohammed Omar, who the Taliban acknowledged Thursday had died. The council named Omar's replacement Wednesday, Geo News reported.

Mansour formerly headed the council, also known as the Quetta Shura, which is composed of longtime leaders who direct the Taliban's operations from Pakistan's Balochistan province, according to the Jamestown Foundation, a global research and analysis group.

Mansour is "a former aviation minister during the Taliban's stint in power" and is considered a pragmatist, the foundation wrote in a report last year.

The acknowledgment that Omar had died, made in a statement released by Taliban spokesman Zabiullah Mujahid, came a day after Afghanistan's government announced the reclusive Islamic cleric had died in 2013.

Following the announcement, Pakistan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs said the upcoming Afghan-Taliban peace talks, slated to begin Friday in Pakistan, would be held at a later date.

"In view of the reports regarding the death of (Mullah) Omar and the resulting uncertainty, and at the request of the Afghan Taliban leadership, the second round of the Afghan peace talks, which was scheduled to be held in Pakistan on 31 July 2015, is being postponed," the ministry's statement said.

The Taliban's statement on Omar's death, in the Pashto language, called him "the late leader of the faithful."

It did not confirm when or where he died, but did say that he died of an illness. It also claimed that Omar had not once left Afghanistan — even for neighboring Pakistan — since the U.S.-led invasion of 2001.

Haseeb Sediqi, spokesman for Afghanistan's intelligence service, said Wednesday that Omar had died in a hospital in Karachi, Pakistan, in April 2013.

Sediqi said that Afghanistan's intelligence service — the National Directorate of Security — was aware of Omar's death long ago and had conveyed that information to the country's parliament.

The Taliban statement added that three days of mourning would be observed for Omar.

The latest developments come weeks after the Afghan government held its first face-to-face talks with Taliban representatives in an attempt to work toward a peace process.

In a statement on Omar's death, a spokesman for Afghan President Ashraf Ghani said the government was optimistic about the talks "and thus calls on all armed opposition groups to seize the opportunity and join the peace process."

White House deputy press secretary Eric Schultz could not confirm Omar's death but said the administration believed the reports were credible. Schultz said the intelligence community was looking into the reports.

The elusive leader had not appeared in public since the Taliban regime's overthrow in Afghanistan 14 years ago and made no video or authenticated audio statements in that time.

Under Omar's leadership, the Taliban offered haven to al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden, precipitating the U.S. military action in Afghanistan after the terror attacks of September 11, 2001.

That led to a Taliban insurgency that continues to this day, even as U.S. and other NATO troops are drawing down their numbers in Afghanistan.

The U.S. combat mission in Afghanistan ended last year, leaving the Afghan military to lead the fight against the Taliban. The thousands of NATO troops that remain in Afghanistan are there in a training and support role.

CNN's Jason Hanna and Sophia Saifi contributed to this report.

In early 2011, then-CIA Director Leon Panetta confronted the president of Pakistan with a disturbing piece of intelligence. The spy agency had learned that ­Mohammad Omar, the Taliban leader who had become one of the world’s most wanted fugitives after the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, was being treated at a hospital in southern Pakistan.

The American spy chief even identified the facility — the Aga Khan University Hospital in Karachi — and said the CIA had “some raw intelligence on this” that would soon be shared with its Pakistani counterpart, according to diplomatic files that summarize the exchange.

U.S. intelligence officials now think that Omar probably died two years later, in 2013, and Afghan officials said this week that he succumbed while being treated for a serious illness in a Karachi hospital, just as those earlier intelligence reports had indicated.

The belated disclosure this week of Omar’s death has added to the legend of the ghostlike Taliban chief, a figure so elusive that it appears to have taken U.S. spy agencies two years to determine that one of their top targets after 9/11 was no longer alive.

But the emerging details of Omar’s death may also help explain the extent to which his ability to remain both influential and invisible was a reflection of the competing and often hidden agendas in the counterterrorism partnership between the United States and Pakistan.

