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Edited by Mrph1 on Nov 30th 2023 at 11:03:59 AM
Trump will win or lose in the Midwest states (Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and so forth), the ones he flipped to take 2016. Without those he doesn't have a realistic path to 270+ EV.
Its too early to start making pronouncements, but it should be noted that the Democrats did well in state wide races throughout the Midwest last November. Combined with Trump's negatives being way up (less Democrats will stay home because they know exactly what that got them last time), the trends are looking hopeful.
Politics is the skilled use of blunt objects.Correct me if I'm wrong about that.
They've been far-right for a while, it's just that with Trump they've pretty much ditched any pretense of being anything other than authoritarian reactionaries/fascists.
"Einstein would turn over in his grave. Not only does God play dice, the dice are loaded." -Chairman Sheng-Ji YangSo it would seem.
It's...disconcerting, to say the least.
Here's another particularly strange piece on CNN. I'm not quite sure what to make of it, other than Trump being good at conning people.
https://www.cnn.com/2019/01/07/politics/donald-trump-authentic-shutdown/index.html
The extrapolation from that though - I'm not so sure I agree with that.
Edited by TechPriest90 on Jan 7th 2019 at 3:19:41 PM
I hold the secrets of the machine.Something else to remember about Trump's popularity being pretty consistent is that he started out unusually unpopular, and just hasn't plateaued away from that in either direction.
I think some people have it in their heads that there's a line he could cross that would make him unpopular with everyone but that just doesn't exist. Frankly, it probably doesn't exist with any politician; we're talking about a country of well over three hundred million people, you can find someone to approve of anything/anyone if you look hard enough.
Its kind of irritating that the Democrats are the conservatives and the liberals.
Both uncomfortably exist in the "not insane party" so there's no actual Two Party System.
Just Nutjobs vs. The Adults in the Room.
The natural conflict in the country is warped by the fact the Republicans are such reactionary shills.
Edited by CharlesPhipps on Jan 7th 2019 at 1:04:54 AM
Author of The Rules of Supervillainy, Cthulhu Armageddon, and United States of Monsters.Considering how steadily and in some cases rapidly the Democratic Party has moved to the left (to the point that major reform like Medicare for All is viable) I think it's rather disingenuous to call the party as a whole 'conservative'.
The Blue Dogs are extinct and the centrists are more and more comfortable with more radical reform, there aren't any major conservative blocs (by any non-stupid definition of conservative) remaining.
Edited by Fourthspartan56 on Jan 7th 2019 at 4:09:05 AM
"Einstein would turn over in his grave. Not only does God play dice, the dice are loaded." -Chairman Sheng-Ji YangArkansas law requiring state contractors pledge not to boycott Israel has court challenge
U.S. District Judge Brian Miller heard arguments in the Arkansas Times' lawsuit challenging the state's 2017 anti-boycott law. Miller said he hoped to rule soon on whether to block the law, which the Times and the American Civil Liberties Union argue is unconstitutional. The law requires contractors to reduce their fees by 20 percent if they don't sign the pledge.
The Times' lawsuit says the University of Arkansas Pulaski Technical College refused to contract for advertising with the newspaper unless the Arkansas Times signed the pledge. The paper isn't engaged in a boycott against Israel.
"It makes the plaintiff endorse the idea that the government can make an individual take a political position as a condition of getting money," Bettina Brownstein, an attorney for the ACLU of Arkansas, told Miller.
The state has argued that a boycott isn't constitutionally protected speech, and that the pledge doesn't force the Times to take a political position.
"It simply certifies a factual statement about whether or not the Times intends to boycott," Assistant Solicitor General Dylan Jacobs said.
Arkansas' law is similar to restrictions enacted in other states that have been challenged. The measures are aimed at a movement protesting Israel's policies toward Palestinians.
A federal judge in September blocked Arizona from enforcing a similar measure. A federal judge also blocked Kansas from enforcing its anti-boycott measure, but lawmakers rewrote the measure so that it no longer applied to individuals and nonprofits and only applied to state contracts worth $100,000 or more. Arkansas' law applies to contracts worth $1,000 or more.
A federal lawsuit was filed last month against a similar law in Texas.
Yes and it would be GLORIOUS.
Especially as Denny and Trumpy share their inability to admit defeat by Loophole Abuse.
Author of The Rules of Supervillainy, Cthulhu Armageddon, and United States of Monsters.Senate Democrats are considering blocking all votes that aren't about passing a clean budget.
Politics is the skilled use of blunt objects.
Reading tropes such as You Know What You Did
The experts get triggered over any suggestion of Trump supporters having a revolt or declaring martial law because it is very much outside the realm of possibility. It would be more likely, so I understand, that you know those political thrillers and law enforcement work directly for the President? It's more likely Trump would be secretly trying to sell US nukes to raise funds for the wall.
Had anyone thought to check?
Currently reading up My Rule Fu Is Stronger than YoursOn the one hand, that's a good thing to all those who do depend on the ITR every year. On the other hand, there goes one of our bargaining chips with the Shut down, and there's goes one of our chances to get Trump to call this Shut Down off. Food Stamp Funds will still run out towards the end of the month, though...

So in effect the GOP is now a far-right party. At least, that's the gist of it from what I'm reading in here.
Correct me if I'm wrong about that.
EDIT: Pagetopper. Yay.
Edited by TechPriest90 on Jan 7th 2019 at 3:09:03 PM
I hold the secrets of the machine.