Paris in the Twentieth Century was one of the first science-fiction novels written by Jules Verne, but the last to be published — in 1994, after lying forgotten in a safe for over a hundred and twenty-five years.While a good read, the novel isn't Verne's best. What makes it very interesting, however, is the accuracy of its many predictions about the future. Verne wrote the novel in 1863, and it is set in the far-off futuristic world of 1960. Verne did a remarkably good job of predicting the world one hundred years in his future. Amusingly, one of the reasons his novel was not published for so long is that publishers originally felt his predictions to be too unrealistic.As an initially unpublished work, the novel is closer to Verne's post-Protection from Editors style than the writings most readers will be familiar with, particularlyin regardsto its cynicism. Verne imagines the Paris of 1960 as a bleak dystopia where art and creativity are stifled, and cold-hearted pragmatism, logic, commerce, and industrial development are the only things that anyone cares about. Michel Dufrénoy, the protagonist, is one of the last students of the humanities graduating from his university, a cause for shame for his family, and endless misery and failure for him throughout the story as he struggles to survive alone in a cold, mechanized world without losing his identity. (Today in the real world, people would likely tell him to prepare for a lifetime of serving fries...) The depressing tone and message of the novel is the other, and likely bigger, reason why it was initially denied publication and remained forgotten for so long.
Notable predictions of Paris in the Twentieth Century:
Automobiles: About twenty years before the modern carnote Automobiles had been around since 1769, but they were basically experiments in its most rudimentary form was invented, Verne predicted not only the widespread use of cars, but also infrastructures built around them. His Paris of 1960 was filled with automobiles powered by compressed air (cars that run on compressed air actually exist today, though they aren't very efficient). "Refuelling" stations for compressed air were placed around the city, and the monopolistic company supplying the compression was very rich, powerful, and morally dubious. Make of that, and the description of their appearance matching the styling of the typical American car of 1960 far closer than that of the typical French one, what you will.
Computers: Or sophisticated electro-mechanical calculators, at any rate. These are widely used by businesses.
The electric chair: Used to underscore the point of how de-humanizing and cruel technology had become.
The Internet and the telecommunications revolution: The novel describes calculating machines that can send information to each other remotely to help companies conduct business over great distances. Fax machines (as "picture-telegraphs") are also described, and in general it's made clear that instant long-range communication is very important to the business of Verne's 1960s Paris.
The Magnetic Train: Verne predicted a train that was propeled by a magnetic disc inside a long tube, that was itself propeled by compressed air. It also says that is the fastest transport there is.
Modern architecture: The Paris of Verne's 1960 was a skyscraper-filled, modern city. In real life, very few skyscrapers would be built in the city proper (though its suburbs would be more than happy to take up the slack), but as shown by London, Frankfurt and just about every major American city, Paris would be the exception to prove the rule — the only reason why more skyscrapers weren't built in Paris was because they were outright banned after the construction of the butt-ugly Tour Montparnasse. He even predicted a geometric, modern centrepiece built for the Louvre's courtyard. (Granted, in Verne's novel it's more of a statue dedicated to industry, science, and the like.)
Modern security systems: In one scene, the protagonist accidentally sets off an automatic security system in a bank.
Warfare: Less accurately, Verne predicted that the application of overwhelming technology to warfare would inevitably lead to world peace. Unfortunately this clearly hasn't come true... But on the other hand, the basic idea of Mutually Assured Destruction seems similar. And Verne's prediction that technology would make war impersonal, with soldiers killing remotely by operating the controls of machines, is more accurate now than ever.
The importance of the Lowest Common Denominator, Theiss Titillation Theory, and related tropes to modern entertainment: Of course, even Shakespeare had plenty of sex and lewdness in his works, but Verne made some striking Take That predictions about modern entertainment nonetheless. He envisioned crude stage plays that would replace "real art", and in which a major point would be lowering the curtain at the last possible moment in scenes with sex and nudity.
Hippies: Yes, hippies. The protagonist is a Love Freak and self-proclaimed poet who wears his hair long and resents working in the corporate world, though he's not as drugged-out or filthy as the type usually is. To be precise, he's kind of a dandy with similarities to a 20th century hippie. Of course, the fact that the novel is actually set in the 1960s is amusing as well.
Modern Music: In using music as a representation of art as a whole, Verne foreshadows in essence the entire history of music in the 20th century.