Current and former U.S. ­officials said that despite intermittent intelligence on Omar’s whereabouts, there was never a concerted push to find him that remotely approached the scale of the manhunt for al-Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden.

At the same time, the one-eyed Taliban leader’s apparent ability to get medical treatment in the port city of Karachi has bolstered long-standing suspicions that Omar was being sheltered by Pakistan.

Milt Bearden, a former CIA operative in Pakistan and Afghanistan, said that “it is beyond puzzling” that Omar’s death could go unconfirmed for so long, especially given the intelligence and surveillance capabilities of the United States.

But “it’s another case of why intelligence collection in that part of the world is so difficult,” Bearden said. “The truth is layered, and there are multiple agendas, none of which we ever really understand.”

U.S. intelligence agencies have not yet corroborated claims by Afghan authorities that Omar died in a Karachi hospital, but they noted that Pakistan’s ­Inter-Services Intelligence agency had ties to the Taliban dating back to the 1980s, when the ISI served as a conduit for U.S. arms and money to Islamist militants fighting the Soviets in Afghanistan.

A Pakistani official described claims that Omar died in Pakistan or that the government was even aware of his presence in the country as “unfounded speculation.”

“There is no certainty about the date or place of his death,” said Nadeem Hotiana, a spokesman for the Pakistan Embassy in Washington. Hotiana noted that a statement released by the Taliban on Thursday confirming Omar’s death “categorically mentions that Mullah Omar never left Afghanistan.”

U.S. officials attributed the belated determination that Omar had died to a range of factors, including the extremely reclusive nature of a figure for whom there is only one widely circulated photograph. The officials also noted the frequency with which rumors of his demise had been previously proved wrong.

Omar was said to be afflicted with illnesses ranging from kidney failure to meningitis. U.S. officials said intelligence analysts began to suspect Omar had died a year or more ago but reached that conclusion only more recently, based on new information as well as a gradual accumulation of evidence.

The CIA declined to comment on Omar’s death or the exchange between Panetta and then- Pakistani President Asif Ali Zardari described in diplomatic documents obtained by The Washington Post.

Their meeting in January 2011 came when Zardari was in the United States to attend a memorial service for U.S. diplomat Richard Holbrooke.

Former U.S. and Pakistani officials said Panetta’s disclosure was designed in part to prod Pakistan to detain Omar but also to serve notice that the CIA was aware of the Taliban leader’s presumably sanctioned presence in Pakistan.

Other U.S. officials also made clear in other meetings their belief that Pakistan was protecting Omar and other elements of the Taliban. In Islamabad in 2011, Vice President Biden warned then-Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani that relations with Afghanistan wouldn’t improve until Pakistan answered difficult questions including “what do we say about Mullah Omar,” according to a separate diplomatic document.

In 2010, during a briefing with Pakistani officials on a White House strategy review for the region, Lt. Gen. Douglas Lute said that “while Pakistan has done a lot to deny safe havens to terrorists . . . senior leadership of the Quetta Shura including Mullah Omar resides between Karachi and Quetta,” according to a third diplomatic document. Current and former U.S. officials said they knew of no effort by the CIA to mount an operation to apprehend Omar even after learning he may have been in declining health in a Karachi hospital.

The agency also had other pressing priorities at the time. Among them was seeking to confirm the location of bin Laden at a compound in Abbottabad, Pakistan, that was the site of a raid by U.S. Navy SEA Ls four months later.

The pace of the CIA’s drone campaign in Pakistan was a growing source of friction with Pakistan. And just two weeks after the Panetta-Zardari meeting, CIA contractor Raymond Davis was taken into custody after killing two Pakistani men in a shootout on a bustling street in Lahore.

Even before those events, officials said, the CIA’s hunt for Taliban figures never matched the intensity of its pursuit of ­al-Qaeda.

“We were overwhelmingly focused on al-Qaeda, and there were many fewer instances where we had what we thought was halfway-reliable information on the whereabouts of senior members of the Taliban,” said Robert Grenier, the former CIA station chief in Pakistan and former head of its Counterterrorism Center.

