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Edited by Mrph1 on Nov 30th 2023 at 11:03:59 AM

Parable Since: Aug, 2009
#260451: Nov 6th 2018 at 8:07:02 PM

Steve Russell (R-OK) just lost his seat to Democrat Kendra Horn. This race wasn't even on the map, he should have won handily.

megaeliz Since: Mar, 2017
#260452: Nov 6th 2018 at 8:07:39 PM

A list of flipped seats that i’ve seen so far:

  1. VA-10 - Jennifer Wexton
  2. FL-27 - Donna Shalala
  3. NY 2 New Jersey
  4. PA-05 - Mary Gay Scanlon
  5. CO-06 - Jason Crow
  6. PA-17 - Conor Lamb
  7. MN-03 - Dean Phillips
  8. KC-03 - Sharice Davids!
  9. NJ-11 - Mikie Sherrill
  10. NY-11 - Max Rose shocks an R incumbent on red-red Staten Island
  11. PA-07 - Susan Wild takes Charlie Dent’s seats
  12. VA-02 - Elaine Luria
  13. PA-08 - Chrissy Houlihan
  14. TX-32 Colin Allred
  15. MI-11 - Hailey Stevens
  16. IL-06 Sean Casten

[down] House. These are just the one’s I’ve seen so there might be more.

Edited by megaeliz on Nov 6th 2018 at 11:09:32 AM

MarqFJA The Cosmopolitan Fictioneer from Deserts of the Middle East (Before Recorded History) Relationship Status: Anime is my true love
The Cosmopolitan Fictioneer
#260453: Nov 6th 2018 at 8:07:48 PM

[up][up] & [up]: Senate or House?

Also, Google gives me an AP chart that says "50 seats R, 40 D, 1 Other, 9 uncalled". Sounds like the GOP cannot gain a 60-seat majority.

Edited by MarqFJA on Nov 6th 2018 at 7:08:09 PM

Fiat iustitia, et pereat mundus.
ViperMagnum357 Since: Mar, 2012
#260454: Nov 6th 2018 at 8:07:50 PM

As for my home state of Maine: King looks safe, up almost 20 points with 33% reporting. Pingree is a looking like a hold for the Democrats, and District 2 is a dogfight within a percentage point with 31% reporting. The tax for home health care is getting crushing and likely DOA, but the other 4 look like comfortably passes. Janet Mills is up 8 points with 33% reporting, so a decent chance of the Democrats taking another Governor's chair. State legislature is a mess: 2 called for (D) in the house, but the state senate looks ugly, with 6 of 9 reporting Red right now with 8+ point leads.

Edited by ViperMagnum357 on Nov 6th 2018 at 11:09:36 AM

PushoverMediaCritic I'm sorry Tien, but I must go all out. from the Italy of America Since: Jul, 2015 Relationship Status: watch?v=dQw4w9WgXcQ
I'm sorry Tien, but I must go all out.
#260455: Nov 6th 2018 at 8:08:45 PM

Oh no, that fucking Arizona proposition to ban taxes on services is leading yes at 66% to 34%. I hope that changes with more votes counted.

Cris_Meyers reluctant author, willing misanthrope from Chicagoland (Fifth Year at Tropey's) Relationship Status: Showing feelings of an almost human nature
reluctant author, willing misanthrope
#260456: Nov 6th 2018 at 8:08:51 PM

1. How many Senate seats remain to be called? 2. How many are Republican but aren't a long shot to flip?

6, I think, and really none. The AZ election is a 50/50 shot, but the others are either not held by anyone (the former holder isn't running) or held by Democrats.

Edited by Cris_Meyers on Nov 6th 2018 at 10:09:00 AM

CrimsonZephyr Would that it were so simple. from Massachusetts Since: Aug, 2010 Relationship Status: It's complicated
Would that it were so simple.
#260457: Nov 6th 2018 at 8:09:09 PM

Gillum ran as a Black and Proud candidate in Florida and came within a point of the garden variety Southern racist. That's disappointing, but you guys aren't looking at the long game. Contextually, it's anomalous, and better than conventional wisdom would hope for. Florida's Democratic Party hasn't had a good statewide presence in a long time. We're going to need more than one election to rebuild that network of voters and candidates.

