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Fighteer Lost in Space from The Time Vortex (Time Abyss) Relationship Status: TV Tropes ruined my love life
Lost in Space
#226: May 24th 2011 at 8:53:34 AM

The question is what prompted that spending. Obama came into office during a major recession and was already committed to the programs Bush put into place to stimulate the economy, never mind two wars. So, he presided over the loss of federal revenue from reduced GDP, the need for massive stimulus to get us out of said recession, and the need for troop escalations in Afghanistan, none of which were his fault.

Tom, your rhetoric implies that your preferred solution to the recession would have been to pull the rug completely from under the country's finances, reducing us to a 19th century economy and possible resulting civil war. It also seems that you and the Tea Partiers in Congress continue to want to take us there. Compared to that I'll accept big deficits.

"It's Occam's Shuriken! If the answer is elusive, never rule out ninjas!"
Exploder Pretending to be human Since: Jan, 2001
Pretending to be human
#227: May 24th 2011 at 9:00:19 AM

^ I'll play a bit of Devil's Advocate and say Obama, to me at least, ordered the troop escalation in Afghanistan of his own volition.

edited 24th May '11 9:00:45 AM by Exploder

GameChainsaw The Shadows Devour You. from sunshine and rainbows! Since: Oct, 2010
The Shadows Devour You.
#228: May 24th 2011 at 9:01:51 AM

The Surge? Yeah, that one is on Obama. On the other hand, the alternative was letting the Taliban walk all over the forces there. The military needed more resources and Obama gave them.

The term "Great Man" is disturbingly interchangeable with "mass murderer" in history books.
storyyeller More like giant cherries from Appleloosa Since: Jan, 2001 Relationship Status: RelationshipOutOfBoundsException: 1
More like giant cherries
#229: May 24th 2011 at 9:23:43 AM

Don't forget the massive tax cuts Bush saddled us with.

Blind Final Fantasy 6 Let's Play
TheyCallMeTomu Since: Jan, 2001 Relationship Status: Anime is my true love
#230: May 24th 2011 at 9:24:28 AM

OH BUT DON'T YOU REMEMBER?! TAX CUTS RAISE REVENUE DURP HURP HURP.

(yeah, no).

edited 24th May '11 9:24:45 AM by TheyCallMeTomu

Midgetsnowman Since: Jan, 2010
#231: May 24th 2011 at 11:51:53 AM

How In the world anyone with basic economics knowledge can assume tax cuts equals greater revenue has no idea what the word revenue means.

TheyCallMeTomu Since: Jan, 2001 Relationship Status: Anime is my true love
#232: May 24th 2011 at 12:07:42 PM

"Tax cuts cause economic growth. Growth leads to higher revenues. Therefore, tax cuts generate revenue!"

SavageHeathen Pro-Freedom Fanatic from Somewhere Since: Feb, 2011
Pro-Freedom Fanatic
#234: May 24th 2011 at 12:56:07 PM

In theory, income tax cuts on the working and lower middle classes increase disposable income for consumers. That boosts consumption: More sales tax revenue!

Unlike government spending (it often serves other purposes), consumption is all stimulus for the economy.

edited 24th May '11 12:56:27 PM by SavageHeathen

You exist because we allow it and you will end because we demand it.
TheyCallMeTomu Since: Jan, 2001 Relationship Status: Anime is my true love
#235: May 24th 2011 at 12:58:22 PM

The problem is that cuts on income taxes don't help out the unemployed. Meanwhile, money from the government in the form of unemployment checks are some of the best stimulus around.

victorinox243 victorinox243 Since: Nov, 2009
victorinox243
#236: May 24th 2011 at 1:12:04 PM

In times of crisis, people are less willing to spend money. Just giving more people more money to dispose of won't suddenly encourage them to blow all their surplus on the economy.

People waste in times of good, and save in times of bad, when it should be the other way around. But then of course the economy wouldn't grow as fast, would it?

