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Edited by Mrph1 on Nov 30th 2023 at 11:03:59 AM
Or for that matter, voters who aren't dyed-in-the-wool Democrats but also not dyed-in-the-wool Trumpkins.
However, IMO the biggest hazard with Biden is that he's trying to win support mainly from Congressional Democrats
. That's a dangerous move:
- When Hillary Clinton did lock up support from prominent lawmakers and politicians early on, it led to complaints about the primary being "rigged". Expect to hear that line a lot if Biden wins the primary.
- Friends tend to downplay/underestimate one's scandals, especially when we are talking about politicians. So there is a chance that many of Biden's supporters are underestimating the hazard of a #MeToo controversy erupting.
- If Biden's candidacy falters due to a harassment scandal, there will be questions about whether Democrats knew about it and about whether they did anything about the problem.
Edited by SeptimusHeap on Feb 26th 2019 at 7:44:04 PM
"For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled." - Richard FeynmanSee, the impression I have from the midterms is that once you correct for the base rate fallacy incumbency is pretty weak nowadays.
This is the result of the House vote on the resolution
. Of the 13 Republicans who voted in favour some - Hurd (TX) and Stefanik (NY) - are known moderates and Amash (MI) is a libertarian-leaning Tea Partier who sometimes puts his ideology above party, but some of the others - Sensenbrenner (WI) and Massie (KY) - surprise me.
Also, while I am here and some people want to table the primary talk:
- This appears to be the text of the Green New Deal
. Note that this is the House resolution, not the bad-faith text that Evil Turtle wants to send to the Senate floor.
- The text of the great anti corruption bill
, it covers everything from campaign financing over gerrymandering to voter registration.
Turtle really dropped the ball on this one (as he does with all of his plans) as he's effectively given an idea no one was giving any attention to a lot of unwelcome credibility.
Streisand Effect writ large.
Edited by CharlesPhipps on Feb 27th 2019 at 2:45:27 AM
Author of The Rules of Supervillainy, Cthulhu Armageddon, and United States of Monsters.And Cohen is publicly singing like a goddamned mockingbird
Friends, Tropers, decent human beings, among other things we have documented charity fraud; direct communication between Trump and Stone (and Stone and Assange) on the DNC hack days before it happened; President Trump's signature on a check reimbursing hush money (signed August 1, 2017); (understood) direction from Trump to lie - and Trump's personal lawyers editing and revising Cohen's statements to Congress - on Moscow Tower; and my personal favorite:
As I mentioned, I’m giving the Committee today copies of a letter I sent at Mr. Trump’s direction threatening these schools with civil and criminal actions if Mr. Trump’s grades or SAT scores were ever disclosed without his permission. These are Exhibit 6.
The irony wasn’t lost on me at the time that Mr. Trump in 2011 had strongly criticized President Obama for not releasing his grades. As you can see in Exhibit 7, Mr. Trump declared “Let him show his records” after calling President Obama “a terrible student.”
Edited by TheAirman on Feb 27th 2019 at 5:02:03 AM
PSN ID: FateSeraph | Switch friendcode: SW-0145-8835-0610 Congratulations! She/TheyAlso this delicious bit of venom:
Mr. Trump claimed it was because of a bone spur, but when I asked for medical records, he gave me none and said there was no surgery. He told me not to answer the specific questions by reporters but rather offer simply the fact that he received a medical deferment.
He finished the conversation with the following comment. “You think I’m stupid, I wasn’t going to Vietnam.”
I find it ironic, President Trump, that you are in Vietnam right now.
Just got a notification that Cohen's testimony has begun.
Link should work for live watching
From the sounds of it, your roommate's drunk on the Privilege Kool-Aid. People who encounter no bigotry in their own day to day life because of the privilege they were born into tend to assume that bigotry is a historical footnote; something that once existed in the United States, but was ended by the civil rights movement and no longer exists today.
It's a comfortable lie that absolves them of having to be invested in today's struggles. Lazy apathy is a hell of a drug.
Edited by TobiasDrake on Feb 27th 2019 at 8:30:53 AM
My Tumblr. Currently side-by-side liveblogging Digimon Adventure, sub vs dub.I'll point out that polls at this juncture are rather worthless, that reflects his name recognition and little else.
Once the primary actually starts and candidates positions and histories start actually being critically examined by people that will almost certainly shift.
Sounds like they don't understand the difference between dejure and defacto.
Edited by Fourthspartan56 on Feb 27th 2019 at 10:35:35 AM
"Einstein would turn over in his grave. Not only does God play dice, the dice are loaded." -Chairman Sheng-Ji Yang

And I'm not sure it's a safe bet that enough Democratic voters will realize any flaws in their candidate effectively cease to matter if the alternative is Trump term 2.
Edited by sgamer82 on Feb 26th 2019 at 11:33:45 AM