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Okay, every topic that has even remotely to do with the middle east keeps getting more general news put into it which removes focus from the original topic.

As such, I'm creating this thread as a general middle east and north africa topic. That means anything to do with the Arab Spring or Israel and Palestine should be kept to those threads and anything to do with more generic news (for example, new Saudi regulations on the number of foreign workers or the Lebanese elections next year, etc.) should be posted here.

I hope the mods will find this a clear enough statement of intent to open the thread.

eagleoftheninth In the name of being honest from the Street without Joy Since: May, 2013 Relationship Status: With my statistically significant other
In the name of being honest
#2101: Apr 22nd 2022 at 1:16:33 AM

Turkey has been launching frequent incursions against PKK bases in Iraqi Kurdistan since Saddam granted it autonomy in 1992. They're allied with the region's ruling KDP (who hates the PKK/YPG's guts and fought with the Turks against them on occasions), and the rest of NATO is very unlikely to take issues with it unless they somehow endanger the small US garrison in Erbil.


On a slightly more positive note: here's a fascinating NYT story on a pair of explorers, one an Iraqi Kurd and the other Irish, and their journey to build the first long-distance hiking trail across the Zagros Mountains in Iraqi Kurdistan.

Edited by eagleoftheninth on Apr 22nd 2022 at 1:17:36 AM

Echoing hymn of my fellow passerine | Art blog (under construction)
FFShinra Beware the Crazy Man. from Ivalice, apparently Since: Jan, 2001 Relationship Status: Too sexy for my shirt
Beware the Crazy Man.
#2102: Apr 22nd 2022 at 9:11:43 AM

Yeah, we know about the KDP/Turkey relationship, but Erdogan's bad rep tended to draw him more attention (relative to other periods when they did the same thing) that will now subside.

Final Fantasy, Foreign Policy, and Bollywood. Helluva combo, that...
Zarastro Since: Sep, 2010
#2103: Apr 22nd 2022 at 10:40:18 AM

Keep in mind that there was a genuine fear among NATO that if pushed Erdogan might take Turkey out of NATO and into a military alliance with Russia.

As regrettable as it might by for the Kurds, this restrain and tolerance with Erdogan might very well have improved Ukraine's odds significantly.

FFShinra Beware the Crazy Man. from Ivalice, apparently Since: Jan, 2001 Relationship Status: Too sexy for my shirt
Beware the Crazy Man.
#2104: Apr 22nd 2022 at 9:49:04 PM

The Kurds will remember that, yet again, they were betrayed. By the same people. Multiple times these last hundred years.

It'd be nice if their interests weren't always the ones sacrificed. They might, y'know, start seeing Europe as the enemy.

Might wanna think about that one before you make such a blasé comment about Turkey and the Kurds.

Final Fantasy, Foreign Policy, and Bollywood. Helluva combo, that...
Silasw A procrastination in of itself from a handcart heading to Hell Since: Mar, 2011 Relationship Status: And they all lived happily ever after <3
A procrastination in of itself
#2105: Apr 23rd 2022 at 1:36:59 AM

I think the Kurds have hit the point where they know that no ally is for anything but a brief period and that they can’t depend on anyone.

They worked with NATO against Saddam and ISIS, they worked with other rebel groups against Assad, and they worked with Assad and Russia against Turkey.

I doubt they’ll view Europe specifically as an enemy, because if they viewed everyone who betrayed them as a specific enemy they’d just being taking that view to them whole world.

The government of Israel might be the closest thing they have to an actual friend. Which is hella depressing.

"And the Bunny nails it!" ~ Gabrael "If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we." ~ Cyran
SeptimusHeap from Switzerland (Edited uphill both ways) Relationship Status: Mu
#2106: Apr 23rd 2022 at 5:47:27 AM

Although if this is to be believed, the Turkish operation isn't necessarily occurring to Iraqi Kurds' displeasure - please, Pele and Hathor, I know I've already asked for Russia to be kicked out of Donbass and non-Crimea Ukrainian territory, but make this be true too.

