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Edited by Mrph1 on Nov 30th 2023 at 11:03:59 AM
It can vary depending on which third of the Senate seats are up for re-election, but for the most part, if there's a strong turnout on one side or the other then that side will pick up seats in both houses of Congress. Incumbency rates are very high, however, and combined with gerrymandering and other advantages of incumbency, the House is unlikely to swing to Dem unless there's a YUGE turnout disparity in the Dems' favor. The Senate is much more likely than the House to swing to the Dems if turnout wins Dems the Presidency, but if the difference in turnout between sides is small, then Repubs could still manage to cling to enough seats.
To elaborate a little, total Dem turnout is normally higher than total Repub turnout in Presidential election years but low in other years, including mid-terms, whilst Repub turnout is reliably above-average (as it were). As a general rule, the Congress is likely to move in the direction of the party opposite the sitting President during a mid-term election, in large part because the President's voters become complacent and the other side is jazzed up after multiple years of people they dislike being in charge in Washington.
GM: AGOG S4 & F/WC RP; Co-GM: TABA, SOTR, UUA RP; Sub-GM: TTS RP. I have brought peace, freedom, justice, and security to my new Empire.I could see it slipping into their rhetoric. Or more then bringing on Neo-Nazis to tear into him and then trying desperately to keep them from being blatantly anti-Semitic.
I belive that the European Right have a lot of issues with how they want to align with Israel (due to be living that Israel will help them kill Muslims) but can't/don't want to keep the old guard from being anti-Semitic.
“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ Cyran![]()
That's dumb. You can be critical of Israel without being anti-Semitic; if being critical of Israel (Israel's current government) is anti-Semitism, then I'm anti-Semitic. =/ ![]()
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They're certainly trying to clean up.
edited 13th Apr '16 7:29:41 AM by desdendelle
On empty crossroads, seek the eclipse -- for when Sol and Lua align, the lost shall find their way home.That's why on a level I think incidents like the "What will you do about the Jewish conspiracy controlling the Fed" protester are useful for him, they show exactly how moderate he is. Likewise the guy who shouted all that stuff, he's probably going to vote Republican, in enough of such guys come out of the woodwork then it's going to cost the Republicans a lot.
Trump may siphon then off though, if he's the nominee against Sander's you can expect him/his supporters to go full anti-Semite, if he's a third party run against Sander's then the Republican worry will likely stay clean as Trump siphons off the nuts.
edited 13th Apr '16 7:30:40 AM by Silasw
“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ Cyran![]()
that has been Israel's position for years, it's a petty attempt to silence critics, don't forget they were originally in support of the Two State Solution... and then they became the dominant military power in the region and it's the Arabs who want the Two State Solution
It's a stupid position. Anti-Israel =/= anti-Semitic. There are quite a lot of anti-Semitics that use "anti-Israel" as a fig leaf, mind you... and shouldn't we have this discussion in the right thread?
Yeah this should move thread. Actually as the Israel-Palestine thread is about current affairs and not about the roots of anti-semitismand it's history it might be best to just drop it.
“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ CyranExcellent to have confirmation that Ted Cruz yanked one off in college.
edited 13th Apr '16 8:45:59 AM by majoraoftime

Why would they get more Republican? They get more Dem during a presidential election year (like this one) and more Republican during mid-term elections.
The Dems made House and Senate gains in both 2008 and 2012 (and 2000 actually) why would 2016 be any different? Now come 2018 a lot of gains are liable to be reserved, but that's for 2018.
edited 12th Apr '16 11:50:17 PM by Silasw
“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ Cyran