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wisewillow She/her Since: May, 2011
She/her
#256551: Oct 4th 2018 at 1:48:53 PM

My favorite law professor and mentor was on the original list of 650 law professors last night; several other professors from my law school are on the expanded 1,700 member list. Although now I’m very very curious as to which professors haven’t seen it, versus which outright refused to sign it, and why.

Fourthspartan56 from Georgia, US Since: Oct, 2016 Relationship Status: THIS CONCEPT OF 'WUV' CONFUSES AND INFURIATES US!
#256552: Oct 4th 2018 at 1:57:25 PM

I don't know if you're thinking of a different metric, but the enthusiasm gap for the midterms has vanished, down from a Dem 10 point lead to statistical tie of 2.

I'm referring to a different metric, but I also feel the need to point out that the one you're using is from a single poll which IIRC was revealed to be highly flawed.

A few pages back I posted data from the Pew research center which showed that 82% of Democratic supporting voters care about the Supreme Court vs 72% of Republican-supporting voters.

Edited by Fourthspartan56 on Oct 4th 2018 at 5:01:19 AM

"Einstein would turn over in his grave. Not only does God play dice, the dice are loaded." -Chairman Sheng-Ji Yang
DingoWalley1 Asgore Adopts Noelle Since: Feb, 2014 Relationship Status: Can't buy me love
Asgore Adopts Noelle
#256553: Oct 4th 2018 at 1:58:36 PM

[up][up][up]

How would he 'not get in quick enough'? Wouldn't he be a member of the SC the minute he was confirmed?

Yes, but from my understanding, Justices normally don't get into court cases the session they're sworn in, and this session of the SC has already started. Gorsuch was sworn in in early 2017, when the 2016-2017 Session for the SC was on, and he didn't rule on any of those decisions. Maybe I'm wrong, though.

CookingCat Since: Jul, 2018
#256554: Oct 4th 2018 at 2:04:49 PM

[up]x10 Yeah, East Asia is China, South Korea, North Korea, Mongolia and Japan, plus Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan, while Southeast Asia is Thailand, Malaysia, Myanmar/Burma, Cambodia, Laos, The Philippines, Singapore, Indonesia, Brunei, Timor-Leste/East Timor and Vietnam, as well as the Australian territories of Christmas Island and the Cocos (Keeling) Islands.

Ultimatum Disasturbator from the Amiga Forest (Old as dirt) Relationship Status: Who needs love when you have waffles?
Disasturbator
#256555: Oct 4th 2018 at 2:06:41 PM

I'm not counting 10 posts to find out who you're responding you,use quotes or something!

(bring back timestamps!)

have a listen and have a link to my discord server
danime91 Since: Jan, 2012 Relationship Status: Above such petty unnecessities
#256556: Oct 4th 2018 at 2:07:54 PM

[up][up]Huh, just now looking at that, I find myself realizing that it's almost divided into brown Asians and not-so-brown Asians. How'd that happen?

Edited by danime91 on Oct 4th 2018 at 2:07:20 AM

DingoWalley1 Asgore Adopts Noelle Since: Feb, 2014 Relationship Status: Can't buy me love
Asgore Adopts Noelle
#256557: Oct 4th 2018 at 2:07:58 PM

And now I'm getting report that a Whip working for Sen. Grassley (R-TN) has not gotten a response from 4 Republican Senators on Kavanaugh's Confirmation. The Whip is also worried that they're not gonna get any Democratic Support (which they might actually need).

Fingers crossed, but I'm holding my breath.

CookingCat Since: Jul, 2018
#256558: Oct 4th 2018 at 2:27:06 PM

[up][up] Southeast Asians have more Indian and Buddhist/Hindu influences in their cultures than East Asians.

Edited by CookingCat on Oct 4th 2018 at 2:43:49 AM

Fourthspartan56 from Georgia, US Since: Oct, 2016 Relationship Status: THIS CONCEPT OF 'WUV' CONFUSES AND INFURIATES US!
#256559: Oct 4th 2018 at 2:33:58 PM

And now I'm getting report that a Whip working for Sen. Grassley (R-TN) has not gotten a response from 4 Republican Senators on Kavanaugh's Confirmation. The Whip is also worried that they're not gonna get any Democratic Support (which they might actually need).

Honestly, at this point I'm just not going to make any assumptions one way or another until the vote is called, it's just not an efficient use of energy otherwise.

Also there better be no Democratic defections, that kind of stupidity and immorality should not be permitted within the Party.

"Einstein would turn over in his grave. Not only does God play dice, the dice are loaded." -Chairman Sheng-Ji Yang
sgamer82 Since: Jan, 2001
#256560: Oct 4th 2018 at 2:35:56 PM

Not at this point, anyway. Is anyone other than Manchin at risk of doing so?

Also, I've lost track, are we still at the stage of voting whether or not to bring Kavanaugh before the full Senate? If so, isn't that a much smaller committee vote? If so, are we basically waiting to see if McConnell thinks he has enough votes to pull it off in full Senate before going to committee?

Edited by sgamer82 on Oct 4th 2018 at 3:39:01 AM

SeptimusHeap from Switzerland (Edited uphill both ways) Relationship Status: Mu
#256561: Oct 4th 2018 at 2:42:59 PM

Heidi Heitkamp from North Dakota is.