There was also a clear limit to the cooperation from the ISI.

“Pretty quickly you could see a pattern,” Grenier said. “Where the ISI was very effective working with us in tracking down ­al-Qaeda, anytime we had a lead on a senior member of the Taliban, the Pakistanis weren’t successful in following up.”

Pakistan also repeatedly rebuffed requests by the CIA to send drones over Quetta, the city where Taliban leaders were based after fleeing Afghanistan in 2001. When a senior Taliban figure was detained in 2010, it was only by accident. U.S. officials said Pakistan didn’t know Abdul Ghani Baradar was present at a Karachi compound when he was arrested, and he was released in 2013.

A former Pakistani official said parts of the government may have sought to keep Omar’s death secret out of fear that Taliban factions would splinter without him and damage Islamabad’s ability to influence peace talks with Afghanistan.

The former official said there was even internal deception. The former official said the ISI told Pakistani leaders in March this year “that Mullah Omar is seriously ill and his condition is deteriorating.”

Missy Ryan contributed to this report.

HARDA (Madhya Pradesh): At least 29 passengers, including five children, were killed and several others injured when two trains derailed simultaneously at the same spot while crossing a culvert on the swollen Machak river in Harda district, 160 km from Bhopal, 30 minutes before midnight on Tuesday. Ten bogies - seven of the Varanasi-bound Kamayani Express and three of Mumbai-bound Janata Express - fell into the rising waters.

Most of the casualties were reported from the Mumbai-Varanasi Kamayani Express, which had almost 200 people travelling to UP. Some people died of electrocution after the overhead traction wire snapped and fell on the tracks. Several passengers were trapped in two bogies of Patna-Mumbai Janata Express perilously hanging from the culvert. Rescue operations could begin four hours after the tragedy and the injured lay writhing in pain without any medical help.

Passengers said they woke up to a big jolt, which was followed by muddy water entering the compartments.

Barely 20 minutes before the tragedy,11065 Pawan Express and a goods train crossed the culvert without any trouble.

Railway officials told TOI the tragedy was fallout of flash floods triggered by a breach in a bund (embankment) at the nearby Mandla village under Khirkiya tehsil. On Tuesday, Khirkiya Tehsil received 29cm of rain.

But Harda administration denied that embankments on Machak river had collapsed. "There was no dam burst. The district received heavy rainfall and the soil beneath tracks eroded which led to the accident," district collector Rajnish Shrivastav told TOI.

In the Rajya Sabha, Railway Minister Suresh Prabhu confirmed that flash floods caused the swollen Machak river to overflow and wash out a section of the rail tracks, leading to the derailment of the two trains. "The prima facie cause of the incident is stated to be 'flash flood due to heavy rains'," Prabhu told the Rajya Sabha.

Madhya Pradesh chief minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan said that the accident site was totally cut off from the main road as it was raining heavily in and around Harda. "We rushed teams from Khandwa, Hoshangabad and Harda districts," he said. Chouhan, who visited the accident site, announced ex-gratia of Rs 2 lakh each to the family of the deceased.

Harda SP Prem Babu Sharma said 25 bodies were retrieved from the accident site. Eleven bodies were identified in Harda while the remaining brought to Bhopal for identification by their kin. State Disaster Management Force and National Disaster Management Force were roped in for rescue operations.

Accident Relief Medical Van (ARMV) from Itarsi railway station reached the Bhirangi station at 2.20am and ARMV from Bhusawal railway station reached the nearest Khirkiya railway station at 3.25 am.

Twenty-six trains were cancelled and 82 were diverted on different routes.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi expressed distress and pain over the loss of lives in the twin derailment and said authorities are doing everything possible on the ground.

The railways have set up the following helpline numbers to deal with inquiries regarding the tragedy: Harda: 09752460088, Bhopal: 07554061609, Bina: 075802222, Itarsi: 0758422419200.