"For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled." - Richard Feynman
eagleoftheninth In the name of being honest from the Street without Joy Since: May, 2013 Relationship Status: With my statistically significant other
In the name of being honest
#2107: Apr 23rd 2022 at 6:51:07 AM

Worth remembering that the KDP doesn't necessarily represent all Iraqi Kurds, either. They have more than their share of domestic issues, and their main domestic rival, the left-leaning PUK, had historically warm ties to the PKK.

The PKK is in an odd position because the US and several other NATO allies officially recognise it as a terrorist organisation... while also being closely allied to its sister party, the YPG, in anti-ISIS operations in Syria, mostly because the Obama admin was squeamish about the prospect of anti-ISIS military aid being repurposed against the Assad regime, and the YPG was the only local partner group willing to abide by that restriction. The US never really managed to resolve the tension between Turkey and the YPG/PKK before the Trump admin abruptly decided to pull US forces out of parts of YPG-held northern Syria in 2019.

The PKK leadership itself has mostly sworn off attacks on metropolitan Turkey; most of the bomb attacks on Turkish civilians in the past decade were claimed by the Kurdish Freedom Hawks, a splinter group disavowed by said leadership (who have also accused them of being Turkish government plant).

Either way, the main PKK faction is still engaged in open war with Turkish forces in Diyarbakır Province and thereabouts. The adjacent parts of Syrian and Iraqi Kurdistan serve as their logistical hinterlands, and Turkish incursions into those regions will probably continue until the conflict gets resolved one way or another.

Echoing hymn of my fellow passerine | Art blog (under construction)
Zarastro Since: Sep, 2010
#2108: Apr 23rd 2022 at 11:20:40 AM

It is hardly a betrayal if you never promised them help against certain enemies in the first place. It was always clear that the West would not actively side with the Kurds over Turkey.

Smeagol17 Since: Apr, 2012
#2109: Apr 23rd 2022 at 12:02:07 PM

[up]US did promise them a buffer zone.

eagleoftheninth In the name of being honest from the Street without Joy Since: May, 2013 Relationship Status: With my statistically significant other
In the name of being honest
#2110: Apr 24th 2022 at 7:47:37 PM

New York Times: Arab Militia Kills Scores in Sweeping Attack in Sudan’s Darfur.

    Article 
KHARTOUM, Sudan — Hundreds of Arab militia fighters, many riding motorbikes or driving vehicles mounted with guns, attacked a village in Sudan’s western Darfur region on Sunday, torching homes and shops and killing at least 150 people, aid groups and United Nations officials said.

The violence, which later spread to a nearby town, was the latest in a series of clashes involving Arab and ethnic African groups in Darfur in recent months, and one of the country’s deadliest episodes in years. The attack highlighted the growing security vacuum that experts say has worsened in tandem with a political crisis in Sudan, where the military seized power in October.

The General Coordination for Refugees and Displaced in Darfur, an aid agency, said 168 people had been killed and another 98 injured in the violence around Kereneik in West Darfur.

A United Nations official in Sudan confirmed that account, saying the U.N. had received reports of 150 and 200 deaths. The attack started at dawn, when hundreds of armed men encircled Kereneik before opening fire, later going house to house and killing civilians, said the official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the lack of permission to speak publicly.

In a statement late Sunday, Volker Perthes, the U.N. envoy to Sudan, deplored “the heinous killings of civilians” in Kereneik and called for an immediate end to the violence and a transparent investigation into its causes.

Adam Regal, a spokesman for the aid group, laid blame for the violence on the Janjaweed, the Arab militia responsible for the worst atrocities in Darfur since conflict erupted there about 20 years ago. Mr. Regal circulated photos that showed swathes of charred buildings, some still on fire, and apparent Janjaweed fighters.

Sudan’s military ruler, Lt. Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, dispatched soldiers to Darfur by air to contain the violence. But witnesses said the attack had taken place with little apparent resistance from the security forces already deployed to the area, including troops from Sudan’s military and members of the Rapid Support Forces paramilitary group.

