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Edited by Mrph1 on Nov 30th 2023 at 11:03:59 AM
It's impossible to say how likely this is or isn't. Mostly because it's actually involving two different questions.
Q1: Can a Democratic President be held back by Republicans for at least four years?
A: Absolutely, that simply requires Democrats either not taking the Senate or being weak enough not to abolish the filibuster. But with Trump's weakness as a candidate and the ongoing impeachment, I think the Senate could absolutely be taken. Not removing the filibuster is a harder thing to guess what, I think it's more likely to be removed then not because when the Dems take the Senate and we need to take action on Climate Change there will be extraordinary pressure to get them to do something. So it could happen.
Q2: Which the Democratic President last a single term post-Trump succesful impeachment?
A: Highly unlikely, if Trump is discredited enough to result in their victory then it's highly unlikely that whatever replacement they can get would be able to stop the Dem from winning. Obstruction is more than possible but a single term victor in 2020 is significantly less so. Trump is weak enough to overcome incumbency advantage, I see no evidence that the person who beats him in 2020 would be comparably weak.
Edited by Fourthspartan56 on Sep 30th 2019 at 9:00:42 AM
"Einstein would turn over in his grave. Not only does God play dice, the dice are loaded." -Chairman Sheng-Ji YangI think (unlikely) hypotheticals about impeachment are better off in the impeachment thread.
Otherwise, x-posting from the crimes thread as New York Times considered this front page worthy and politics is part of the issue. Note that by their own statements they include images although I didn't see any:
The Internet Is Overrun With Images of Child Sexual Abuse. What Went Wrong?
Imma not quote the whole article as it is fairly long but the gist is that videos and images depicting child abuse are becoming way more common on the Internet than they used to be and that law enforcement is struggling to contain their spread.
Apparently the root problems are technological advances which make it easier for creeps to spread their stuff, the lack of money and technology for law enforcement to contain them and a perception by the public (?) that "child pornography" is much more innocuous (e.g children sending photos of themselves) than this stuff.
"For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled." - Richard FeynmanNon-paywalled Australian source
on the story. Sorry about the delay in the reply, I work an odd shift, there's a big time zone difference and this thread moves fast.
It's entirely possible. They could nominate an authoritarian that's actually good at it.
My Tumblr. Currently side-by-side liveblogging Digimon Adventure, sub vs dub.re: McConnell saying that he would hold an impeachment vote in the Senate — why wouldn't he? It would never pass. It's in his political best interests to hold a cursory trial, vote as quickly as possible, have the vote fail to convict, and then say "see? No conviction, therefore he's innocent. That's totally how that works!"
Really from Jupiter, but not an alien.The problem is that there's noise among Senate Republicans that some might vote to convict. It could happen. McConnell should, as you say, try to rush a trial before too many of his own people defect. That can't happen until the House votes to impeach, so ironically it is in Democrats' interests to make the proceedings as thorough as possible.
The more Republicans rage and fume and try to Chewbacca the process, the worse it gets for them.
Edited by Fighteer on Oct 1st 2019 at 9:38:57 AM
"It's Occam's Shuriken! If the answer is elusive, never rule out ninjas!"So unfortunately this news doesn't surprise me. It's really depressing.
Edited by speedyboris on Oct 1st 2019 at 6:49:55 AM
Also, the Senate can't rush the trial; they simply act as the Jury. It's the House members that actually hold the trial, or at least the Prosecution. So they'd be at the whim of the Democrats who are prosecuting Trump, and if the Defense (which in the case would be Rudy Giuliani) doesn't give a good or proper one, then Trump could be in serious trouble, especially if the Democrats can give an A Game Prosecution.
They did, but from what I've read, if Trump is impeached he uses his own personal Lawyer, who is currently Giuliani. Of course, if Giuliani is arrested or disbarred, then Trump would have to use another lawyer. Considering the last two lawyers Trump has had, though...
Edited by DingoWalley1 on Oct 1st 2019 at 11:34:40 AM
So Trump just congratulated China on 70 years of communist rule.
Even some GOP-ers are calling him out for being incredibly tone deaf at best and praising bad regimes at worst.
I think it's a little from column A and B, since we all know how much he idolizes dictators.
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Well, this is a guy who asked a survivor of ISIS' violence "where are they now" in regards to her family, which she just had told him had all been brutally murdered by ISIS, in person, right next to him.
Not to mention congratulating Poland for the anniversary day when Nazi-Germany invaded it and set off World War 2...
I'm doubting he have even read a single history book in his entire life to understand the gravity of these things...
Edited by TitanJump on Oct 1st 2019 at 6:43:54 PM

Given the way that US politics has gone since... oh, lets say, 1994, I see no reason not to believe that Republicans will try every dirty trick to hamstring Democrats, that the right wing news bubble will get more toxic and delusional, and that the next set of Republicans to come to the forefront won't be more brazen and worse than the last.
Just gotta be prepared for it and able to fight back.
| Wandering, but not lost. | If people bring so much courage to this world...◊ |