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Galadriel Since: Feb, 2015
#326: May 29th 2016 at 7:16:00 PM

Civil War is looking like it will do similarly to Iron Man 3 (probably end up with about $400 mil domestic + $800 mll international for around $1.2 billion total). I'll be surprised if it ends up being the highest-grossing movie of the year.

Zootopia's done great; it now has the fourth-highet global box office for an animated film (after Frozen, Minions (*sigh*) and Toy Story 3). That's exceptionally good for a non-sequel.

dRoy Professional Writer & Amateur Scholar from Most likely from my study Since: May, 2010 Relationship Status: I'm just high on the world
Professional Writer & Amateur Scholar
#327: May 29th 2016 at 7:18:16 PM

I thought Minions was pretty decent. Not as good as other Top 4 animated movies, of course, but come on. :(

Continuously reading, studying, and (hopefully) growing.
TheSpaceJawa Since: Jun, 2013
#328: May 29th 2016 at 8:01:44 PM

I thought Minions was kind of 'meh', personally.

And it's worth noting that even if Apocalypse did weaker than the previous installments, the already mentioned success of Deadpool plus the fact that they managed to make First Class and Future Past work after doing poorly with X3 means that they're hardly in the same situation that Sony was with Spider-Man.

Swanpride Since: Jun, 2013
#329: May 29th 2016 at 8:36:37 PM

Fox has a lot of options...technically Deadpool is an X-men, so they could built a whole X-men franchise around him if they want. The Fantastic Four rights are another matter, though. No chance that they salvage that.

We will see if Civil War will be the highest grossing movie of the year (most likely not) but I would be very surprised if it doesn't end up in the top 3. It might have done slightly better though with a less packed release date and not quite as many other Comic book movies surrounding it. But then, Marvel has more or less claimed the May for them.

Spinosegnosaurus77 Ramen Fairy from Ontario, Canada Since: May, 2011 Relationship Status: All I Want for Christmas is a Girlfriend
Ramen Fairy
#330: May 30th 2016 at 3:47:03 AM

If Civil War won't be the top movie of the year, what will? Finding Dory? Rogue One?

Peace is the only battle worth waging.
Swanpride Since: Jun, 2013
#331: May 30th 2016 at 7:37:33 AM

[up] Both a possibility, but I wouldn't count out properties like Independence Day either, or Harry Potter.

Someone whose blog I read predicted that Disney might end up releasing 7 of the 10 top grossing movies of the year. I am a little bit more careful and predict 5 or 6.

edited 30th May '16 7:39:12 AM by Swanpride

TamH70 Since: Nov, 2011 Relationship Status: Faithful to 2D
#332: May 30th 2016 at 11:53:46 AM

Whatever film comes out top in the box office, it'll be a Disney-owned if not branded one. ID 4-2 might be competition but no-one clamored for a sequel to the original film as much as they did for Star Wars, so Rogue One at least will rofl-stomp it in terms of box office numbers. Besides, Will Smith isn't in it, and he ended up being one of the main reasons why the original was such a huge success.

dRoy Professional Writer & Amateur Scholar from Most likely from my study Since: May, 2010 Relationship Status: I'm just high on the world
Professional Writer & Amateur Scholar
#333: May 30th 2016 at 12:00:28 PM

Freaking Buena Vista, man. XP

Continuously reading, studying, and (hopefully) growing.
TheSpaceJawa Since: Jun, 2013
#334: May 30th 2016 at 1:31:21 PM

I'm not sure that Rogue One is all that sure a thing for making a run at the top spot for the year. I will agree that it's pretty much a sure thing to be a big success.

However, it's worth considering that unlike Force Awakens, it's only been a year since the last Star Wars movie compared to the decade between III and VII, and there's another Star Wars movie coming out next year if I'm not mistaken. On top of that, while VII may have done huge numbers, the reception to it has become more and more mixed as people have had time for the hype to die down, and additionally it's a side story rather than a 'main' movie which is already getting a mixed reception between what could arguably be a case of "Death Star Fatigue" combined with this 'rewriting' a story fans familiar with the Lucasverse may not want retold - or at least, feel like they're missing a perfectly good chance to bring one of the fan favorite original EU characters back into the Disneyverse with Kyle Katarn.

I'm certainly not expecting Rogue One to come anywhere close to failing, but I also don't think it's necessarily as strong a competitor for biggest movie of the year as it first appears.

Galadriel Since: Feb, 2015
#335: May 30th 2016 at 2:13:40 PM

Rogue One doesn't need anything close to Force Awakens numbers in order to be the top movie of the year. If it makes a little over $400 mil domestic, and twice that overseas, that will be enough. And that seems like a pretty easy target, provided that it's a decent movie - Revenge of the Sith made nearly that much domestically, and that was a decade ago, and it wasn't a very good movie.

edited 30th May '16 2:15:28 PM by Galadriel

Swanpride Since: Jun, 2013
#336: May 30th 2016 at 2:54:35 PM

Star Wars doesn't make double overseas, though. It struggles in a lot of international markets which simply doesn't have the history with Star Wars. I can see it doing the best domestically, but internationally, my money is more on properties which have worldwide a strong fanbase.