By evening, the violence has spread to the town of El Geneina. Shooting erupted outside the main hospital where Arab fighters brought wounded men to be treated, causing the streets to empty as residents feared they would also come under attack, witnesses said.

“The situation in the town is upside down,” said Ibrahim Musa, a resident of El Geneina, speaking by phone. Doctors, government officials and militia commanders had been killed during clashes in the area during the day, he said.

By midnight, the streets had emptied as residents stayed home, worried about what would come next. “All the people are waiting,” he said. “There is some patrolling of security forces in the streets. We don’t know what will happen in the morning.”

At one level, the bloodshed was another tragic episode in the long-running cycle of violence between ethnic Arab pastoralists and non-Arab farming communities in Darfur.

The worst violence occurred in the 2000s, when Janjaweed fighters backed by the Sudanese military carried out a ruthless campaign that led to charges of war crimes and genocide. Earlier this month, Ali Kushayb, a Janjaweed commander, went on trial at the International Criminal Court in The Hague, where he faces 31 counts of war crimes and crimes against humanity. He denies the charges.

Hopes that the cycle of violence in Darfur would be broken after the ouster of Sudan’s longtime dictator, Omar Hassan al-Bashir, in 2019, have come to nothing. Planned reform of Sudan’s security forces has yet to start. And things have only worsened since the October coup, led by General al-Burhan, that has plunged the distant capital, Khartoum, into political chaos.

Since General al-Burhan ousted Sudan’s civilian prime minister, his efforts to forge a new government have been frustrated by an array of centrifugal forces, most notably the street protesters who clash regularly with the riot police, demanding a return to civilian-led rule.

And tension is quietly building with his deputy, Lt. Gen. Mohamed Hamdan, a former Janjaweed commander from Darfur who now commands the powerful R.S.F. paramilitary force, according to western diplomats.

A proposed new security force for Darfur, combining local armed groups with official Sudanese forces, envisaged under a 2020 peace agreement, has yet to come into being. As a result, even small incidents can flare into violence.

The current clashes started on Friday, a day after the bodies of two Arab nomads suspected of cattle rustling were found near Kereneik, the U.N. official said. Arab fighters seeking revenge attacked the village, prompted clashes with local armed groups that spiraled until the attack on Sunday.

Echoing hymn of my fellow passerine | Art blog (under construction)
Ominae Organized Canine Bureau Special Agent Since: Jul, 2010
Organized Canine Bureau Special Agent
#2111: Apr 27th 2022 at 9:40:40 PM

Arab News shows how Iran is divided from the Russian invasion of Ukraine:

TEHRAN: During its 1979 Islamic Revolution, Iran embraced the protest cry of “neither East nor West,” rejecting both the US and the Soviet Union, then locked in the Cold War. The phrase to this day hangs over the doors of Iran’s Foreign Ministry.

Russia’s war on Ukraine, however, has exposed just how much Tehran has tilted toward Moscow in recent years as the collapse of its nuclear deal with world powers stoked decades-old, hard-line anger at America.

Members of Iran’s paramilitary Revolutionary Guard train on Russian surface-to-air missile systems and aircraft. Hard-line President Ebrahim Raisi visited Russian President Vladimir Putin on one of his first trips abroad.

The war also exposes deeper fault lines even within Iran’s domestic politics. Among ordinary Iranians, there is a great deal of sympathy for Ukraine, a nation that staged a pro-democracy “Orange Revolution” similar to the “Green Revolution” that shook Iran more than a decade ago but was forcefully put down.

Iran’s historic enmity with Russia has combined with a wider feeling among some that backing Moscow betrays the Islamic Republic’s often-stated message that it stands against the world’s major powers.

“We have to help oppressed people of Ukraine as we do support people of Palestine and Yemen simply because they are targeted by powers,” said Zohreh Ahmadi, a mother of two in downtown Tehran’s Sarcheshmeh neighborhood. “A bullying power is killing children and women in Ukraine.”

Iran’s state-controlled television network, whose English-language service Press TV describes itself as “the voice of the voiceless,” hews close to Russian talking points. It used Moscow’s euphemistic term “special operation” to describe the war’s early days. Stories referencing the killings of civilians in Bucha by Russian forces include headlines falsely describing it as a “fake attack” or “provocation” on Press TV’s website.

