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Edited by Mrph1 on Nov 30th 2023 at 11:03:59 AM

Midgetsnowman Since: Jan, 2010
#36601: Nov 3rd 2012 at 7:27:33 PM

[up][up]

Its crushing when said polls predict Romney has about 190 electoral votes.

edited 3rd Nov '12 7:27:49 PM by Midgetsnowman

Enkufka Wandering Student ಠ_ಠ from Bay of White fish Since: Dec, 2009
Wandering Student ಠ_ಠ
#36602: Nov 3rd 2012 at 7:28:49 PM

Once more:

Fuck. Jon. Husted.

"The directive, issued Friday, lays out the requirements for submitting a provisional ballot. The directive includes a form which puts the burden on the voter to correctly record the form of ID provided to election officials. Husted also instructed election officials that if the form is not filled out correctly by a voter, the ballot should not be counted."

"According to a lawsuit filed by voting rights advocates, this is “contrary to a court decision on provisional ballots a week ago and contrary to statements made by attorneys for Husted at an Oct. 24 court hearing.”"

Very big Daydream Believer. "That's not knowledge, that's a crapshoot!" -Al Murray "Welcome to QI" -Stephen Fry
Arkasas (4 Score & 7 Years Ago)
#36603: Nov 3rd 2012 at 7:34:13 PM

@Kostya: I don't know about RCP's methods, but I do know that it was founded because all the other kids were anti-conservative and anti-Christian, and places founded with that purpose, such as Fox News, have a good track record.

538 has Minnesota at a 99.0% chance for Obama, and 96.6 in Pennsylvania. So. Are they delusional, cheating, or is Nate Silver missing something?

edited 3rd Nov '12 7:35:02 PM by Arkasas

Kostya (Unlucky Thirteen)
#36604: Nov 3rd 2012 at 7:36:27 PM

I don't know. How accurate is Nate Silver?

edit: That doesn't tell much since RCP has had Obama consistently ahead. Now maybe they've been intentionally weighting things against him so he was even more ahead than before but I doubt that.

edited 3rd Nov '12 7:37:00 PM by Kostya

Arkasas (4 Score & 7 Years Ago)
#36605: Nov 3rd 2012 at 7:38:41 PM

@Kostya: He predicted every Senate race and 49 out of 50 states in '08. I'd say he's pretty accurate.

Kostya (Unlucky Thirteen)
#36606: Nov 3rd 2012 at 7:40:57 PM

That was for one cycle though. It could have been a fluke. Now if it works again then I'll probably start to trust him.

Arkasas (4 Score & 7 Years Ago)
#36607: Nov 3rd 2012 at 7:46:20 PM

2010: 36 of 37 governors, slightly overestimated the Senate pickups (7-6) and slightly underestimated the House pickups (55-63), all of which was within the confidence interval.

What about RCP? What have they predicted correctly?

Kostya (Unlucky Thirteen)
#36608: Nov 3rd 2012 at 7:52:54 PM

...

point.

I honestly don't know what RCP has predicted. I just go to them to get a general feel for how the polls are trending.

Skatepunk Since: Feb, 2011
#36609: Nov 3rd 2012 at 7:53:54 PM

[up]& [up][up]

RCP has Dems having a 54-46 Senate (with Mourdock losing), 290-248 with Obama losing Virginia, and (unfortunately) The GOP barely holding the House.

@Enkufka

I'm sorry, that guy needs to be arrested. He is simply un-American, a term I don't use lightly.

edited 3rd Nov '12 7:54:57 PM by Skatepunk

Kostya (Unlucky Thirteen)
HilarityEnsues Since: Sep, 2009
#36611: Nov 3rd 2012 at 7:59:57 PM

At a cursory glance, RCP is a bit biased towards the right. I mean, it's certainly not to an farcical degree that unswekedpolls is, but they've projected a smaller lead for Obama than most pollsters have. What I don't like about them is that there's lots of states where Obama has 3 to 5 percent leads but they still call it a "tossup" on the electoral map. That seems like an ideal point to call it a leaning state.

edited 3rd Nov '12 8:00:18 PM by HilarityEnsues

Arkasas (4 Score & 7 Years Ago)
#36612: Nov 3rd 2012 at 8:01:19 PM

[up][up]That's more or less what everyone is predicting, with the exception of Virginia.

