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This is a "Wild Mass Guess" entry, where we pull out all the sanity stops on theorizing. The regular entry on this topic is elsewhere. Please see this programme note.
House of Cards (US)
Matthews will lose the governor's race, meaning Francis can't become VP.

Sony is winning the Console War in the House Of Cards verse.
  • Because Frank Underwood is just that powerful.
  • Similarly, in season 2, Frank will get a PS 4.

The Democrats are in serious trouble.
  • They fought tooth and nail to defend Pennsylvania in a presidential election, a state they haven't had serious trouble with for the past 20 years in RL. The party as a whole seems much further to the right than it is in RL, with a conservative(for a Democrat, anyway) southerner as Majority Whip and an apparent centrist as President who pushed through an education bill that incorporates a bunch of conservative policy proposals in education and that a Democrat in RL wouldn't dare to touch. If they've had to moderate their positions so much, it's a sign that the country is much more right-wing than in RL.
    • Pennsylvania isn't a guaranteed Democratic state in Real Life either, though. Even though it's consistently gone to the Democrats since 1992, it's been fought for each time and could be swayed by a strong challenger. A bit like North Carolina for the other side.

The series is set in an Alternate History where Al Gore won the 2000 presidential election.
  • We know from characters' dialogue and the episode of Jeopardy playing on TV that the show's political history matches up with real life at least up until the presidency of Bill Clinton — but there is never any reference to the presidency of George W. Bush or historical events directly associated with it such as the Iraq War. Furthermore, the show begins with a new Democratic president having been elected in 2012, and the Democrats in control of both houses of Congress. Therefore, the point of divergence between the House of Cards timeline and ours is Al Gore winning the 2000 presidential election instead of Bush. Gore then either serves one term and is followed by a two-term Republican, or serves two terms and is followed by a one-term Republican. This may also account for the Democrats' much more centrist stance in the show, as Gore's victory and the absence of the Bush Administration means that the DLC faction of the Democratic Party is still dominant.
    • There is reference to Catherine Durant being "vocally anti-war" which would imply that the War on Terror exists in this universe as well, and in turn 9/11 happened too. Invading Afghanistan would have been a no-brainer for any president after 9/11, but it's hard to believe that Al Gore would invade Iraq after that.
      • At one point, the show refers to a "Bush Senior"(implying that there is a junior as well) and the Republicans control the Senate.
      • Alternatively, "Bush Senior" is PRESCOTT Bush(41's father) and the point of divergence from our own time is even further back.
      • It can't be Prescott Bush. The reference to Bush Sr takes place in 1992. Prescott Bush died twenty years earlier.
      • Perhaps the inferred "Bush Junior" is Walker's immediate predecessor as President. It doesn't necessarily have to be George W. Bush either — it could be Jeb Bush, succeeding in 2004/2008 where his brother failed in 2000. Another possibility is that John McCain was the Republican candidate in 2000 in this timeline, who lost to Gore, freeing up either Bush brother to succeed Gore later.
    • I think the safest point of departure would be the 2008 election. The electorate weren't confident that the Democrats could get them out of the economic slump and went with Mc Cain and the Democrats lost the House. Things went very much similarly (or perhaps worst) as they did in our timeline. Then in 2012, we have Walker elected.
Francis's sexuality will ultimately cause, or contribute to, his downfall
  • Francis' bisexuality is touched upon in exactly one episode per season thus far, not enough to make it a prominent character trait, but enough to remind us that it is there. I can imagine that a revelation that he has had relationships with men will cause a media frenzy and a backlash against him. After all, being ruthless and Machiavellian is fine, making out with guys? Unacceptable!!!.

House of Cards will be four seasons total.
  • Four seasons of 13 episodes each equals 52 episodes total: the same number of cards in a standard deck.
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