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Edited by Mrph1 on Nov 30th 2023 at 11:03:59 AM
The polls have tended to be pretty accurate, with most being within the margin of error for 08 and 12 with one major exception- and they are currently sitting this election out while they debug their mode.
Is using "Julian Assange is a Hillary butt plug" an acceptable signature quote?Something longer-term than just the next 36 hours from 538: The nationalization of politics (including the contemporary gridlock) trickles down into state governments.
This is apparently not that new - there's a graph showing that state legislature swings have tracked with the US Congress since WW 1.
I was wondering (and I do not mean to make it sound conjecturing or bashing), since we've seen the extreme side of conservative Republicans, coined the alt-right, is there an alt-left? Because I was thinking on the rise of the alt-right, and you usually can't have just have the yang without the ying.
President Obama remarks on Trump's losing his Twitter privileges:
He turns it into a "You can't handle the Nuclear Codes if..."
Also:
"Clinton has 90 percent chance of winning: Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation" - http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN1322J1
edited 7th Nov '16 1:15:43 PM by sgamer82
Why This Autism Mom Must Vote For Hillary
I'd already posted one thing about autism and voting - here is another, just one day before Election Day.
Like everyone else, I’m concerned about the economy, climate change, ISIS and national security. But what keeps me up nights most is family security. Specifically, the security of my autistic young adult son.
Which candidate will best protect his interests and help him achieve a meaningful place in society?
Not Donald Trump. Whether it’s dismissing vets with PTSD, mocking a deaf actress or a New York Times reporter with arthrogryposis, vengefully withholding health care coverage for his nephew’s disabled infant, or making fun of Senator Harry Reid’s blinding eye injury, Trump treats people with disabilities as a punch line.
My son’s future is nothing to joke about.
It’s clear who will advocate for him. Hillary Clinton’s concern for the rights of the disabled has bracketed her entire career. Her first job out of law school was to go door to door for the Children’s Defense Fund to find out why so many children were missing school. She discovered that schools weren’t accommodating kids with disabilities. The documentation she compiled was pivotal in pushing forward the special education law that eventually became the Individuals with Disabilities Education Act (I.D.E.A.), the most important piece of civil rights legislation for children with disabilities ever passed in this country.
The special needs community desperately needs a champion. Services for disabled adults are abysmal. Children like mine exit the school system into a woefully ill-prepared, bureaucratized and difficult-to-navigate adult social service system charged with meeting their needs. My son graduated three years ago. He now attends a Medicaid-funded day program. He is not employed. I’m terrified for his future. I.D.E.A. guaranteed him an education, but after the age of 21, all the mandated educational supports and services vanish. Once that little yellow school bus stops coming to the front door, it’s like falling off a cliff. The system spent 16 years educating him, only to let him languish the next 60 years stuck at home in front of the TV.
He’s not alone. More than 3.5 million Americans are now believed to have an autism spectrum disorder; the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s estimates ASD affects one in 68 American children. The disability community isn’t a special interest group. A recent Rutgers study found that one sixth of the electorate is disabled, and the U.S. Census estimates that nearly 20 percent of the U.S. population has a disability. Americans with disabilities continue to be left out of the workforce. For those who are employed, too many are in under-stimulating jobs that don’t fully allow them to use their talents.
Clinton has framed this issue not just as one of health care benefits or social services, but as an economic one as well, focusing on full inclusion of disabled people in the economy. She has not only acknowledged the needs of people with disabilities and mental health concerns. She has specific, comprehensive plans and policies to address them. She is committed to fulfilling the promise of the Americans with Disabilities Act.
Her Plan to Support Children, Youth, and Adults Living with Autism and their Families highlights the need for increased research funding, universal screening, diagnosis, treatment services, bullying prevention, improved housing and employment opportunities, and safety and legal protections across the lifespan. Her initiatives seek to integrate people with disabilities into the nation’s economy. This issue, she says, “really goes to the heart of who we are as Americans.”
Her plan includes provisions to provide tax relief to assist families caring for aging relatives, as well as members with chronic illnesses or disabilities. Disability advocates and scientists hail her comprehensive initiative as the most detailed policy document on autism in U.S. presidential election history.
Disability issues were front and center throughout the Democratic National Convention, which — symbolically — took place the same week we commemorated the 26th year anniversary of the passage of the I.D.E.A. Disability rights advocate Anastasia Samoza offered a ringing endorsement of Clinton: “In a country where 56 million Americans with disabilities so often feel invisible, Hillary Clinton sees me.”
I know she sees my son too. She has pledged to fully support “a group of Americans who are, too often, invisible, overlooked and undervalued, who have so much to offer but are given too few chances to prove it.”