Part of the Iranian government’s anger at Ukraine likely stems from the aftermath of the Guard’s 2020 shooting down of a Ukrainian airliner, which killed 176 people on board.

Tehran denied for days it shot down the plane before saying troops made a mistake after Iran fired ballistic missiles at US forces in Iraq in response to the killing of a top general.

Ukraine’s criticism of Iran grew more direct as time went on. That’s something Tehran’s Friday prayer leader, Kazem Sedighi, mentioned in a March sermon after Russia began its war on Ukraine.

“In the case of the airplane, Ukraine misbehaved against us and misused it in support of the US,” Sedighi said.

He also engaged in the “whataboutism” common in both Iranian and Russian state media — bringing up a separate topic to charge hypocrisy while deflecting the issue at hand. “Wars claim the lives of innocent people in Yemen and Syria but there is huge propaganda over Ukraine and this is racism,” Sedighi said.

Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who has the final say on all matters of state, said his nation opposed “war and destruction” while blaming America for the conflict. He also brought up a longtime suspicion that he shares with Putin — that the US, rather than ordinary citizens, fuels what he described as the “color coups” that back democracy.

For Khamenei, it is the memory of the Green Movement protests that followed Iran’s disputed 2009 presidential election that directly challenged the theocracy he leads. Iran’s security services used violence and mass arrests to put down the demonstrations. But unrest has re-emerged in recent years over economic issues.

For Putin, it is Ukraine’s 2004 Orange Revolution and its later Maidan protest movement that dislodged the Kremlin-leaning politician Viktor Yanukovych.

On the streets of Tehran recently, 17 people were willing to speak to an Associated Press journalist about the war, with others declining. Of them, 12 supported Ukraine, three reiterated Iran’s official stance and two supported Russia.

“I support Ukraine,” said Sajjad, a 26-year-old computer programmer. Like others, he spoke on condition he is identified only by his first name for fear of reprisals. “Russians are killing innocent people for nothing. Why should we remain silent?”

A retired Iranian captain, Mehrdad, called Russia’s reasons for the war “ridiculous” and similar to those used by Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein to launch a bloody eight-year war on Iran in the 1980s. Saddam at the time pointed to supporting Iran’s Arab minority in its oil-rich southwest as a justification for his invasion.

“It is stealing Saddam’s reasons for attacking Iran — possible threats by revolutionary Iran and supporting an ethnic group,” said Mehrdad, 75. “By this excuse, every country can attack others — even Russia.”

Ali Nemati, a 64-year-old retired teacher, praised Putin as “very brave” for challenging NATO, also a new preoccupation of Iran’s hard-line government under Raisi. However, Iran has been living quietly next to Turkey, which joined NATO in 1952.

“Iran should support Russia since it is alone in its fight against imperialism,” Nemati said.

"Exit muna si Polgas. Ang kailangan dito ay si Dobermaxx!"
eagleoftheninth In the name of being honest from the Street without Joy Since: May, 2013 Relationship Status: With my statistically significant other
In the name of being honest
#2112: May 4th 2022 at 4:14:36 AM

Middle East Eye: Syria: Turkey to return one million refugees to Idlib.

    Article 
Turkey is drafting plans to return one million Syrian refugees to northern Syria, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said on Tuesday, under plans to build housing and provide services in regions held by Turkish-backed forces in the country.

Erdogan made the remarks in a video message on Tuesday as Ankara delivered more briquette houses to Syrians living in rebel-held Idlib.

The Turkish government, with the help of the local and international NGOs, aims to build 100,000 such houses to shelter Syrians fleeing the forces of Bashar al-Assad's government.

Erdogan said in his remarks that half a million Syrians have settled back in parts of Turkish-controlled Syria.

“We are backing up our strategy with projects to encourage the returns,” he said. “We are preparing a project to realise our one million Syrian brothers' return."

