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Edited by Mrph1 on Nov 30th 2023 at 11:03:59 AM
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That's not particularly likely at this time. Riots certainly, but nothing is getting off the ground without the support of the military. It should be noted though, that the military of the US is quite conservative, ideologically speaking, and some elements of the institution might not be willing to go quietly into that good nigh, so to speak. That's essentially what happened in the 1860s.
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The base that elected him isn't going anywhere, and will remain a serious no matter the outcome of this cycle. Moreover, when the alternative is somebody like Cruz, your options are rather dismal. I'm going to have to concur with 538's Nate Silver; I don't see the GOP coming back from Trump. On the plus side, beyond social wedge issues, there's not much of a gap between the democrats and the GOP establishment, so an exodus to the democrats shouldn't be too difficult. Though I suppose that's a serious issue for you personally.
edited 8th Aug '16 6:10:29 PM by CaptainCapsase
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People keep saying that like Trump doesn't represent the GOP somehow. That's just incorrect. Intentional or not Trump is a product of the kind of bigotry that's been festering in the GOP for decades. He's just not afraid to make it explicit like most of the others in the party.
edited 8th Aug '16 6:07:34 PM by Kostya
I think the Zapp Brannigan or Donald Trump game is closer than Joker or Trump.
edited 8th Aug '16 6:38:18 PM by MadSkillz
It looks like the 538 Now-Cast
has Clinton with a better-than-50/50 chance of winning South Carolina.
Fun fact: If Hillary wins South Carolina (which isn't guaranteed at this point of course), it will almost certainly lead to her being the first Democratic Presidential candidate to sweep the entire Atlantic coast in over a hundred years. It hasn't been done by a Democrat since 1912.
Win it or not, the mere fact it's even remotely competitive points makes a Trump victory extremely unlikely and a landslide victory on Clinton's part very probable.
edited 8th Aug '16 6:56:00 PM by Falrinn
The number of voters that it would alienate is higher than the number of voters it would endear to him. At this point, it's hard to see how Trump could attract any more support among the hardcore right wing.
edited 8th Aug '16 7:14:54 PM by Fighteer
"It's Occam's Shuriken! If the answer is elusive, never rule out ninjas!"Of course he's going to participate. He's blowing the debates off now so it seems like they're beneath him, only for him to show up and grace the undeserving events with his presence.
edited 8th Aug '16 7:21:21 PM by Eschaton
Demography plays against the GOP pretty much everywhere that there are large immigrant populations, which is why Georgia teeters on the brink of becoming a swing state while North Carolina's in danger of falling the other way. Whiter states like West Virginia or Utah stay firmly in their grip, however.
Something rather disturbing just occurred to me; I've long been one of the people who regarded Trump as a great deal more intelligent (thing no less nefarious) than his antics during the election would suggest, and I strongly suspect he's realized he can't win this election on his own merits.
Which is why he's using the most toxic and undemocratic language possible; a mass shooting or two early in the morning on Election Day in the right districts could seriously depress voter turnout out.

They might just keep losing though. The whole "white identity politics" is sort of a death sentence for them if they don't find some way to ditch that.