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Edited by Mrph1 on Nov 30th 2023 at 11:03:59 AM
Mitch's seat is not as safe as the term "red state" might imply. In the 2014 red wave, he got 4% less votes than Romney two years earlier, and if it had been a blue wave like 2018 he'd have squeaked by with only 4% margin. That "America's least popular senator" title has teeth. Besides, he likes that Senate majority, and people like Cory Gardner, Susan Collins, Thom Tillis, Joni Ernst and Martha McSally have even less safe seats.
Edited by SeptimusHeap on Jan 26th 2019 at 11:00:56 AM
"For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled." - Richard FeynmanThe Electoral System is something I've argued about not being the Albatross people think it is.
(I changed my mind but even then I think it's entirely possible to win it on democracy because, well, plenty of president have. It's just we have two narrow victories by Presidents who CHEATED and didn't get called on it)
I'm not going to argue that again but will simply point out that Trump will almost certainly lose because the idea it's all about a vast legion of rednecks voting for him while the sane city-dwellers don't is a myth.
Obama and Original Clinton won with extensive mandates. It is not an issue of pure divide along red and blue lines. Plenty of states are swing states too or have voters who vote according to their beliefs.
Edited by CharlesPhipps on Jan 26th 2019 at 12:31:25 PM
Author of The Rules of Supervillainy, Cthulhu Armageddon, and United States of Monsters.If the Republicans lose the Senate majority that could be the death knell for Mitch's leadership. Even if Trump took the lion's share of blame for the loss he was enabled by Mitch's leadership, and there has to be at least one Republican in the Senate who wants the top spot enough to knife him when he's down.
The Electoral Collage is only a problem when the popular vote is very close. Get a larger majority on your side, and even the EC cant stop the inevitable.
I hope you all are right about Mitch not being as safe as he seems to think he is. That would be a very significant victory.
Edited by DeMarquis on Jan 26th 2019 at 3:34:31 PM
I'm done trying to sound smart. "Clear" is the new smart.It's absolutely an albatross when Republican candidates can win the presidency on five separate occasions with less votes, or that a Republican president has been in office for ten years of the eighteen completed years of the 21st Century while winning the popular vote only once in the past five.
And the rural GOP redneck vs the urban Democrat is reflected time and again in most states. Some states such as Virginia only went blue because of the cities. The only reason you keep going on about this is because you're from the area, and while I'm sure it would sting to see shade thrown on your home all the time, that's just the truth.
"For all those whose cares have been our concern, the work goes on, the cause endures, the hope still lives, and the dream shall never die."I am a little less sanguine than Shaoken considering that Mitch didn't get the boot after his unimpressive performance during the 2012 Senate elections. So if folks want to get rid of Evil Turtle for good - which would be the biggest or second-biggest prize of 2020, but veery hard to get to - it has to be through Kentucky. Merely removing his majority would at best be a temporary setback for that man.
To be fair to Charles Phipps, back in 2012 we were discussing in this very thread that Obama might win the Electoral College and lose the popular vote.
"For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled." - Richard FeynmanFive dead after a Louisiana shooting spree. Suspect is detained.
Politics is the skilled use of blunt objects.Shooter is white (so there's possibility of racist/political motive) and killed his parents before going on his killing spree. Yikes.
Fiat iustitia, et pereat mundus.Only odd thing about this is that these kinds of killings usually end with the shooter either charging the cops or turning their weapons on themselves.
That said, I'm apparently incorrect about him being detained, I assumed that the picture was a mugshot. Police are currently tracking him.
Edited by Rationalinsanity on Jan 26th 2019 at 6:03:51 AM
Politics is the skilled use of blunt objects.Senator Michael Bennet from Colorado completely destroyed Ted Cruise yesterday in an off the cuff speech, and it’s glorious.
The full speech
is about 25 minutes, but here’s the first part.
Honestly, I consider the facial hair an improvement for Cruz. Before, he had one of the most punchable faces in the US, right up there with Shkreli in terms of the Smug Snake look. Now he looks a bit more approachable and has a defined jawline courtesy of the trimmed beard.
"Why would I inflict myself on somebody else?"

McConnell's already been blamed for the shutdown by at least one person in his in own party.
Edited by sgamer82 on Jan 26th 2019 at 1:25:11 PM