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Edited by Mrph1 on Nov 30th 2023 at 11:03:59 AM
The Dems might gain one, but even then the Republicans will still control the senate due to Pence.
The Dems have a very small chance of taking control (17%), they would need at least one state to have an across the board polling error in their favour and for them to do well in all the other states.
Now polling errors do happen and there are some senate races that haven’t been polled, but they’re generally safe ones that aren’t going to cause an upset.
“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ Cyran"Today Trump is focusing on Latinos, Middle-Easterners and people from places like Nigeria, Cameroon and so on. How much longer before he decides to take a snipe at South Asians?"
His former chief advisor Steve Bannon had been pushing for limiting Asian immigration long before Trump took office. I don't know how harsh his current advisors are towards South Asia, but it's safe to say they're cut from the same cloth.
What's keeping him from doing anything right now is that Indians aren't migrating en masse at the moment. Trump can't unilaterally block immigration, so he's doing the next best thing by keeping the peoples who are migrating the most out with trumped up national security scares.
There's probably some design in that. To be fair, I'm probably breaking Hanlon's Razor (how will Hanlon shave now?).
Other people have explained the odds for the House and Senate but one thing that I feel the need to point out is that come 2020 the situation will flip in that the Republicans will have a map
almost as bad for them as the 2018 map is for Democrats.
So if we can avoid losing too much ground then we can make up or even exceed losses.
And if best case scenario we take the Senate (which is implausible but not impossible) then we can do even better come 2020.
So Senate wise things are not as bad as they look long term, even if 2018 is historically bad.
Also, both the House and especially State legislatures have very real power so it would be a mistake to fixate only on the Senate. And unlike the Senate, our odds are quite excellent in both.
Edited by Fourthspartan56 on Oct 28th 2018 at 10:32:16 AM
"Einstein would turn over in his grave. Not only does God play dice, the dice are loaded." -Chairman Sheng-Ji Yang![]()
It's probably not malice per se. More like slow progression and what have you. Also brand power.
So CNN was responable for a MAGA Nut trying to blow them up?
It's okay to joke about it, right? I mean, nobody actually got injured.
Edited by CookingCat on Oct 28th 2018 at 8:32:38 AM
I was watching Fox News this morning, and I was really surprised at how they were attempting to turn college into yet another of their imagined cultural war issues. This would be unthinkable in my country, where it is appropriately viewed as a place of learning, above all, where some teachers very occasionally find time for political musings.
If I was an uninformed viewer, I would assume it was a place where professors allowed absolutely no dissent or pupil interventions and the students were all no-free speech absolutists.
Life is unfair...When you fan of flames hatred your hands will get burned too,that is to say,Trump or someone close to him could end up being the victim of his own violence,the bomber was critical of Trump too,and it isn't a huge leap to suggest that as well as endangering himself Trump has put future Presidents at risk
have a listen and have a link to my discord serverThis is why you can't take any calls for unity he says seriously. Because later in the same day he'll violate his own call and mock his opponents. We saw it repeatedly in the last two weeks, since every other day he's been doing a rally and wanted to hype up the crowd, and apparently the only way to do that is to be his usual bully self.
And the results of this irresponsibility? "CNN SUCKS" was a chant at said rallies. This is only a few days after having to evacuate because of bomb threats. Absolutely appalling.
Edited by speedyboris on Oct 29th 2018 at 8:39:39 AM
Yeah, that was me.
What Did You Think Would Happen?
From The Root, by Michael Harriot.
He must have been really hungry because, after a minute or so, he bent over the toaster to see if the elements were heated (I must admit, this is just a rough guess of his motives; we’ve never really discussed this incident in depth). And just as Reggie’s eyes were peering directly into the slots, about an inch from the appliance, it happened.
When the bread was ejected, tiny crumbs of baked bread flew into Reggie’s eyes, at which I laughed for days. But it wasn’t just the sight of breadcrumbs in my cousin’s eyes that made me laugh. It was the sentence that still doubles me over with laughter every time I think about my cousin calling for help from our maternal grandparent by screaming:
“Grandma, I think I’m blind ... I got toast in my eye!”
...
It will happen again. More people will die specifically because of the kind of environment that this president has created. He has enabled and legitimized hate. Normal, balanced people won’t likely go as far. They just might simply use the n-word in the Winn-Dixie or call the police on a cookout. But it all ties back to Trump’s America.
The same thing that makes Trump’s minions laugh and chant will eventually make us all cry. We cannot be surprised when someone puts white supremacy into a toaster and white hot hate and fear pops out.
This country is blind. America has hate in its eye.

Also, there's a couple of other things that worry me.
Full disclosure - I'm Indian. I came here to study sometime in 2015, and finished my Master's Degree. I was lucky enough to get hired within 9 months of graduation, and I'm about to begin work. What I'm worried about is this pretty harsh rhetoric against foreigners.
I mean no ill-will - I just came here like so many others looking to make a better life. Yet for some reason I'm being put in a class of "bad people" simply because I was born under a different flag.
Today Trump is focusing on Latinos, Middle-Easterners and people from places like Nigeria, Cameroon and so on. How much longer before he decides to take a snipe at South Asians?
I'll also admit that when he first got elected I had high hopes - he'd promised to overhaul the immigration system. Make it more like the one the Canadians have - allow skilled workers to immigrate easier.
I'm completely disillusioned given recent events. Don't even know what to think.
I hold the secrets of the machine.