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Edited by Mrph1 on Nov 30th 2023 at 11:03:59 AM

Silasw A procrastination in of itself from A handcart to hell (4 Score & 7 Years Ago) Relationship Status: And they all lived happily ever after <3
A procrastination in of itself
#260176: Nov 6th 2018 at 3:37:22 PM

Not if they want to hold the House, it indicates that 538 are right with their predictions, which is bad for Republicans because 538 predict the Dems taking the House.

edit: Hold though, looks like it was an instant call, actual numbers being reported are bellow 1%, so we can't extrapolate from the margin yet. I'm still waiting for more reports from Indiana 9 and 2.

Edited by Silasw on Nov 6th 2018 at 11:38:54 AM

“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ Cyran
sgamer82 Since: Jan, 2001
#260177: Nov 6th 2018 at 3:38:38 PM

Yeah, if they're holding on to a "safe" seat by the thinnest possible margin what will the unsafe ones look like?

SeptimusHeap from Switzerland (Edited uphill both ways) Relationship Status: Mu
#260178: Nov 6th 2018 at 3:39:02 PM

Er, how many votes are counted in that district? If the election was called with really only 51-49 that would require a huge swing far outside of margin of error.

"For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled." - Richard Feynman
Silasw A procrastination in of itself from A handcart to hell (4 Score & 7 Years Ago) Relationship Status: And they all lived happily ever after <3
A procrastination in of itself
#260179: Nov 6th 2018 at 3:39:35 PM

51% in this context means 51% more votes than the Democrat (so 71% to 20%), sorry for not being clear about that.

Should have said margin of victory there, my bad folks.

Edited by Silasw on Nov 6th 2018 at 11:40:22 AM

“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ Cyran
RainehDaze Nero Fangirl (4 Score & 7 Years Ago)
Nero Fangirl
#260180: Nov 6th 2018 at 3:41:03 PM

For clarity's sake, I propose either using the absolute vote percentage or sticking a + in front of it to indicate that this is the margin. [lol]

Silasw A procrastination in of itself from A handcart to hell (4 Score & 7 Years Ago) Relationship Status: And they all lived happily ever after <3
A procrastination in of itself
#260181: Nov 6th 2018 at 3:43:57 PM

More exit poll news, Dems are apparently trusted on healthcare by 58% of voters (compared to 34% who trust republicans), now that's a good sign if the other exit polls showing healthcare as the major issues hold out.

Edited by Silasw on Nov 6th 2018 at 11:45:44 AM

“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ Cyran
Swanpride Since: Jun, 2013
#260182: Nov 6th 2018 at 3:46:02 PM

How is Kentucky still so red? Didn't the tariffs do some damage in the state?

Silasw A procrastination in of itself from A handcart to hell (4 Score & 7 Years Ago) Relationship Status: And they all lived happily ever after <3
A procrastination in of itself
#260184: Nov 6th 2018 at 3:47:29 PM

We got some fun irony out of Georgia, apparently Kemp had trouble voting today, serves him right.

“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ Cyran
AzurePaladin She/Her Pronouns from Forest of Magic Since: Apr, 2018 Relationship Status: Mu
She/Her Pronouns
#260185: Nov 6th 2018 at 3:49:31 PM

[up] [awesome][awesome][awesome] He deserves it more than anyone in the state.

The awful things he says and does are burned into our cultural consciousness like a CRT display left on the same picture too long. -Fighteer
SeptimusHeap from Switzerland (Edited uphill both ways) Relationship Status: Mu
#260186: Nov 6th 2018 at 3:51:03 PM

Not enough unless he loses the whole election by at least 2.7%

"For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled." - Richard Feynman
TechPriest90 Servant of the Omnissiah from Collegia Titanica, Mars, Sol System Since: Sep, 2015 Relationship Status: Above such petty unnecessities
Servant of the Omnissiah
#260187: Nov 6th 2018 at 3:57:01 PM

Just got back from work. Quite the line outside the polling station earlier this day (Texas, for those who are curious).

An interesting night, to be sure. I have the beer ready. If it's Blues, probably going to open Champagne. If Reds, more beer.

I hold the secrets of the machine.
Silasw A procrastination in of itself from A handcart to hell (4 Score & 7 Years Ago) Relationship Status: And they all lived happily ever after <3
A procrastination in of itself
#260188: Nov 6th 2018 at 3:58:08 PM

Lots of polls are about to close, so prepare for lots of info to start dropping over the next hour. I'm going to try and post any district that gets to 50% reporting and give the current margin compared to the margin predicted by 538.