Erdogan added that Ankara will implement the project with the local assemblies in 13 regions, including Azaz, Al Bab and Tal Abyad. “All infrastructure projects, from housing to hospitals, everything regarding daily life will be in this project,” he said.

Turkey currently hosts 3.7 million Syrian refugees and 1.7 million other foreign nationals. It is also in the grips of a currency crisis.

Last summer saw a spate of communal violence in big cities like Istanbul and Ankara as Syrian businesses and refugees were attacked.

The main opposition Republican People’s Party (CHP) has spearheaded the increasingly hostile anti-Syrian rhetoric. Despite his left-liberal political stance, CHP leader Kemal Kilicdaroglu has promised to send Syrians back to their country if elected president in 2023.

Umit Ozdag, a right-wing politician and the chairman of the Victory Party, has created a media buzz in recent months by promising to send millions of Syrian, Afghans and Pakistanis back to their countries.

Erdogan, who just a few weeks ago declared that he would never send Syrians back, now talks about their "honourable” return, with Turkey approaching presidential elections next year.

Middle East Eye reported in February that Turkey closed 16 provinces to new arrivals of foreign residents, including refugees, and will relocate Syrians from districts where they make up more than 25 percent of the population.

This week, the government also banned Syrian refugees who live in Turkey from travelling to northern Syria for Eid al-Fitr, due to public criticism over them being allowed to travel freely back and forth.

Opposition politicians argued that if the Syrians are able to travel to Syria they should remain there.

Currently, the government only issues permits for Syrians who visit the country for funerals or want to permanently resettle in northern Syria.

Echoing hymn of my fellow passerine | Art blog (under construction)
SeptimusHeap from Switzerland (Edited uphill both ways) Relationship Status: Mu
#2113: May 4th 2022 at 4:17:29 AM

Me, I wonder if there is any kind of prospect that the de facto partition of Syria between a rump state, Israel, Russia, Turkey and whatever the Kurds across the Euphrates are calling themselves will be formalized. Given Assad's conduct and competence I think such a partition might not be that bad, after all.

"For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled." - Richard Feynman
FFShinra Beware the Crazy Man. from Ivalice, apparently Since: Jan, 2001 Relationship Status: Too sexy for my shirt
Beware the Crazy Man.
#2114: May 4th 2022 at 4:58:51 AM

I mean, the Golan Heights portion is already in this status. But I have doubts the Kurds can maintain their statelet forever. Currently they have an accord with Assad, but I doubt Assad keeps to his word once he has time to rebuild his forces, and the Turks are practically salivating at the idea of seizing the portion for themselves.

Final Fantasy, Foreign Policy, and Bollywood. Helluva combo, that...
eagleoftheninth In the name of being honest from the Street without Joy Since: May, 2013 Relationship Status: With my statistically significant other
In the name of being honest
#2115: May 5th 2022 at 4:44:07 PM

SBS: Migrant workers in Qatar gain 'pride' from hard work, FIFA president says, despite claims of 6,500 deaths.

    Article 
FIFA President Gianni Infantino has said migrant workers could gain 'pride' from hard work when questioned about reported abuse in Qatar during construction of infrastructure ahead of the FIFA World Cup.

Despite the alleged abuses, Mr Infantino claimed workers would feel proud at being given the chance to construct stadiums for the tournament, earning a living rather than being given charity.

Last year, it was reported that 6,500 workers had died in Qatar since it won the hosting rights.

The comments came after Mr Infantino was asked at the global conference of the Milken Institute in Los Angeles if FIFA would use its profits to make "any sort of commitment" to help families of workers who died in Qatar.

Mr Infantino did not directly answer the question when responding to MSNBC anchor Stephanie Ruhle on stage, instead pointing to the introduction of a minimum wage and enhanced labour rights.

"Let's not forget one thing ... when we speak about this topic, which is work, even hard work, tough work," Mr Infantino said.

"America is a country of immigration. My parents immigrated as well from Italy to Switzerland. Not so far, but still.”

"When you give work to somebody, even in hard conditions, you give him dignity and pride. It's not charity. You don't make charity.”

