Almost done. Like last time, I'll be making a few educated guesses for when certain routes have certain endings. Did I mention last time that I think Kaede is the default ending, with all the others requiring a certain amount of points? Because I do. That said though, I also think Kaede has points as well, due to seeing her CGs not being automatic so long as they don't clash with others'.
Moving on though. I'll start by checking the routes most likely to hit Nerine & Lisianthus in 100XXXXX0, and if they're both Kaede (As I'm expecting, based off 001XXXXX0) I'll move straight on to 101XXXXXX.
100100000 - Kaede (While hoping for Nerine)
100111000 - Kaede (Admittedly, it's not much different from the above; it's as if I was aiming for "Not Kaede, Nerine or Primula", without specifically aiming for Asa.)
But yeah. I shall now count all of 100XXXXXX as being the same as 001XXXXXX.
101000000 - Nerine
101000001 - Nerine (If I recall, XXX1XXXXX and XXXX00XXX both lock out Primula's ending, so from here on I'll take that assumption.)
101000010 - Nerine
101000011 - Nerine*
101000100 - Nerine
101000101 - Nerine*
101000110 - Nerine
101000111 - Nerine*
101001000 - Kaede
101001001 - Primula (From here on, the only expected Primula endings I'll be checking are those which directly follow a non-Kaede ending. Until I get used to Nerine, of course.)
101001010 - Kaede
101001011 - Primula*
101001100 - Kaede* (Really, the change in choice here only makes Kaede more likely.)
101001101 - Primula*
101001110 - Kaede*
101001111 - Primula*
101010000 - Kaede
101010001 - Primula*
101010010 - Kaede
101010011 - Primula*
101010100 - Kaede* (I think I've got this figured out, but there're just a couple more this I'll need to do to confirm.)
101010101 - Primula*
101010110 - Kaede*
101010111 - Primula*
101011000 - Kaede (Alrighty then. I'm now pretty much certain that I know how this works. Time to add it all together.)
Lisianthus - 26 (5%)
Nerine - 16 (3%)
Kaede - 362 (71%)
Asa - 16 (3%)
Primula - 92 (18%)
While it may seem odd that these numbers say that Lisianthus is around 1⅓ more likely than Nerine, one must take into account that Lisianthus' key questions have 2, 4 & 2 choices respectively, while Nerine has 2, 4 & (effectively) 4 respectively, making her less likely. I'll go into more detail about this soon. That Nerine is just as likely as Asa (assuming random choices made) actually surprised me though. (And whether or not Primula's route has been unlocked is actually irrelevant, so Nerine has the same likelihood even for a new reader)
One of the benefits to have done this all in binary is that it makes it really easy to see patterns. I'll demonstrate with Asa's results:
011010000
011010001
011010010
011010011
011110000
011110001
011110010
011110011
111010000
111010001
111010010
111010011
111110000
111110001
111110010
111110011
Do you see the pattern? They're all X11X100XX, or "Somebody else", "Maybe I should mention Asa?", and "Go home with a friend", with none of the other choices mattering at all.
Considering that Nerine & Lisianthus are also short, I'll test theirs too. Nerine first.
101000000
101000001
101000010
101000011
101000100
101000101
101000110
101000111
101100000
101100001
101100010
101100011
101100100
101100101
101100110
101100111
Similar to Asa, this is simply 101X00XXX, or "Ask about Nerine", "Nerine", and "I guess I'm free".
Lisianthus is slightly more complicated though:
000000000
000000001
000000100
000000101
000001000
000001100
000010000
000010100
000011000
000011100
000100000
000100001
000100100
000100101
000101000
000101001
000101100
000101101
000110000
000110001
000110100
000110101
000111000
000111001
000111100
000111101
This can be split up into a number of parts: 000000X0X, 0000??X00, and 0001XXX0X. Which is to say, 000XXXX0X when it is not also XXX0??XX1. The ?? refers to all three of the choices when Kaede is teaching Primula how to cook (It's not "all four of the choices" because 00 in that spot is covered by helping Nerine with the garbage). 000XXXX0X consists of the choices "Ask about Sia", "Lisianthus", and "Look around a little longer".
As for Primula though, I'll just put it simply and say that it's the afore-mentioned XXX0??XX1. I could list them all as I just did for Asa, Nerine & Lisianthus, but the conclusion isn't interesting enough to be worth the clutter. XXX0??XX1 consists of the choices "Take her in", "Actually I've got something to do", and "Take this opportunity to do something with Primula".
Finally, Kaede is the ending hit whenever you don't hit one of the others'. I think it's best summarized as X????????, where every single one of those question marks is very conditional regarding which other choices had been picked.
Aaaand... that's all I can think of that I wanted to do. Sorry if it got a bit boring toward the end there, but if anybody has any suggestions as to anything else they wanted to know about Shuffle, I'm sure I could help. As for my plans now though, that's to get the VN Kanon patched, which has nothing to do with Shuffle. :P
おわり
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