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Edited by Mrph1 on Nov 30th 2023 at 11:03:59 AM
30 feet? Wow. Yeah, that's certainly evacuation time.
Are you sure it is 30 feet, though? The Weather Channel reports upwards of 9 feet.
Speaking of, here is the Weather Channel's customary terrifying VR enactment of a 9 foot storm surge.
And a video on how to evacuate during a pandemic:
Edited by Redmess on Aug 26th 2020 at 6:37:17 PM
Hope shines brightest in the darkest timesRon White riffed on hurricane lunacy in one of his shows: "If you get hit by a Volvo, it doesn't matter how many push-ups you did that morning."
"It's Occam's Shuriken! If the answer is elusive, never rule out ninjas!"Biden still leads but the race is tightening.
Edited by Parable on Aug 26th 2020 at 10:22:50 AM
Trump's aggregate
is trending upwards, though still within his standard margin of variance. Those 3% or so of voters that didn't make up their minds about him three years ago are pleased right now.
This seems to be because of Rasmussen (a C+ rated poll that has always given Trump ridiculously generous odds), outliers aren't completely irrelevant but they shouldn't be given too much credence.
"Einstein would turn over in his grave. Not only does God play dice, the dice are loaded." -Chairman Sheng-Ji YangYeah. That polling firm's results aren't a concern until other, less biased firms confirm their findings. While all individual polls have limited worth on their own, this source is consistently more Republican than the average.
No need to worry about this yet.
Politics is the skilled use of blunt objects.Five Thirty Eight and Real Clear Politics both show Trump's ratings have returned to their normal pattern, though still a bit on the low side.
Hope shines brightest in the darkest timesSo according to this Forbes article
, Biden released a tax plan that's about as comprehensive as Warren's was, while Trump has released... bullet points. Unfortunately, that may work in Trump's favor, as the author cites a passage from All the King's Men which is... oddly prescient.
In one memorable scene, just as Stark is beginning his metamorphosis, he gives a speech about taxes. It is a flop, and Willie can’t understand why. “Looks like they’d want to hear about taxes,” he tells Jack Burden, his campaign aide and the book’s narrator.
“You tell ‘em too much, “Jack says. “They don’t give a damn about that. Hell, make ‘em cry or make ‘em laugh…Or make ‘em mad. Just stir ‘em up, it doesn’t matter how or why, and they’ll love you and come back for more…Tell ‘em anything, but for Sweet Jesus sake don’t try to improve their minds.”
That’s what Willie Stark did. It is what Donald Trump did so successfully in 2016, and it appears it is what he’s going to try to do in 2020. The campaign vows that Trump will have more to say about his policy agenda in his Thursday night acceptance speech and in a series of speeches during the campaign. I hope that’s true. But I’m not counting on it. Like Willie Stark, Trump’s political future may rest more on his ability to “just stir ‘em up” than with a carefully reasoned and articulated tax policy agenda.
Of course, but the point is that most people, on both sides, are not actually all that interested in reading actual tax forms.
This is about accountability, not information. If a journalist can read them and write a nice overview article on it, most voters will be more than content to keep it to that.
Hope shines brightest in the darkest timesIt’s fewer than 5k people spread across all the states, not per state. We also have no idea what the balance is amongst the states, this could be an across the board thing or Trump could have moved a fair bit in one state and not at all in the other ones.
There’s a reason Nate Silver considers it better practise to set your computer on fire than to use a “poll of swing states” as a data point.
“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ CyranAccording to a Lincoln Project Republican, many polls are undercounting Trump supporters, citing the "shy Trump voter" phenomenon as well as events 4 years ago.
Do you guys think they might have a point?

So the question becomes "who will actually listen?", then?
Edited by sgamer82 on Aug 26th 2020 at 9:32:06 AM