Mr Infantino did not directly dispute the claim that 6,500 workers have died building infrastructure - which was denied by Qatar - but said three people have died on the construction sites of the stadiums.

"Now 6,000 might have died in other works and so on, and of course FIFA is not the police of the world or responsible for everything that happens around the world,” he said.

“But thanks to FIFA, thanks to football we have been able to address the status of all the 1.5 million workers, working in Qatar."

Construction workers, mostly men from southwest Asia, live with multiple people in the same bedrooms in Qatar, while their families remain in their home countries.

The tournament has faced various forms of controversy since announcing Qatar as host, with organisations such as Human Rights Watch expressing ongoing concern over the country's treatment of migrant workers.

Echoing hymn of my fellow passerine | Art blog (under construction)
SeptimusHeap from Switzerland (Edited uphill both ways) Relationship Status: Mu
#2116: May 6th 2022 at 1:06:30 AM

#FIFACorrupt

"For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled." - Richard Feynman
MarqFJA The Cosmopolitan Fictioneer from Deserts of the Middle East (Before Recorded History) Relationship Status: Anime is my true love
The Cosmopolitan Fictioneer
#2117: May 12th 2022 at 6:43:52 AM

[up][up] Was this asshole drugged out of his mind when he said that, or is he always like this?

Fiat iustitia, et pereat mundus.
SeptimusHeap from Switzerland (Edited uphill both ways) Relationship Status: Mu
#2118: May 12th 2022 at 2:40:19 PM

It's FIFA so I assume it's the latter.

In Syria, Iranian forces fill gaps left by Ukraine-bound Russians and I have to wonder what Lebanon's opinion is on being used as a platform for Hezbollah.

"For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled." - Richard Feynman
Ominae Organized Canine Bureau Special Agent Since: Jul, 2010
Organized Canine Bureau Special Agent
#2119: May 13th 2022 at 5:55:07 AM

UAE President Sheikh Khalifa bin Zayed al-Nahyan passed away at the age of 73.

He suffered from a stroke in 2014.

"Exit muna si Polgas. Ang kailangan dito ay si Dobermaxx!"
SeptimusHeap from Switzerland (Edited uphill both ways) Relationship Status: Mu
#2120: May 17th 2022 at 12:29:19 PM

I guess I got the answer to my question: Hezbollah and allies lose majority in Lebanese parliament, final results show

"For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled." - Richard Feynman
Ominae Organized Canine Bureau Special Agent Since: Jul, 2010
Organized Canine Bureau Special Agent
#2121: May 21st 2022 at 7:02:12 AM

King Abdullah II has given the go ahead to place Crown Prince Hamzah under house arrest, being called "erratic".

"Exit muna si Polgas. Ang kailangan dito ay si Dobermaxx!"
Ominae Organized Canine Bureau Special Agent Since: Jul, 2010
Organized Canine Bureau Special Agent
#2122: May 22nd 2022 at 8:11:56 PM

Colonel Sayad Khodai is assassinated in Tehran by gunmen in broad daylight. He's with the IRGC.

"Exit muna si Polgas. Ang kailangan dito ay si Dobermaxx!"
eagleoftheninth In the name of being honest from the Street without Joy Since: May, 2013 Relationship Status: With my statistically significant other
In the name of being honest
#2123: May 23rd 2022 at 6:13:53 PM

BBC: Captagon: Jordan's undeclared war against Syria drug traffickers.

    Article 
A man in his 20s with cropped hair agitatedly paces the corridor of the drug rehabilitation unit as he grapples with the agonies of early withdrawal.

In the TV room, a fashionably dressed young woman in a later stage of recovery wearily draws on a cigarette then rests her head in her hands.

Fighting from the decade-long war in Syria may have died down, but the country's transformation into a narco-state is sowing new seeds of misery across this region.

The rooms at Al-Rashid Hospital in Jordan's capital, Amman, look like hotel accommodation, but checking in here is an act of desperation.

"It's a long process. The patients stay for a minimum of one month, sometimes three months," says nurse Hadeel Bitar as she shows me around.

