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FuzzyWulfe
Since: Nov, 2010

Is there something like a sorting algorithm of events probability? I mean, if a villain has a plan bomb some place, in a regular episode, it could happen. If a villain has a plan to destroy a city, in any episode that is not the finale, and even then, there is zero probability. If a villain tries to kill a main cast member in an early episode behind episode one, it has zero probability. In a finale or near-finale episode it has quite good probability, but it also depends on the cast's size. Another issue here is suspense - writers try to create suspense by raising the stakes, but by doing that they may kill it all by making the villain trying to pull a plan he has no chance of succeeding in.