Fighteer Lost in Space from The Time Vortex (Time Abyss) Relationship Status: TV Tropes ruined my love life
Lost in Space
#237: May 24th 2011 at 1:25:39 PM

There are two problems. One, cutting taxes for the lower/middle class may have a stimulus effect, but if doing so also causes social programs to be cut and/or government employees to be laid off, you're taking with the same hand that you're giving. The lower the person on the income scale, the less the benefit of the tax reduction and the greater the effect of the loss of services. In other words, you're taking from the poor to give to the rich.

If you reduce taxes and don't reduce spending, then you're in a pure stimulus cycle, but of course this raises debt, which, Keynesian theory aside, is counterproductive in the long term, or needs to be balanced by corresponding tax increases when you're in a growth cycle.

The second problem is that lowering taxes on the rich has a far smaller stimulus effect than by lowering them on the poor/middle class. This is because they aren't going to spend the money; they save or invest it. Rich people saving money doesn't help things in the short term. It might make the stock market go up a bit, and it makes lots of money for bankers and investment managers, but it has a much lower net gain in terms of economic output.

In short, and despite Repubs' screams of outrage, taxing the rich is far better for an economy than taxing the poor. Conversely, giving money to the poor has far more immediate benefit than giving it to the rich.

edited 24th May '11 1:34:23 PM by Fighteer

"It's Occam's Shuriken! If the answer is elusive, never rule out ninjas!"
Karmakin Moar and Moar and Moar Since: Aug, 2009
Moar and Moar and Moar
#238: May 24th 2011 at 3:01:30 PM

Yup. It all has to do with churn rates. Money churns faster for the poor than it does for the rich. The more churning there is, the more tax income that comes in. That said, there are other things at play, for example an economy where there's a shortage of investment capital could probably use a tax cut for the rich.

That said, one way or another I strongly believe talking about tax rates is entirely the wrong place to be looking at this.

Democracy is the process in which we determine the government that we deserve
GameChainsaw The Shadows Devour You. from sunshine and rainbows! Since: Oct, 2010
The Shadows Devour You.
#239: May 24th 2011 at 3:02:49 PM

Nonetheless it highlights how completely ass-backwards the Republicans seem to have got things.

The term "Great Man" is disturbingly interchangeable with "mass murderer" in history books.
pvtnum11 OMG NO NOSECONES from Kerbin low orbit Since: Nov, 2009 Relationship Status: We finish each other's sandwiches
OMG NO NOSECONES
#240: May 24th 2011 at 4:08:42 PM

Fighteer: Using that logic (and I think I can agree with it) one would think that giving middle and lower-income families a tax break while increasing the taxes on the rich would be ideal, among other things.

Just a matter of finding points on the income scale to divvy up the lower/middle from the rich.

Happiness is zero-gee with a sinus cold.
TheyCallMeTomu Since: Jan, 2001 Relationship Status: Anime is my true love
#241: May 24th 2011 at 6:14:35 PM

And that's why Socialism is the best thing EVAR!

MajorTom Eye'm the cutest! Since: Dec, 2009 Relationship Status: Barbecuing
Eye'm the cutest!
#242: May 24th 2011 at 6:24:49 PM

^ Bahahahahahaha!

"Allah may guide their bullets, but Jesus helps those who aim down the sights."
storyyeller More like giant cherries from Appleloosa Since: Jan, 2001 Relationship Status: RelationshipOutOfBoundsException: 1
More like giant cherries
#243: May 24th 2011 at 6:28:39 PM

But socialism leads to communism.
And communism leads to immigration.
And immigration leads to sharia.
???
Panic!

edited 24th May '11 6:29:00 PM by storyyeller

Blind Final Fantasy 6 Let's Play
EricDVH Since: Jan, 2001
#244: May 24th 2011 at 6:31:10 PM

Major Tom: It's because for the last 4 years the Democrats have spent us into oblivion and we have nothing to show for it.
That spending didn't exactly go to terribly Democrat-ish things, indicating that Democrats had nothing to do with the deficit. From the debt thread:
Eric DVH: Gee Tom, that's quite a bit of money, I wonder where it went? Oh, right, war and tax cuts for the wealthy accounting for 99-55% of deficit increases in 2001-2003, 82% in 2001-2009, and with long-term fallout projected to account for 60-80% in 2013-2019 unless major repeals are enacted.

