I doubt many of them will get back in prison: Cuba has loosened up a fair bit. Raśl Castro is a more rational actor than his brother, more of a pragmatist. If oppressing the Cubans a bit less, freeing some prisoners and doing some limited reforms will get the embargo lifted and the tourist dollars a'comin', he's likely to go through with it. At any rate, this is great news: If this kinda thing is properly incentivized by lifting restrictions on Cuba (in a tit-for-tat strategy), further reforms might be coming.
He's kept the travel ban because America keeps theirs. In all likelihood, it won't
be lifted until America lifts its own travel ban: At best, you could get both lifted simultaneously. It's time for the US to lift the Travel Ban. Americans should be able to travel wherever the Hell they want, and the same goes for Cubans. Countries shouldn't
regulate their citizens' behavior when outside their borders anyway: It ain't none of their business.
In short? The Castros want
to modernize the country: They're holding onto the thuggery because lifting it's bargaining chips: Encourage'em and let'em save face, and the reforms will happen. Wonder why the Castros made few reforms during the Bush years? 'Cause Bush was an anti-Cuba zealot, likely to snub Cuban overtures and reforms and decline to offer anything in return. The Castros, by and large, couldn't get nothing by loosening up, so they didn't. Obama's far more reasonable when it comes to Cuba: At least he's tried to avoid making matters worse. The Castros know
Obama won't make'em lose face when they loosen up, so they're far more disposed to do it. It's actually very simple.
edited 24th Dec '11 6:14:44 AM by SavageHeathen
You exist because we allow it and you will end because we demand it.