"For all those whose cares have been our concern, the work goes on, the cause endures, the hope still lives, and the dream shall never die."
Swanpride Since: Jun, 2013
#260458: Nov 6th 2018 at 8:09:28 PM

The Senate is lost for sure. Ten seats remains to get called, but the Republicans have a 50 to 40 lead already. Even if the Dems get all the seats left (which they most likely won't), in the case of a tie Pence is the one who get the final decision.

Rationalinsanity from Halifax, Canada Since: Aug, 2010 Relationship Status: It's complicated
#260459: Nov 6th 2018 at 8:09:51 PM

Sad to see that the polls were off in Florida.

But winning the House and all those state level positions is huge. Trump's legislative agenda is cooked for 2 years and Mueller is likely safe.

Plus, the world has been shown that Americans (as a whole, Red States are still largely shitty but everyone knows that) are willing to punish Republicans for all their BS. So that's a 2 year reprieve on being written off as a viable ally for anyone other than the far-right, Russia and a few Banana Republics.

Politics is the skilled use of blunt objects.
Silasw A procrastination in of itself from A handcart to hell (4 Score & 7 Years Ago) Relationship Status: And they all lived happily ever after <3
A procrastination in of itself
#260460: Nov 6th 2018 at 8:10:52 PM

Yeah Republicans can't gain a 60 seat majority in the senate, they have 50 seats currently and one of the remaining 10 is California where it's two democrats on the ballot.

We're looking at between 51 and 56 senate seats for the Republicans, probably 55 with only Montana going blue.

Edited by Silasw on Nov 6th 2018 at 4:12:02 PM

“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ Cyran
Cris_Meyers reluctant author, willing misanthrope from Chicagoland (Fifth Year at Tropey's) Relationship Status: Showing feelings of an almost human nature
reluctant author, willing misanthrope
#260461: Nov 6th 2018 at 8:11:47 PM

A list of flipped seats that i’ve seen so far: ... IL-06 Sean Casten

This makes me happy on a personal level. I used to live in that district and the Republican that was there was deeply, deeply insufferable. A reliable Republican butt-in-seat that only kept getting re-elected through being the incumbent.

LSBK Since: Sep, 2014
#260462: Nov 6th 2018 at 8:12:20 PM

Like, this night is a mixed-bag but that was expected. Talking about a mixed-bag as if it's an overwhelming lose isn't any more logical than taking it for granted that we'd totally take back the Senate (which I still don't recall a lot of people doing).

SeptimusHeap from Switzerland (Edited uphill both ways) Relationship Status: Mu
#260463: Nov 6th 2018 at 8:12:58 PM

Failing to stop Mcconnell is a big loss...

"For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled." - Richard Feynman
PresidentStalkeyes Eats moldy bread and flies into windows from United Kingdom of England-land Since: Feb, 2016 Relationship Status: Do you like me? (Yes ⎕ Definitely ⎕ Absolutely!!! ⎕)
Eats moldy bread and flies into windows
#260464: Nov 6th 2018 at 8:13:17 PM

Was just wondering something about the Senate; I already know that pretty much all the Senate seats that were up for re-election this year were occupied by Democrats, but is there a common reason as to why they all got flipped so badly?

Those sell-by-dates won't stop me because I can't read!
wisewillow She/her Since: May, 2011
She/her
#260465: Nov 6th 2018 at 8:13:19 PM

I’m gonna reiterate- we didn’t “lose” the Senate. We never had it, nor a realistic chance of getting it.

Rationalinsanity from Halifax, Canada Since: Aug, 2010 Relationship Status: It's complicated
#260466: Nov 6th 2018 at 8:13:27 PM

[up][up]Because they were in red states where Trump is still popular.

Taking back the Senate is very possible in 2020, the map there is arguably worse for the Republican than 2018 was for the Democrats.

Edited by Rationalinsanity on Nov 6th 2018 at 12:14:05 PM

Politics is the skilled use of blunt objects.
Silasw A procrastination in of itself from A handcart to hell (4 Score & 7 Years Ago) Relationship Status: And they all lived happily ever after <3
A procrastination in of itself
#260467: Nov 6th 2018 at 8:13:32 PM

The Mississippi special senate election has gone to a run off by the way, the Republicans are predicted to win it come December.