Spinosegnosaurus77 Ramen Fairy from Ontario, Canada Since: May, 2011 Relationship Status: All I Want for Christmas is a Girlfriend
Ramen Fairy
#337: May 30th 2016 at 3:08:24 PM

About three-fifths of Finding Nemo's gross was overseas…

Peace is the only battle worth waging.
Swanpride Since: Jun, 2013
#338: Jun 2nd 2016 at 11:44:05 AM

BTW, Jungle Book has overtaken Bv S....I might have forgotten a movie, but I think that Disney now has released the three top grossing movies of the year, so far. I guess they can survive through the looking glass doing predictably badly.

TheSpaceJawa Since: Jun, 2013
#339: Jun 2nd 2016 at 11:53:56 AM

[up] I know it's a side note, but I feel like it says as much about Batman vs Superman as it does Jungle Book that the former has been successfully beaten out by the latter.

Karxrida from Eureka, the Forbidden Land Since: May, 2012 Relationship Status: I LOVE THIS DOCTOR!
#340: Jun 2nd 2016 at 12:47:21 PM

Didn't BvS still do decently?

Spinosegnosaurus77 Ramen Fairy from Ontario, Canada Since: May, 2011 Relationship Status: All I Want for Christmas is a Girlfriend
Ramen Fairy
#341: Jun 2nd 2016 at 12:51:52 PM

[up] But it was expected to easily pass $1 billion.

Peace is the only battle worth waging.
TheSpaceJawa Since: Jun, 2013
#342: Jun 2nd 2016 at 2:32:34 PM

[up][up] It did decently where by all rights and expectations it should have done phenomenally.

Batman vs Superman, in an era where Superhero comic book movies are one of the big deals, with two of the biggest names in comics, should really have been a surefire thing that would lay a strong foundation for the rest of their DCCU franchise.

Instead, DC mucked it up and wound up with a controversial movie that probably got most its profits based on hype that is not going to be nearly as strong next time around, especially since it won't have "We finally have a Batman vs Superman movie!". Also note the reports of just how big a drop in sales it got in just the first weekend - a sign that people were by and large not happy with what they were given. Those are people who are going to need a lot more convincing to go see whatever followup movie DC tries putting together.

Given the high expectations and strengths that Bv S should have had going for it, 'decent' is still very much capable of co-existing alongside 'disappointing'.

edited 2nd Jun '16 2:33:36 PM by TheSpaceJawa

TamH70 Since: Nov, 2011 Relationship Status: Faithful to 2D
#343: Jun 2nd 2016 at 3:15:26 PM

Batman Vs Superman had the biggest second-week plummet in box office takings in comic-book movie history. 81 percent Friday to Friday. That should have been a clue that the overall final total was going to be utterly disappointing to WB and D.C. bosses. Since Affleck's came out well - directing his own instalment of the Batman series and exec-producer of the entire cinematic universe, he seems to have been the only one to escape with any credit from what's been a relative trainwreck.

Especially compared to Deadpool, which made around a hundred million dollars less world wide but was made and marketed for a much more sane amount of money - I'd say overall not more than seventy million combined for both production and that excellent marketing campaign - and thus made Fox a much healthier profit.

On the Rogue One thing, well, I'm not sure it will be year-end number one at the box office. Not with Civil War and Finding Dory bracketing it, but it should take more money than ID 4-2 for the nostalgia factor alone (not having Will Smith in it is crippling for the latter film's initial takings - he may end up regretting doing Suicide Squad instead.)

NapoleonDeCheese Since: Oct, 2010
#344: Jun 2nd 2016 at 6:00:47 PM

Since Affleck's came out well - directing his own instalment of the Batman series and exec-producer of the entire cinematic universe, he seems to have been the only one to escape with any credit from what's been a relative trainwreck.

Eh, Gal Gadot got overall good feedback and is also doing her own Wonder Woman movie, so you can count her there as well.

RavenWilder Since: Apr, 2009
#345: Jun 2nd 2016 at 8:59:35 PM

[up][up] And Deadpool might very well have tied or even surpassed Batman v Superman, if it wasn't for China refusing to let R-rated movies into theatres.

flameboy21th The would-be novelist from California Since: Jan, 2013 Relationship Status: I <3 love!
The would-be novelist
#346: Jun 2nd 2016 at 9:15:50 PM

Speaking of R rate. Batman v Superman has a sizable kid audience. Not as much as Civil War, but probably contributes a few million. Deadpool has no young audience except for the few who didn't read the rating.

edited 2nd Jun '16 9:16:15 PM by flameboy21th

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RavenWilder Since: Apr, 2009
#347: Jun 2nd 2016 at 9:34:34 PM

Or those whose parents just don't mind if they see an R-rated movie.

TamH70 Since: Nov, 2011 Relationship Status: Faithful to 2D
#348: Jun 2nd 2016 at 10:17:15 PM

Deadpool is the kind of movie ten year old me would have loved to have seen at the cinema and wouldn't have been able to thanks to the kind of twats that ran film censorship over here at the time. I remember seeing Life of Brian when I was younger than that, and that film's way more controversial.

BigMadDraco Since: Mar, 2010 Relationship Status: [TOP SECRET]
#349: Jun 2nd 2016 at 10:52:11 PM

I'm really hoping that everyone takes the leason that their is a market for lower budget films starring more niche superheroes. I for one hope that Disney responds with a dubiously canonical Squirrel Girl movie.

TamH70 Since: Nov, 2011 Relationship Status: Faithful to 2D
#350: Jun 2nd 2016 at 10:58:26 PM

Everything that Squirrel Girl has done to top-line Marvel characters, like Wolverine and Doctor Doom, is canonical. Even our own page says so. tongue


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