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Edited by Mrph1 on Nov 30th 2023 at 11:03:59 AM
51% in this context means 51% more votes than the Democrat (so 71% to 20%), sorry for not being clear about that.
Should have said margin of victory there, my bad folks.
Edited by Silasw on Nov 6th 2018 at 11:40:22 AM
“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ CyranMore exit poll news, Dems are apparently trusted on healthcare by 58% of voters (compared to 34% who trust republicans), now that's a good sign if the other exit polls showing healthcare as the major issues hold out.
Edited by Silasw on Nov 6th 2018 at 11:45:44 AM
“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ CyranLots of polls are about to close, so prepare for lots of info to start dropping over the next hour. I'm going to try and post any district that gets to 50% reporting and give the current margin compared to the margin predicted by 538.
“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ CyranA number of seats are now being called, however they mean nothing as they're uncontested races, so if you see seat numbers suddenly start appearing you can't draw anything from it.
I'm still shocked that you guys have any seats go uncontested, I'd figure that each party should be able to run paper candidates if nothing else.
Edited by Silasw on Nov 6th 2018 at 12:07:16 PM
“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ CyranSmall bit of news, Kim Davis (the country clerk who made news for refusing to issue same sex marriage licences in 2015) is currently behind in her bid for re-election in Kentucky, with 33% reporting.
“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ CyranNot liking this from 538 podcast:
The senate race is one that leans democratic but is competitive., keep in mind that we're talking one out of many counties and without it even having all the votes counted yet, so extrapolating from such a small bit of data is dangerous.
“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ Cyran![]()
Bahahaha it does not lean democratic. As a Hoosier, lol, no. And Donnelly winning in 2012 was a surprise; Richard Mourdock made the delightful error of saying, during a debate right before the election, that a woman who gets pregnant by her rapist is carrying a “gift from God” and thus must have the child.
“I struggled with it myself for a long time, but I came to realize life is that gift from God,” he said. “And I think even when life begins in that horrible situation of rape, that it is something that God intended to happen.” Mourdock, who became visibly emotional while speaking, supports abortion only to save a mother’s life, not in cases of rape and incest.
Yeeeeeesh. So that put Donnelly over the top.
Edited by wisewillow on Nov 6th 2018 at 7:31:58 AM

Not if they want to hold the House, it indicates that 538 are right with their predictions, which is bad for Republicans because 538 predict the Dems taking the House.
edit: Hold though, looks like it was an instant call, actual numbers being reported are bellow 1%, so we can't extrapolate from the margin yet. I'm still waiting for more reports from Indiana 9 and 2.
Edited by Silasw on Nov 6th 2018 at 11:38:54 AM
“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ Cyran