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pwiegle Cape Malleum Majorem from Nowhere Special Since: Sep, 2015 Relationship Status: Singularity
Cape Malleum Majorem
#141201: Oct 2nd 2016 at 7:58:56 AM

[up]In other words, he's a first-class con artist.

This Space Intentionally Left Blank.
Ramidel Since: Jan, 2001
#141202: Oct 2nd 2016 at 8:05:13 AM

I think he tends to believe in what he's doing when he does it - see: ego - but when everything goes south, he's also been very good at not being the one holding the bag. He also has no shame.

So: he's such a good con artist that he ends up Believing Their Own Lies?

edited 2nd Oct '16 8:11:31 AM by Ramidel

TacticalFox88 from USA Since: Nov, 2010 Relationship Status: Dating the Doctor
#141203: Oct 2nd 2016 at 8:18:32 AM

So here's the schedule break down for Hilldawg

On Monday, Hillary is in Ohio, Bill is in Michigan, Sanders is in Iowa and Biden is in Florida.

On Tuesday, Hillary is in Pennsylvania, Michelle is in North Carolina, Warren is in Nevada, Sanders is in Minnesota, and Bill is in Ohio. The VP debate is that night.

On Wednesday, Hillary is off the trail (debate prep?), Obama is in Florida, Kaine is in Pennsylvania and Bill is still in Ohio.

Lawd, can we say all-star team?

New Survey coming this weekend!
Kostya (Unlucky Thirteen)
#141204: Oct 2nd 2016 at 8:19:51 AM

What about Thursday and Friday?

TacticalFox88 from USA Since: Nov, 2010 Relationship Status: Dating the Doctor
#141205: Oct 2nd 2016 at 8:26:37 AM

Those are Fundraiser days. No Rallies

New Survey coming this weekend!
Krieger22 Causing freakouts over sourcing since 2018 from Malaysia Since: Mar, 2014 Relationship Status: I'm in love with my car
Causing freakouts over sourcing since 2018
#141206: Oct 2nd 2016 at 8:31:57 AM

John Hempton, former Australian Treasury tax avoidance specialist and fund manager on Trump's $916 million loss. Basically, the losses may be in the form of debt parked out there somewhere.

I have disagreed with her a lot, but comparing her to republicans and propagandists of dictatorships is really low. - An idiot
Ramidel Since: Jan, 2001
#141207: Oct 2nd 2016 at 8:33:50 AM

In other words, right after the election, his campaign is gonna declare bankruptcy.

TacticalFox88 from USA Since: Nov, 2010 Relationship Status: Dating the Doctor
#141208: Oct 2nd 2016 at 8:37:01 AM

Bankruptcy would be the LEAST of his problems. The moment the MSM declares Clinton President-Elect, the FBI is gonna pounce on every one of Trump's assets.

Comey has a damn near fetish for corruption cases.

New Survey coming this weekend!
Kostya (Unlucky Thirteen)
#141209: Oct 2nd 2016 at 8:43:28 AM

Yeah but in Trump's case it will come off as a political attack. That's what worries me.

Julep Since: Jul, 2010
#141210: Oct 2nd 2016 at 8:52:08 AM

Yeah, it will only reinforce the opinion of those who claim that "the elite" is corrupt. Even though it is so richly deserved in Trump's case. So it will be one more step towards a nutjob like Ted Cruz getting the nomination in 2020.

(And that's only if Trump doesn't win in 2016).

Rationalinsanity from Halifax, Canada Since: Aug, 2010 Relationship Status: It's complicated
#141211: Oct 2nd 2016 at 8:52:57 AM

I wonder if these tax leaks will actually stick to Trump and hurt him in the polls?

It will probably be hard to know if any losses in the polls are due to this or his poor debate performance though.

Politics is the skilled use of blunt objects.
Kostya (Unlucky Thirteen)
#141212: Oct 2nd 2016 at 8:54:20 AM

Anybody that wasn't already against him when he said paying no taxes makes him smart isn't likely to be swayed.

CaptainCapsase from Orbiting Sagittarius A* Since: Jan, 2015
#141213: Oct 2nd 2016 at 9:02:47 AM

Trump hasn't really lost support since the debate. Much as I predicted, Clinton has gained support form undecided voters.

Rationalinsanity from Halifax, Canada Since: Aug, 2010 Relationship Status: It's complicated
#141214: Oct 2nd 2016 at 9:05:31 AM

True, the polarized nature of this campaign means that undecideds are the only ways the numbers can shift. The only other way to boost your vote share is driving turnout, or hoping that your opponent drives their own base away.

Well, that and people who say they support 3rd party tickets but vote differently on Election Day.

