Nov 2023 Mod notice:
There may be other, more specific, threads about some aspects of US politics, but this one tends to act as a hub for all sorts of related news and information, so it's usually one of the busiest OTC threads.
If you're new to OTC, it's worth reading the Introduction to On-Topic Conversations
and the On-Topic Conversations debate guidelines
before posting here.
Rumor-based, fear-mongering and/or inflammatory statements that damage the quality of the thread will be thumped. Off-topic posts will also be thumped. Repeat offenders may be suspended.
If time spent moderating this thread remains a distraction from moderation of the wiki itself, the thread will need to be locked. We want to avoid that, so please follow the forum rules
when posting here.
In line with the general forum rules, 'gravedancing' is prohibited here. If you're celebrating someone's death or hoping that they die, your post will get thumped. This rule applies regardless of what the person you're discussing has said or done.
Edited by Mrph1 on Nov 30th 2023 at 11:03:59 AM
That's not exactly true- most polls have closer to 3% margin of error. But the margin of error isn't what important at the moment, it's the way the race could shift over the next two and half months. Which is probably where you got that 7% figure from; that's the average amount a race can shift over the course of the campaign.
But at that point it's important to note that a 6% is a 2-point shift in Trump's favour from June; it was around 8% then. So taking all of 7% potential shift and applying it in Trump's favour still leaves Biden with a 1% lead.
Edited by Gilphon on Aug 9th 2020 at 1:17:01 PM
No, it'll be a zombie. Attempts to reform the Republicans will go nowhere as long as the majority of the Republican Party base are assholes - they won't change, they'll keep supporting the nuttiest of the nutty and kill any air that moderate conservatives might find in the party.
Until their numbers fade into irrelevance, the center-right will have to move to the Democratic side.
Back on the last page, I am minded to agree with Redmess that the behaviour of the school is concerning. The photos I have seen did not show any faces so privacy concerns do not apply, and if memory serves it wouldn't be the first time that Georgia's schools have been caught exceeding their authority.
"For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled." - Richard FeynmanI may have very badly misread it.
You did and you didn’t.
See the margin of error applies to both sets of results individually (the Trump vote and the Biden vote), so a Mo E of 3.7 means that two full errors in Trump’s favour would change the result by about 7.4%.
There’s a reason it’s good to stick to polling averages.
“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ CyranDebates are scheduled like normal for this election, first one in end of September and the other two follow shortly after, same as normal.
I’m not convinced Trump will do all three, one hard question from Biden and he might storm out and refuse to attend the other debates.
“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ CyranTrump's bid to paint Biden as weak on crime is not off to a good start
.
8 Big Reasons Election Day 2020 Could Be a Disaster
I admit I haven't read all the article, since it's extremely long and technical, but it raises some interesting points for people like me who don't know much about voting in the US. However the first paragraph already put me on alert, because I didn't know that the voting procedure was full of so many problems and the mere act of voting could be so difficult.
"Effective Altruism" is just another bunch of horsesh*t.

Biden leading by 6 points in both Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.