The House will return to Democratic control... in 2014. Maybe.

DeviantBraeburn Wandering Jew from Dysfunctional California Since: Aug, 2012
Wandering Jew
#36613: Nov 3rd 2012 at 8:02:47 PM

[up]

Doubt it.

Everything is Possible. But some things are more Probable than others. JEBAGEDDON 2016
NativeJovian Jupiterian Local from Orlando, FL Since: Mar, 2014 Relationship Status: Maxing my social links
Jupiterian Local
#36614: Nov 3rd 2012 at 8:17:14 PM

Honestly, I'm pretty okay with the Republicans maintaining control of the House. When one party controls the presidency, both houses of Congress, and has a majority of Supreme Court justices on their side, it makes me pretty leery.

Really from Jupiter, but not an alien.
DeviantBraeburn Wandering Jew from Dysfunctional California Since: Aug, 2012
Wandering Jew
#36615: Nov 3rd 2012 at 8:18:38 PM

[up]

I wouldn't say Obama has the majority of Chief Justices on his side.

edited 3rd Nov '12 8:19:09 PM by DeviantBraeburn

Everything is Possible. But some things are more Probable than others. JEBAGEDDON 2016
NativeJovian Jupiterian Local from Orlando, FL Since: Mar, 2014 Relationship Status: Maxing my social links
Jupiterian Local
#36616: Nov 3rd 2012 at 8:21:50 PM

Eh, he's got like four and a half, and if he gets a second term, he'll probably be able to appoint at least one more. Point is, a little internal division isn't necessarily a bad thing, in my view.

Really from Jupiter, but not an alien.
Midgetsnowman Since: Jan, 2010
#36617: Nov 3rd 2012 at 8:21:58 PM

[up][up][up]

Its not nearly as bad as when one party has made it their goal in life to never let any law through the other side proposes at any cost.

edited 3rd Nov '12 9:00:29 PM by Midgetsnowman

nightwyrm_zero Since: Apr, 2010
#36618: Nov 3rd 2012 at 8:28:12 PM

Pfffttt, don't you know that 40 senators are all the Republicans need to have control of the senate. [lol]

QuestionMarc Since: Oct, 2011 Relationship Status: Having tea with Cthulhu
#36619: Nov 3rd 2012 at 8:33:40 PM

So what, the votes is happening live?

AceofSpades Since: Apr, 2009 Relationship Status: Showing feelings of an almost human nature
#36620: Nov 3rd 2012 at 8:36:46 PM

@Jovian: Right now getting a majority might be the only way for Democrats to break the Republican habit of stonewalling nearly everything because they want to sabotage the president's administration. Right now, a lot of people would rejoice over that scenario. Frankly, the Republicans have given us less and less over the last four years, and deserve whatever loss of power they experience because they've behaved like children in regards to improving our economy.

@Question: uh... yeah? There's going to be a constant news feed that day as the votes are registered and counted.

Kostya (Unlucky Thirteen)
#36621: Nov 3rd 2012 at 8:42:21 PM

As much as I hate the idea of a one party dictatorship I wouldn't mind if the Democrats had one for the next ten years or so. It might give them a chance to fix this mess the GOP created and finally give us a reasonable second party.

Completion oldtimeytropey from Space Since: Apr, 2012
oldtimeytropey
#36622: Nov 3rd 2012 at 8:50:28 PM

A landslide electoral defeat is when the victor gets over 300 electoral votes.

edited 3rd Nov '12 8:50:35 PM by Completion

DeviantBraeburn Wandering Jew from Dysfunctional California Since: Aug, 2012
Wandering Jew
#36623: Nov 3rd 2012 at 9:05:58 PM

Protesters (and their puppets) march to support public broadcasting

Everything is Possible. But some things are more Probable than others. JEBAGEDDON 2016
Kostya (Unlucky Thirteen)
TheyCallMeTomu Since: Jan, 2001 Relationship Status: Anime is my true love
#36625: Nov 3rd 2012 at 9:42:43 PM

I've been out of commission all day, what panicking about Romney's newest supposedly sure fire means of winning the presidency did I miss?


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