Politics is the skilled use of blunt objects.
CaptainCapsase from Orbiting Sagittarius A* Since: Jan, 2015
#141215: Oct 2nd 2016 at 9:06:51 AM

[up] People saying they're supporting third parties in polls before election day generally do. Third party support generally tapers off over time, but this year it really hasn't. That usually hurts the incumbent party more than the opposition, which appears to be the case this year.

One phenomena in this election that hasn't really show up in other elections is the sinusoidal pattern in the polls. It's why I'm skeptical that Clinton's debate bounce will stick, incidentally; both candidates have historically high unfavorable ratings, which generally means whichever candidate ends up dominating a particular news cycle tends to suffer in the polls. Hopefully election day doesn't happen to occur during the midst of a Clinton dominated cycle.

edited 2nd Oct '16 9:11:49 AM by CaptainCapsase

Gilphon (4 Score & 7 Years Ago)
#141216: Oct 2nd 2016 at 9:14:31 AM

I mean, yeah, the stuff there that we hadn't actually heard before wasn't exactly surprising.

I'd like to see him get hit on the sexism angle a bit more in the next debate, since he still has some ground to lose there and Hillary just got a bunch of new ammunition.

Well- really, I'd like to see ignoring the personal issues entirely and more just emphasizing the total lack of substance to his position while showing that Clinton's has plenty, but that's kind of tricky to pull off- you'd have to have Clinton and the Moderators just ignore the words coming out of his mouth, and the moderators just reiterate the questions until he says something resembling an answer. Which would probably mean letting him get away with a bunch of bold-faced lies and attacks on Clinton.

CaptainCapsase from Orbiting Sagittarius A* Since: Jan, 2015
#141217: Oct 2nd 2016 at 9:15:00 AM

So apparently there's a nonzero chance of an electoral college deadlock occurring based on recent polling of New Mexico.

Wouldn't that be a clusterfuck.

edited 2nd Oct '16 9:20:27 AM by CaptainCapsase

Elle Since: Jan, 2001
#141218: Oct 2nd 2016 at 9:26:14 AM

Very barely nonzero mind you (3% at most) but definitely not a scenario that wants to be contemplated. :P

For the sake of argument though, if it did go to the House of Representatives, then what? Would Clinton have enough Republicans cross the aisle to vote against Trump?

Gilphon (4 Score & 7 Years Ago)
#141219: Oct 2nd 2016 at 9:27:00 AM

Yeah, 'non-zero' here means 0.15%, because it requires two 'highly unlikely but not impossible' things to happen at the same time.

How strong is the GOP hold on congress, anyway? How many would have to cross the aisle to let Clinton win in that scenario?

edited 2nd Oct '16 9:29:02 AM by Gilphon

CaptainCapsase from Orbiting Sagittarius A* Since: Jan, 2015
#141220: Oct 2nd 2016 at 9:28:03 AM

I'm perfectly aware it's extremely unlikely. But it's a scenario that would be the perfect end to this batshit crazy electoral cycle.

Ramidel Since: Jan, 2001
#141221: Oct 2nd 2016 at 10:05:59 AM

Trump/Kaine 2016 with a half-point Democratic Senate?

Not the worst possible result...

edited 2nd Oct '16 10:06:36 AM by Ramidel

Silasw A procrastination in of itself from A handcart to hell (4 Score & 7 Years Ago) Relationship Status: And they all lived happily ever after <3
A procrastination in of itself
#141222: Oct 2nd 2016 at 10:19:42 AM

The secret service would be working overtime in the case of a split White House.

Also keep in mind that in that scenario it might not go to the House, it might go to Johnson if he offered to have his electors go faithless.

edited 2nd Oct '16 10:22:53 AM by Silasw

“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ Cyran
TacticalFox88 from USA Since: Nov, 2010 Relationship Status: Dating the Doctor
#141223: Oct 2nd 2016 at 10:21:33 AM

.@brianstelter asks Susanne Craig if the NY Times is sitting on more Trump tax documents. She replies: "No comment"

Buckle up boys and girls!

New Survey coming this weekend!
kkhohoho (4 Score & 7 Years Ago)
#141224: Oct 2nd 2016 at 10:50:51 AM

So as everyone probably knows, Bernie's going to be in Minnesota this Tuesday, and I'd actually like to go to his rally and attend one of those things for a change. The problem is, I've no clue exactly when or where the rally's going to be, and I have no idea how to find out. Could someone help me out here? Pretty please?

Also, I read an article about Sanders announcing the rally, and I found this:

According to the Clinton campaign, Sanders will be in Minneapolis and Duluth to urge people to vote early.

...You can do that?

LSBK Since: Sep, 2014
#141225: Oct 2nd 2016 at 10:59:18 AM

[up]Yeah, it's a real time saver. Don't you remember all the stuff about Republicans trying to stop early voting in counties that were mostly minority?


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