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Are we nearing the Singularity?
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Are we nearing the Singularity?:

Over the past few years technology has been advancing at a very rapid pace. It seems like the latest technology gets outdated the next day.

With this rapid advance in technlogy, how long till something is created that changes human existence forever? I'd say a minor singularity has already happened with the advent of the internet.

The other day there was a news article about a man who got his iphone integrated into a prothetic limb.

Could we be close?

Lover of masks.
Short answer NO* !

Long answer NO* !
Please.
 3 pvtnum 11, Thu, 8th Dec '11 10:18:30 AM from Kerbin low orbit Relationship Status: We finish each other's sandwiches
OMG NO NOSECONES
Oh look, this topic again.

I want my flying car and jetpack, and an MMORPG in which the NPC's are all controlled by an AI, rather than merely repeating pre-programmed dialogue and waypoint nodes.

Then you can have your Singularity.
Happiness is zero-gee with a sinus cold.
 4 Mandemo, Thu, 8th Dec '11 10:44:21 AM from Cookie Jar Relationship Status: Above such petty unnecessities
GIMME COOKIES!
Short, no.

Long: Nooo*is shot for repeating joke*

We are nowhere near. It will take atleast 50 more years at current technological pace, assuming it is not opposed, to reach clumsy, prototype level technologies that would allow Singularity.
 5 CDRW, Thu, 8th Dec '11 10:57:58 AM Relationship Status: Mu
You mean the next singularity?

If by "soon", you mean "within our lifetimes", then probably. It's still decades off, though.

^ Yeah, I'm surprised people don't realize this. "Singularity" is kind of a poor word choice, since technological advances that comepletely re-shape society have already happened before. Most people didn't use the internet 20 years ago, and now it's literally tied into everything.

edited 8th Dec '11 11:04:22 AM by RTaco

 7 lord Gacek, Thu, 8th Dec '11 11:13:59 AM from Kansas of Europe
KVLFON
Rapture for nerds. Pfffhht.
"Atheism is the religion whose followers are easiest to troll"
 8 CDRW, Thu, 8th Dec '11 11:18:35 AM Relationship Status: Mu
[up][up] Not to mention the grandaddy of all Singularities, agriculture.

 9 Tzetze, Thu, 8th Dec '11 11:27:48 AM from a converted church in Venice, Italy
DUMB
Shouldn't you be more concerned with data, statistics, you know, rather than making threads just because you have a gut feeling.
 10 Clarste, Thu, 8th Dec '11 11:52:54 AM Relationship Status: Non-Canon
Three Steps
Well, I can certainly see it as something that quickly and surprisingly. Well, in terms of the "AI smart enough to improve its own intelligence" paradigm. That's the kind of thing that can occur with a sudden breakthrough.

 11 Ekuran, Thu, 8th Dec '11 12:09:20 PM from somewhere. Relationship Status: watch?v=dQw4w9WgXcQ
Hi.
The hardware for a human-like Smart A.I. is probably going to be reached sometime during the 2020's. Assuming a few more years are needed for the software to catch up and the transition to quantum computation after silicon computers have reached their limits, I'd say an A.I. smart enough to improve its own intelligence (or, basically, smarter than us) will probably be seen somewhere between 2030-2050.
[Insert seemingly profound or amusing phrase here.]
 12 CDRW, Thu, 8th Dec '11 12:13:33 PM Relationship Status: Mu
We already have the hardware, or at least, we already have computers that can perfom more FLOPS than the human brain.

[up][up][up] This. By the time we will actually be at the point where we could predict the remaining time until superhuman AI, the existing, exponencially increasing technology itself will speed up progress so quickly, that it will happen practically instantly.

 14 Tzetze, Thu, 8th Dec '11 12:30:38 PM from a converted church in Venice, Italy
DUMB
Assuming a few more years are needed for the software to catch up

This is like saying that now that movable type has been invented, we'll only have to wait a few years for Shakespeare to come along (and be widely disseminated).

edited 8th Dec '11 12:31:19 PM by Tzetze

Rapture for nerds. Pfffhht.

Yeah, I think that pretty much captured it. Not that I can't see the appeal in fantasizing and thinking about this sort of thing. (Obviously there's nothing wrong with that.) But it's not realistic. Not any time in the foreseeable future at least.

 16 The Earth Sheep, Thu, 8th Dec '11 2:51:26 PM from a Pasture hexagon
Christmas Sheep
No.
Still Sheepin'
Singularity is actually quite close... if it hasnt happened already.

I will always cherish the chance of a new beggining.
 18 feotakahari, Thu, 8th Dec '11 3:35:41 PM from Looking out at the city
Fuzzy Orange Doomsayer
I have written a story that 15, 000 people have read. Thanks to the Internet, this is not that unusual.

This has not rendered life unrecognizable.

There is no singularity. The Law of Conservation of Normality can never be broken.

edited 8th Dec '11 3:35:59 PM by feotakahari

That's Feo . . . He's a disgusting, mysoginistic, paedophilic asshat who moonlights as a shitty writer—Something Awful
 19 Oscredwin, Thu, 8th Dec '11 3:36:44 PM from The Frozen East
Cold.
[up] It just hasn't happened yet.
Sex, Drugs, and Rationality
[up][up] Related: http://www.questionablecontent.net/view.php?comic=2071 and the next one (2072).

edited 8th Dec '11 3:47:28 PM by GreatLich

 21 USAF713, Thu, 8th Dec '11 3:58:54 PM from the United States
I changed accounts.
The Singularity is only such in retrospect.

I'd say the current Singularity began in the late '80s, with the Internet.
I am now known as Flyboy.
The internet has its beginnings in the 60's even. The world wide web is the 80's, indeed.

 23 Tzetze, Thu, 8th Dec '11 4:23:18 PM from a converted church in Venice, Italy
DUMB
Has everybody given up on the whole "infinite growth" thing? The reason it's called a "singularity" in the first place?
 24 Excelion, Thu, 8th Dec '11 5:32:49 PM from The Fatherland
The hardware for a human-like Smart A.I. is probably going to be reached sometime during the 2020's. Assuming a few more years are needed for the software to catch up and the transition to quantum computation after silicon computers have reached their limits, I'd say an A.I. smart enough to improve its own intelligence (or, basically, smarter than us) will probably be seen somewhere between 2030-2050.

TechnoCore in 2700, then?
 25 Yej, Fri, 9th Dec '11 6:22:45 AM from <0,1i>
See ALL the stars!
[up][up] It just looks infinite from a human viewpoint. The Deus Est Machinas will just think it's normal.

edited 9th Dec '11 6:22:57 AM by Yej

Da Rules excuse all the inaccuracy in the world. Listen to them, not me.
Total posts: 27
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