Major Tom: Since January 20, 2009 public debt expenditures not covered by taxes aka deficits have exceeded 4.8 trillion dollars to date including this fiscal year.

Combined deficits from January 20, 2001 to January 20, 2006 were less than 25% of that.

Here's deficit totals, namely the difference in debt on one fiscal year's end (September 30th) from the last's.

  • 2000: $23 billion
  • 2001: $141 billion
  • 2002: $429 billion (Bush's first budget)
  • 2003: $562 billion
  • 2004: $594 billion
  • 2005: $551 billion
  • 2006: $546 billion
  • 2007: $500 billion
  • 2008: $703 billion
  • 2009: $759 billion
  • 2010: $3.54 trillion (Obama's first budget, including economic intervention)
  • 2011: $366 billion (up to May 6th 2011)

pvtnum 11: Using that logic (and I think I can agree with it) one would think that giving middle and lower-income families a tax break while increasing the taxes on the rich would be ideal, among other things.
Or completely eliminating taxes on the lower classes, since even though our top-end tax rates are at historic and global lows, lower-class Americans are so poor that the bottom 50% account for less than 3% of income tax, while the top 5% account for 60%, the top 1% for 40%, and the top 0.1% _alone_ for 20%!

Eric,

edited 24th May '11 6:32:03 PM by EricDVH

TheyCallMeTomu Since: Jan, 2001 Relationship Status: Anime is my true love
#245: May 24th 2011 at 6:53:48 PM

I don't think you presented those numbers accurately.

EricDVH Since: Jan, 2001
#246: May 24th 2011 at 7:03:19 PM

The deficit figures? I purposely avoided inflation correcting them or using a percentage of GDP to head off complaints, even though I feel such things would be more meaningful.

Eric,

TheyCallMeTomu Since: Jan, 2001 Relationship Status: Anime is my true love
#247: May 24th 2011 at 7:09:14 PM

Oh nvm, I misinterpreted the numbers, they may sense now. So, the top 5 to 1% account for 20% of income?

edited 24th May '11 7:10:01 PM by TheyCallMeTomu

EricDVH Since: Jan, 2001
#248: May 24th 2011 at 7:45:17 PM

No, the top 0.1% account for about 20% of income tax revenue. That is, the richest ~140,000 Americans out of the total ~140,000,000 taxpayers. The 1-5% figure you're looking at is for the top 5%'s returns minus the top 1%'s (since the top 1% are, of course, part of the top 5%,) the figure would more accurately be labeled “top 2-5%.”

Eric,

edited 24th May '11 7:52:52 PM by EricDVH

TheyCallMeTomu Since: Jan, 2001 Relationship Status: Anime is my true love
#249: May 24th 2011 at 7:54:28 PM

If the top 5% pay for 60%, and the top 1% pay for 40%, then that means from 5 to 1 percent, there's 20% that's accounted for. That is, the top 5% excluding the top 1% pays for 20%.

And the top 1%, excluding the top .1%, would be 40% - 20%.

So it's 20%, 20%, 20%.

edited 24th May '11 7:55:33 PM by TheyCallMeTomu

Fighteer Lost in Space from The Time Vortex (Time Abyss) Relationship Status: TV Tropes ruined my love life
Lost in Space
#250: May 24th 2011 at 9:21:00 PM

for example an economy where there's a shortage of investment capital could probably use a tax cut for the rich.
Interesting point. If the economic news I'm reading means anything at all, there is a metric fuckton of investment capital floating around. But all it's being used for at the moment is rich people giving money to other rich people.

What's lacking is credit for people without significant financial resources, which is one of the major factors in the continuing weakness of the housing market. From a long-term point of view this may be healthy, as the banks don't want to get burned twice, but from the point of view of a recovery it's putting a huge damper on things.

A significant shift of capital away from the rich folks and businesses that are hoarding it and to individual consumers could turn the economy around in a heartbeat.

edited 24th May '11 9:24:51 PM by Fighteer

"It's Occam's Shuriken! If the answer is elusive, never rule out ninjas!"

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