Over the past few years technology has been advancing at a very rapid pace. It seems like the latest technology gets outdated the next day. With this rapid advance in technlogy, how long till something is created that changes human existence forever? I'd say a minor singularity has already happened with the advent of the internet. The other day there was a news article about a man who got his iphone integrated into a prothetic limb. Could we be close?
Lover of masks.
Short answer NO* ! Long answer NO* !
OMG NO NOSECONES
Oh look, this topic again. I want my flying car and jetpack, and an MMORPG in which the NPC's are all controlled by an AI, rather than merely repeating pre-programmed dialogue and waypoint nodes. Then you can have your Singularity.
Happiness is zero-gee with a sinus cold.
Short, no. Long: Nooo*is shot for repeating joke* We are nowhere near. It will take atleast 50 more years at current technological pace, assuming it is not opposed, to reach clumsy, prototype level technologies that would allow Singularity.
You mean the next singularity?
If by "soon", you mean "within our lifetimes", then probably. It's still decades off, though. ^ Yeah, I'm surprised people don't realize this. "Singularity" is kind of a poor word choice, since technological advances that comepletely re-shape society have already happened before. Most people didn't use the internet 20 years ago, and now it's literally tied into everything.
edited 8th Dec '11 11:04:22 AM by RTaco
Rapture for nerds. Pfffhht.
"Atheism is the religion whose followers are easiest to troll"
Not to mention the grandaddy of all Singularities, agriculture.
Shouldn't you be more concerned with data, statistics, you know, rather than making threads just because you have a gut feeling.
One Winged Egret
Well, I can certainly see it as something that quickly and surprisingly. Well, in terms of the "AI smart enough to improve its own intelligence" paradigm. That's the kind of thing that can occur with a sudden breakthrough.
The hardware for a human-like Smart A.I. is probably going to be reached sometime during the 2020's. Assuming a few more years are needed for the software to catch up and the transition to quantum computation after silicon computers have reached their limits, I'd say an A.I. smart enough to improve its own intelligence (or, basically, smarter than us) will probably be seen somewhere between 2030-2050.
[Insert seemingly profound or amusing phrase here.]
We already have the hardware, or at least, we already have computers that can perfom more FLOPS than the human brain.
This. By the time we will actually be at the point where we could predict the remaining time until superhuman AI, the existing, exponencially increasing technology itself will speed up progress so quickly, that it will happen practically instantly.
Assuming a few more years are needed for the software to catch upThis is like saying that now that movable type has been invented, we'll only have to wait a few years for Shakespeare to come along (and be widely disseminated).
edited 8th Dec '11 12:31:19 PM by Tzetze
Rapture for nerds. Pfffhht. Yeah, I think that pretty much captured it. Not that I can't see the appeal in fantasizing and thinking about this sort of thing. (Obviously there's nothing wrong with that.) But it's not realistic. Not any time in the foreseeable future at least.
Singularity is actually quite close... if it hasnt happened already.
I will always cherish the chance of a new beggining.
Fuzzy Orange Doomsayer
I have written a story that 15,000 people have read. Thanks to the Internet, this is not that unusual. This has not rendered life unrecognizable. There is no singularity. The Law of Conservation of Normality can never be broken.
edited 8th Dec '11 3:35:59 PM by feotakahari
That's Feo . . . He's a disgusting, mysoginistic, paedophilic asshat who moonlights as a shitty writer—Something Awful
It just hasn't happened yet.
Sex, Drugs, and Rationality
Related: http://www.questionablecontent.net/view.php?comic=2071 and the next one (2072).
edited 8th Dec '11 3:47:28 PM by GreatLich
I changed accounts.
The Singularity is only such in retrospect. I'd say the current Singularity began in the late '80s, with the Internet.
I am now known as Flyboy.
The internet has its beginnings in the 60's even. The world wide web is the 80's, indeed.
Has everybody given up on the whole "infinite growth" thing? The reason it's called a "singularity" in the first place?
The hardware for a human-like Smart A.I. is probably going to be reached sometime during the 2020's. Assuming a few more years are needed for the software to catch up and the transition to quantum computation after silicon computers have reached their limits, I'd say an A.I. smart enough to improve its own intelligence (or, basically, smarter than us) will probably be seen somewhere between 2030-2050.TechnoCore in 2700, then?
See ALL the stars!
It just looks infinite from a human viewpoint. The Deus Est Machinas will just think it's normal.
edited 9th Dec '11 6:22:57 AM by Yej
Da Rules excuse all the inaccuracy in the world. Listen to them, not me.