He predicts or explores:
the strangely tight and cyclic relationship between Deconstructive and reconstructive musical movements- one of the protagonist's friends, a composer, has conflicts with his professors because he does not share their deconstructive view of music as a manufactured commodity.
the rise of both fluff pop music and an artsy underground- what his proffesors encourage him to embrace, rather than high art, and where he finds acceptance of his most artistic works
the Punk Rock and Heavy Metal generas- perfectly mirrored in the cacaphonous music gleefully embraced by the composer as a way to satisfy both his artistic urges and appeal to public tastes, as well as his demeanor. The angst-driven "you haven't heard anything yet..." competition among himself and his fellow disillusioned composers in trying to make the most bizarre and grating music possible to lampoon the proscribed "rules" of music, hits disturbingly close to the exact definition of the Industrial music movement.
the fall of the live classical symphonic performance as the primary source of music and the rise of the recorded music industry- This particular composer finds his own liberation in the form of a device whose description sounds a lot like a synthesizer; he no longer needs a skilled orchestra or concert hall to profit from his work, he simply composes a piece and the machine will play it note-for-note perfectly every time. The fact that this is both decried as taking the artistry and tradition out of music and celebrated as freeing the composer to explore entirely new musical territory only adds to the accuracy.
numerous future musical movements and generas: The composer and his fellows have also begun experimenting with combining the best aspects of their raucous new music and traditional composition to create something more than either alone, and with using the electronic device to create music incorporating entirely novel sounds that no orchestra could ever produce, . While these attempts at reinventing the musical world are rejected by the old guard and the critics as sentimental, lacking in artistic or creative merit, or worthless for lack of mass appeal, they form an underground movement creating complex and beautiful music in defiance of the proscribed popular styles and the old guards doctrine of music. Experimental movements like Jazz and New Wave, the dominance of popular hit-of-the-week movements like Ragtime and Pop Music, artsy and emotional movements like Alternative Rock and Blues, and the even the rise of the underground Electronic Music scene out of frustrated individuals who would have once likely have become classical symphonic composers.
Tropes found in this work:
The Alternet: Likely Ur Example, as the book made a prediction of networked calculating machines, "picture-telegraphs", and other forms of instant long-range communications.
Black Sheep: Michel is considered useless by his whole family. To make matters worse, his family is one of the most powerfull in all Paris.
Born in the Wrong Century: Dufrénoy and his friends, though many of the latter are older and have learned to fit in for pragmatic reasons.
No New Fashions in the Future: Somewhat subverted - particularly nicely when the characters decry the far more utilitarian clothing of modern French women - but most fashions still seem to be based on 19th century clothing and its principles.
Old Shame: While Verne actually liked the novel and defended it, his first real publisher, Hetzel, was fond of criticizing it. Verne later gave up and the novel became forgotten and unpublished until freaking 1994. Also, the novel is kind of an Odd One Out compared to the rest of his early writings : Thematically, it's far more evocative of his later novels (cca from the 1880s onward), which were more pesimistic about the effects of technological advancement on humanity and had more Humans Are Bastards undertones. Mind you, Paris was only his second sci-fi or adventure novel, and he went on to write many exciting and genuinely optimistic novels until he suffered a gradual Creator Breakdown in the 1870s and 1880s, which lead to his works becoming far Darker and Edgier. It's as if this novel was teleported from that later phase of his writing carreer, instead of the more cheerful early one.
Port Town: Paris became one with the construction of a canal. So now is common to see huge ships in the middle of Paris.
Snow Means Death: The last chapters of the book take place during winter. And a lot of emphasis is put on how this is the only thing technology hasn't solved for people and that people are dying even while driving the trains (not even Verne could predict modern heating).
Steam Punk: Arguably... averted. Verne - as was typical for him - foresaw that steam would not be the main source of power in 1960. He bet on compressed air, instead.
True Art Is Ancient: The major characters are contemtuous at best of everything produced int he last century, whether literary, musical, or visual.
Zeerust / Tech Marches On: Though calculating machines take the place of computers, records are still kept in books. In this case, a colossal book apparently four meters tall, whose pages are turned with machinery. Also, fashions and and some aspects of daily life are still very reminescent of the 19th century and there is apparently no air transport (except the odd airship or two, probably). The clothing is also made of spun metal, the closest approach Verne could make to synthetic fibers before the development of polymers.