“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ Cyran
tclittle Professional Forum Ninja from Somewhere Down in Texas Since: Apr, 2010
Professional Forum Ninja
#260189: Nov 6th 2018 at 4:02:43 PM

Sanders and Kaine expect to keep their seats.

"We're all paper, we're all scissors, we're all fightin' with our mirrors, scared we'll never find somebody to love."
Silasw A procrastination in of itself from A handcart to hell (4 Score & 7 Years Ago) Relationship Status: And they all lived happily ever after <3
A procrastination in of itself
#260190: Nov 6th 2018 at 4:03:55 PM

A number of seats are now being called, however they mean nothing as they're uncontested races, so if you see seat numbers suddenly start appearing you can't draw anything from it.

I'm still shocked that you guys have any seats go uncontested, I'd figure that each party should be able to run paper candidates if nothing else.

Edited by Silasw on Nov 6th 2018 at 12:07:16 PM

“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ Cyran
SeptimusHeap from Switzerland (Edited uphill both ways) Relationship Status: Mu
#260191: Nov 6th 2018 at 4:04:05 PM

Bernie Sanders, since I keep confusing his name with Sarah Huckabee Sanders.

"For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled." - Richard Feynman
AlleyOop Since: Oct, 2010
#260192: Nov 6th 2018 at 4:08:35 PM

Just voted, straight Dems all the way.

Silasw A procrastination in of itself from A handcart to hell (4 Score & 7 Years Ago) Relationship Status: And they all lived happily ever after <3
A procrastination in of itself
#260193: Nov 6th 2018 at 4:13:47 PM

Small bit of news, Kim Davis (the country clerk who made news for refusing to issue same sex marriage licences in 2015) is currently behind in her bid for re-election in Kentucky, with 33% reporting.

“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ Cyran
SeptimusHeap from Switzerland (Edited uphill both ways) Relationship Status: Mu
#260194: Nov 6th 2018 at 4:14:25 PM

Not liking this from 538 podcast:

Tiny Switzerland County isn’t staying neutral in Indiana’s 2018 Senate race. In the 2012 Senate race, it was almost evenly split, going for the GOP candidate by a little more than 1 point. But this time around, Republican Mike Braun is ahead by 32 points with 10 of 12 precincts reporting.

"For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled." - Richard Feynman
sgamer82 Since: Jan, 2001
#260195: Nov 6th 2018 at 4:17:12 PM

Was that Senate race one of the toss-ups?

Silasw A procrastination in of itself from A handcart to hell (4 Score & 7 Years Ago) Relationship Status: And they all lived happily ever after <3
A procrastination in of itself
#260196: Nov 6th 2018 at 4:19:12 PM

The senate race is one that leans democratic but is competitive., keep in mind that we're talking one out of many counties and without it even having all the votes counted yet, so extrapolating from such a small bit of data is dangerous.

“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ Cyran
Illven Since: Jun, 2016
#260197: Nov 6th 2018 at 4:24:25 PM

So, um as a long term lurker. (Since the summer before the 2016 election.)

I figured with this election time to stop lurking.

Voted earlier today, straight democratic ticket in New York.

megaeliz Since: Mar, 2017
wisewillow She/her Since: May, 2011
She/her
#260199: Nov 6th 2018 at 4:31:13 PM

[up][up] [up]Bahahaha it does not lean democratic. As a Hoosier, lol, no. And Donnelly winning in 2012 was a surprise; Richard Mourdock made the delightful error of saying, during a debate right before the election, that a woman who gets pregnant by her rapist is carrying a “gift from God” and thus must have the child.

“I struggled with it myself for a long time, but I came to realize life is that gift from God,” he said. “And I think even when life begins in that horrible situation of rape, that it is something that God intended to happen.” Mourdock, who became visibly emotional while speaking, supports abortion only to save a mother’s life, not in cases of rape and incest.

Yeeeeeesh. So that put Donnelly over the top.

Edited by wisewillow on Nov 6th 2018 at 7:31:58 AM

Swanpride Since: Jun, 2013
#260200: Nov 6th 2018 at 4:32:51 PM

Please, please tell me that the 10 districts which are already called for the Republicans were safe districts for them.


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