In episode 9 of CommodoreHustle, when James, Jer, Bill, and Matt have joined Kate's gang, Jer and Matt start arguing over who would be the Brains. James, The Fixer, does the whole "I'm thinking of a number between one and ten" thing. Jer says two, Matt says five. Jer wins, because "It's always two". However, the fact that Matt chose five actually means he should've won instead; while, obviously, it's not ALWAYS two, choosing five or six changes your chance of winning from roughly 10% (one in ten) to about 50%. If you choose the number in the middle of the selection, then you would automatically win if the other person chooses a number higher than yours while the correct number was lower, and vice versa. Not that it's always the smartest move, but in this circumstance, it was definitely a smart idea that was simply toppled by Matt's bad luck.