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Edited by Mrph1 on Nov 30th 2023 at 11:03:59 AM
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Yeah, I meant 2018.
Also James Mattis is likely Defense Secretary
, on one hand an establishment Republican, on the other a massive warhawk, and IIRC he softened his stance on Russia during the primaries.
edited 20th Nov '16 1:11:47 PM by CaptainCapsase
2018 has a Senate election. On the one hand, there isn't really much room for the Democrats to pick up space. On the other hand, it's a midterm election under a Republican president who has displayed so far no evidence of competence. There will be a House election and stateside elections as well.
2020 has a presidential election. The Senate map is much more favourable for the Democrats there.
^Way wrong. They need 2/3 majorities in Congress as well and they are far from that.
edited 20th Nov '16 1:12:33 PM by SeptimusHeap
"For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled." - Richard FeynmanI Fwanderer: Not entirely, for a number of reasons.
It's up to each state to decide whether the legislature or the voting population has to approve a US Constitutional amendment. This is usually in the State's Constitution, so if a state says "popular election, they'd have to amend their own constitution to put the decision in the hands of the legislature. That's not any easy process.
Second, even if it is a State Legislative vote, rather than a popular one, state legislators represent much smaller districts than Federal ones do; this tends to make them somewhat less concerned with what the party higher-ups or Washington wants and more responsive to what their actual constituents want.
thirdly, getting a Constitutional amendment to the stage where the states are even a factor is a difficult task.
So no, There isn't going be a massive overhaul of the Constitution anytime soon. It's designed to be difficult and time-consuming to do.
edited 20th Nov '16 1:21:51 PM by Madrugada
Hence why the best method for overhauling the EC is through the NPVIC, which just requires Republican voters (who are 60% in favor of the Compact) to get off their asses and either initiative it in or elect legislators who will pass the bill.
When even Republican voters dislike the EC, it should be easier to get rid of.
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According to Wiki, Michigan and Pennsylvania have it "Pending in current legislative session", which means they could pass it, if I'm not mistaken. And if they did, it would bring the current total of the agreement to 201 E Vs. Then I guess someone could try and push it in the Arizona senate, since it managed to pass its lower house this year meaning they'd probably approve it again (total 212 E Vs). The same happened in Missouri (10 E Vs, bringing the total to 222 E Vs if they agree), and last year in Oregon (possibly bringing the total to 229 E Vs). Then I guess the path of "least" resistance would be to pass it in Texas and one more state (TX would bring the total to 267 and no state has less than 3 E Vs, so any state would be enough to push it through, the problem is that good luck getting Texas to pass it).
edited 20th Nov '16 1:56:11 PM by IFwanderer
1 2 We are what we pretend to be, so we must be careful about what we pretend to be. -KVFor 2018 don't forget the gubernatorial elections, only 9 of the 39 governorships up are Democrat controlled currently, while there are a ton for of Republican spots that are weak either due to geography, retiring incumbents or other factors.
“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ Cyran