"For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled." - Richard Feynman
3of4 Just a harmless giant from a foreign land. from Five Seconds in the Future. Since: Jan, 2010 Relationship Status: GAR for Archer
Just a harmless giant from a foreign land.
#256562: Oct 4th 2018 at 2:44:27 PM

According to reports (from her Brother) Heitkamps is voting her conscience in this, despite being a Red State democrat, and is thus a No.

"You can reply to this Message!"
LSBK Since: Sep, 2014
#256563: Oct 4th 2018 at 2:44:46 PM

Also wasn't there some worry about the Democrat from Indiana?

MrHellboy The Shadow from A world of my own Since: Dec, 2017 Relationship Status: Yes, I'm alone, but I'm alone and free
The Shadow
#256564: Oct 4th 2018 at 2:46:02 PM

Joe Donnelly came out as a solid No a few days ago, I believe. And now Heitkamp as well. It's just Manchin who is still on the fence (ugh. He really needs to just switch parties and be done with it)

Edited by MrHellboy on Oct 4th 2018 at 4:45:50 AM

The hardest thing in this world is to live in it.
Fourthspartan56 from Georgia, US Since: Oct, 2016 Relationship Status: THIS CONCEPT OF 'WUV' CONFUSES AND INFURIATES US!
#256565: Oct 4th 2018 at 2:52:00 PM

Joe Donnelly came out as a solid No a few days ago, I believe. And now Heitkamp as well. It's just Manchin who is still on the fence (ugh. He really needs to just switch parties and be done with it)

I strongly disagree on Manchin, he votes reliably 80% of the time and thus is much better as Democrat instead of a Republican. He'll only vote Yes if he is sure that the Republicans have the votes. Which admittedly may make him a bad person but he's useful enough.

"Einstein would turn over in his grave. Not only does God play dice, the dice are loaded." -Chairman Sheng-Ji Yang
Gilphon (4 Score & 7 Years Ago)
#256566: Oct 4th 2018 at 2:59:56 PM

I highly doubt Manchin would vote Yes if he thinks he'll be the deciding vote. Because in that scenario, the entire Democratic party- including both the people who elected him and the people he works with every day- will be extremely pissed at him. Like, voting against the party can be tolerated if it's not a hugely important issue and/or his vote alone wouldn't have changed things, but here, if he votes Yes and two Republicans vote No... That'd be really bad for him.

Draghinazzo (4 Score & 7 Years Ago) Relationship Status: I get a feeling so complicated...
Ultimatum Disasturbator from the Amiga Forest (Old as dirt) Relationship Status: Who needs love when you have waffles?
Disasturbator
#256568: Oct 4th 2018 at 3:50:07 PM

I wonder if all the opposition to Kavanaugh might lead him to withdraw from nomination process altogether regardless of which Republican vote for him,in which case they'd just choose someone else

have a listen and have a link to my discord server
Draghinazzo (4 Score & 7 Years Ago) Relationship Status: I get a feeling so complicated...
#256569: Oct 4th 2018 at 3:50:57 PM

It's not going to, if anything that will just make him feel even more entitled to be on the Court to assert himself and Republicans will gladly rally around him.

SteamKnight Since: Jun, 2018
#256570: Oct 4th 2018 at 4:03:35 PM

[up][up] Nah, at this point, there is no way that Kavanaugh or the Republicans are going to just back down quietly. They already go this far. Why would they stop now?

I'm not as witty as I think I am. It's a scientifically-proven fact.
unknowing from somewhere.. Since: Mar, 2014
#256571: Oct 4th 2018 at 4:06:11 PM

On the other hand, it show how dire tihng is if something as strightfoward as picking a SCOTUS can dry the republicans in term of effort put it.

I mean, I feel that if we translate this to a actual war, it will be a one of those "why we start this in the first place?" in how quicly everything scalated.

"My Name is Bolt, Bolt Crank and I dont care if you believe or not"
RainehDaze Nero Fangirl (4 Score & 7 Years Ago)
Nero Fangirl
#256572: Oct 4th 2018 at 4:06:20 PM

[up][up] Long-term political gain because they could get literally anyone less divisive in after the midterms and use "vote for our nominee!" as a way to try and boost turnout that won't be available (and is outright reversed) if they confirm a petulant sexual predator against the wishes of major church organisations, legal scholars, and the damn bar association?

Edited by RainehDaze on Oct 4th 2018 at 12:08:47 PM

kkhohoho (4 Score & 7 Years Ago)
#256573: Oct 4th 2018 at 4:07:56 PM

[up]Basically that. If they confirm him now, they will fuck themselves. Not that I think they care at this point.

Ultimatum Disasturbator from the Amiga Forest (Old as dirt) Relationship Status: Who needs love when you have waffles?
Disasturbator
#256574: Oct 4th 2018 at 4:08:06 PM

Right,he's weathering the storm so to speak,you have people actually protesting (saw it on news) against him and you have lots of other people/organisations who are voicing their objections,if it were anyone else they might buckle under the strain but he's a stubborn ass and won't budge

have a listen and have a link to my discord server
sgamer82 Since: Jan, 2001
#256575: Oct 4th 2018 at 4:14:14 PM

He's flat out said he wouldn't iirc


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