Clinton is pragmatic. She has a record of reaching across the aisle and getting things done. Her plan fully takes into account the needs of our disabled adult population. It has the potential to be as far reaching and life-altering as I.D.E.A. My son deserves that most basic of human rights: a life without fear of abuse, one filled with meaning and purpose.
"She has a record of reaching across the aisle and getting things done," but good luck with that, considering what our Republicans have turned into.
Alt lefters would probably include the kinds of crazy anti-imperialists who are so concerned with sticking it to The White Man that they whitewash ISIS and Al Qaeda as a bunch of freedom fighters and claim that all the foreign terrorist attacks they took credit for were really false flags by Western governments to justify imperialism in the Middle East and their ilk. Also the different flavors of hard greens, pseudohistorians, pseudointellectual college kooks who spew statements like "the word 'homophobic' is ableist" and "logic, numbers, and any use of physical force are for straight white men and therefore evil", and OG "social justice warriors" in the classical 2012, Gisei Nashi Ni sense of the term.
I see that Fivethirtyeight are showing Florida, North Carolina, and Nevada as light blue again. That's promising because they don't account for early voting in their model, so there must have been new positive (for Clinton) polls from those states in the last day or two. Those polls, presumably, wouldn't account for early voters, either, except maybe by having them in the category of "likely voter".
Quod gratis asseritur, gratis negatur.The alt-left has everything from hardcore Communists to environuts (the kind who spike trees and dynamite bulldozers) to anti-science Luddites (who want us all to live in hippie communes hugging trees and dying of cholera) to the violently anti-religion atheist crowd to God knows what else. They have no real political voice, which can be seen in the current polling of the Green Party.
edited 7th Nov '16 1:37:42 PM by Fighteer
"It's Occam's Shuriken! If the answer is elusive, never rule out ninjas!"That's the difference between alt-left and alt-right: rational-minded people all recognize that both are batshit insane, but for some reason the alt-right actually has some degree of political power. I know I'd view the alt-left as being just as destructive/dangerous as the alt-right if they had a strong political voice as well.
"Can't make an omelette without breaking some children." -BurThat's true; the alt-left is generally too wrapped up in We ARE Struggling Together and/or just being completely turned off from the political process to offer a coherent voice. There's also the horseshoe effect, noted above, wherein the most extreme left voices share the antisocial nature of the extreme right, as well as the "accelerationist" viewpoint that seeks to break down the system as rapidly as possible in order to force change.
edited 7th Nov '16 1:49:42 PM by Fighteer
"It's Occam's Shuriken! If the answer is elusive, never rule out ninjas!"Tomorrow is the election day.
So please vote, and vote not only in presidential election, but also in the other elections. I know what stupid and vile people can do to a country and its laws on the sad example of Poland. I don't want to have also the USA drown in their own idiocy.
Please vote the stupid people out. Even on a state level, it could save lifes.
edited 7th Nov '16 1:49:56 PM by WojtekPod
There's no campaigning or polling on Election Day right? So shouldn't the predictors be locking in their predictions at some point tonight? As there will be no new info tomorrow until the polls start closing.
“And the Bunny nails it!” ~ Gabrael “If the UN can get through a day without everyone strangling everyone else so can we.” ~ CyranI didn't know what Alley Oop meant with the whole Gisei Nashi Ni thing so I googled it.
It was a rabbit hole of the most twisted form of "Social Justice" I ever heard of and I'm sad I know about this now.
Stand Fast, Stand Strong, Stand Together![]()
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Gore did win Florida. Had Florida been allowed to recount votes as per their own state law (which called for a statewide hand recount where any ballot that showed voter intent is considered a valid vote), it would have shown that he won. Instead the Bush campaign sued to stop the recount because reasons, and the Florida state supreme court (largely appointed by his brother) and the SCOTUS (largely appointed by his dad) allowed it.
edited 7th Nov '16 1:53:37 PM by NativeJovian
Really from Jupiter, but not an alien.The point where "Stein" finally lost me completely in the mock debate was when she mentioned that she wanted to cut the military by 50%. I'm sorry, and you might not like that we are the world police, but *somebody* has to keep the peace worldwide and contain regimes like Russia, and there really aren't any options other than us for the role right now.
"I have not failed. I've just found 10,000 ways that won't work." -Thomas Edison

Ana Navarro, a senior staffer at the GOP who worked with Mc Cain, Huntsman and Jeb Bush, has voted for Clinton/against Trump. She cited Florida's status as a key state as a reason for not writing in her mother.
http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/07/opinions/navarro-republican-voting-for-clinton/index.html
Politics is the skilled use of blunt objects.