They come from Jordan and Gulf Arab states, where in recent years the amphetamine Captagon - cheaply manufactured in Syria and Lebanon and also known as "the poor man's cocaine" - has become the drug of choice.

"The consequences of taking it are very serious. They can include violence and psychosis," says Dr Ali al-Qam, a consultant psychiatrist and clinical director.

"It's very addictive as well. People start with one tablet and then increase by two or three, then shift into a more serious drug like crystal meth."

Huge industry

At the height of the conflict in Syria, smugglers and militant groups took advantage to supply Captagon - which is often laced with caffeine - to fighters, to boost their courage and help them stay alert on the frontlines.

With few legitimate work opportunities and growing poverty, many ordinary Syrians became involved in the drugs trade.

Now, with the Syrian economy shattered by a decade of war and still stifled by international sanctions, it has turned into a multi-billion-dollar industry, worth far more than any legal exports.

Although there have been public denials from Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's government, reports have linked powerful figures in business and the military to the manufacturing and distribution of Captagon.

"The areas in which Captagon production is most pronounced are those controlled by the Assad regime and close familial relations of the regime," says Ian Larson, a Syria analyst for the Center for Operational Analysis and Research (COAR), a Cyprus-based consultancy.

"Now, that remains a circumstantial linkage, but it is an indicative one."

A 2021 report, which he authored, suggested a "mind-numbing" scale of Captagon production, with a market value estimated at about $3.5bn (£2.7bn; €3.2bn) for the previous year, based on quantities that were intercepted.

The pills regularly show up in ports, airports and at crossing points - often expertly hidden. They have been found inside containers of machinery and fruits - even fake ones. The Jordanian authorities have released footage of them being removed from animal carcasses.

Shoot-to-kill

Once it was wave upon wave of Syrian refugees that spilt across the border into Jordan. Now, it is drugs.

Skirmishes between the Jordanian military and drug traffickers are becoming more frequent, with larger hauls being made.

Since the start of 2022, the army has intercepted more than 17,000 packets of hashish and 17 million pills of Captagon. Only 15.5 million Captagon pills were picked up in all of 2021, while 1.4 million were seized in 2020.

Jordan is largely a transit route to the drug's biggest market: the Gulf states, particularly Saudi Arabia.

"The most dangerous thing we've noticed recently is the presence of armed groups alongside the smugglers," says Colonel Zaid al-Dabbas of the Jordanian army, who has taken me on a tour.

He estimates there are about 160 groups operating in southern Syria. They have "new tactics, like those of organised crime" and use drones and expensive, customised vehicles, he says.

The increase in illegal activity, along with the killing of a Jordanian soldier, has prompted a change in the army's rules of engagement: it now has a shoot-to-kill policy.

On 27 January, the military says, 27 traffickers were killed when it foiled a co-ordinated effort to cross into Jordan at several points along the border. Four others have been killed in separate operations.

The army would like more support for what another officer describes as "an undeclared war" on Jordan's borders.

"We're fighting on behalf of other countries in the region and the world at large," says Colonel Mustafa al-Hiyari. "Drugs are destroying our families, morals and values."

Echoing hymn of my fellow passerine | Art blog (under construction)
MarqFJA The Cosmopolitan Fictioneer from Deserts of the Middle East (Before Recorded History) Relationship Status: Anime is my true love
The Cosmopolitan Fictioneer
#2124: May 27th 2022 at 9:36:22 AM

I've been told elsewhere that the Arabian Peninsula's petrostates are economically doomed once the petroleum fields runs out, even if they manage to diversify their economies. Is this true? And how applicable is that to the other petrostates in the Arab world, or Iran?

Edited by MarqFJA on May 27th 2022 at 7:36:55 PM

Fiat iustitia, et pereat mundus.
SeptimusHeap from Switzerland (Edited uphill both ways) Relationship Status: Mu
#2125: May 27th 2022 at 9:39:26 AM

Nope. Plenty of countries get by without natural resources, the trick is to leverage your people say by building industries, services etc. as many Gulf states are trying. And deserts on which solar panels can be planted are a potential, inexhaustible natural resource.

"For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled." - Richard Feynman

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