“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ Cyran
Imca (Veteran)
#260468: Nov 6th 2018 at 8:13:49 PM

Right "Punish republicans for the BS", we are now drowning in a red senate, with 10 to go and them already being at the point that they were, with no even small chance for the rare pangs of conscious or inability to work together that saved us last time.

We have house, but all that does is secure Mullers job, who at this point has become something of a pipe dream as well.

Tobias is right, we need to stop pretending that we are a temporarily embarrassed majority, large parts of the country have proven yet agian that there still shit.

We DID loose the senate, because there is a notable difference between your house being on fire, and your house being on fire, with a tsunami bearing down on it, and right now there is a chance the republicans could get a super majority.... you know about the same chance that we dont loose any more seats.

Edited by Imca on Nov 6th 2018 at 8:15:12 AM

Swanpride Since: Jun, 2013
#260469: Nov 6th 2018 at 8:14:18 PM

Frankly, I am stunned that De Santis could win anything. He belongs on a list with people like Boris Johnson which are just so stupid that I just don't get how anyone would support them.

[up] Naturally they are, otherwise Trump wouldn't be in power in the first place. But considering how systematically the Reps undermined the voting system in the US, that the Dems were able to flip so many seats despite all this (and despite the huge amount of money spend by the Republicans) it encouraging, because they needed a pretty high majority to even do so.

Edited by Swanpride on Nov 6th 2018 at 8:18:10 AM

Parable Since: Aug, 2009
#260470: Nov 6th 2018 at 8:14:28 PM

There were several high profile races that people got their hopes up about, despite polls showing we weren't going to do well in the Senate. I think some people are projecting their disappointment from those onto the whole election.

TechPriest90 Servant of the Omnissiah from Collegia Titanica, Mars, Sol System Since: Sep, 2015 Relationship Status: Above such petty unnecessities
Servant of the Omnissiah
#260471: Nov 6th 2018 at 8:15:11 PM

A small victory is better than no victory at all. Small steps and all that.

One can also take comfort in the fact that savage obstructionism can be used against the GOP and Trump for the next two years. With a little luck, 2020 might turn out to be a bad year for the ruling dispensation.

All in all, a satisfactory outcome, if not exactly what people were hoping for.

I hold the secrets of the machine.
Draghinazzo (4 Score & 7 Years Ago) Relationship Status: I get a feeling so complicated...
#260472: Nov 6th 2018 at 8:15:13 PM

Making a broad critique is fine but I don't think anyone here has really been taking it for granted that Donald and the GOP were guaranteed to get cooked or that people shouldn't be fighting. That's why I find this rhetoric so puzzling.

Cris_Meyers reluctant author, willing misanthrope from Chicagoland (Fifth Year at Tropey's) Relationship Status: Showing feelings of an almost human nature
reluctant author, willing misanthrope
#260473: Nov 6th 2018 at 8:15:33 PM

Was just wondering something about the Senate; I already know that pretty much all the Senate seats that were up for re-election this year were occupied by Democrats, but is there a common reason as to why they all got flipped so badly?

Bad timing, plus was Rational Insanity said about having to defend Senate seats in states Trump won (North Dakota, Missouri)

The Senate is divided into 3rds, with a 3rd being up for re-election every two years. 2020 will see the Class of 2014 up for re-election. Which was has far more Republican seats up for Re-election.

Edited by Cris_Meyers on Nov 6th 2018 at 10:17:40 AM

Rationalinsanity from Halifax, Canada Since: Aug, 2010 Relationship Status: It's complicated
#260474: Nov 6th 2018 at 8:15:34 PM

@Imca; taking the House halts the GOP agenda, and gives the Democrats control over a host of investigative bodies. And the state level victories can help undue some of that gerrymandering and start building up grassroots for future elections.

Politics is the skilled use of blunt objects.
M84 Oh, bother. from Our little blue planet Since: Jun, 2010 Relationship Status: Chocolate!
Oh, bother.
#260475: Nov 6th 2018 at 8:15:51 PM

Anyone who seriously thought we'd somehow take the Senate was not being realistic.

I had more or less accepted that we'd probably lose more Senate seats. Making gains in the House, and maybe governor seats and state legislatures too? I'll take it.

Disgusted, but not surprised

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